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← Back to GamesNov 5, 2022Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota by 2

Home Win Probability

South Dakota 55%

Market (consensus)

South Dakota +3.5

Edge: South Dakota +3.5 (5.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 5, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Missouri StateMissouri State
3001013
South Dakota
767020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-313-320-1020-13
South DakotaMissouri State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDMSSDMSSDMSSDMSSDMSMSSDMSSDMSSDMSSDMSSDTO46ydFG1142ydTD967ydPUNT624ydPUNT952ydPUNT431ydPUNT411ydPUNT54ydTD768ydEND527ydDOWNS932ydPUNT516ydPUNT38ydTD651ydTD1367ydPUNT718ydFG1060ydPUNT35ydDOWNS619ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri State and South Dakota
StatisticMissouri StateSouth Dakota
Passing23-3817-25
Pass Yards233235
Rush Yards9992
Total Yards332327
Turnovers01
3rd Down7-166-11
Penalties6-428-52
Possession31:5428:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri State
passing
Jason Shelley
23/38, 233 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jacardia Wright
16 CAR, 45 YDS
receiving
Jahod Booker
2 REC, 48 YDS
South Dakota
passing
Aidan Bouman
17/25, 235 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Travis Theis
24 CAR, 74 YDS
receiving
Wesley Eliodor
6 REC, 97 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+37 yds

Jose Pizano kickoff for 63 yds , Wesley Eliodor return for 37 yds to the SDako 39

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the SDako 40

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the SDako 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.25

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for 5 yds Travis Theis fumbled, recovered by MoSt Jamal Mcmurrin

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Shelley,Jason rush right for 3 yards gain to the USD42 (Hillis,Stephen) PENALTY MSU Holding (Fitzgerald,Sean) 10 yards from USD45 to MSU45. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jacardia Wright run for 6 yds to the SDako 49

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 15Rush+16 ydsPPA +3.50

Jason Shelley run for 16 yds to the SDako 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 9 yds to the SDako 25

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.43

Jason Shelley run for 4 yds to the SDako 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the SDako 19

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Jacardia Wright run for 10 yds to the SDako 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the SDako 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 3 yds to the SDako 4

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the SDako 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Jose Pizano 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+32 yds

Jose Pizano kickoff for 64 yds , Wesley Eliodor return for 32 yds to the SDako 33

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the SDako 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Zach Witte for 2 yds to the SDako 36

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.61

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Javion Phelps for 12 yds to the SDako 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Travis Theis run for 7 yds to the MoSt 45

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Travis Theis run for no gain to the MoSt 45

3rd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.87

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 20 yds to the MoSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 9 yds to the MoSt 16

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.47

Travis Theis run for 5 yds to the MoSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Shomari Lawrence run for 11 yds for a TD, (Eddie Ogamba KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jason Shelley pass complete to Terique Owens for 9 yds to the MoSt 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Tyrone Scott

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Jacardia Wright run for 7 yds to the MoSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Kevon Latulas run for 1 yd to the MoSt 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Terique Owens

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Terique Owens

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDako 6

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the SDako 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 9 yds to the SDako 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the SDako 18

2nd & 9Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.67

Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 27 yds to the SDako 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Travis Theis run for 8 yds to the MoSt 47

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the MoSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Travis Theis run for 6 yds to the MoSt 39

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the MoSt 37

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

(09:40) PENALTY USD Illegal Snap (Lombard,Joey) 5 yards from MSU37 to MSU42. NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to JJ Galbreath

4th & 7Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Naveon Mitchell at the MoSt 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.62

Jason Shelley pass complete to Stetson Moore for 25 yds to the MoSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jason Shelley pass complete to Naveon Mitchell for 7 yds to the MoSt 43

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MoSt 45

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Jason Shelley run for 3 yds to the MoSt 42

4th & 4Punt+4 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDako 17 , Carter Bell returns for 4 yds to the SDako 17

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Shomari Lawrence run for 11 yds to the SDako 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to Shomari Lawrence

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to Wesley Eliodor

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to Carter Bell

4th & 10Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Naveon Mitchell at the MoSt 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Jason Shelley pass complete to Lance Mason for 9 yds to the MoSt 29

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MoSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jason Shelley run for 2 yds to the MoSt 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Raylen Sharpe

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.54

Jason Shelley sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the MoSt 24

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDako 32

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Travis Theis run for 7 yds to the SDako 39

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Travis Theis run for no gain to the SDako 39

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.34

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 13 yds to the MoSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the MoSt 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to Wesley Eliodor

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.60

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Shomari Lawrence for 17 yds to the MoSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

(01:07) Shotgun Bouman,Aidan pass incomplete short left to Bell,Carter QB hurried by Ellis,Kevin PENALTY USD Pass Interference 15 yards from MSU29 to MSU44. NO PLAY.

1st & 25Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +5.17

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 44 yds for a TD, (Eddie Ogamba PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Eddie Ogamba kickoff for 62 yds , Montrae Braswell return for 22 yds to the SODAKOTA 43 MISSOURI ST Penalty, Illegal Block (7 Yards) to the MoSt 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 9 yds to the MoSt 16

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MSU False Start 5 yards from MSU16 to MSU11. NO PLAY.

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Kevon Latulas

3rd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Kevon Latulas run for 11 yds to the MoSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Kevon Latulas run for 12 yds to the MoSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Kevon Latulas

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jason Shelley pass complete to Naveon Mitchell for 7 yds to the MoSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Jason Shelley pass complete to Lance Mason for 4 yds to the MoSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jacardia Wright run for 5 yds to the MoSt 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 4 yds to the MoSt 45

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.28

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the MoSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.35

Jason Shelley sacked by Miles Emery for a loss of 6 yards to the MoSt 43

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Celdon Manning run for 5 yds to the MoSt 48

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Jason Shelley pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 9 yds to the SDako 43

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.62

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Jacardia Wright

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the SDako 42

2nd & 11Penalty+5 yds

(09:40) Shotgun Bouman,Aidan pass complete short left to Phelps,Javion for 9 yards to the MSU49, out of bounds at MSU49 PENALTY MSU Offside (Goree,Devin) 5 yards from USD42 to USD47. NO PLAY.

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.49

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 14 yds to the MoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Aidan Bouman pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 3 yds to the MoSt 36

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to Carter Bell

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

(07:33) PENALTY USD Delay Of Game 5 yards from MSU36 to MSU41. NO PLAY.

4th & 12Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Naveon Mitchell at the MoSt 9

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jacardia Wright run for 6 yds to the MoSt 15

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the MoSt 12

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jason Shelley pass complete to Celdon Manning for 5 yds to the MoSt 17

4th & 2Punt+13 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 47 yds , Carter Bell returns for 13 yds to the SDako 49

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the MoSt 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.63

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Travis Theis for 15 yds to the MoSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the MoSt 36

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 11 yds to the MoSt 25

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.25

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the MoSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Carter Bell for 23 yds for a TD, (Eddie Ogamba KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+33 yds

Eddie Ogamba kickoff for 65 yds , Montrae Braswell return for 33 yds to the MoSt 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 13 yds to the MoSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jason Shelley run for no gain to the MoSt 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 8 yds to the SDako 46

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Jason Shelley run for 8 yds to the SDako 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Naveon Mitchell run for 9 yds to the SDako 29

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Celdon Manning

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the SDako 29

4th & 1Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.39

Jason Shelley pass complete to Stetson Moore for 14 yds to the SDako 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 9 yds to the SDako 6

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.73

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the SDako 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Trae Thompson

2nd & 2Rush+2 yds

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the SDako 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Jason Shelley pass complete to Naveon Mitchell for 4 yds for a TD, (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Travis Theis run for 4 yds to the SDako 43

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the SDako 45

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

(09:50) PENALTY MSU Offside (Blake,Caleb) 5 yards from USD45 to USD50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Travis Theis run for 6 yds to the MoSt 44

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

(08:45) PENALTY USD False Start (Henderson,Bryce) 5 yards from MSU44 to MSU49. NO PLAY.

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.74

Aidan Bouman pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 14 yds to the MoSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the MoSt 34

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the MoSt 33

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to Carter Bell

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USD Delay Of Game 5 yards from MSU33 to MSU38. NO PLAY.

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USD Delay Of Game 5 yards from MSU38 to MSU43. NO PLAY.

4th & 18Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jason Shelley run for 6 yds to the MoSt 26

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Terique Owens

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.66

Jason Shelley pass complete to Naveon Mitchell for 10 yds to the MoSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Terique Owens

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.18

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jahod Booker for 28 yds to the SDako 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.38

Jason Shelley pass complete to Terique Owens for 15 yds to the SDako 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.55

Jason Shelley sacked by Blake Holden for a loss of 9 yards to the SDako 30

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Tyrone Scott

3rd & 19Penalty-10 yds

(03:10) No Huddle-Shotgun Shelley,Jason pass complete short left to Manning,Celdon for 7 yards to the USD23 (Reaves,Dominic) PENALTY MSU Holding (Bebee,Landon) 10 yards from USD30 to USD40. NO PLAY.

3rd & 29Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.69

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jahod Booker for 20 yds to the SDako 20

4th & 9Field Goal Good+37 yds

Jose Pizano 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USD False Start (Henderson,Bryce) 5 yards from USD25 to USD20. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the SDako 21

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Travis Theis run for 4 yds to the SDako 25

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Travis Theis run for 5 yds to the SDako 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Naveon Mitchell at the MoSt 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 7 yds to the MoSt 29

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.38

Jason Shelley pass complete to Kevon Latulas for 5 yds to the MoSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Hunter Wood

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Jason Shelley run for 7 yds to the MoSt 41

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Jahod Booker

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Celdon Manning

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

A. Bouman takes a knee

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

A. Bouman takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
62%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
38%
8 plays
0%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
33%
3 plays

South Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
23 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
43%
7 plays
4th