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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2022Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri State by 17.7

Home Win Probability

Missouri State 82%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Missouri State -17.5

Edge: Missouri State -17.5 (0.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 29, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western Illinois
070714
Missouri StateMissouri State
172810964

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256703-017-024-731-738-752-755-764-21
Missouri StateWestern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSWIMSWIMSWIMSWIMSWIMSWIMSWIMSWIMSWIMSWIMSWIMSWIMSWIFG1169ydPUNT3-1ydTD468ydDOWNS634ydTD758ydTD981ydTD1075ydPUNT30ydTD758ydTO34ydTD636ydTO311ydTD240ydPUNT3-1ydTD668ydPUNT30ydFG936ydTO25ydFG1021ydTD675ydPUNT310ydDOWNS1032ydPUNT3-9ydDOWNS516ydTD342ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Illinois and Missouri State
StatisticWestern IllinoisMissouri State
Passing15-3526-34
Pass Yards215383
Rush Yards14214
Total Yards229597
Turnovers30
3rd Down1-116-11
Penalties4-3011-120
Possession21:1238:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Illinois
passing
Clay Bruno
14/34, 207 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kyle Dobbins
5 CAR, 11 YDS
receiving
Naseim Brantley
6 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD
Missouri State
passing
Jason Shelley
17/22, 311 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jacardia Wright
16 CAR, 82 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Raylen Sharpe
3 REC, 82 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Jason Shelley pass complete to Celdon Manning for 1 yd to the MoSt 27

2nd & 11Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.67

Jacardia Wright run for 20 yds to the MoSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Jahod Booker

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.46

Jason Shelley pass complete to Stetson Moore for 24 yds to the WIll 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 4 yds to the WIll 25

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Kevon Latulas run for 9 yds to the WIll 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.10

Jacardia Wright run for 13 yds to the WIll 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the WIll 1

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MSU False Start (Buddemeyer,Carson) 5 yards from WIU01 to WIU06. NO PLAY.

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the WIll 3

3rd & 3Sack0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jason Shelley sacked by Cole Watts for 0 yards to the WIll 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+22 yds

Jose Pizano 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Clay Bruno pass complete to Ludovick Choquette for 5 yds to the WIll 46

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Bruno,Clay pass complete short left to Armstrong,Jafar for 4 yards to the WIU50 (McGee,Todric) PENALTY WIU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Whyte,Jack) 5 yards from WIU46 to WIU41. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Ludovick Choquette run for 1 yd to the WIll 40

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Clay Bruno pass incomplete to Jafar Armstrong

4th & 11Punt+13 yds

Jack Beulke punt for 41 yds , Naveon Mitchell returns for 13 yds to the MoSt 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +2.97

Jason Shelley pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 54 yds to the WIll 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the WIll 14

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Tyrone Scott

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.20

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jahod Booker for 14 yds for a TD, (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.19

Clay Bruno pass complete to Naseim Brantley for 14 yds to the WIll 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.60

Clay Bruno pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 19 yds to the MoSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Clay Bruno pass incomplete to Naseim Brantley

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Clay Bruno run for 1 yd to the MoSt 42

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Clay Bruno pass incomplete to Naseim Brantley

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Clay Bruno pass incomplete to Naseim Brantley

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jacardia Wright run for 6 yds to the MoSt 48

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Jason Shelley run for 7 yds to the WIll 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jason Shelley pass complete to Naveon Mitchell for 1 yd to the WIll 46

2nd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.96

Jason Shelley pass complete to Naveon Mitchell for 19 yds to the WIll 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the WIll 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.58

Jason Shelley pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 16 yds to the WIll 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Jacardia Wright run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Bruno,Clay pass incomplete short left to Brantley,Naseim PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (McMurrin,Jamal) 15 yards from WIU19 to WIU34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Erin Collins run for 1 yd to the WIll 35

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Erin Collins run for 1 yd to the WIll 36

3rd & 8Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +4.09

Clay Bruno pass complete to Naseim Brantley for 45 yds to the MoSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Clay Bruno pass incomplete to Jafar Armstrong

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WIU False Start (Sanders,Taj) 5 yards from MSU19 to MSU24. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.02

Clay Bruno pass complete to Jack Whyte for 15 yds to the MoSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Erin Collins run for 1 yd to the MoSt 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Clay Bruno pass incomplete to Jack Whyte

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Clay Bruno pass incomplete to Taj Sanders

4th & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +3.30

Jack Beulke pass complete to Nathan Karsjens for 8 yds for a TD, (Mason Laramie KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jason Shelley pass complete to Lance Mason for 8 yds to the MoSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MoSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.76

Jason Shelley pass complete to Celdon Manning for 8 yds to the MoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Terique Owens

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.42

Jason Shelley run for 15 yds to the WIll 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the WIll 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.17

Jason Shelley pass complete to Naveon Mitchell for 17 yds to the WIll 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kevon Latulas run for 3 yds to the WIll 23

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Kevon Latulas run for 7 yds to the WIll 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Jacardia Wright run for 16 yds for a TD, (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Clay Bruno pass incomplete to Naseim Brantley

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Ludovick Choquette run for no gain to the WIll 19

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Clay Bruno pass incomplete to Jay Parker

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Beulke punt for 35 yds , Naveon Mitchell returns for no gain to the MoSt 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.75

Jason Shelley pass complete to Kevon Latulas for 28 yds to the WIll 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Celdon Manning run for 15 yds to the WIll 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Kevon Latulas run for 1 yd to the WIll 14

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.87

Kevon Latulas run for 13 yds to the WIll 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the WIll 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the WIll 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Trae Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Clay Bruno pass complete to Naseim Brantley for 3 yds to the WIll 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.71

Clay Bruno pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 11 yds to the WIll 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -2.72

Clay Bruno sacked by Jalen Williams for a loss of 10 yards to the WIll 36 Clay Bruno fumbled, recovered by MoSt Kevin Ellis , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Terique Owens

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Terique Owens

3rd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.99

Jason Shelley pass complete to Terique Owens for 32 yds to the WIll 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jason Shelley run for no gain to the WIll 4

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the WIll 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Jason Shelley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

PENALTY MSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Shelley,Jason) 15 yards from MSU35 to MSU20. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Clay Bruno pass incomplete to Jay Parker

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.94

Clay Bruno pass complete to Jay Parker for 11 yds to the WIll 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.44

Clay Bruno pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.49

Jason Shelley pass complete to Terique Owens for 15 yds to the WIll 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Jason Shelley pass complete to Hunter Wood for 25 yds for a TD, (Jose Pizano KICK)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Clay Bruno run for 4 yds to the WIll 34

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Clay Bruno pass incomplete to Jafar Armstrong

3rd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.62

Clay Bruno sacked by Von Young for a loss of 5 yards to the WIll 29

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jack Beulke punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MoSt 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the MoSt 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.27

Jason Shelley pass complete to Celdon Manning for 44 yds to the WIll 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jason Shelley run for 5 yds to the WIll 16

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Jason Shelley run for 6 yds to the WIll 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jacardia Wright run for 5 yds to the WIll 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Jason Shelley pass complete to Lance Mason for 5 yds for a TD, (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jay Parker run for no gain to the WIll 28

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Clay Bruno pass incomplete to Naseim Brantley

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Clay Bruno pass incomplete to Taj Sanders

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Beulke punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jacob Clark pass complete to Terique Owens for 6 yds to the MoSt 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.98

Jacob Clark pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 12 yds to the WIll 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Jacob Clark pass complete to Kevon Latulas for 1 yd to the WIll 41

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Kevon Latulas run for 6 yds to the WIll 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.29

Jacob Clark pass complete to Naveon Mitchell for 11 yds to the WIll 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Celdon Manning run for 4 yds to the WIll 20

2nd & 6Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Clark,Jacob pass incomplete short right to Manning,Celdon PENALTY MSU Pass Interference 15 yards from WIU20 to WIU35. NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Clark,Jacob pass complete deep right to Latulas,Kevon for 18 yards to the WIU17 (Washington,Cam) PENALTY MSU Holding 10 yards from WIU35 to WIU45. NO PLAY.

2nd & 31Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jahod Booker for 6 yds to the WIll 39

3rd & 25Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.33

Jacob Clark pass complete to Celdon Manning for 17 yds to the WIll 22

4th & 8Field Goal Good+39 yds

Jose Pizano 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Erin Collins run for 5 yds to the WIll 37

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -1.59

Erin Collins run for no gain to the WIll 29 Erin Collins fumbled, recovered by MoSt P.J. Hall

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tywuan Lee run for 6 yds to the WIll 23

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Tywuan Lee run for 1 yd to the WIll 24

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to DVontae Key

4th & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.48

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 13 yds to the WIll 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Trae Thompson run for 1 yd to the WIll 10

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.81

Tywuan Lee run for 9 yds to the WIll 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush+2 yds

Tywuan Lee run for 2 yds to the WIll 3

2nd & 3Rush+4 yds

Tywuan Lee run for 4 yds to the WIll 7

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Jacob Clark pass complete to Tywuan Lee for 1 yd to the WIll 8

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Khaled Alasad kickoff for 57 yds , Jay Parker return for 17 yds to the WIll 25

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MISSOURI ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the WIll 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Clay Bruno pass incomplete to Naseim Brantley

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Kyle Dobbins run for 6 yds to the WIll 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Clay Bruno pass complete to Naseim Brantley for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.19

Kyle Dobbins run for 2 yds to the MoSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY MSU Personal Foul 15 yards from WIU35 to WIU50. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MISSOURI ST Penalty, Sideline Inteference (-5 Yards) to the MoSt 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Jacob Clark pass complete to Larry Wright III for 9 yds to the MoSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Jmariyae Robinson

3rd & 6Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Seth Glatz run for 1 yd to the WIll 17

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Clay Bruno run for 8 yds to the WIll 25

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Seth Glatz run for no gain to the WIll 25

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Kyle Dobbins run for 2 yds to the WIll 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Clay Bruno pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

MISSOURI ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Caleb Blake) to the WIll 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Kyle Dobbins run for no gain to the WIll 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Clay Bruno pass incomplete to Naseim Brantley

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Clay Bruno run for 1 yd to the WIll 48

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Clay Bruno pass incomplete to Cade Eddington

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tywuan Lee run for 3 yds to the MoSt 49

2nd & 13Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.53

Jordan Pachot sacked by Cole Watts for a loss of 6 yards to the MoSt 43

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Jordan Pachot pass incomplete to DVontae Key

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Naseim Brantley at the WIll 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Clay Bruno pass complete to Ben Nauman for 11 yds to the WIll 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Bruno,Clay pass incomplete short right to Brantley,Naseim PENALTY WIU Holding 10 yards from WIU37 to WIU27. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Clay Bruno pass complete to Ben Nauman for 5 yds to the WIll 32

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Clay Bruno pass incomplete to Naseim Brantley

3rd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.39

Clay Bruno pass complete to Seth Glatz for 10 yds to the WIll 42

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Clay Bruno pass incomplete to Taj Sanders

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.61

Andrew Cunningham run for 18 yds to the WIll 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.63

Andrew Cunningham run for 18 yds to the WIll 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Andrew Cunningham 6 Yd Run (Khaled Alasad PAT failed)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Khaled Alasad kickoff for 50 yds , Jay Parker return for 16 yds to the WIll 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Clay Bruno run for 2 yds to the WIll 29

Situational Analysis

Western Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
24%
21 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
36%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
56%
9 plays
80%
10 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play