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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2022Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southern Illinois by 0.8

Home Win Probability

Missouri State 45%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Missouri State -3.5

Edge: Southern Illinois +3.5 (4.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern Illinois
01721038
Missouri StateMissouri State
1400721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-014-714-1414-1714-2414-3114-3821-38
Missouri StateSouthern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSSIMSSIMSSIMSSIMSSIMSSISIMSSIMSSIMSSIMSSIMSSITO418ydPUNT3-14ydTD450ydPUNT53ydTD468ydDOWNS831ydDOWNS48ydTD554ydPUNT3-4ydTD957ydPUNT3-11ydFG1461ydTD666ydPUNT628ydTD1496ydTO25ydTD141ydDOWNS715ydMISS529ydTD1072ydPUNT518ydDOWNS820ydEND3-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Illinois and Missouri State
StatisticSouthern IllinoisMissouri State
Passing23-3315-25
Pass Yards290195
Rush Yards12990
Total Yards419285
Turnovers02
3rd Down6-162-9
Penalties5-247-70
Possession35:4724:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Illinois
passing
Nic Baker
21/30, 253 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Shaun Lester
17 CAR, 81 YDS
receiving
D'Ante' Cox
6 REC, 108 YDS
Missouri State
passing
Jason Shelley
15/25, 195 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jacardia Wright
15 CAR, 83 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Tyrone Scott
4 REC, 60 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Thomas Burks kickoff for 49 yds , Trae Thompson return for 12 yds to the MoSt 28

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Jacardia Wright run for 6 yds to the MoSt 34

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Jason Shelley run for 10 yds to the MoSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MoSt 46

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -1.95

Jason Shelley pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Justin Strong run for 1 yd to the SoIll 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Javon Williams Jr.

3rd & 9Sack-15 ydsPPA -0.45

Nic Baker sacked by Devin Goree for a loss of 15 yards to the SoIll 16

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.19

Jacardia Wright run for 28 yds to the SoIll 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the SoIll 19

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.26

Jason Shelley run for 9 yds to the SoIll 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Jacardia Wright run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jose Pizano kickoff for 56 yds , Javon Williams Jr. return for 16 yds to the SoIll 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 5 yds to the SoIll 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Nic Baker pass complete to Bryce Miller for 7 yds to the SoIll 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.05

Nic Baker sacked by Jalen Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the SoIll 28

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Jacob Garrett

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Justin Strong

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Naveon Mitchell at the MoSt 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MoSt 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.26

Jason Shelley pass complete to Stetson Moore for 35 yds to the SoIll 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.96

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 26 yds to the SoIll 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jason Shelley pass complete to Carson Buddemeyer for 5 yds for a TD, (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Jose Pizano kickoff for 65 yds , Avante Cox return for 23 yds to the SoIll 23

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Javon Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoIll 22

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Javon Williams Jr.

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.25

Nic Baker pass complete to Shaun Lester for 9 yds to the SoIll 31

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

Torney,Nathan punt 46 yards to the MSU23 PENALTY MSU Running Into The Kicker 5 yards from SIU31 to SIU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 11 yds to the SoIll 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Javon Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the MoSt 46

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.21

Javon Williams Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Javon Williams Jr.

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Avante Cox

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MoSt 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 6 yds to the SoIll 46

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the SoIll 46

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.34

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Stetson Moore

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Justin Strong run for 6 yds to the MoSt 48

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.40

Shaun Lester run for 4 yds to the MoSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Justin Strong run for 1 yd to the MoSt 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.60

Javon Williams Jr. pass complete to Avante Cox for 28 yds to the MoSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SIU False Start 5 yards from MSU15 to MSU20. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.91

Justin Strong run for 20 yds for a TD, (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY MSU Personal Foul (Ahumibe,Ikenna) 15 yards from SIU35 to SIU50. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jason Shelley run for no gain to the MoSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jason Shelley pass complete to Naveon Mitchell for 3 yds to the MoSt 28

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.42

Jason Shelley sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the MoSt 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Javon Williams Jr. at the SoIll 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 6 yds to the SoIll 49

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Jacob Garrett

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.84

Nic Baker pass complete to Justin Strong for 6 yds to the MoSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Javon Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the MoSt 38

2nd & 3Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.02

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 37 yds to the MoSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SIU False Start (Smith,Coleon) 5 yards from MSU01 to MSU06. NO PLAY.

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Javon Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the MoSt 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Javon Williams Jr. run for no gain to the MoSt 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Nic Baker run for no gain to the MoSt 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Javon Williams Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Thomas Burks kickoff for 44 yds , Trae Thompson return for 15 yds to the MoSt 36

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.70

Jason Shelley sacked by Keenan Agnew for a loss of 5 yards to the MoSt 31

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MoSt 30

3rd & 16Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.18

Jason Shelley sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the MoSt 25

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Javon Williams Jr. at the SoIll 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Shaun Lester run for 3 yds to the SoIll 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.77

Nic Baker pass complete to Javon Williams Jr. for no gain to the SoIll 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.98

Nic Baker pass complete to Javon Williams Jr. for 17 yds to the MoSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 1 yd to the MoSt 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.43

Javon Williams Jr. pass complete to Avante Cox for 9 yds to the MoSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Javon Williams Jr. run for no gain to the MoSt 38

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Shaun Lester run for 5 yds to the MoSt 33

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Shaun Lester run for no gain to the MoSt 33

4th & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Nic Baker pass complete to Javon Williams Jr. for 12 yds to the MoSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.12

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 11 yds to the MoSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Javon Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the MoSt 12

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Nic Baker pass complete to Jacob Garrett for 5 yds to the MoSt 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Nic Baker pass incomplete to Javon Williams Jr.

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Jake Baumgarte 25 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Thomas Burks kickoff for 47 yds , Trae Thompson return for 8 yds to the MoSt 26

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Jose Pizano kickoff for 58 yds , Javon Williams Jr. return for 27 yds to the SoIll 34

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Shaun Lester run for 6 yds to the SoIll 40

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

D'Ante' Cox run for 2 yds to the SoIll 42

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Javon Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoIll 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

MISSOURI ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the MoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.20

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 38 yds to the MoSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Javon Williams Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MoSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Jacardia Wright run for 7 yds to the MoSt 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.11

Jason Shelley pass complete to Stetson Moore for 13 yds to the MoSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.41

Jason Shelley sacked by Richie Hagarty for a loss of 7 yards to the MoSt 39

2nd & 17Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Kevon Latulas run for 10 yds to the MoSt 49

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Naveon Mitchell

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Clayton Bush at the SoIll 4

1st & 14Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.71

Javon Williams Jr. run for 15 yds to the SoIll 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Javon Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoIll 25

2nd & 4Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY MSU Offside 5 yards from SIU25 to SIU30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Javon Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoIll 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 6 yds to the SoIll 38

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Shaun Lester run for 2 yds to the SoIll 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SIU False Start 5 yards from SIU40 to SIU35. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Shaun Lester run for 2 yds to the SoIll 37

2nd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.06

Nic Baker pass complete to Javon Williams Jr. for 10 yds to the SoIll 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.81

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 7 yds to the MoSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +0.94

Shaun Lester run for 27 yds to the MoSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Nic Baker pass incomplete to D'Ante' Cox

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 15 yds to the MoSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+5 yds

Javon Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the MoSt 9

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Nic Baker pass complete to Jacob Garrett for 2 yds to the MoSt 7

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Nic Baker pass complete to Bryce Miller for 7 yds for a TD, (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SIU False Start 5 yards from MSU03 to MSU03. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jacardia Wright run for 5 yds to the MoSt 30

2nd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jason Shelley pass intercepted

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 41 yds for a TD, (Jake Baumgarte KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Thomas Burks kickoff for 36 yds , Connor Lair return for 13 yds to the MoSt 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 15 yds to the SoIll 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kevon Latulas run for 4 yds to the SoIll 47

2nd & 14Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.29

Jason Shelley pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 14 yds to the SoIll 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Jason Shelley run for 7 yds to the SoIll 26

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jason Shelley run for no gain to the SoIll 26

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from SIU26 to SIU31. NO PLAY.

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Tyrone Scott

4th & 8Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.02

Jason Shelley sacked by PJ Jules for a loss of 12 yards to the SoIll 43

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MISSOURI ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Ferrin Manuleleua) to the MoSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Shaun Lester run for 1 yd to the MoSt 34

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Shaun Lester run for 1 yd to the MoSt 33

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Shaun Lester run for 5 yds to the MoSt 28

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Jake Baumgarte 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Jacardia Wright

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.65

Jason Shelley pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 20 yds to the MoSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Jason Shelley pass complete to Kevon Latulas for 8 yds to the SoIll 44

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.07

Jason Shelley pass complete to Terique Owens for 7 yds to the SoIll 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.42

Jason Shelley pass complete to Kevon Latulas for 16 yds to the SoIll 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Terique Owens

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the SoIll 21

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 11 yds to the SoIll 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 8 yds to the SoIll 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Shaun Lester run for 6 yds to the SoIll 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Javon Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoIll 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Shaun Lester run for 3 yds to the SoIll 40

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Shaun Lester run for no gain to the SoIll 40

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Shaun Lester run for 3 yds to the SoIll 43

4th & 4Punt+8 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 34 yds , Naveon Mitchell returns for 8 yds to the MoSt 31

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jason Shelley run for 5 yds to the MoSt 36

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Tyrone Scott

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Tyrone Scott

4th & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.59

Jason Shelley pass complete to Kevon Latulas for 8 yds to the MoSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Jason Shelley sacked by Richie Hagarty for a loss of 4 yards to the MoSt 40

2nd & 14Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Shelley,Jason sacked for loss of 1 yard to the MSU39 (Hagarty,Richie) PENALTY MSU Personal Foul (Bebee,Landon) 15 yards from MSU40 to MSU25. NO PLAY.

2nd & 29Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.53

Jacardia Wright run for 16 yds to the MoSt 41

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Raylen Sharpe

4th & 13Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Jason Shelley run for 10 yds to the SoIll 49

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

N. Baker takes a knee

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

N. Baker takes a knee

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

N. Baker takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Southern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
50%
26 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
23 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play