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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota State by 1.6

Home Win Probability

Missouri State 45%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Missouri State +2

Edge: Missouri State +2 (0.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South Dakota State
7071428
Missouri StateMissouri State
0014014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-1414-1414-2114-28
Missouri StateSouth Dakota State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSMSSDSMSSDSMSSDSMSSDSMSSDSMSSDSMSSDSMSSDSMSSDSMSSDSMSSDSMISS637ydPUNT616ydTD1092ydPUNT34ydPUNT623ydPUNT31ydMISS532ydPUNT922ydPUNT515ydPUNT3-2ydMISS453ydTO735ydTD424ydTD671ydPUNT47ydTD167ydTO741ydPUNT32ydTD1070ydPUNT32ydTD784ydTO850ydEND1-12yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Dakota State and Missouri State
StatisticSouth Dakota StateMissouri State
Passing22-2919-29
Pass Yards319185
Rush Yards15673
Total Yards475258
Turnovers12
3rd Down6-123-12
Penalties6-594-55
Possession34:5525:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Dakota State
passing
Mark Gronowski
22/29, 319 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Isaiah Davis
20 CAR, 83 YDS
receiving
Zach Heins
7 REC, 127 YDS, 1 TD
Missouri State
passing
Jason Shelley
19/29, 185 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jacardia Wright
13 CAR, 63 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Raylen Sharpe
1 REC, 67 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY MSU Personal Foul (Johnson,Jeremiah) 15 yards from SDSU31 to SDSU46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.76

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 14 yds to the MoSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 9 yds to the MoSt 29

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Isaiah Davis run for no gain to the MoSt 29

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.37

Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds to the MoSt 32

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Hunter Dustman 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.53

Jason Shelley sacked by Ryan Van Marel for a loss of 6 yards to the MoSt 26

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jason Shelley run for 5 yds to the MoSt 31

3rd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.66

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jordan Jones for 13 yds to the MoSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MoSt 46

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the MoSt 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jason Shelley pass complete to Lance Mason for 2 yds to the MoSt 48

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyler Feldkamp at the SDkSt 8

1st & 14Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.14

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 22 yds to the SDkSt 26 for a 1ST down

2nd & 19Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 5 yds to the SDkSt 22

3rd & 14Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.31

Isaiah Davis run for 16 yds to the SDkSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.71

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 21 yds to the MoSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.66

Amar Johnson run for 24 yds to the MoSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Jaxon Janke run for 14 yds to the MoSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Isaiah Davis run for 1 yd to the MoSt 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Isaiah Davis run for 1 yd to the MoSt 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 3 yds for a TD, (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Hunter Dustman kickoff for 64 yds , DVontae Key return for 16 yds to the MoSt 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the MoSt 21

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jason Shelley pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Kevon Latulas

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Tyler Feldkamp at the SDkSt 27

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Isaiah Davis run for 4 yds to the SDkSt 31

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Jaxon Janke

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.21

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 11 yds to the SDkSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mark Gronowski run for 5 yds to the SDkSt 47

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Amar Johnson run for 4 yds to the MoSt 49

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.93

Isaiah Davis run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the MoSt 9

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Jordan Jones

3rd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.23

Jason Shelley sacked by Cade Terveer for a loss of 4 yards to the MoSt 10

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tyler Feldkamp at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.18

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 27 yds to the MoSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 6 yds to the MoSt 17

2nd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.31

Mark Gronowski sacked by Jalen Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the MoSt 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 6 yds to the MoSt 18

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+35 yds

Hunter Dustman 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 5 yds to the MoSt 15

2nd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jordan Jones for 10 yds to the MoSt 25

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.30

Jason Shelley run for 6 yds to the MoSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MoSt 32

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the MoSt 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.22

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jordan Jones for 9 yds to the MoSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.08

Jason Shelley sacked by Adam Bock for a loss of 5 yards to the MoSt 39

2nd & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 3 yds to the MoSt 42

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Kevon Latulas

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyler Feldkamp at the SDkSt 15

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Isaiah Davis run for 9 yds to the SDkSt 24

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 4 yds to the SDkSt 30

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Jaxon Janke

4th & 6Punt+29 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 53 yds , Naveon Mitchell returns for 29 yds to the MoSt 46

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jason Shelley run for 2 yds to the MoSt 44

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Jordan Jones

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Jahod Booker

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Amar Johnson run for 8 yds to the SDkSt 28

2nd & 2Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.29

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 30 yds to the MoSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.55

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 15 yds to the MoSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Hunter Dustman 44 yd FG MISSED

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+55 yds

Hunter Dustman kickoff for 65 yds , DVontae Key return for 55 yds to the SDkSt 45

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.60

Jacardia Wright run for 13 yds to the SDkSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Kevon Latulas

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Jason Shelley run for 8 yds to the SDkSt 24

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the SDkSt 23

4th & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jordan Jones for 11 yds to the SDkSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 10

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -4.30

Jason Shelley pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Isaiah Davis run for 1 yd to the MoSt 23

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Isaiah Davis run for 10 yds to the MoSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Jaxon Janke

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.84

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 13 yds for a TD, (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Hunter Dustman kickoff for 36 yds , Von Young return for no gain to the MoSt 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 3 yds to the MoSt 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Jason Shelley pass complete to Kevon Latulas for 17 yds to the SDkSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jason Shelley run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 30

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.64

Jacardia Wright run for 15 yds to the SDkSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Jacardia Wright run for 15 yds for a TD, (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Jose Pizano kickoff for 65 yds , Amar Johnson return for 17 yds to the SDkSt 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.84

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 13 yds to the SDkSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Amar Johnson run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 28

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 8 yds to the SDkSt 36

3rd & 19Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Isaiah Davis run for 3 yds to the SDkSt 24

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +5.43

Jason Shelley pass complete to Raylen Sharpe for 67 yds for a TD, (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 22 yds to the SDkSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Isaiah Davis

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.95

Isaiah Davis run for 11 yds to the MoSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete to Zach Heins

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Amar Johnson run for 6 yds to the MoSt 36

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Isaiah Davis run for 3 yds to the MoSt 33

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -2.72

Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd to the MoSt 19 Mark Gronowski fumbled, recovered by MoSt Kevin Ellis

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Jason Shelley pass complete to Celdon Manning for 3 yds to the MoSt 22

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Manning,Celdon rush right for 2 yards gain to the MSU24 (Durrance,Matthew) PENALTY MSU Personal Foul (Wright,Larry) 10 yards from MSU22 to MSU12. NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 6 yds to the MoSt 18

3rd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Jason Shelley pass complete to Lance Mason for 3 yds to the MoSt 21

4th & 8Punt+2 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 51 yds , Tyler Feldkamp returns for 2 yds to the SDkSt 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Isaiah Davis run for 2 yds to the SDkSt 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.23

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jaxon Janke for 16 yds to the SDkSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Isaiah Davis run for 5 yds to the MoSt 47

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the MoSt 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 7 yds to the MoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Mark Gronowski run for 7 yds to the MoSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Jadon Janke run for 10 yds to the MoSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Isaiah Davis run for 1 yd to the MoSt 21

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.96

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Zach Heins for 21 yds for a TD, (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+2 yds

Hunter Dustman kickoff for 30 yds , Von Young return for 2 yds to the MoSt 37

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jacardia Wright run for 7 yds to the MoSt 44

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the MoSt 44

3rd & 3Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.38

Jason Shelley sacked by Jarod DePriest for a loss of 5 yards to the MoSt 39

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tyler Feldkamp at the SDkSt 16

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Isaiah Davis run for 6 yds to the SDkSt 22

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.47

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 6 yds to the SDkSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Isaiah Davis run for 6 yds to the SDkSt 34

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Isaiah Davis run for 3 yds to the SDkSt 37

3rd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.41

Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds to the MoSt 40 for a 1ST down MISSOURI ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Kyriq McDonald) to the MoSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mark Gronowski run for 5 yds to the MoSt 40

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.38

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Jadon Janke for 40 yds for a TD, (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Hunter Dustman kickoff for 42 yds , Trae Thompson return for no gain to the MoSt 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jahod Booker for 9 yds to the MoSt 32

2nd & 1Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.00

Jason Shelley pass complete to Naveon Mitchell for 16 yds to the MoSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Naveon Mitchell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 4 yds to the SDkSt 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.46

Jason Shelley pass complete to Larry Wright III for 12 yds to the SDkSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Jason Shelley run for 11 yds to the SDkSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.26

Jason Shelley pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.26

Jason Shelley pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 20Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.12

run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDkSt 8

Situational Analysis

South Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
63%
27 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
88%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
23 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
29%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play