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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2022Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri State by 9.3

Home Win Probability

Missouri State 71%

Market (Bovada)

Missouri State -14

Edge: UT Martin +14 (4.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UT Martin
7710630
Missouri StateMissouri State
71401435

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-714-1421-2121-2428-2435-30
Missouri StateUT Martin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSPUNT33ydTD873ydTD472ydPUNT630ydDOWNS1296ydPUNT1056ydTD1294ydTD761ydTD541ydEND1-1ydTD979ydPUNT31ydFG1269ydTD1263ydDOWNS713ydTD663ydTD574ydEND418yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UT Martin and Missouri State
StatisticUT MartinMissouri State
Passing29-4119-24
Pass Yards344297
Rush Yards85139
Total Yards429436
Turnovers00
3rd Down3-106-11
Penalties9-758-100
Possession28:3731:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UT Martin
passing
Dresser Winn
29/41, 344 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Zak Wallace
17 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Colton Dowell
10 REC, 159 YDS, 1 TD
Missouri State
passing
Jason Shelley
19/24, 297 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Jacardia Wright
23 CAR, 120 YDS
receiving
Tyrone Scott
8 REC, 96 YDS, 3 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Tyrone Scott

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.51

Jason Shelley sacked by Daylan Dotson for a loss of 5 yards to the MoSt 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.10

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 8 yds to the MoSt 28

4th & 7Punt+5 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 50 yds , Oshae Baker returns for 5 yds to the TnMar 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Zak Wallace run for 3 yds to the TnMar 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.20

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 7 yds to the TnMar 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Dresser Winn pass complete to for 6 yds Elijah Smoot fumbled, forced by Kyriq McDonald, recovered by TnMar Elijah Smoot at UTM43, End Of Play PENALTY MSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Chambers,Tahj) 15 yards from UTM43 to MSU42, 1ST DOWN.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 9 yds to the MoSt 33

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.38

Zak Wallace run for 4 yds to the MoSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dresser Winn pass complete to Jr. George Qualls for 5 yds to the MoSt 24

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dresser Winn pass incomplete to DeVonte Tanksley

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.27

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 24 yds for a TD, (Tyler Larco KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Tyler Larco kickoff for 42 yds , DVontae Key return for 5 yds to the MoSt 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Jacardia Wright

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Celdon Manning run for 2 yds to the MoSt 30

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Shelley,Jason pass incomplete short left to Key,D'Vontae broken up by Gore,Tyler PENALTY UTM Pass Interference (Gore,Tyler) 5 yards from MSU30 to MSU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MoSt 36

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +6.08

Jason Shelley pass complete to Celdon Manning for 64 yds for a TD, (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Jose Pizano kickoff for 53 yds , Sam Franklin return for no gain to the TnMar 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Dresser Winn pass incomplete to Elijah Smoot

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.17

Zak Wallace run for no gain to the TnMar 12

3rd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.23

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 25 yds to the TnMar 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Dresser Winn pass incomplete to DeVonte Tanksley

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Dresser Winn pass complete to Zak Wallace for 5 yds to the TnMar 42

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Dresser Winn pass incomplete to DeVonte Tanksley

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tyler Larco punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jason Shelley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Jacardia Wright run for 6 yds to the MoSt 9

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.00

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 15 yds to the MoSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MoSt 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.24

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 18 yds to the MoSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jacardia Wright run for 5 yds to the MoSt 48

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+47 ydsPPA +3.60

Jacardia Wright run for 47 yds to the TnMar 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Celdon Manning run for 2 yds to the TnMar 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the TnMar 1

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Lance Mason

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -4.21

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the TnMar 1 Jacardia Wright fumbled, forced by Kenyonte Davis, recovered by MoSt Jacardia Wright

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Zak Wallace run for 1 yd to the TnMar 2

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.57

Dresser Winn pass complete to DJ Nelson for 13 yds to the TnMar 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Zak Wallace run for 1 yd to the TnMar 14

2nd & 11Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Dresser Winn run for 11 yds to the TnMar 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Sam Franklin run for 1 yd to the TnMar 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.69

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 7 yds to the TnMar 31 for a 1ST down MISSOURI ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Von Young) to the TnMar 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Dresser Winn pass complete to Zoe Roberts for 13 yds to the MoSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Sam Franklin run for a loss of 2 yds to the MoSt 43

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Dresser Winn pass incomplete to DeVonte Tanksley

3rd & 12Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Winn,Dresser pass incomplete short left to Smoot,Elijah PENALTY MSU Offside (Ellis,Kevin) 5 yards from MSU43 to MSU38. NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UTM False Start (Qualls, Jr.,George) 5 yards from MSU38 to MSU43. NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Dresser Winn pass incomplete to Jordan Castleberry

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Dresser Winn punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.43

Jason Shelley sacked by Tyler Gore for a loss of 5 yards to the MoSt 1

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.04

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MoSt 2

3rd & 14Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.16

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jahod Booker for 21 yds to the MoSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.16

Jacardia Wright run for 14 yds to the MoSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 2 yds to the MoSt 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.94

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jahod Booker for 12 yds to the TnMar 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.68

Jason Shelley sacked by Chris Hunter for a loss of 8 yards to the MoSt 43

2nd & 18Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.62

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jahod Booker for 27 yds to the TnMar 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Celdon Manning run for no gain to the TnMar 30

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Jason Shelley run for 14 yds to the TnMar 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jason Shelley pass complete to Hunter Wood for 6 yds to the TnMar 10

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.39

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 10 yds for a TD, (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MSU False Start 5 yards from UTM03 to UTM03. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

PENALTY MSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Scott,Tyrone) 15 yards from MSU35 to MSU20. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

PENALTY MSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Scott,Tyrone) 15 yards from MSU35 to MSU20.. Jose Pizano kickoff for 62 yds , Sam Franklin return for 21 yds to the TnMar 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Dresser Winn pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 8 yds to the TnMar 47

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Zak Wallace run for 2 yds to the TnMar 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Winn,Dresser pass complete deep right to Smoot,Elijah for 11 yards to the MSU40, out of bounds at MSU40 PENALTY UTM Holding (Morgan,Lamar) 10 yards from UTM49 to UTM39. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Dresser Winn pass complete to Elijah Smoot for 9 yds to the TnMar 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.24

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 15 yds to the MoSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.43

Dresser Winn pass complete to Randy Fields Jr. for 17 yds to the MoSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dresser Winn run for 5 yds to the MoSt 15

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.54

Zak Wallace run for 15 yds for a TD, (Tyler Larco KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Tyler Larco kickoff for 45 yds , Siale Suliafu return for 34 yds to the MISSOURIST 31 TENN MARTIN Penalty, Defensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the TnMar 41

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.75

Jason Shelley sacked by John H. Ford II for a loss of 4 yards to the TnMar 45

2nd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.55

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 12 yds to the TnMar 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the TnMar 34

4th & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.04

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jahod Booker for 15 yds to the TnMar 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 19 yds for a TD, (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnMar 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Jose Pizano kickoff for 63 yds , Sam Franklin return for 19 yds to the TnMar 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Zak Wallace run for 4 yds to the TnMar 25

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.47

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 13 yds to the TnMar 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +2.34

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 42 yds to the MoSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.37

Dresser Winn pass complete to Jr. George Qualls for no gain to the MoSt 20

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Dresser Winn lpass complete to Tanksley,Devonte for 5 yards to the MSU15, TENN MARTIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (DJ Nelson) to the MoSt 25

3rd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Dresser Winn pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 8 yds to the MoSt 17

4th & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.48

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 15 yds to the MoSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+3 yds

Zak Wallace run for 3 yds to the MoSt 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Dresser Winn pass complete to DJ Nelson for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Larco KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the MoSt 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 5 yds to the MoSt 38

3rd & 1Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Wright,Jacardia rush left for 3 yards gain to the MSU41 (Hunter,Chris) PENALTY MSU Personal Foul (Fitzgerald,Sean) 15 yards from MSU38 to MSU23. NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.07

Jason Shelley pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 7 yds to the MoSt 30

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Oshae Baker at the TnMar 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Oshae Baker at the TnMar 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.03

Dresser Winn pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 39 yds to the MoSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Winn,Dresser pass complete deep left to Dowell,Colton for 17 yards to the MSU18 (Braswell,Montrae) PENALTY UTM Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from MSU35 to MSU40. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Dresser Winn pass incomplete to Colton Dowell

2nd & 15Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Franklin,Sam rush right for 15 yards gain to the MSU25 (Harris,Aaron) PENALTY UTM Holding (Russell,Jarod) 10 yards from MSU40 to MSU50. NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Dresser Winn pass incomplete

3rd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Dresser Winn pass incomplete to Sam Franklin

4th & 25Penalty+15 yds

Larco,Tyler punt 35 yards to the MSU15, out of bounds at MSU15 PENALTY MSU Roughing The Kicker 15 yards from MSU50 to MSU35. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Zak Wallace run for 1 yd to the MoSt 34

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Zak Wallace run for 2 yds to the MoSt 36

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Zak Wallace run for 4 yds to the MoSt 32

4th & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.41

Dresser Winn pass complete to DJ Nelson for 18 yds to the MoSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Zak Wallace run for 4 yds to the MoSt 10

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 2 yds to the MoSt 8

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Zak Wallace run for 3 yds to the MoSt 5

4th & 1Field Goal Good+23 yds

Tyler Larco 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Tyler Larco kickoff for 63 yds , Montrae Braswell return for 35 yds to the MoSt 37

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.99

Jason Shelley sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the MoSt 29

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Tyrone Scott for a 1ST down TENN MARTIN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Randy Fields Jr.) to the MoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Celdon Manning run for 6 yds to the MoSt 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.77

Jason Shelley pass complete to Celdon Manning for 7 yds to the TnMar 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.92

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 20 yds to the TnMar 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jacardia Wright run for 6 yds to the TnMar 22

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the TnMar 19

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.16

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the TnMar 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jason Shelley run for 1 yd to the TnMar 15

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jacardia Wright run for a loss of 3 yds to the TnMar 18

3rd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Celdon Manning run for 11 yds to the TnMar 7

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.90

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 7 yds for a TD, (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+47 yds

Jose Pizano kickoff for 62 yds , Sam Franklin return for 47 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Dresser Winn pass complete to DJ Nelson for 9 yds to the MoSt 41

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Dresser Winn pass incomplete to Elijah Smoot

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.78

Zak Wallace run for 3 yds to the MoSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Dresser Winn pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for a loss of 1 yd to the MoSt 39

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dresser Winn pass incomplete to DeVonte Tanksley

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Zak Wallace run for 2 yds to the MoSt 37

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.33

Dresser Winn pass incomplete to DeVonte Tanksley

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Celdon Manning run for 15 yds to the TnMar 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the TnMar 44

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yards to the UTM42. PENALTY UTM face mask (Evans,Carson) 15 yards to the MSU41.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the TnMar 23

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the TnMar 22

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.18

Jason Shelley pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 22 yds for a TD, (Jose Pizano KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Jose Pizano kickoff for 57 yds , Sam Franklin return for 18 yds to the TnMar 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Dresser Winn pass complete to Zak Wallace for 7 yds to the TnMar 33

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.43

Dresser Winn pass complete to Zak Wallace for 5 yds to the TnMar 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Winn,Dresser pass incomplete short middle to Tanksley,Devonte QB hurried by Ellis,Kevin PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (Chambers,Tahj) 15 yards from UTM38 to MSU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the MSU50 fumbled by UT Martin at MSU50 recovered by UTM Winn,Dresser at MSU50,.

2nd & 13Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.80

Zak Wallace run for 36 yds to the MoSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Dresser Winn pass complete to Elijah Smoot for 14 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the TnMar 48

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the TnMar 45

3rd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.07

Jacardia Wright run for 15 yds to the TnMar 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

run for a loss of 2 yards to the TnMar 32

Situational Analysis

UT Martin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
4th
67%
3 plays

Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
25 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
67%
3 plays