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← Back to GamesOct 13, 2022Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina Central by 20.5

Home Win Probability

North Carolina Central 89%

Market (consensus)

North Carolina Central -14.5

Edge: North Carolina Central -14.5 (6.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 13, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Morgan State
760720
North Carolina Central
142871059

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-735-1342-1349-1352-1359-1359-20
North Carolina CentralMorgan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCCMSNCCMSNCCMSNCCMSNCCMSNCCMSNCCMSMSNCCMSNCCMSNCCMSNCCMSNCCTD671ydPUNT39ydTD865ydTD228ydTD1664ydPUNT31ydTD451ydTD00ydTD353ydDOWNS1169ydPUNT3-14ydPUNT36ydTD590ydEND36ydTO640ydPUNT32ydPUNT419ydTD968ydTO523ydFG1045ydPUNT3-2ydTD1066ydTD970ydEND1-7yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Morgan State and North Carolina Central
StatisticMorgan StateNorth Carolina Central
Passing12-2518-27
Pass Yards139238
Rush Yards120292
Total Yards259530
Turnovers20
3rd Down2-1011-17
Penalties6-694-35
Possession21:0238:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Morgan State
passing
Carson Baker
11/21, 125 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Duce Taylor
4 CAR, 46 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Andre Crawley
6 REC, 87 YDS, 1 TD
North Carolina Central
passing
Davius Richard
17/24, 217 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Latrell Collier
16 CAR, 112 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
E.J. Hicks
5 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Beckett Leary kickoff for 55 yds , Chris Mosley return for 19 yds to the NCCtl 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Latrell Collier run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 31

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Davius Richard pass incomplete to Quentin McCall

3rd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.43

Davius Richard run for 12 yds to the NCCtl 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Latrell Collier run for 3 yds to the NCCtl 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.05

Davius Richard pass complete to Quentin McCall for 23 yds to the MorgS 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Davius Richard pass complete to E.J. Hicks for 31 yds for a TD, (Adrian Olivo KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Alfonzo Graham run for a loss of 4 yards to the MorgS 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Carson Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.47

Carson Baker pass complete to Andre Crawley for 13 yds to the MorgS 34

4th & 1Punt+7 yds

Jordan Amadi punt for 38 yds , E.J. Hicks returns for 7 yds to the NCCtl 35

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Davius Richard run for 12 yds to the NCCtl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Latrell Collier run for 13 yds to the MorgS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.15

Davius Richard sacked by Elijah Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the MorgS 46

2nd & 16Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.55

Davius Richard pass complete to Latrell Collier for 17 yds to the MorgS 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.25

J'mari Taylor run for 3 yds to the MorgS 26 for a 1ST down MORGAN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (13 Yards) to the MorgS 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

J'mari Taylor run for 6 yds to the MorgS 7

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Davius Richard run for no gain to the MorgS 7

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.73

Davius Richard pass complete to Devin Smith for 7 yds for a TD, (Adrian Olivo KICK)

3rd & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+71 yds

Juan Velarde kickoff for 64 yds , Keith Jenkins Jr. return for 71 yds to the NCCtl 28

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MORGAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCCtl 33

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carson Baker pass incomplete

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +4.02

Carson Baker pass complete to Andre Crawley for 33 yds for a TD, (Beckett Leary KICK)

2nd & 15Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Beckett Leary kickoff for 49 yds , Chris Mosley return for 20 yds to the NCCtl 36

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chris Mosley run for 5 yds to the NCCtl 41

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Chris Mosley run for 3 yds to the NCCtl 44

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.46

Davius Richard run for 4 yds to the NCCtl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Davius Richard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Davius Richard pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Davius Richard pass complete to E.J. Hicks for 17 yds to the NCCENTRAL 35 NC CENTRAL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MorgS 45

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.33

Walker Harris run for 4 yds to the MorgS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Latrell Collier run for 1 yd to the MorgS 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.02

Davius Richard pass complete to Latrell Collier for no gain to the MorgS 40

3rd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.37

Davius Richard pass complete to E.J. Hicks for 24 yds to the MorgS 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Latrell Collier run for 7 yds to the MorgS 9

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Latrell Collier run for 2 yds to the MorgS 7

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Davius Richard run for no gain to the MorgS 7

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.84

Latrell Collier run for 1 yd to the MorgS 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.80

Davius Richard pass complete to Chris Mosley for a loss of 5 yards to the MorgS 11

2nd & 11Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.86

Davius Richard run for 11 yds for a TD, (Adrian Olivo KICK)

3rd & 15Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Juan Velarde kickoff for 60 yds , Keith Jenkins Jr. return for 19 yds to the MorgS 24

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Alfonzo Graham run for 1 yd to the MorgS 25

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Carson Baker run for no gain to the MorgS 25

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Carson Baker pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jordan Amadi punt for 26 yds, downed at the NCCtl 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

J'mari Taylor run for 3 yds to the MorgS 48

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Davius Richard pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Davius Richard pass complete to E.J. Hicks for 6 yds to the MorgS 42

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +5.15

Davius Richard run for 42 yds for a TD, (Adrian Olivo KICK)

4th & 1Kickoff Return Touchdown+96 yds

Juan Velarde kickoff for 61 yds , Keith Jenkins Jr. return for 96 yds for a TD, (Beckett Leary PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

MORGAN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the MorgS 20

1st & 25Penalty-5 yds

MORGAN ST Penalty, Kickoff Out of Bounds (-5 Yards) to the MorgS 15

1st & 30Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Beckett Leary kickoff for 60 yds , Chris Mosley return for 22 yds to the NCCtl 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Davius Richard pass complete to E.J. Hicks for 5 yds to the MorgS 48

2nd & 5Rush+42 ydsPPA +1.94

Latrell Collier run for 42 yds to the MorgS 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Latrell Collier run for 6 yds for a TD, (Adrian Olivo KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+3 yds

Juan Velarde kickoff for 55 yds , Jordan Toles return for 3 yds to the MorgS 13

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Alfonzo Graham run for 2 yds to the MorgS 15

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Carson Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.36

Carson Baker pass complete to Daymond Hamler for 13 yds to the MorgS 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Alfonzo Graham run for 11 yds to the MorgS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Alfonzo Graham run for 6 yds to the MorgS 45

2nd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.31

Alfonzo Graham run for 1 yd to the NCCtl 46 for a 1ST down NC CENTRAL Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the NCCtl 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Carson Baker pass complete to Alfonzo Graham for 13 yds to the NCCtl 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Alfonzo Graham run for no gain to the NCCtl 26

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Carson Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Carson Baker pass complete to Andre Crawley for 8 yds to the NCCtl 18

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -3.66

Alfonzo Graham run for no gain to the NCCtl 18

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NC CENTRAL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCCtl 13

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.22

Latrell Collier run for no gain to the NCCtl 13

2nd & 15Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.15

Davius Richard sacked by Elijah Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the NCCtl 4

3rd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.01

Davius Richard pass incomplete

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Corey Peterson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Andre Crawley at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Carson Baker pass complete to Anthony James Jr. for 4 yds to the NCCtl 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Carson Baker pass complete to Jabriel Johnson for 2 yds to the NCCtl 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Carson Baker pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jordan Amadi punt for 34 yds, fair catch by E.J. Hicks at the NCCtl 10

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.52

Latrell Collier run for 20 yds to the NCCtl 30 for a 1ST down MORGAN ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the NCCtl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +1.85

Davius Richard pass complete to Andrew Smith for 46 yds to the MorgS 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Latrell Collier run for 4 yds to the MorgS 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Latrell Collier run for 2 yds to the MorgS 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Davius Richard pass complete to Devin Smith for 3 yds for a TD, (Adrian Olivo KICK)

3rd & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Juan Velarde kickoff for 47 yds , Keith Jenkins Jr. return for 5 yds to the MorgS 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Carson Baker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Carson Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Jabriel Johnson run for 6 yds to the MorgS 29

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Juan Velarde kickoff for 49 yds , Andre Crawley return for 13 yds to the MorgS 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Alfonzo Graham run for 4 yds to the MorgS 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.25

Carson Baker pass complete to Andre Crawley for 8 yds to the MorgS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Carson Baker run for 6 yds to the MorgS 47

2nd & 4Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.39

Alfonzo Graham run for 21 yds to the NCCtl 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Alfonzo Graham run for 7 yds to the NCCtl 25

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-6 ydsPPA -4.50

Alfonzo Graham run for a loss of 6 yards to the NCCtl 31 Alfonzo Graham fumbled, recovered by NCCtl Thomas Johnson

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.89

Davius Richard pass complete to Devin Smith for no gain to the NCCtl 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Davius Richard pass complete to Latrell Collier for 2 yds to the NCCtl 33

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Davius Richard pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Juan Velarde punt for 45 yds, downed at the MorgS 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.61

Carson Baker pass complete to Andre Crawley for 19 yds to the MorgS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.08

Carson Baker sacked by Quantez Mansfield for a loss of 6 yards to the MorgS 35

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Carson Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Carson Baker pass complete to Andre Crawley for 6 yds to the MorgS 41

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jordan Amadi punt for 27 yds, downed at the NCCtl 32

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Latrell Collier run for 7 yds to the NCCtl 39

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.39

Latrell Collier run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCtl 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.04

Davius Richard pass complete to Andrew Smith for 8 yds to the NCCtl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

J'mari Taylor run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

J'mari Taylor run for 14 yds to the MorgS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.45

Davius Richard pass complete to Latrell Collier for 21 yds to the MorgS 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Latrell Collier run for 3 yds to the MorgS 12

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Davius Richard pass incomplete

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.99

Davius Richard pass complete to J'mari Taylor for 12 yds for a TD, (Adrian Olivo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Carson Baker pass complete to Daymond Hamler for 6 yds to the MorgS 31

2nd & 4Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.13

Jabriel Johnson run for 22 yds to the NCCtl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Jabriel Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCtl 48

2nd & 11Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.66

Carson Baker sacked by Quantez Mansfield and Jessie Malit for a loss of 4 yards to the MorgS 48

3rd & 15Pass Interception Return+7 ydsPPA -0.45

Carson Baker pass intercepted Malcolm Reed return for 7 yds to the NCCtl 49

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Walker Harris sacked by Lawrence Richardson for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCtl 48

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Pullen run for 4 yds to the MorgS 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Walker Harris pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty+16 yds

MORGAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Maurice Crutchfield) to the MorgS 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Chris Mosley run for 2 yds to the MorgS 30

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.53

Chris Mosley run for a loss of 4 yards to the MorgS 34

3rd & 12Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.18

Walker Harris pass complete to Joaquin Davis for 21 yds to the MorgS 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Walker Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Josh Pullen run for 4 yds to the MorgS 9

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Josh Pullen run for 3 yds to the MorgS 6

4th & 3Field Goal Good+23 yds

Adrian Olivo 23 yd FG GOOD

4th & 3Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Juan Velarde kickoff for 57 yds , Keith Jenkins Jr. return for 24 yds to the MorgS 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Alfonzo Graham run for 1 yd to the MorgS 33

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.80

Alfonzo Graham run for a loss of 3 yards to the MorgS 30

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Duce Taylor pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jordan Amadi punt for 36 yds, fair catch by E.J. Hicks at the NCCtl 34

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Arthur Rodgers run for no gain to the NCCtl 34

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Arthur Rodgers run for 5 yds to the NCCtl 39

3rd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.58

Arthur Rodgers run for 13 yds to the MorgS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Arthur Rodgers run for 8 yds to the MorgS 40

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Arthur Rodgers run for 3 yds to the MorgS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Arthur Rodgers run for no gain to the MorgS 37

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Arthur Rodgers run for 8 yds to the MorgS 29

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.62

Arthur Rodgers run for 11 yds to the MorgS 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Chris Mosley run for 1 yd to the MorgS 17

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.86

Chris Mosley run for 17 yds for a TD, (Carlos Beltran-Rodriguez KICK)

2nd & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Carlos Beltran-Rodriguez kickoff for 46 yds , Andre Crawley return for 11 yds to the MorgS 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Duce Taylor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.37

Duce Taylor run for 16 yds to the MorgS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.37

Duce Taylor run for 24 yds to the NCCtl 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Jabriel Johnson run for 7 yds to the NCCtl 23

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Duce Taylor pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Duce Taylor run for 5 yds to the NCCtl 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.90

Duce Taylor pass complete to Joseph Owumi for 14 yds to the NCCtl 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jabriel Johnson run for 3 yds to the NCCtl 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Duce Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD, (Beckett Leary KICK)

2nd & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+40 yds

Beckett Leary kickoff for 63 yds , Twan Flip Jr. return for 40 yds to the NCCtl 42

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NC CENTRAL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NCCtl 37

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.02

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCCtl 35

Situational Analysis

Morgan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
17%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

North Carolina Central

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
45%
29 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
12 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
71%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays