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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2022Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Iowa by 11.8

Home Win Probability

Northern Iowa 75%

Market (consensus)

Northern Iowa -23.5

Edge: Indiana State +23.5 (11.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 1, 2022

Line Movement

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Indiana State
033814
Northern Iowa
737320

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-310-317-620-14
Northern IowaIndiana State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NIISNIISNIISNIISISNIISNIISNITD975ydFG1962ydTO1027ydMISS1229ydFG1158ydPUNT427ydTD992ydFG960ydMISS727ydPUNT513ydTD1479ydFG1257ydTO815ydUncategorized10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Indiana State and Northern Iowa
StatisticIndiana StateNorthern Iowa
Passing19-3014-24
Pass Yards205180
Rush Yards103141
Total Yards308321
Turnovers11
3rd Down7-165-9
Penalties4-355-30
Possession35:0224:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Indiana State
passing
Gavin Screws
18/28, 174 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Justin Dinka
14 CAR, 71 YDS
receiving
Dante Hendrix
7 REC, 90 YDS
Northern Iowa
passing
Theo Day
14/24, 180 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Dom Williams
11 CAR, 64 YDS
receiving
Alex Allen
4 REC, 61 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.35

Theo Day run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matthew Cook KICK)

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.56

Cade Chambers run for 1 yd to the IndSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Gavin Screws pass complete to Dante Hendrix for 6 yds to the IndSt 41

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Justin Dinka run for 3 yds to the IndSt 44

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Justin Dinka run for 1 yd to the IndSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Gavin Screws pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 12 yds to the NIowa 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Gavin Screws pass complete to Tyce Ferrell for 3 yds to the NIowa 40

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Justin Dinka run for 12 yds to the NIowa 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Gavin Screws run for 2 yds to the NIowa 26

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Gavin Screws run for 3 yds to the NIowa 23

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, off-side (Cordarrius Bailey) to the NIowa 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35
2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Cade Chambers run for 3 yds to the NIowa 15

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Justin Dinka run for 7 yds to the NIowa 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Justin Dinka run for 3 yds to the NIowa 5

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Cade Chambers run for 1 yd to the NIowa 4

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

INDIANA ST Penalty, illegal shift (Gavin Screws) to the NIowa 9

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Gavin Screws sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the NIowa 13

4th & 13Field Goal Good+30 yds

Ryan O'Grady 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dom Williams run for 3 yds to the NIowa 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Theo Day run for 3 yds to the NIowa 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.76

Theo Day pass complete to Alex Allen for 8 yds to the NIowa 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Dom Williams run for 6 yds to the NIowa 45

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Dom Williams run for 9 yds to the IndSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Dom Williams run for 5 yds to the IndSt 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.71

Theo Day pass complete to Quan Hampton for 14 yds to the IndSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.98

Theo Day sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the IndSt 36

2nd & 19Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.40

Theo Day sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the IndSt 48

3rd & 31Interception0 ydsPPA +0.12

Theo Day pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.71

Dakota Caton run for a loss of 4 yards to the NIowa 44

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Gavin Screws pass complete to Justin Dinka for 9 yds to the NIowa 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.27

Gavin Screws pass complete to Dakota Caton for 10 yds to the NIowa 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Evan Olaes run for 4 yds to the NIowa 21

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Dawson Basinger run for 4 yds to the NIowa 17

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, off-side (Korby Sander) to the NIowa 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Gavin Screws pass complete to Dakota Caton for 8 yds to the NIowa 4

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Justin Dinka run for 1 yd to the NIowa 3

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.26

Cade Chambers run for 1 yd to the NIowa 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85
2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Cade Chambers pass incomplete to Henry Woodcock, broken up by Bryce Flater

3rd & 2Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.09

Gavin Screws sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the NIowa 11

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+30 yds

Ryan O'Grady 30 yd FG MISSED

4th & 4Field Goal Good+39 yds

Matthew Cook 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Vance McShane run for 4 yds to the NIowa 24

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, false start (Jared Penning) to the NIowa 19

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Vance McShane run for 5 yds to the NIowa 24

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.38

Theo Day run for 7 yds to the NIowa 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Theo Day run for 4 yds to the NIowa 35

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.22

Theo Day pass complete to Sam Schnee for 9 yds to the NIowa 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.61

Theo Day pass complete to Alex Allen for 28 yds to the IndSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Theo Day pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 6 yds to the IndSt 22

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

pass incomplete to Terrance Kamara

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Theo Day pass incomplete to Sam Schnee, broken up by Maddix Blackwell

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.73

Gavin Screws pass complete to Dante Hendrix for 32 yds to the NIowa 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

pass incomplete to Dante Hendrix

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06
3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.51

Gavin Screws sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the NIowa 48

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NORTHERN IOWA Penalty, illegal block (Matthew Vanderslice) to the IndSt 18

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.88

Alex Allen 18 Yd pass from Theo Day (Matthew Cook Kick)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.36

Vance McShane run for 10 yds to the NIowa 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

INDIANA ST Penalty, personal foul (Kris Reid Jr.) to the NIowa 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Vance McShane run for 6 yds to the NIowa 39

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.43

Theo Day pass complete to Quan Hampton for 14 yds to the IndSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Vance McShane run for 2 yds to the IndSt 45

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.19

Vance McShane run for 9 yds to the IndSt 36 for a 1ST down

4th & 8Field Goal Good+32 yds

Stephen Ruiz 32 Yd Field Goal

4th & 18Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Stephen Ruiz 43 yd FG MISSED

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion+7 ydsPPA +1.04

to Alex Allen for 7 yds to the NIowa 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Theo Day run for 2 yds to the NIowa 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

pass incomplete to Desmond Hutson

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

pass incomplete to Quan Hampton

4th & 8Punt+6 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 47 yds , Dakota Caton returns for 6 yds to the IndSt 21

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Dawson Basinger 1 Yd Run (Gavin Screws Pass to Justin Dinka for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 yds

Gavin Screws pass complete to Justin Dinka

1st & 10Pass Reception0 yds

Gavin Screws pass complete to Justin Dinka

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59
2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

pass incomplete to Dante Hendrix

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Gavin Screws pass complete to Dakota Caton for 21 yds to the IndSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Justin Dinka run for 11 yds to the NIowa 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Justin Dinka run for 1 yd to the NIowa 46

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Dawson Basinger run for 2 yds to the NIowa 44

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Gavin Screws run for 5 yds to the NIowa 39

4th & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.12

Gavin Screws pass complete to Dakota Caton for 7 yds to the NIowa 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.29

Gavin Screws pass complete to Dante Hendrix for a loss of 4 yards Gavin Screws fumbled, recovered by IndSt Dante Hendrix

2nd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.31

Gavin Screws pass complete to Dakota Caton for 13 yds to the NIowa 23

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Dawson Basinger run for 3 yds to the NIowa 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.68

Dawson Basinger run for 19 yds to the NIowa 1 for a 1ST down

4th & 9Field Goal Good+35 yds

Matthew Cook 35 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Theo Day pass complete to Deion McShane for 13 yds to the NIowa 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Theo Day pass complete to Dom Williams for 8 yds to the NIowa 46

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Dom Williams run for 6 yds to the IndSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Dom Williams run for 5 yds to the IndSt 43

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

pass incomplete to Sam Schnee

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.71

Theo Day run for 8 yds to the IndSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Dom Williams run for 2 yds to the IndSt 33

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.74

Vance McShane run for 14 yds to the IndSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Dom Williams run for 3 yds to the IndSt 16

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Dom Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the IndSt 18

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

pass incomplete to Sam Schnee

4th & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.80

Gavin Screws pass complete to Harry Van Dyne for 17 yds to the IndSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Gavin Screws run for 2 yds to the IndSt 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Dakota Caton

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

INDIANA ST Penalty, false start (Jackson Byrne) to the IndSt 40

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

pass incomplete to Dakota Caton

4th & 13Interception0 ydsPPA +0.14

Gavin Screws pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Gavin Screws pass complete to Justin Dinka for 1 yd to the IndSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

pass incomplete to Dakota Caton

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

pass incomplete to Dakota Caton

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Theo Day run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIowa 30

Situational Analysis

Indiana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
33%
18 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
13%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Northern Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
18 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
63%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th