Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 5, 2022Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Illinois State by 2.6

Home Win Probability

Illinois State 59%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Illinois State -1.5

Edge: Illinois State -1.5 (1.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 5, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Youngstown State
760619
Illinois State
1070017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-710-1017-1017-1317-19
Illinois StateYoungstown State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20YSISYSISYSISYSISISYSISYSISYSISYSISYSISYSISYSISPUNT3-1ydTD142ydTD875ydFG943ydFG1154ydPUNT517ydPUNT414ydPUNT44ydTD1247ydFG619ydEND1-1ydPUNT35ydPUNT1064ydPUNT510ydPUNT421ydPUNT36ydPUNT619ydPUNT633ydPUNT34ydPUNT421ydPUNT933ydTD880ydTO19yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Youngstown State and Illinois State
StatisticYoungstown StateIllinois State
Passing10-227-14
Pass Yards143103
Rush Yards154184
Total Yards297287
Turnovers11
3rd Down1-124-15
Penalties5-405-39
Possession28:3831:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Youngstown State
passing
Mitch Davidson
10/19, 143 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jaleel McLaughlin
22 CAR, 95 YDS
receiving
Jaleel McLaughlin
3 REC, 46 YDS
Illinois State
passing
Tommy Rittenhouse
7/14, 103 YDS
rushing
Tommy Rittenhouse
10 CAR, 81 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Daniel Sobkowicz
6 REC, 96 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the YngSt 26

2nd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.66

Mitch Davidson sacked by Kenton Wilhoit for a loss of 8 yards to the YngSt 18

3rd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 6 yds to the YngSt 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 18 yds, downed at the YngSt 42

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Tommy Rittenhouse run for 42 yds for a TD, (Ian Wagner KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the YngSt 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 7 yds to the YngSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.52

Mitch Davidson run for 21 yds to the YngSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 5 yds to the IllSt 47

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the IllSt 44

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the IllSt 43

4th & 1Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.55

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Jaleel McLaughlin for 39 yds to the IllSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.84

Jaleel McLaughlin run for a loss of 2 yards to the IllSt 6

2nd & 6Penalty+4 yds

DAVIDSON, Mitch pass to the left incomplete intended for GILLISON, Trenton thrown to the ILS0; QB hurried by DINGA, Josh. PENALTY ILS Pass Interference on LAMONT, Deandre enforced 4 yards to the ILS2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Mitch Davidson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Colt McFadden KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Colt McFadden kickoff for 49 yds , Jalen Carr return for 15 yds to the IllSt 31

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Tommy Rittenhouse run for 8 yds to the IllSt 39

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Wenkers Wright run for 4 yds to the IllSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Wenkers Wright run for no gain to the IllSt 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.66

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 12 yds to the ILLINOISST 45 for a 1ST down YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the YngSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Wenkers Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the YngSt 31

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Wenkers Wright run for 5 yds to the YngSt 26

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+43 yds

Ian Wagner 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Latrell Fordham for 13 yds to the YngSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 4 yds to the YngSt 42

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 2 yds to the YngSt 44

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Mitch Davidson run for 1 yd to the YngSt 45

4th & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.35

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 17 yds to the IllSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jaleel McLaughlin run for no gain to the IllSt 38

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Mitch Davidson run for 13 yds to the IllSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 4 yds to the IllSt 21

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jaleel McLaughlin run for no gain to the IllSt 21

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+38 yds

Colt McFadden 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Wenkers Wright run for 1 yd to the IllSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+10 yds

(13:30) RITTENHOUSE, Tommy pass to the right incomplete intended for SOBKOWICZ, Daniel broken up by JAKUBEC, Troy at the ILS35, clock 13:24. PENALTY YSU Pass Interference on JAKUBEC, Troy enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the ILS36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.49

Rashad Lampkin run for a loss of 3 yards to the IllSt 33

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Rashad Lampkin run for 3 yds to the IllSt 36

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 6 yds to the IllSt 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Takerian punt for 37 yds , returns for no gain to the YngSt 21

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.72

Mitch Davidson run for 10 yds to the YngSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 1 yd to the YngSt 32

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Dra Rushton run for 3 yds to the YngSt 35

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 56 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.44

Wenkers Wright run for 11 yds to the IllSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Tommy Rittenhouse run for a loss of 2 yards to the IllSt 18

2nd & 12Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.27

Tommy Rittenhouse sacked by Jaelen Crider for a loss of 5 yards to the IllSt 13

3rd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.03

Wenkers Wright run for no gain to the IllSt 13

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Jack Takerian punt for 41 yds , returns for no gain to the IllSt 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.85

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 19 yds to the YngSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Nigel White run for 4 yds to the YngSt 24

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Nigel White run for 1 yd to the YngSt 23

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Carr run for no gain to the YngSt 23

4th & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.36

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Bryson Deming for 7 yds to the YngSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Wenkers Wright run for 3 yds to the YngSt 13

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tommy Rittenhouse run for 5 yds to the YngSt 8

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Wenkers Wright run for 4 yds to the YngSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Wenkers Wright run for 2 yds to the YngSt 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Wenkers Wright run for 1 yd to the YngSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Tommy Rittenhouse run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ian Wagner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 8 yds to the IllSt 42

2nd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.21

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 13 yds to the IllSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Jaleel McLaughlin for a loss of 2 yards to the IllSt 31

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Good+48 yds

Colt McFadden 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

(00:33) Kneel down by RITTENHOUSE, Tommy at ILS24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:21.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Ian Wagner kickoff for 47 yds , Latrell Fordham return for 21 yds to the YngSt 39

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.05

Mitch Davidson sacked by Kenton Wilhoit for a loss of 7 yards to the YngSt 32

2nd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the YngSt 35

3rd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Jaleel McLaughlin for 9 yds to the YngSt 44

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 55 yds, downed at the IllSt 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Wenkers Wright run for 1 yd to the IllSt 2

2nd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.26

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 25 yds to the IllSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Wenkers Wright run for 1 yd to the IllSt 28

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Wenkers Wright run for 5 yds to the IllSt 33

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.56

Wenkers Wright run for 5 yds to the IllSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Wenkers Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the IllSt 36

2nd & 12Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.24

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 25 yds to the YngSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Pha'leak Brown run for 7 yds to the YngSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Pha'leak Brown run for 2 yds to the YngSt 30

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Pha'leak Brown run for no gain to the YngSt 30

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS ST Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the YngSt 35

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Takerian punt for 30 yds, downed at the YngSt 5

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 8 yds to the YngSt 13

2nd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Brandon Serrano for 10 yds to the YngSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Mitch Davidson run for 2 yds to the YngSt 25

2nd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.73

Mitch Davidson sacked by Deandre Lamont for a loss of 10 yards to the YngSt 15

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt+9 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 55 yds , Brock Annexstad returns for 9 yds to the IllSt 39

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.56

Rashad Lampkin run for 19 yds to the YngSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Rashad Lampkin run for 2 yds to the YngSt 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Takerian punt for 31 yds , Randy Smith returns for no gain to the YngSt 9

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 6 yds to the YngSt 15

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaleel McLaughlin run for no gain to the YngSt 15

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 48 yds, downed at the IllSt 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Wenkers Wright run for 2 yds to the IllSt 39

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Wenkers Wright run for 6 yds to the IllSt 45

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Wenkers Wright run for 3 yds to the IllSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Tommy Rittenhouse run for 8 yds to the YngSt 44

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Wenkers Wright run for no gain to the YngSt 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jack Takerian punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Randy Smith at the YngSt 5

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 4 yds to the YngSt 8

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.53

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 11 yds to the YngSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.01

Mitch Davidson run for 14 yds to the YngSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 4 yds to the YngSt 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 29 yds, downed at the IllSt 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Nigel White run for 2 yds to the IllSt 36

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.94

Nigel White run for a loss of 2 yards to the IllSt 34

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Tommy Rittenhouse run for 4 yds to the IllSt 38

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Takerian punt for 58 yds , Randy Smith returns for no gain to the YngSt 4

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.93

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Brandon Serrano for 7 yds to the YngSt 11 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Dillon Gearhart) to the YngSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, False Start (Trenton Gillison) to the YngSt 21

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Mitch Davidson run for 2 yds to the YngSt 23

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Mitch Davidson run for 2 yds to the YngSt 25

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 42 yds, downed at the IllSt 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Wenkers Wright run for 2 yds to the IllSt 35

2nd & 8Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.68

Tommy Rittenhouse run for 22 yds to the YngSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Rashad Lampkin run for a loss of 2 yards to the YngSt 45

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Wenkers Wright run for no gain to the YngSt 45

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS ST Penalty, False Start (Zach Mueller) to the 50 yard line

3rd & 17Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.20

Wenkers Wright run for 16 yds to the YngSt 34

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.47

Wenkers Wright run for 1 yd to the YngSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Wenkers Wright run for no gain to the YngSt 33

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Tommy Rittenhouse run for a loss of 2 yards to the YngSt 35 ILLINOIS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Bryson Deming) declined

3rd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Wenkers Wright run for 1 yd to the YngSt 34

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jack Takerian punt for 34 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.62

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Max Tomczak for 31 yds to the IllSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.14

Mitch Davidson run for 13 yds to the IllSt 36 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Deandre Lamont) to the IllSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 9 yds to the IllSt 17

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 5 yds to the IllSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.83

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 12 yds for a TD, (J. McLaughlin Run For Two-point Conversion)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Colt McFadden kickoff for 52 yds , Jalen Carr return for no gain to the IllSt 13

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -0.30

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Jalen Carr for 9 yds Jalen Carr fumbled, recovered by YngSt Alex Howard

Situational Analysis

Youngstown State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
45%
22 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Illinois State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
24%
25 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
45%
11 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play