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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2022Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southern Illinois by 2

Home Win Probability

Illinois State 46%

Market (consensus)

Illinois State +7.5

Edge: Illinois State +7.5 (5.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 1, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern Illinois
0190019
Illinois State
007714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-130-197-1914-19
Illinois StateSouthern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISSIISSIISSIISSIISSIISSISIISSIISSIISSIISSIISSIPUNT837ydPUNT928ydPUNT36ydTD1051ydPUNT615ydTD378ydPUNT30ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT617ydTD985ydDOWNS621ydEND115ydPUNT827ydPUNT557ydPUNT617ydTD950ydPUNT521ydTD1383ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT35ydPUNT32ydDOWNS1558ydEND424yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Illinois and Illinois State
StatisticSouthern IllinoisIllinois State
Passing17-2226-47
Pass Yards164243
Rush Yards15880
Total Yards322323
Turnovers00
3rd Down5-137-17
Penalties5-495-40
Possession32:4227:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Illinois
passing
Nic Baker
15/19, 143 YDS
rushing
Romeir Elliott
15 CAR, 74 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
D'Ante' Cox
6 REC, 102 YDS
Illinois State
passing
Zack Annexstad
26/47, 243 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Zack Annexstad
11 CAR, 34 YDS
receiving
Brock Annexstad
3 REC, 74 YDS

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Thomas Burks kickoff for 59 yds , Jalen Carr return for 17 yds to the IllSt 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Pha'leak Brown run for 2 yds to the IllSt 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.20

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Brock Annexstad for 8 yds to the IllSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Pha'leak Brown run for 2 yds to the IllSt 35

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Pha'leak Brown run for 5 yds to the IllSt 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.48

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Bryson Deming for 15 yds to the SoIll 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jalen Carr run for 5 yds to the SoIll 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Takerian punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Romeir Elliott run for 3 yds to the SoIll 13

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 7 yds to the SoIll 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nic Baker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Nic Baker pass complete to Bryce Miller for 6 yds to the SoIll 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Nic Baker pass complete to Bryce Miller for 8 yds to the SoIll 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 10 yds to the SoIll 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Avante Cox run for 1 yd to the SoIll 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Nic Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.98

Nic Baker sacked by Zeke Vandenburgh for a loss of 7 yards to the SoIll 38

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Brock Annexstad at the IllSt 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Nigel White run for 2 yds to the IllSt 18

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Nigel White run for 2 yds to the IllSt 20

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Zack Annexstad run for 2 yds to the IllSt 22

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Takerian punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Romeir Elliott run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.88

Javon Williams Jr. pass complete to Bryce Miller for 16 yds to the IllSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Javon Williams Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Romeir Elliott run for 7 yds to the IllSt 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 9 yds to the IllSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

run for 3 yds to the IllSt 15

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 8 yds to the IllSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

run for 5 yds to the IllSt 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

run for 1 yd to the IllSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Nic Baker 1 Yd Run (Jake Baumgarte Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Jake Baumgarte kickoff for 59 yds , Jalen Carr return for 23 yds to the IllSt 29

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Rashad Lampkin run for 2 yds to the IllSt 34

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

(13:19) TAKERIAN, Jack punt 39 yards to the SIU27, fair catch by WILLIAMS JR., Javon, clock 13:12. PENALTY SIU Running Into the kicker on CALHOUN, Ma'Kel enforced 5 yards from the ISU34 to the ISU39. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Zack Annexstad pass complete to J'Kalon Carter for 7 yds to the IllSt 46

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Rashad Lampkin run for 1 yd to the IllSt 47

3rd & 2Punt0 yds

Jack Takerian punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Javon Williams Jr. at the SoIll 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Zack Annexstad run for 2 yds to the IllSt 32

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Justin Strong run for 9 yds to the SoIll 31

2nd & 1Pass Reception+67 ydsPPA +3.89

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 67 yds to the IllSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Javon Williams Jr. 2 Yd Run (Jake Baumgarte PAT failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Thomas Burks kickoff for 58 yds , Jalen Carr return for 25 yds to the IllSt 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Takerian punt for 18 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Romeir Elliott run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Romeir Elliott run for 4 yds to the IllSt 46

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.96

Nic Baker sacked by Kenton Wilhoit for a loss of 9 yards to the SoIll 45

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Brock Annexstad at the IllSt 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Rashad Lampkin run for 1 yd to the IllSt 21

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Zack Annexstad run for 3 yds to the IllSt 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.84

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tanner Taula for 12 yds to the IllSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Rashad Lampkin run for 1 yd to the IllSt 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Takerian punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Javon Williams Jr. at the SoIll 15

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

run for 7 yds to the SoIll 22

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Romeir Elliott run for 6 yds to the SoIll 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +3.07

D'Ante' Cox run for 43 yds to the IllSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Romeir Elliott run for 10 yds to the IllSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Nic Baker pass complete to D'Ante' Cox for 1 yd to the IllSt 18

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Nic Baker run for 8 yds to the IllSt 10 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Zeke Vandenburgh) to the IllSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

run for 2 yds to the IllSt 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

run for 1 yd to the IllSt 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Romeir Elliott 2 Yd Run (Jake Baumgarte PAT blocked)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tanner Taula for 17 yds to the IllSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Jalen Carr for 10 yds to the SoIll 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Pha'leak Brown for 6 yds to the SoIll 40

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS ST Penalty, Illegal Snap on BONES, Drew enforced (-5 Yards) to the SoIll 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.08

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Pha'leak Brown for no gain to the SoIll 45

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.68

Zack Annexstad sacked by Dewey Greene IV for a loss of 7 yards to the IllSt 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.78

Nic Baker pass complete to Bryce Miller for 15 yds to the IllSt 33 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Romeir Elliott run for no gain to the SoIll 35

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

run for 1 yd to the SoIll 36

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Romeir Elliott run for 8 yds to the SoIll 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.13

Nic Baker run for 2 yds to the SoIll 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.09

Romeir Elliott run for 16 yds to the IllSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.83

Nic Baker run for a loss of 5 yards to the IllSt 43

2nd & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Nic Baker pass complete to Avante Cox for 3 yds to the IllSt 40

3rd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Nic Baker pass complete to Justin Strong for 2 yds to the IllSt 38

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 26 yds, downed at the IllSt 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 5 yds to the IllSt 17

2nd & 5Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +3.94

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Brock Annexstad for 42 yds to the ILLINOISST 41 for a 1ST down SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, Roughing the Passer on HAGARTY, Richie enforced (Richie Hagarty) to the SoIll 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.15

Zack Annexstad sacked by David Miller and Dewey Greene IV for a loss of 5 yards to the SoIll 31

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete ILLINOIS ST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Daniel Sobkowicz) declined

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Jack Takerian punt for 30 yds, downed at the SoIll 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Nic Baker run for 1 yd to the SoIll 2

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Romeir Elliott run for 5 yds to the SoIll 7

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.43

Romeir Elliott run for 5 yds to the SoIll 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Justin Strong run for 4 yds to the SoIll 16

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Justin Strong run for 5 yds to the SoIll 21

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.52

Avante Cox run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoIll 18

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Jalen Carr for 6 yds to the SoIll 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Jalen Carr for 3 yds to the SoIll 41

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoIll 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.28

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tanner Taula for 15 yds to the SoIll 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Jalen Carr for 5 yds to the SoIll 26

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.44

Zack Annexstad run for 18 yds to the SoIll 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Rashad Lampkin run for 4 yds to the SoIll 4

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.49

Rashad Lampkin run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoIll 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +3.13

Rashad Lampkin 6 Yd pass from Zack Annexstad (Josh Jasek Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Josh Jasek kickoff for 61 yds , Javon Williams Jr. return for 16 yds to the SoIll 20

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Nic Baker pass complete to Romeir Elliott for a loss of 1 yard to the SoIll 19

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Romeir Elliott run for 6 yds to the SoIll 25

3rd & 5Penalty+10 yds

(00:15) BAKER, Nic pass up the middle incomplete intended for COX, Avante thrown to the SIU30, clock 00:12. PENALTY ISU Holding enforced 10 yards from the SIU25 to the SIU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

run for 5 yds to the SoIll 40

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Justin Strong run for 2 yds to the SoIll 42

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.93

Nic Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoIll 41

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Brock Annexstad at the IllSt 17

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Pha'leak Brown run for 6 yds to the IllSt 23

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.50

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Tanner Taula for 6 yds to the IllSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.15

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Pha'leak Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the IllSt 26

2nd & 13Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.34

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Pha'leak Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the IllSt 24

3rd & 15Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.25

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Brock Annexstad for 24 yds to the IllSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.19

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 22 yds to the SoIll 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Zack Annexstad pass complete to J'Kalon Carter for 2 yds to the SoIll 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Pha'leak Brown for 4 yds to the SoIll 10

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

(10:22) BROWN, Pha'leak rush to the left for a loss of 2 yards to the SIU12 (GREENE, Dewey), clock 10:16. PENALTY Before the snap, SIU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the SIU10 to the SIU5. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.28

Zack Annexstad run for 3 yds to the SoIll 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Daniel Sobkowicz 2 Yd pass from Zack Annexstad (Josh Jasek Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Josh Jasek kickoff for 25 yds , return for no gain to the SoIll 40 , return for no gain to the SoIll 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Nic Baker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Nic Baker pass complete to Justin Strong for 2 yds to the SoIll 42

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

(09:13) BAKER, Nic pass to the right complete for 4 yards to STRONG, Justin caught at the SIU44 and advanced to the SIU46; QB hurried by DABNEY, Sy (MCCOY, Lavoise-Deontae), clock 09:02. PENALTY SIU Holding on TOURE, Abdou enforced 10 yards from the SIU42 to the SIU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Nic Baker pass complete to Bryce Miller for 7 yds to the SoIll 39

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Brock Annexstad at the IllSt 23

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Rashad Lampkin run for a loss of 2 yards to the IllSt 21

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Zack Annexstad run for 7 yds to the IllSt 28

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Takerian punt for 36 yds, downed at the SoIll 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Justin Strong run for 3 yds to the SoIll 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.04

Nic Baker pass complete to Jacob Garrett for a loss of 1 yard to the SoIll 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Nic Baker pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Zack Annexstad pass complete to Pha'leak Brown for 9 yds to the IllSt 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Pha'leak Brown run for 2 yds to the IllSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Zack Annexstad pass complete to J'Kalon Carter for 17 yds to the IllSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Zack Annexstad pass complete to J'Kalon Carter for 5 yds to the SoIll 47

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Zack Annexstad run for 6 yds to the SoIll 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Pha'leak Brown run for 1 yd to the SoIll 40

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.17

Zack Annexstad run for 12 yds to the SoIll 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Nigel White run for 9 yds to the SoIll 19

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.46

Nigel White run for 4 yds to the SoIll 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Nigel White run for 2 yds to the SoIll 13

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Zack Annexstad pass incomplete

4th & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -3.46

Zack Annexstad sacked by Richie Hagarty for a loss of 9 yards to the SoIll 22

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ILLINOIS ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the SoIll 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Javon Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoIll 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.64

Javon Williams Jr. pass complete to Avante Cox for 5 yds to the SoIll 48 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Southern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
40%
25 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
58%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Illinois State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
29 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
31%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays