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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2022Week 9

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southeast Missouri State by 12

Home Win Probability

Southeast Missouri State 75%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Southeast Missouri State -6

Edge: Southeast Missouri State -6 (6.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 29, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Eastern Kentucky
0022628
Southeast Missouri State
1033723

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-013-713-1416-2216-2523-28
Southeast Missouri StateEastern Kentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMSEKSMSEKSMSEKSMSEKSMSEKEKSMSEKSMSEKSMSEKSMSEKSMSEKFG865ydMISS848ydTD1173ydDOWNS956ydDOWNS1189ydPUNT533ydPUNT512ydPUNT521ydFG545ydEND17ydTD865ydTO2-1ydTD334ydFG1172ydTD1175ydTO526ydFG1045ydTD975ydFG971ydTO844ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Eastern Kentucky and Southeast Missouri State
StatisticEastern KentuckySoutheast Missouri State
Passing35-4227-46
Pass Yards398375
Rush Yards61145
Total Yards459520
Turnovers03
3rd Down7-126-11
Penalties3-353-22
Possession33:3326:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Eastern Kentucky
passing
Parker McKinney
35/42, 398 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Braedon Sloan
12 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
Braedon Sloan
6 REC, 97 YDS
Southeast Missouri State
passing
Paxton DeLaurent
27/46, 375 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Geno Hess
19 CAR, 81 YDS
receiving
Ryan Flournoy
15 REC, 256 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.31

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 47 yds to the EKent 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Geno Hess run for 3 yds to the EKent 25

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Geno Hess run for 5 yds to the EKent 20

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.34

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 10 yds to the EKent 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 yds

DC Pippin 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the EKent 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.05

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 28 yds to the SEMo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the SEMo 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 8 yds to the SEMo 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 2 yds to the SEMo 32

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the SEMo 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Parker McKinney pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 3 yds to the SEMo 27

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Patrick Nations 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 4 yds to the SEMo 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.50

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Johnny King for 11 yds to the SEMo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Johnny King for 9 yds to the EKent 49

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Geno Hess run for 3 yds to the EKent 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Geno Hess run for 1 yd to the EKent 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.61

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 15 yds to the EKent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Geno Hess run for 4 yds to the EKent 26

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.91

Geno Hess run for a loss of 2 yards to the EKent 28

3rd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.09

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 24 yds to the EKent 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 4 yds for a TD, (DC Pippin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.56

Parker McKinney pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 21 yds to the SEMo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Parker McKinney pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 8 yds to the SEMo 30

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.23

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 4 yds to the SEMo 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Joshua Carter run for 3 yds to the SEMo 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.35

Parker McKinney pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 13 yds to the SEMo 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Joshua Carter run for 2 yds to the SEMo 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Parker McKinney pass complete to Joeseph Sewell for 5 yds to the SEMo 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.08

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 6 yds to the SEMo 9

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.35

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 10 yds to the SEMo 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.39

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 18 yds to the SEMo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Geno Hess run for 15 yds to the EKent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Geno Hess run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.28

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Johnny King for 23 yds to the EKent 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Johnny King for 10 yds to the EKent 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Pervis Frazier for a loss of 2 yards to the EKent 18

2nd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.44

Geno Hess run for 10 yds to the EKent 8

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Geno Hess run for 1 yd to the EKent 7

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.10

Geno Hess run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 5 yds to the EKent 13

2nd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.54

Parker McKinney pass complete to Joeseph Sewell for 22 yds to the EKent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Parker McKinney run for 2 yds to the EKent 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 4 yds to the EKent 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jeremy Edwards punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.06

Shamenski Rucker run for 16 yds to the SEMo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Shamenski Rucker run for 3 yds to the SEMo 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty-10 yds

SE MISSOURI Penalty, Illegal use of the hands on GIEG, Zack enforced (-10 Yards) to the SEMo 33

3rd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Geno Hess run for 3 yds to the SEMo 36

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Zach Haynes punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jaden Smith at the EKent 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 3 yds to the EKent 20

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.16

Parker McKinney pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 18 yds to the EKent 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the EKent 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Parker McKinney pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 2 yds to the EKent 43

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

MCKINNEY, Parker pass to the right incomplete intended for MITCHELL, Jyran broken up by LEWIS, Joedrick at the EKU49. PENALTY Before the snap, EKU False Start on SLOAN, Braedon enforced 5 yards from the EKU43 to the EKU38. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 10Punt+22 yds

Jeremy Edwards punt for 34 yds , Dalyn McDonald returns for 22 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.30

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 37 yds to the EKent 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Geno Hess run for 5 yds to the EKent 8

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 3 yds to the EKent 5

4th & 2Field Goal Good+28 yds

DC Pippin 28 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Adam Krause kickoff for 47 yds , return for no gain to the EKent 18

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Braedon Sloan run for 7 yds to the EKent 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 2 yds to the EKent 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 2 yds to the EKent 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.68

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 13 yds to the SEMo 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the SEMo 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 9 yds to the SEMo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.46

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 19 yds to the SEMo 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 5 yds to the SEMo 13

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.52

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 13 yds for a TD, (Patrick Nations KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Geno Hess run for 4 yds to the SEMo 39

2nd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.54

Paxton DeLaurent sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the SEMo 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.62

Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 26 yds to the SEMo 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Braedon Sloan run for no gain to the SEMo 8

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Parker McKinney run for 8 yds for a TD, (Patrick Nations KICK)

0th & 0Penalty0 yds

SE MISSOURI Penalty, Offsides (Jordan Cole) to the SEMo 2

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Patrick Nations kickoff for 65 yds , Dalyn McDonald return for 18 yds to the SEMo 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 9 yds to the SEMo 27

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Geno Hess run for 3 yds to the SEMo 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Johnny King for 12 yds to the SEMo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.17

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 12 yds to the EKent 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.82

Paxton DeLaurent run for 20 yds to the EKent 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.21

Geno Hess run for 16 yds to the EKent 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 yds

DC Pippin 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joshua Carter run for 5 yds to the EKent 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.12

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 23 yds to the SEMo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Joshua Carter run for 2 yds to the SEMo 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 4 yds to the SEMo 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.61

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 14 yds to the SEMo 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 9 yds to the SEMo 18

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.47

Joshua Carter run for 4 yds to the SEMo 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Parker McKinney pass complete to Joshua Carter for 4 yds to the SEMo 10

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.10

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jyran Mitchell for 7 yds to the SEMo 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Parker McKinney run for 3 yds for a TD, (Parker McKinney pass to Jayden Higgins for Two-Point Conversion)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Patrick Nations kickoff for 59 yds , Dalyn McDonald return for 21 yds to the SEMo 27

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Paxton DeLaurent run for 11 yds to the SEMo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Geno Hess run for 4 yds to the SEMo 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.51

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 11 yds to the EKent 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.34

Paxton DeLaurent pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Braedon Sloan run for 4 yds to the EKent 49

2nd & 6Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.06

Parker McKinney run for a loss of 5 yards to the EKent 44

3rd & 11Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.65

Parker McKinney pass complete to Keke McFadden for 25 yds to the SEMo 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Parker McKinney run for 4 yds to the SEMo 27

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 8 yds to the SEMo 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 8 yds to the SEMo 11

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the SEMo 10

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Braedon Sloan run for no gain to the SEMo 10

4th & 1Field Goal Good+26 yds

Patrick Nations 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

DELAURENT, Paxton pass up the middle complete for 28 yards to JOINER, Danny caught at the SEM47 and advanced to the EKU47 (FORD, Elijah). PENALTY SEM Holding on GIEG, Zack enforced 10 yards from the SEM25 to the SEM15 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.40

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 36 yds to the EKent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Paxton DeLaurent run for 6 yds to the EKent 43

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.44

Geno Hess run for 5 yds to the EKent 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Johnny King for 5 yds to the EKent 33

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Geno Hess run for 3 yds to the EKent 30

3rd & 2Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.72

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Johnny King for 17 yds to the EKent 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.84

Paxton DeLaurent run for 13 yds for a TD, (DC Pippin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 7 yds to the EKent 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the EKent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Parker McKinney pass complete to Jaden Smith for 6 yds to the EKent 43

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Parker McKinney run for no gain to the EKent 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.43

Parker McKinney pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 48 yds to the SEMo 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Parker McKinney pass incomplete

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the SEMo 7

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Parker McKinney run for 3 yds to the SEMo 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Patrick Nations 21 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Patrick Nations kickoff for 65 yds , Darrell Smith return for 27 yds to the SEMo 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.84

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 12 yds to the SEMo 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.93

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 12 yds to the EKent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Geno Hess for 13 yds to the EKent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Pervis Frazier for 7 yds to the EKent 29

2nd & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -4.39

Paxton DeLaurent pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

[NH] Kneel down by MCKINNEY, Parker at EKU19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Eastern Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
41%
29 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
46%
13 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
71%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Southeast Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
44%
34 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
54%
13 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play