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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2022Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Dartmouth by 20.7

Home Win Probability

Dartmouth 87%

Market (consensus)

Dartmouth -31

Edge: Valparaiso +31 (10.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 17, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Valparaiso
373013
Dartmouth
7147735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-1021-1021-1328-1335-13
DartmouthValparaiso

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VALDARVALDARVALDARVALDARVALDARVALDARVALDARVALDARVALPUNT734ydTD1388ydFG841ydTD575ydTD739ydTD470ydPUNT722ydPUNT740ydEND10ydPUNT426ydFG1670ydTD775ydDOWNS1165ydTO319ydDOWNS46ydTD1395ydEND37yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Valparaiso and Dartmouth
StatisticValparaisoDartmouth
Passing21-358-10
Pass Yards18985
Rush Yards74308
Total Yards263393
Turnovers01
3rd Down7-145-7
Penalties11-1137-63
Possession30:4529:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Valparaiso
passing
Michael Appel Jr.
21/35, 189 YDS
rushing
Aaron Dawson
13 CAR, 38 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Evan Jernegan
4 REC, 65 YDS
Dartmouth
passing
Nick Howard
8/10, 85 YDS
rushing
Zack Bair
16 CAR, 169 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jace Henry
1 REC, 42 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Ryan Bloch kickoff for 58 yds , Jeffery Vercher return for 22 yds to the Valpo 24

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Aaron Dawson run for 2 yds to the Valpo 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.63

Mikey Appel pass complete to Solomon Davis for 7 yds to the Valpo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Aaron Dawson run for 4 yds to the Dart 44

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Mikey Appel run for 2 yds to the Dart 42

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Mikey Appel pass incomplete to Dominic Grguric, broken up by Robert Crockett III

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Evan Matthes punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Mikey Appel pass complete to Evan Jernegan for 17 yds to the Dart 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Aaron Dawson run for 2 yds to the Valpo 26

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Ryan Bloch kickoff for 55 yds , Jeffery Vercher return for 17 yds to the DARTMOUTH 43 DARTMOUTH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Braden Mullen) to the Valpo 37

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+48 yds

Ryan Bloch kickoff for 47 yds , Jeffery Vercher return for 48 yds to the Dart 39

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Ryan Bloch kickoff for 40 yds , Ben Hines return for 12 yds to the Valpo 32

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Ryan Bloch kickoff for 62 yds , Jeffery Vercher return for 25 yds to the Valpo 28

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Ryan Bloch kickoff for 36 yds , Ben Hines return for 6 yds to the Valpo 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38
2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Nick Howard pass complete to Noah Roper for 5 yds to the Dart 17

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.81

Nick Howard pass complete to Paxton Scott for 5 yds to the Dart 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Noah Roper run for 6 yds to the Dart 28

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.63

Zack Bair run for 6 yds to the Dart 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Nick Howard run for 7 yds to the Dart 41

2nd & 3Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.58

Zack Bair run for 22 yds to the Valpo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Nick Howard pass complete to Paxton Scott for 4 yds to the Valpo 33

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.49

Nick Howard run for 12 yds to the Valpo 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Nick Howard run for 8 yds to the Valpo 13

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.23

Zack Bair run for 12 yds to the Valpo 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96
2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Nick Howard 1 Yd Run (Ryan Bloch Kick)

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Solomon Davis run for 7 yds to the Valpo 46

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.99

Aaron Dawson run for 12 yds to the Dart 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Aaron Dawson run for 2 yds to the Valpo 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.51

Mikey Appel pass complete to Aaron Dawson for 13 yds to the Dart 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Mikey Appel pass incomplete to Solomon Davis, broken up by Cam Maddox

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Mikey Appel pass incomplete to Evan Jernegan, broken up by Seth Verilus

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Mikey Appel pass complete to Dominic Grguric for 7 yds to the Dart 22

4th & 3Field Goal Good+39 yds

Brian Bartholomew 39 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Noah Roper run for 2 yds to the Dart 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Zack Bair run for 6 yds to the Dart 33

3rd & 2Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.94

Zack Bair run for 24 yds to the Valpo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +2.41

Nick Howard pass complete to Jace Henry for 42 yds to the Valpo 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Nick Howard 1 Yd Run (Ryan Bloch Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Mikey Appel pass complete to Matt Ross for 7 yds to the Dart 32

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Aaron Dawson run for 3 yds to the Dart 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.24

Mikey Appel pass incomplete to Solomon Davis, broken up by Leonard St. Gourdin for a 1ST down DARTMOUTH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Leonard St. Gourdin) to the Dart 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Mikey Appel pass complete to Dawson Pierson for 1 yd to the Dart 13

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Braden Contreras run for 3 yds to the Dart 10

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.43

Mason Kaplan run for 7 yds to the Dart 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Mason Kaplan run for 1 yd to the Dart 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Aaron Dawson 2 Yd Run (Brian Bartholomew Kick)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Nick Howard run for 8 yds to the Dart 38

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.31

Noah Roper run for 5 yds to the Valpo 16 for a 1ST down VALPARAISO Penalty, personal foul (Jadarius Horton) to the Valpo 8 for a 1ST down

2nd & 2Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.68

Zack Bair run for 11 yds to the Valpo 49 VALPARAISO Penalty, personal foul (Sam Hafner) to the Valpo 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.38

Nick Howard pass incomplete to Paxton Scott for a 1ST down VALPARAISO Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Austin Chilton) to the Valpo 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Noah Roper 8 Yd Run (Ryan Bloch Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -1.71

Mikey Appel pass complete to Matt Ross VALPARAISO Penalty, illegal block (Carter Woody) to the Valpo 22

1st & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Mikey Appel pass complete to Aaron Dawson for 7 yds to the Valpo 29

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Matt Ross run for 9 yds to the Valpo 38

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

DARTMOUTH Penalty, personal foul (Charles Looes) to the Dart 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VALPARAISO Penalty, false start (Carter Woody) to the Valpo 48

1st & 15Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.72

Mikey Appel sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the Valpo 44

2nd & 19Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Aaron Dawson run for 2 yds to the Valpo 46

3rd & 17Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Mikey Appel pass complete to Braden Contreras for 8 yds to the Dart 46

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Evan Matthes punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Noah Roper run for 8 yds to the Dart 18

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.00

Zack Bair run for 5 yds to the Dart 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.26

Nick Howard pass incomplete to Jonny Barrett for a 1ST down VALPARAISO Penalty, personal foul (Jadarius Horton) to the Dart 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Nick Howard pass complete to Jarmone Sutherland for 8 yds to the Dart 46

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.08

Nick Howard pass complete to Noah Roper for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

pass incomplete to Jonny Barrett

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Nick Howard run for 3 yds to the Valpo 47

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Nick Howard run for 2 yds to the Valpo 45

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

DARTMOUTH Penalty, delay of game (Davis Golick) to the 50 yard line

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Davis Golick punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Mikey Appel run for a loss of 1 yard to the Valpo 40

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.93

Q Jones run for 21 yds to the Valpo 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Nick Howard run for 1 yd to the Valpo 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nick Howard pass complete to Joe Kramer for 4 yds to the Valpo 44

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Davis Golick punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

pass incomplete to Dawson Pierson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mikey Appel pass complete to Braden Contreras for 4 yds to the Valpo 14

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.16

Mikey Appel pass complete to Barret Labus for 12 yds to the Valpo 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73
2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Aaron Dawson run for 1 yd to the Valpo 27

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.77

Mikey Appel pass complete to Evan Jernegan for 18 yds to the Valpo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Aaron Dawson run for 1 yd to the Valpo 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.85

Mikey Appel pass complete to Braden Contreras for 11 yds to the Dart 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Mikey Appel pass incomplete to Diego Del Castillo, broken up by Macklin Ayers

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Jahni Clarke run for 7 yds to the Dart 36

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.88

Jahni Clarke run for 3 yds to the Dart 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Mikey Appel pass complete to Jahni Clarke for 11 yds to the Dart 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jahni Clarke run for 2 yds to the Dart 20

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

pass incomplete to Braden Contreras

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

pass incomplete to Braden Contreras VALPARAISO Penalty, Offensive holding (Carter Woody) to the Dart 20

4th & 8Field Goal Good+37 yds

Brian Bartholomew 37 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Zack Bair run for 11 yds to the Dart 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Q Jones run for 4 yds to the Dart 40

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.21

Zack Bair run for 7 yds to the Dart 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Nick Howard pass incomplete to Jace Henry for a 1ST down VALPARAISO Penalty, Defensive holding (Ben Hines) to the Valpo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Nick Howard run for 3 yds to the Valpo 12

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.78

Zack Bair run for 7 yds to the Valpo 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Zack Bair 5 Yd Run (Ryan Bloch Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

pass incomplete to Solomon Davis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Mikey Appel pass complete to Barret Labus for 3 yds to the Valpo 31

3rd & 7Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.74

Mikey Appel pass complete to Evan Jernegan for 31 yds to the Dart 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Mikey Appel pass complete to Barret Labus for 4 yds to the Dart 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.60

Mikey Appel pass complete to Dominic Grguric for 17 yds to the Dart 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

DARTMOUTH Penalty, off-side (Luca Di Leo) to the Dart 12

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Dominic Grguric

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Aaron Dawson run for 7 yds to the Dart 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55
2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32
3rd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Mikey Appel pass complete to Aaron Dawson for a loss of 2 yards to the Dart 7

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.79

Mikey Appel pass incomplete to Evan Jernegan, broken up by Cam Maddox

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Zack Bair run for 4 yds to the Dart 11

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

DARTMOUTH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Thomas Hartnett) to the Dart 6

2nd & 11Penalty-3 yds

DARTMOUTH Penalty, false start (Michael Flores) to the Dart 3

2nd & 14Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.30

Noah Roper run for 23 yds to the Dart 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Uncategorized0 yds

fumbled, recovered by Valpo Max Franco

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Mikey Appel pass complete to Matt Ross for 7 yds to the Dart 4

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Mikey Appel pass incomplete to Braden Contreras, broken up by Robert Crockett III

3rd & 3Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Mikey Appel pass complete to Evan Jernegan for a loss of 1 yard to the Dart 5

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.99

Mikey Appel pass incomplete to Matt Ross, broken up by Quinten Arello

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.84

Zack Bair run for 20 yds to the Dart 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Zack Bair run for 6 yds to the Dart 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Nick Howard run for 3 yds to the Dart 34

3rd & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.26

Nick Howard run for 1 yd to the Dart 35 VALPARAISO Penalty, personal foul (Keyon Turner) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Zack Bair run for 3 yds to the Valpo 47

2nd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.49

Zack Bair run for 20 yds to the Valpo 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49
2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.53

Q Jones run for 9 yds to the Valpo 18

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.28

Q Jones run for 9 yds to the Valpo 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Q Jones run for 1 yd to the Valpo 8

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Nick Howard run for 7 yds to the Valpo 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

VALPARAISO Penalty, off-side. (Jeffrey Jackson) to the Valpo 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jace Henry run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Bloch KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Mikey Appel pass complete to Barret Labus for 7 yds to the Valpo 37

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

pass incomplete to Solomon Davis

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Valparaiso

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
35%
20 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
30%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Dartmouth

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
59%
27 plays
2nd
83%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
75%
8 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th