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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Pennsylvania by 3.4

Home Win Probability

Pennsylvania 57%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Pennsylvania -2.5

Edge: Pennsylvania -2.5 (0.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Harvard
71710337
Pennsylvania
707014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-77-147-1714-3114-3414-37
PennsylvaniaHarvard

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PENHARPENHARPENHARPENHARPENHARPENHARPENHARPENHARPENHARPENHARPENPUNT37ydDOWNS756ydPUNT39ydTD856ydTD875ydTD1275ydPUNT3-4ydFG1121ydPUNT35ydTD656ydEND1-2ydTD575ydTD765ydPUNT30ydTO646ydFG1172ydPUNT3-8ydFG930ydDOWNS938ydPUNT614ydEND565yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Harvard and Pennsylvania
StatisticHarvardPennsylvania
Passing29-3825-36
Pass Yards316277
Rush Yards1429
Total Yards458286
Turnovers01
3rd Down7-145-11
Penalties5-504-37
Possession36:5323:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Harvard
passing
Charlie Dean
29/38, 316 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Aidan Borguet
20 CAR, 117 YDS
receiving
Jack Bill
6 REC, 79 YDS
Pennsylvania
passing
Aidan Sayin
21/31, 212 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Trey Flowers
6 CAR, 16 YDS
receiving
Rory Starkey Jr.
8 REC, 117 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Joshua Casilli for 3 yds to the Penn 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Rory Starkey Jr. for 4 yds to the Penn 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Aidan Sayin pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+2 yds

Ben Krimm punt for 45 yds , Scott Woods II returns for 2 yds to the Harv 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Charlie Dean pass complete to Kym Wimberly for 5 yds to the Harv 30

2nd & 5Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.22

Aidan Borguet run for 21 yds to the Penn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.08

Charlie Dean pass complete to Jack Bill for 25 yds to the Penn 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Aidan Borguet run for 2 yds to the Penn 22

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Aidan Borguet run for 2 yds to the Penn 20

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Charlie Dean pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -3.19

Charlie Dean pass complete to Scott Woods II for 1 yd to the Penn 19

4th & 1Punt+1 yds

Ben Krimm punt for 29 yds , Scott Woods II returns for 1 yd to the Harv 44

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Trey Flowers run for 3 yds to the Penn 22

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Trey Flowers run for 3 yds to the Penn 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Trey Flowers for 3 yds to the Penn 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Charlie Dean pass complete to Jack Bill for 12 yds to the Penn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Charlie Dean pass complete to Tyler Neville for 1 yd to the Penn 43

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.37

Aidan Borguet run for 14 yds to the Penn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.31

Charlie Dean sacked by Jack Iuliano and Travis McFarling for a loss of 5 yards to the Penn 34

2nd & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Charlie Dean pass complete to Scott Woods II for 2 yds to the Penn 32

3rd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.06

Charlie Dean pass complete to Ledger Hatch for 14 yds to the Penn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Aidan Borguet run for no gain to the Penn 18

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.94

Charlie Dean pass complete to Kaedyn Odermann for 18 yds for a TD, (Jonah Lipel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Joshua Casilli for 3 yds to the Penn 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Aidan Sayin pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.66

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Jonathan Mulatu for 17 yds to the Penn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.66

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Jonathan Mulatu for 35 yds to the Harv 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jonathan Mulatu run for no gain to the Harv 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.30

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Joshua Casilli for 16 yds to the Harv 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Aidan Sayin run for 2 yds to the Harv 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Julien Stokes run for 2 yds for a TD, (Graham Gotlieb KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Graham Gotlieb kickoff for 61 yds , Jack Bill return for 21 yds to the Harv 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Charlie Dean pass complete to Tyler Neville for 9 yds to the Harv 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Charlie Dean pass complete to Scott Woods II for 2 yds to the Harv 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Aidan Borguet run for 2 yds to the Harv 38

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Aidan Borguet run for 7 yds to the Harv 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Sone Ntoh run for 2 yds to the Harv 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Charlie Dean pass complete to Jack Bill for 1 yd to the Harv 48

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Sone Ntoh run for 6 yds to the Penn 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.66

Charlie Dean pass complete to Tyler Neville for 10 yds to the Penn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Charlie Dean pass complete to Cam Henry for 5 yds to the Penn 31

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Sone Ntoh run for 2 yds to the Penn 29

3rd & 3Penalty+2 yds

DEAN, Charlie pass up the middle incomplete intended for HENRY, Cam thrown to the PNN26. PENALTY PNN Pass Interference on MELVIN, Jonathan enforced at the spot of the foul for 2 yards to the PNN27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.74

Aidan Borguet run for a loss of 2 yards to the Penn 29

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.49

Charlie Dean pass complete to Joe Young for 29 yds for a TD, (Jonah Lipel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Trey Flowers for no gain to the Penn 25

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

run for a loss of 2 yards to the Penn 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.14

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Trey Flowers for a loss of 2 yards to the Penn 21

4th & 14Punt+14 yds

Ben Krimm punt for 39 yds , Scott Woods II returns for 14 yds to the Penn 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Charlie Dean pass complete to Jack Bill for 4 yds to the Penn 42

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Aidan Borguet run for 1 yd to the Penn 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.52

Charlie Dean pass complete to Haven Montefalco for 6 yds to the Penn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.88

Charlie Dean sacked by Jake Heimlicher for a loss of 6 yards to the Penn 41

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Charlie Dean pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Charlie Dean pass complete to Kaedyn Odermann for 10 yds to the Penn 31

4th & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.14

Charlie Dean pass complete to Scott Woods II for 12 yds to the Penn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.84

Cam Henry run for a loss of 5 yards to the Penn 24

2nd & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.89

Aidan Borguet run for a loss of 1 yard to the Penn 25

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Charlie Dean pass incomplete

4th & 16Field Goal Good+42 yds

Jonah Lipel 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aidan Sayin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Trey Flowers for 5 yds to the Penn 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Aidan Sayin pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+13 yds

Ben Krimm punt for 39 yds , Scott Woods II returns for 13 yds to the Harv 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Charlie Dean pass complete to Scott Woods II for 10 yds to the Penn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Charlie Dean pass complete to Haven Montefalco for 6 yds to the Penn 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Charlie Dean pass complete to Scott Woods II for 10 yds to the Penn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.27

Charlie Dean pass complete to Jack Bill for 16 yds to the Penn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Charlie Dean pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.86

Charlie Dean pass complete to Tyler Neville for 14 yds for a TD, (Jonah Lipel KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Cali Canaval kickoff for 64 yds , Julien Stokes return for 14 yds to the Penn 15

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Trey Flowers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Penn 13

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Graham Gotlieb kickoff for 57 yds , Jack Bill return for 17 yds to the Harv 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Charlie Dean pass complete to Tyler Neville for 26 yds to the Penn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Charlie Dean pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.32

Aidan Borguet run for 36 yds to the Penn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Aidan Borguet run for 7 yds to the Penn 6

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.24

Charlie Dean pass complete to Haven Montefalco for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonah Lipel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Rory Starkey Jr. for 18 yds to the Harv 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Aidan Sayin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Trey Flowers run for 5 yds to the Harv 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.08

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Rory Starkey Jr. for 32 yds to the Harv 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Malone Howley for 5 yds to the Harv 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Aidan Sayin pass incomplete

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Rory Starkey Jr. for 5 yds for a TD, (Graham Gotlieb KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Graham Gotlieb kickoff for 64 yds , Jack Bill return for 21 yds to the Harv 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Sone Ntoh run for 4 yds to the Harv 26

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Sone Ntoh run for 1 yd to the Harv 27

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

HARVARD Penalty, False Start (Jacob Rizy) to the Harv 22

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Charlie Dean pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 24 yds, downed at the Harv 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.96

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Rory Starkey Jr. for 29 yds to the Harv 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Isaac Shabay run for 5 yds to the Harv 12

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Isaac Shabay run for 2 yds to the Harv 10

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.52

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Rory Starkey Jr. for 3 yds to the Harv 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

run for 5 yds to the Harv 2

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -4.93

Trey Flowers run for 2 yds Trey Flowers fumbled, recovered by Harv

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Aidan Borguet run for 2 yds to the Harv 22

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

DEAN, Charlie pass to the right complete for 14 yards to WOODS II, Scott caught at the HRV36 and advanced to the HRV36 (KEY, Jaden). PENALTY HRV Holding on RIZY, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the HRV22 to the HRV12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.87

Charlie Dean pass complete to Jack Bill for 21 yds to the Harv 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Aidan Borguet run for no gain to the Harv 33

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Charlie Dean pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.83

Charlie Dean pass complete to Joe Young for 14 yds to the Harv 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+20 yds

PENN Penalty, Personal Foul (20 Yards) to the Penn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.37

Charlie Dean pass complete to Joe Young for 21 yds to the Penn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sone Ntoh run for 4 yds to the Penn 8

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Charlie Dean pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Charlie Dean pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+25 yds

Jonah Lipel 25 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Cali Canaval kickoff for 35 yds , return for no gain to the Penn 30

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Sterling Stokes for a loss of 2 yards to the Penn 28

2nd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Bryce Myers for 2 yds to the Penn 30

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Bryce Myers for 7 yds to the Penn 37

4th & 3Penalty-15 yds

SAYIN, Aidan pass to the left complete for 5 yards to CASILLI, Joshua caught at the PNN39 and advanced to the PNN42 (BROWN, Jake). PENALTY PNN Pass Interference on HOWLEY, Malone enforced 15 yards to the PNN22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 18Punt+25 yds

Ben Krimm punt for 38 yds , Scott Woods II returns for 25 yds to the Penn 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Aidan Borguet run for 3 yds to the Penn 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Charlie Dean pass complete to Kaedyn Odermann for 6 yds to the Penn 26

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Charles DePrima run for 4 yds to the Penn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Aidan Borguet run for 5 yds to the Penn 17

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Aidan Borguet run for 5 yds to the Penn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BORGUET, Aidan rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the PNN10 (MORRIS, Micah). PENALTY Before the snap, HRV Illegal Motion on BILL, Jack enforced 5 yards from the PNN12 to the PNN17. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Sone Ntoh run for 4 yds to the Penn 13

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Aidan Borguet run for 6 yds to the Penn 7

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Aidan Borguet run for 2 yds to the Penn 5

4th & 3Field Goal Good+23 yds

Jonah Lipel 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

HARVARD Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Solomon Egbe) to the Penn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Aidan Sayin sacked by David Madzivanyika for a loss of 3 yards to the Penn 37

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

PENN Penalty, Delay Of Game (Aidan Sayin) to the Penn 32

3rd & 3Penalty+15 yds

SAYIN, Aidan pass to the left incomplete intended for STARKEY, Rory thrown to the HRV23. PENALTY HRV Pass Interference on SPITZ, David enforced 15 yards to the HRV38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Aidan Sayin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.20

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Rory Starkey Jr. for 14 yds to the Harv 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Aidan Sayin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Aidan Sayin pass incomplete

2nd & 18Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.60

Aidan Sayin pass complete to Sterling Stokes for 15 yds to the Penn 47

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.76

Aidan Sayin sacked by Thor Griffith for a loss of 10 yards to the Harv 34

4th & 20Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.55

Aidan Sayin sacked by Truman Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the Harv 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Sone Ntoh run for 3 yds to the Harv 40

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Sone Ntoh run for 1 yd to the Harv 41

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.23

Sone Ntoh run for 7 yds to the Harv 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Israel Benjamin run for 3 yds to the Penn 49

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Israel Benjamin run for no gain to the Penn 49

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Luke Emge run for no gain to the Penn 49

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 44 yds, downed at the Penn 5

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Liam O'Brien pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.31

Liam O'Brien pass complete to Shane Sweitzer for 9 yds to the Penn 14

3rd & 1Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.20

Liam O'Brien pass complete to Malone Howley for 38 yds to the Harv 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Liam O'Brien pass complete to Davis Ellis for 6 yds to the Harv 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Liam O'Brien pass complete to Rory Starkey Jr. for 12 yds to the Harv 30 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Harvard

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
64%
11 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Pennsylvania

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
35%
20 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play