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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2022Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Toledo by 3.4

Home Win Probability

Eastern Michigan 38%

Market (consensus)

Eastern Michigan +4

Edge: Eastern Michigan +4 (0.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 29, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ToledoToledo
01071027
Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan
7107024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-310-310-1017-1724-1724-2024-27
Eastern MichiganToledo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20EMTOLEMTOLEMTOLEMEMTOLEMTOLTOLEMTOLEMTOLEMTOLEMTOLEMTOLEMPUNT69ydPUNT519ydTD1161ydFG856ydFG1154ydTD575ydPUNT53ydPUNT3-16ydTO13ydTD35ydEND11ydTD775ydPUNT3-1ydDOWNS716ydTD1065ydFG1152ydPUNT720ydPUNT38ydPUNT36ydTD1274ydDOWNS48ydPUNT32ydTO413yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Toledo and Eastern Michigan
StatisticToledoEastern Michigan
Passing15-2713-24
Pass Yards23899
Rush Yards136118
Total Yards374217
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-127-16
Penalties10-1058-72
Possession23:5336:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Toledo
passing
Tucker Gleason
15/27, 238 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jacquez Stuart
11 CAR, 60 YDS
receiving
Devin Maddox
3 REC, 80 YDS
defense
Eastern Michigan
passing
Taylor Powell
9/17, 61 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Samson Evans
24 CAR, 88 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Tanner Knue
3 REC, 39 YDS
defense
Jose Ramirez
2 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Thomas Cluckey kickoff for 56 yds , Jaylon Jackson return for 34 yds to the EMich 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Taylor Powell pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 5 yds to the EMich 48

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the Toled 48

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.04

Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the Toled 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Hassan Beydoun run for 2 yds to the Toled 43

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the Toled 41

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.13

Taylor Powell sacked by Dyontae Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the Toled 48

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Mitchell Tomasek punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 7 , Adam Beale returns for no gain to the Toled 7

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Jacquez Stuart run for 9 yds to the Toled 16

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.11

Jacquez Stuart run for 10 yds to the Toled 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Jerjuan Newton

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Jerjuan Newton

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Mikel Barkley

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jonathon Batzke punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 39

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.11

Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for no gain to the EMich 39

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Samson Evans run for no gain to the EMich 39

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.39

Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 19 yds to the Toled 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Samson Evans run for 9 yds to the Toled 33

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Taylor Powell run for 2 yds to the Toled 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY EMU False Start (Rewolinski,Mickey) 5 yards from TOL31 to TOL36. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Darius Boone Jr. run for 7 yds to the Toled 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.53

Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 9 yds to the Toled 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Taylor Powell run for no gain to the Toled 20

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Samson Evans run for 8 yds to the Toled 12

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Jaylon Jackson run for 9 yds to the Toled 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Samson Evans run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jacquez Stuart run for 7 yds to the Toled 42

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Gleason,Tucker pass complete deep right to Zsiros,Thomas for 13 yards to the EMU45 (Sparacio,Joe) PENALTY TOL Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Sciury,Vinny) 5 yards from TOL42 to TOL37. NO PLAY.

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (Brandon Benson) to the EMich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.06

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Devin Maddox for 24 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.17

Jacquez Stuart run for 13 yds to the EMich 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jacquez Stuart run for 3 yds to the EMich 9

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jacquez Stuart for 2 yds to the EMich 7

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Tucker Gleason run for 2 yds to the EMich 9

4th & 7Field Goal Good+27 yds

Luke Pawlak 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Luke Pawlak kickoff for 59 yds , Jaylon Jackson return for 24 yds to the EMich 30

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Powell,Taylor pass intercepted by Mitchell,Quinyon at EMU47, End Of Play PENALTY TOL Roughing The Passer (Johnson,Desjuan) 15 yards from EMU30 to EMU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the EMich 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Taylor Powell pass complete to Tanner Knue for 5 yds to the Toled 48

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the Toled 46

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.23

Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the Toled 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

2nd & 18Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 2 yds to the Toled 48

3rd & 16Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Powell,Taylor pass complete short right to Jackson,Jaylon for 1 yard to the TOL47, End Of Play PENALTY TOL Holding (Ford,Zachary) 10 yards from TOL48 to TOL38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.46

Austin Smith run for 17 yds to the Toled 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the Toled 16

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Hassan Beydoun run for no gain to the Toled 16

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Austin Smith pass incomplete to Gunnar Oakes

4th & 5Field Goal Good+34 yds

Jesus Gomez 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (David Carter Jr.) to the Toled 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.16

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Mikel Barkley for 19 yds to the EMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.29

Peny Boone run for 12 yds to the EMich 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Tucker Gleason run for 8 yds to the EMich 14

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.18

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Mikel Barkley for 14 yds for a TD, (Luke Pawlak KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taylor Powell pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for no gain to the EMich 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the EMich 26

3rd & 9Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Powell,Taylor pass incomplete short right to Beydoun,Hassan PENALTY TOL Holding (Delancy III,Ronald) 10 yards from EMU26 to EMU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Taylor Powell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Taylor Powell run for 2 yds to the EMich 38

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.75

Taylor Powell sacked by Desjuan Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the EMich 28

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Mitchell Tomasek punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Hassan Beydoun run for 1 yd to the Toled 36

2nd & 11Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Austin rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TOL30 (Bauer,Nate) PENALTY EMU Holding (Rewolinski,Mickey) 10 yards from TOL36 to TOL46. NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Austin Smith run for 5 yds to the EMich 49

3rd & 26Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Samson Evans

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Mitchell Tomasek punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Jacquez Stuart run for 3 yds to the Toled 5 Jacquez Stuart fumbled, recovered by EMich Jose Ramirez

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the Toled 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the Toled 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Samson Evans run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY TOL Leaping 15 yards from EMU35 to EMU50. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Peny Boone run for 1 yd to the Toled 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Mikel Barkley for 11 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Peny Boone run for 4 yds to the Toled 40

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Peny Boone run for 4 yds to the Toled 44

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.28

Peny Boone run for 2 yds to the Toled 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Micah Kelly run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Gleason,Tucker pass incomplete short right to Newton,Jerjuan PENALTY EMU Pass Interference (Shine,Kempton) 15 yards from EMU50 to EMU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 35 yds for a TD, (Luke Pawlak KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Luke Pawlak kickoff for 64 yds , Jaylon Jackson return for 13 yds to the EMich 14

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Samson Evans run for no gain to the EMich 14

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Austin Smith pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 1 yd to the EMich 13

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner Knue

4th & 11Punt+4 yds

Mitchell Tomasek punt for 42 yds , Adam Beale returns for 4 yds to the Toled 49

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Peny Boone run for 9 yds to the EMich 42

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Thomas Zsiros

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Tucker Gleason run for 2 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Peny Boone run for 3 yds to the EMich 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Peny Boone for 2 yds to the EMich 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Jerjuan Newton

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.00

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Jerjuan Newton

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the EMich 39

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Austin Smith run for no gain to the EMich 39

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.44

Austin Smith run for 10 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the Toled 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.62

Dylan Drummond pass complete to Tanner Knue for 23 yds to the Toled 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Jaylon Jackson run for 7 yds to the Toled 18

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Toled 16

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.12

Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the Toled 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the Toled 11

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.71

Samson Evans run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Brady Pohl kickoff for 64 yds , Nasir Bowers return for 21 yds to the Toled 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Mikel Barkley

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Peny Boone run for 4 yds to the Toled 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.37

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Peny Boone for 16 yds to the Toled 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.59

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jamal Turner for 23 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Peny Boone run for 2 yds to the EMich 37

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Devin Maddox

3rd & 12Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.44

Tucker Gleason run for 21 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jacquez Stuart run for 4 yds to the EMich 12

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Peny Boone run for 2 yds to the EMich 10

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Gleason,Tucker pass complete short right to Barkley,Mikel for 3 yards to the EMU07, out of bounds at EMU07 PENALTY TOL Holding (Rogers,Devan) 10 yards from EMU10 to EMU20. NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -2.08

Tucker Gleason sacked by Jose Ramirez for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 26 Tucker Gleason fumbled, recovered by Toled Mikel Barkley , return for 0 yards

4th & 20Field Goal Good+44 yds

Luke Pawlak 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Luke Pawlak kickoff for 60 yds , Jaylon Jackson return for 23 yds to the EMich 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EMich 31

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Samson Evans run for 3 yds to the EMich 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.19

Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 11 yds to the EMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Samson Evans run for 11 yds to the Toled 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the Toled 45

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Austin Smith run for 2 yds to the Toled 47

3rd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Austin Smith pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 5 yds to the Toled 42

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY EMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from TOL42 to TOL47. NO PLAY.

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY EMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from TOL47 to EMU48. NO PLAY.

4th & 18Punt+28 yds

punt for 35 yds , Adam Beale returns for 28 yds to the Toled 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Mikel Barkley for 6 yds to the Toled 32

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jacquez Stuart run for 2 yds to the Toled 34

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Devin Maddox

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jonathon Batzke punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dylan Drummond at the EMich 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the EMich 34

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMich 35

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner Knue

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mitchell Tomasek punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 26

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Peny Boone run for 8 yds to the Toled 34

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.03

Peny Boone run for 3 yds to the Toled 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jacquez Stuart run for 3 yds to the Toled 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Devin Maddox for 20 yds to the EASTMICH 40 for a 1ST down TOLEDO Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jacquez Stuart) to the Toled 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Mikel Barkley

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Tucker Gleason run for 6 yds to the EMich 49

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TOL False Start (Major,Kendall) 5 yards from EMU49 to TOL46. NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.05

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Mikel Barkley for 15 yds to the EMich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Jerjuan Newton

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Peny Boone run for no gain to the EMich 39

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Peny Boone

4th & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +4.49

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Devin Maddox for 36 yds to the EMich 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Penalty+2 yds

PENALTY EMU Delay Of Game (Sparacio,Joe) 2 yards from EMU03 to EMU01. NO PLAY.

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Lenny Kuhl for 1 yd for a TD, (Luke Pawlak KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Dylan Drummond

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Darius Lassiter

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Taylor Powell pass complete to Samson Evans for 8 yds to the EMich 33

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Darius Lassiter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Peny Boone run for 3 yds to the EMich 36

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tucker Gleason run for 4 yds to the EMich 32

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Peny Boone run for 1 yd to the EMich 31

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Luke Pawlak punt for 19 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Jaylon Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.04

Taylor Powell pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 13 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taylor Powell pass incomplete to Samson Evans

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.22

Taylor Powell pass intercepted

Situational Analysis

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
26 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Eastern Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
30%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
43%
14 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays