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← Back to GamesNov 25, 2022Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cincinnati by 9.8

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 70%

Market (consensus)

Cincinnati +1

Edge: Cincinnati +1 (10.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 25, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TulaneTulane
3107727
CincinnatiCincinnati
0107724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-33-1010-1310-2017-2024-2024-27
CincinnatiTulane

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CINTULCINTULCINTULCINTULCINTULCINTULCINTULCINTULCINTULCINTULCINTULPUNT39ydPUNT838ydPUNT35ydFG837ydFG1365ydPUNT30ydPUNT417ydTD1571ydTD775ydFG745ydEND16ydPUNT628ydTO518ydTD640ydTD1475ydDOWNS831ydTD1363ydTD475ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT531ydDOWNS4-5ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tulane and Cincinnati
StatisticTulaneCincinnati
Passing13-2210-26
Pass Yards162102
Rush Yards221235
Total Yards383337
Turnovers01
3rd Down4-135-15
Penalties2-104-29
Possession33:5926:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tulane
passing
Michael Pratt
13/22, 162 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tyjae Spears
35 CAR, 181 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Shae Wyatt
3 REC, 62 YDS
defense
Cincinnati
passing
Evan Prater
10/26, 102 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Ryan Montgomery
17 CAR, 95 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Will Pauling
2 REC, 41 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Charles McClelland run for 1 yd to the Cincy 26

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Evan Prater run for 8 yds to the Cincy 34

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Lorenz Metz) to the Cincy 29

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Evan Prater run for 5 yds to the Cincy 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 49 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for no gain to the Tulan 17

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the Tulan 23

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

TULANE Penalty, False Start (Rashad Green) to the Tulan 18

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyjae Spears for 6 yds to the Tulan 24

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

TULANE Penalty, False Start (Joey Claybrook) to the Tulan 19

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 23

4th & 4Penalty+15 yds

Glover, Casey punt 61 yards to the CINCINNATI16, downed, PENALTY CINCINNATI roughing the kicker (Smith, Armorion) 15 yards to the TULANE38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULANE.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Tyjae Spears run for 8 yds to the Tulan 46

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.16

Tyjae Spears run for 5 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Shae Wyatt

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 4 yds to the Cincy 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece Watts

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Casey Glover punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Evan Prater pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 5 yds to the Cincy 17

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Evan Prater pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Evan Prater pass incomplete to Tre Tucker

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Michael Pratt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.05

Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 12 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Tyjae Spears run for 7 yds to the Cincy 35

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Tyjae Spears run for 10 yds to the Cincy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Cincy 22

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyrick James

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Michael Pratt pass complete to Bryce Bohanon for 5 yds to the Cincy 17

4th & 2Field Goal Good+34 yds

Valentino Ambrosio 34 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ryan Montgomery run for 6 yds to the Cincy 31

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Ryan Montgomery run for 8 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Evan Prater pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 4 yds to the Cincy 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Evan Prater pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 5 yds to the Cincy 48

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Ryan Montgomery run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Evan Prater pass complete to Nick Mardner for 13 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Evan Prater run for no gain to the Tulan 37

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Evan Prater pass incomplete to Tyler Scott

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.19

Evan Prater pass complete to Will Pauling for 20 yds to the Tulan 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Ryan Montgomery run for 6 yds to the Tulan 11

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Ryan Montgomery run for no gain to the Tulan 11

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Evan Prater run for 1 yd to the Tulan 10

4th & 3Field Goal Good+28 yds

Ryan Coe 28 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Shae Wyatt

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyjae Spears

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece Watts

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Casey Glover punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 23

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.06

Ryan Montgomery run for 13 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Evan Prater run for 4 yds to the Cincy 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Evan Prater pass incomplete to Tre Tucker

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Evan Prater pass incomplete to Tyler Scott

4th & 6Punt+14 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 45 yds , Lawrence Keys III returns for 14 yds to the Tulan 29

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Michael Pratt run for 6 yds to the Tulan 35

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.55

Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulan 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 5 yds to the Tulan 46

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.60

Lawrence Keys III run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Cincy 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 41 lat. to Tyjae Spears for 11 yds to the Cincy 41

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.74

Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 2 yds to the Cincy 37

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the Cincy 31

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.64

Tyjae Spears run for 7 yds to the Cincy 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the Cincy 20

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyjae Spears run for 5 yds to the Cincy 15

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Cincy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Tyjae Spears 11 Yd Run (Valentino Ambrosio Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Evan Prater run for 7 yds to the Cincy 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Evan Prater pass incomplete to Tyler Scott

3rd & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.63

Evan Prater run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Ryan Montgomery run for 6 yds to the Tulan 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.36

Evan Prater pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 5 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Evan Prater run for 4 yds to the Tulan 35

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.23

Charles McClelland 35 Yd Run (Ryan Coe Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Tulan 28

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.81

Tyjae Spears run for 14 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.77

Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 29 yds to the Cincy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Michael Pratt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 30

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece Watts

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Cincy 30

4th & 11Field Goal Good+47 yds

Valentino Ambrosio 47 Yd Field Goal

4th & 11Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Casey Glover kickoff for 39 yds , Ryan Montgomery return for 11 yds to the Cincy 37

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Charles McClelland run for 6 yds to the Cincy 43

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Ryan Coe kickoff for 62 yds , Lawrence Keys III return for 13 yds to the Tulan 16

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Michael Pratt run for 14 yds to the Tulan 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Tyjae Spears run for 8 yds to the Tulan 38

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Tyjae Spears run for 8 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece Watts

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Tulan 49

3rd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.29

Michael Pratt sacked by Eric Phillips for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 44

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Casey Glover punt for 42 yds, downed at the Cincy 14

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Charles McClelland run for 4 yds to the Cincy 18

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Evan Prater pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 8 yds to the Cincy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Charles McClelland run for 6 yds to the Cincy 32

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Evan Prater pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.43

Evan Prater pass intercepted Dorian Williams return for no gain to the Cincy 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Cincy 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.92

Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 24 yds to the Cincy 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 14

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Michael Pratt run for 5 yds to the Cincy 9

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Cincy 6

4th & 3Penalty+4 yds

Pratt, Michael pass incomplete to Wallace, Will, PENALTY CINCINNATI pass interference (Threats, Bryon) 4 yards to the CINCINNATI2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULANE.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Tyjae Spears 2 Yd Run (Valentino Ambrosio Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Charles McClelland run for no gain to the Cincy 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Evan Prater run for 1 yd to the Cincy 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Evan Prater pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 10 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Evan Prater run for 7 yds to the Cincy 43

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.34

Evan Prater run for 4 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Evan Prater pass incomplete to Jadon Thompson

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.24

Ryan Montgomery run for 17 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Ryan Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Tulan 35

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Evan Prater run for 4 yds to the Tulan 31

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Evan Prater run for 4 yds to the Tulan 27

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.07

Ryan Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Evan Prater pass complete to Tyler Scott for 11 yds to the Tulan 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Evan Prater run for 7 yds to the Tulan 8

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.25

Ryan Montgomery 8 Yd Run (Ryan Coe Kick)

2nd & 3Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Ryan Coe kickoff for 64 yds , Lawrence Keys III return for 31 yds to the Tulan 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the Tulan 36

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.11

Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulan 44

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.70

Lawrence Keys III run for 10 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Cincy 43

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyjae Spears run for 5 yds to the Cincy 38

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Cincy 38

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.10

Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the Cincy 37 TULANE Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (Prince Pines) declined

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Ryan Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Cincy 38

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Ryan Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Cincy 42

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Evan Prater run for 4 yds to the Cincy 46

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.25

Ryan Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Charles McClelland run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Evan Prater pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.08

Evan Prater pass complete to Will Pauling for 21 yds to the Tulan 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Evan Prater pass incomplete to Tre Tucker

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.57

Evan Prater run for 9 yds to the Tulan 20

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Ryan Montgomery run for no gain to the Tulan 20

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.75

Evan Prater run for 1 yd to the Tulan 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ryan Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Tulan 15

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.63

Ryan Montgomery 15 Yd Run (Ryan Coe Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Michael Pratt pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 8 yds to the Tulan 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Tyjae Spears run for 4 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.24

Michael Pratt pass complete to Shae Wyatt for 33 yds to the Cincy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Duece Watts 30 Yd pass from Michael Pratt (Valentino Ambrosio Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Casey Glover kickoff for 65 yds , Tre Tucker return for 21 yds to the Cincy 21

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Gavin Gerhardt) to the Cincy 16

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Evan Prater pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Charles McClelland run for 4 yds to the Cincy 20

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Evan Prater pass incomplete to Josh Whyle

4th & 11Punt-3 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 49 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds to the Tulan 30

2nd & 8Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.89

Tyjae Spears run for 25 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tyjae Spears run for no gain to the Cincy 45

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the Cincy 44

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the Cincy 41

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Casey Glover punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Evan Prater pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.38

Evan Prater sacked by Keith Cooper Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 15

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Evan Prater pass incomplete to Josh Whyle

4th & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.37

Evan Prater pass incomplete to Tyler Scott

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 16

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.76

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 19

Situational Analysis

Tulane

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
37%
30 plays
2nd
100%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
64%
14 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
60%
10 plays
33%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play