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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

SMU by 21.7

Home Win Probability

South Florida 10%

Market (consensus)

South Florida +17.5

Edge: SMU -17.5 (4.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
SMUSMU
10721341
South FloridaSouth Florida
0170623

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-107-107-1717-1717-2417-3823-41
South FloridaSMU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMUSFSMUSFSMUSFSMUSFSMUSFSMUSFSMUSFSMUSFSMUSFSMUSFSMUSFSMUDOWNS828ydDOWNS47ydTD654ydPUNT32ydFG950ydTD1275ydTD1175ydPUNT612ydDOWNS634ydTD351ydMISS639ydFG740ydEND226ydPUNT832ydTD697ydPUNT39ydTD170ydDOWNS719ydTD644ydTO1059ydFG752ydTD1475ydEND324yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing SMU and South Florida
StatisticSMUSouth Florida
Passing19-2714-34
Pass Yards280202
Rush Yards273179
Total Yards553381
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-117-18
Penalties2-207-60
Possession27:1832:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

SMU
passing
Tanner Mordecai
19/27, 280 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Camar Wheaton
14 CAR, 112 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jordan Kerley
7 REC, 156 YDS, 1 TD
defense
South Florida
passing
Katravis Marsh
12/31, 178 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Brian Battie
26 CAR, 145 YDS
receiving
Xavier Weaver
4 REC, 60 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Dwayne Boyles
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tyler Lavine run for 6 yds to the SMU 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to RJ Maryland for 5 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Tyler Lavine run for 11 yds to the SMU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Lavine run for 4 yds to the SFla 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Moochie Dixon for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 47

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 7 yds to the SMU 46

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Camar Wheaton run for 5 yds to the SFla 49

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.24

Camar Wheaton run for 18 yds to the SFla 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.96

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 26 yds to the SFla 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Camar Wheaton run for 3 yds to the SFla 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Camar Wheaton run for 1 yd to the SFla 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Camar Wheaton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Collin Rogers KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Brendan Hall kickoff for 55 yds , Brian Battie return for 6 yds to the SFla 16

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Jason Albritton run for 14 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

MARSH, Katravis pass to the right complete for 20 yards to WEAVER, Xavier caught at the SMU50 and advanced to the SMU50, out of bounds. PENALTY USF Illegal Touch-Pass on WEAVER, Xavier enforced 0 yards from the USF30 to the USF30, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Brian Battie run for 2 yds to the SFla 32

3rd & 8Sack-14 ydsPPA -0.53

Katravis Marsh sacked by DeVere Levelston for a loss of 14 yards to the SFla 18

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Colin McCreary punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Velton Gardner run for 10 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Velton Gardner run for no gain to the SFla 45

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Velton Gardner run for 4 yds to the SFla 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.79

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 10 yds to the SFla 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.33

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 21 yds to the SFla 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Camar Wheaton run for 6 yds to the SFla 4

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Camar Wheaton run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Collin Rogers 22 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Brendan Hall kickoff for 60 yds , Jimmy Horn Jr. return for 20 yds to the SFla 25

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Brian Battie run for 14 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Brian Battie run for 7 yds to the SFla 46

2nd & 3Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.33

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 24 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brian Battie run for 4 yds to the SMU 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Sean Atkins for 5 yds to the SMU 21

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.79

run for 1 yd to the SMU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Michel Dukes run for 2 yds to the SMU 18

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Brian Battie run for 10 yds to the SMU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Brian Battie run for 6 yds to the SMU 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jason Albritton run for 1 yd to the SMU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jason Albritton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Tyler Lavine run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 23

2nd & 12Penalty+10 yds

MORDECAI, Tanner pass to the right incomplete intended for MARYLAND, RJ broken up by GORDON IV, DJ at the SMU46. PENALTY USF Holding on WILLIAMS, Christian enforced 10 yards from the SMU23 to the SMU33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyler Lavine run for 5 yds to the SMU 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 4 yds to the SMU 42

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.16

Tyler Lavine run for 3 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.60

Tyler Lavine run for 24 yds to the SFla 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyler Lavine run for 5 yds to the SFla 26

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Tyler Lavine run for 3 yds to the SFla 23

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.36

Tyler Lavine run for 5 yds to the SFla 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Camar Wheaton run for 18 yds for a TD, (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brian Battie run for 5 yds to the SFla 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Sean Atkins for 7 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Katravis Marsh run for 2 yds to the SFla 39

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.07

Brian Battie run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 37

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 46 yds, downed at the SMU 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 9 yds to the SMU 26

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.18

Camar Wheaton run for 4 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MORDECAI, Tanner pass to the right incomplete dropped by RICE, Rashee thrown to the SMU35. PENALTY USF Personal Foul on HILL, Matthew enforced 15 yards from the SMU30 to the SMU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Velton Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 44

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Tanner Mordecai run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 1 yd to the SFla 49

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 12 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Brian Battie run for 7 yds to the SMU 32

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.71

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 32 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyler Lavine run for 2 yds to the SMU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.39

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 34 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyler Lavine run for 3 yds to the SFla 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.90

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for no gain to the SFla 36

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Collin Rogers 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brian Battie run for 5 yds to the SFla 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.90

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 20 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.54

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Sean Atkins for 20 yds to the SMU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SMU 24

4th & 15Field Goal Good+41 yds

Spencer Shrader 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Camar Wheaton run for 16 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 10 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Brian Battie run for 9 yds to the SFla 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Brian Battie run for 3 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Xavier Weaver run for 1 yd to the SFla 38

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

run for 6 yds to the SFla 44

3rd & 3Penalty+15 yds

SMU Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the SMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Brian Battie run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 42

3rd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brian Battie run for 4 yds to the SMU 38

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the SMU 43

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Colin McCreary punt for 40 yds, downed at the SMU 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Camar Wheaton run for 3 yds to the SMU 6

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 10 yds to the SMU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MORDECAI, Tanner pass to the right incomplete intended for RICE, Rashee thrown to the SMU38. PENALTY USF Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Christian enforced 15 yards to the SMU31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 10 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.87

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 30 yds to the SFla 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Camar Wheaton run for 8 yds to the SFla 21

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.28

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Rashee Rice for 21 yds for a TD, (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the SFla 26

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Brian Battie run for 8 yds to the SFla 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jason Albritton run for no gain to the SFla 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.69

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Jordan Kerley for 70 yds for a TD, (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Michel Dukes for 3 yds to the SFla 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 9 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Brian Battie run for 3 yds to the SFla 40

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Brian Battie run for 4 yds to the SFla 44

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.62

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 15 yds to the SFla 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Tanner Mordecai pass complete to Moochie Dixon for 2 yds to the SFla 27

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Velton Gardner run for 7 yds to the SFla 20

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.20

Tyler Lavine run for 5 yds to the SFla 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Tyler Lavine run for 7 yds to the SFla 8

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.25

Tyler Lavine run for 8 yds for a TD, (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+23 ydsPPA +3.12

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Sean Atkins for 23 yds Sean Atkins fumbled, recovered by SFla Jimmy Horn Jr. , return to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Brian Battie run for 3 yds to the SMU 47

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

SMU Penalty, Offsides (Terrance Newman) to the SMU 42

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.48

Brian Battie run for 20 yds to the SMU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.33

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 14 yds to the SMU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Brian Battie run for 2 yds to the SMU 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

MARSH, Katravis pass to the right incomplete dropped by TERRY, Yusuf thrown to the SMU0. PENALTY USF Holding on BAILEY, JR., Derrell enforced 10 yards from the SMU6 to the SMU16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 16Interception0 ydsPPA -3.33

Katravis Marsh pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.20

Camar Wheaton run for 26 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Lavine run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.50

Tyler Lavine run for 19 yds to the SFla 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Velton Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 32

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Camar Wheaton run for 4 yds to the SFla 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Tanner Mordecai pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+45 yds

Collin Rogers 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Brian Battie run for 15 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Katravis Marsh run for 5 yds to the SFla 45

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

K'Wan Powell run for 4 yds to the SFla 49

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

K'Wan Powell run for 2 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.62

Katravis Marsh run for 10 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Brian Battie run for 7 yds to the SMU 32

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Brian Battie run for no gain to the SMU 32

3rd & 3Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Byrum Brown sacked by Ahmaad Moses for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 34

4th & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.16

Byrum Brown pass complete to Garret Reynolds for 7 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.19

Brian Battie run for 13 yds to the SMU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Byrum Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.65

Brian Battie run for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 17

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.52

Jayson Littlejohn 17 Yd pass from Byrum Brown (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Spencer Shrader kickoff for 53 yds , Bryan Massey return for no gain to the SMU 12

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

TJ McDaniel run for 7 yds to the SMU 19

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.18

Kevin Jennings run for 5 yds to the SMU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.00

TJ McDaniel run for 12 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

SMU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
64%
33 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
63%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays

South Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
30 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
29%
14 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play