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← Back to GamesNov 5, 2022Week 10
UCFUCF
35
-Final
28
MemphisMemphis
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

UCF by 4.5

Home Win Probability

Memphis 37%

Market (consensus)

Memphis +3

Edge: UCF -3 (1.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 5, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UCFUCF
71401435
MemphisMemphis
777728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-77-1414-2121-2121-2828-35
MemphisUCF

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCFMEMUCFMEMUCFMEMUCFMEMUCFMEMUCFMEMMEMUCFMEMUCFMEMUCFMEMUCFMEMUCFMEMUCFTD978ydTD1075ydPUNT3-12ydDOWNS749ydTO3-3ydTO25ydTD889ydTD875ydTD575ydMISS1267ydMISS933ydDOWNS314ydPUNT35ydPUNT35ydTD1177ydPUNT611ydDOWNS725ydTD961ydTO523ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-1ydTD650ydTD661ydEND832yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UCF and Memphis
StatisticUCFMemphis
Passing23-2926-39
Pass Yards223284
Rush Yards204149
Total Yards427433
Turnovers12
3rd Down7-159-14
Penalties6-663-25
Possession29:0730:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UCF
passing
Mikey Keene
22/28, 219 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
RJ Harvey
17 CAR, 151 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kobe Hudson
6 REC, 85 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Memphis
passing
Seth Henigan
26/39, 284 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Seth Henigan
16 CAR, 69 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Caden Prieskorn
5 REC, 76 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the UCF 27

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 7 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the UCF 38

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Xavier Townsend run for 5 yds to the UCF 43

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.55

Isaiah Bowser run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 11 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Isaiah Bowser run for 5 yds to the Memph 34

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.41

Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 12 yds to the Memph 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

RJ Harvey run for 22 yds for a TD, (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the Memph 29

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Brandon Thomas run for 6 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

UCF Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Memph 40

1st & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.40

Seth Henigan run for 7 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Seth Henigan pass complete to Gabriel Rogers for 4 yds to the UCF 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for 1 yd to the UCF 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.57

Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 29 yds to the UCF 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Asa Martin run for 1 yd to the UCF 18

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for 3 yds to the UCF 15

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Seth Henigan pass complete to Asa Martin for 8 yds to the UCF 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Brandon Thomas run for 7 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.18

Mikey Keene sacked by William Whitlow Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the UCF 17

2nd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

RJ Harvey run for 6 yds to the UCF 23

3rd & 12Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.18

Mikey Keene sacked by Xavier Cullens for a loss of 10 yards to the UCF 13

4th & 22Punt+6 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 49 yds , Eddie Lewis returns for 6 yds to the Memph 44

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Seth Henigan run for 8 yds to the UCF 48

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Seth Henigan pass complete to Gabriel Rogers for 7 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.68

Jevyon Ducker run for 26 yds to the UCF 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Seth Henigan run for 7 yds to the UCF 8

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Eddie Lewis

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jevyon Ducker run for 2 yds to the UCF 6

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.13

Brandon Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 7

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the UCF 7

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 1 yd to the UCF 8

3rd & 9Penalty-4 yds

UCF Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the UCF 4

3rd & 13Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.35

Mikey Keene pass intercepted Davion Ross return for no gain to the UCF 14

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Asa Martin run for 5 yds to the UCF 9

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.53

Seth Henigan pass intercepted Davonte Brown return for no gain to the UCF 11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UCF 14

2nd & 7Rush+61 ydsPPA +4.22

RJ Harvey run for 61 yds to the Memph 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the Memph 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 5 yds to the Memph 17

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Memph 16

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Cam'Ron Jackson) to the Memph 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the Memph 7

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Mikey Keene run for 3 yds to the Memph 4

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.64

Isaiah Bowser pass complete to Stephen Martin for 4 yds for a TD, (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+12 yds

Henigan, Seth pass incomplete, PENALTY UCF pass interference 12 yards to the MEMPHIS37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MEMPHIS.

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Seth Henigan run for 10 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Henigan, Seth pass incomplete, PENALTY UCF pass interference 15 yards to the UCF38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MEMPHIS.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Seth Henigan run for 5 yds to the UCF 33

2nd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.43

Sutton Smith run for 1 yd to the UCF 32 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Walter Yates III) to the UCF 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Seth Henigan run for 7 yds to the UCF 10

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Asa Martin run for 4 yds to the UCF 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Seth Henigan run for 2 yds to the UCF 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Asa Martin run for 3 yds to the UCF 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Seth Henigan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 21 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

RJ Harvey run for 9 yds to the Memph 45

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.08

RJ Harvey run for 12 yds to the Memph 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 9 yds to the Memph 24

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.18

Mikey Keene pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 24 yds for a TD, (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brandon Thomas run for 5 yds to the Memph 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.14

Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brandon Thomas run for 5 yds to the UCF 45

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Seth Henigan run for 1 yd to the UCF 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.85

Seth Henigan pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 15 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Seth Henigan run for 3 yds to the UCF 26

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.03

Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 15 yds to the UCF 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.47

Seth Henigan run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 14

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Seth Henigan pass complete to Gabriel Rogers for 3 yds to the UCF 11

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Seth Henigan run for 3 yds to the UCF 8

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+26 yds

Chris Howard 26 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Mikey Keene pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 8 yds to the UCF 29

3rd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.87

Mikey Keene pass complete to Javon Baker for 3 yds to the UCF 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Mikey Keene pass complete to Alec Holler for 4 yds to the UCF 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 10 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

RJ Harvey run for no gain to the UCF 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Mikey Keene pass complete to RJ Harvey for 7 yds to the Memph 47

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Kobe Hudson

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Seth Henigan pass complete to Asa Martin for 10 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Seth Henigan pass complete to Asa Martin for 4 yds to the UCF 36

2nd & 6Field Goal Missed+54 yds

Chris Howard 54 yd FG MISSED

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brandon Thomas run for no gain to the Memph 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Seth Henigan pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 5 yds to the Memph 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Eddie Lewis

4th & 5Punt+11 yds

Joe Doyle punt for 43 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 11 yds to the UCF 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Mikey Keene pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 8 yds to the UCF 46

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -2.06

Johnny Richardson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 43

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Eddie Lewis at the Memph 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Javon Ivory

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.84

Seth Henigan pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 25 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Asa Martin run for 5 yds to the UCF 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.20

Seth Henigan pass complete to Asa Martin for 22 yds to the UCF 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jevyon Ducker run for 1 yd to the UCF 24

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.71

Gabriel Rogers run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Seth Henigan pass complete to Javon Ivory for 13 yds to the UCF 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 17

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Seth Henigan run for 3 yds to the UCF 14

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Seth Henigan pass complete to Gabriel Rogers for 5 yds to the UCF 9

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.98

Seth Henigan run for 8 yds to the UCF 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jevyon Ducker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 21

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Mikey Keene pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 21 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.47

Ryan O'Keefe run for a loss of 10 yards to the UCF 32

2nd & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.21

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the UCF 32

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

4th & 20Punt+21 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 53 yds , Eddie Lewis returns for 21 yds to the Memph 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Gabriel Rogers

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Gabriel Rogers

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Henigan, Seth pass incomplete to Ivory, Javon, PENALTY UCF pass interference 15 yards to the UCF49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MEMPHIS.

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.83

Seth Henigan pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 15 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Seth Henigan pass complete to Asa Martin for 7 yds to the UCF 27

2nd & 3Penalty-15 yds

Martin, Asa rush for 6 yards to the UCF21, PENALTY MEMPHIS personal foul (Hassell, John) 15 yards to the UCF42, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Seth Henigan run for 3 yds to the UCF 39

4th & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Mikey Keene pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the Memph 45

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.60

RJ Harvey run for 6 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

RJ Harvey run for 7 yds to the Memph 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the Memph 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.23

Isaiah Bowser run for 15 yds to the Memph 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Memph 13

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.33

Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for no gain to the Memph 13

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.17

Mikey Keene pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 13 yds for a TD, (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Brandon Thomas run for 11 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brandon Thomas run for no gain to the Memph 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Seth Henigan pass complete to Asa Martin for 8 yds to the Memph 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.46

Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 4 yds to the Memph 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+12 ydsPPA -2.99

Seth Henigan pass intercepted Divaad Wilson return for 12 yds to the UCF 41

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UCF 44

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Ryan O'Keefe

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Mikey Keene run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Eddie Lewis at the Memph 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Gabriel Rogers

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.16

Eddie Lewis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 8

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Caden Prieskorn

4th & 11Punt+10 yds

Joe Doyle punt for 52 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 10 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Memph 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Mikey Keene pass incomplete to Ryan O'Keefe

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.15

Mikey Keene pass complete to Javon Baker for 11 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Ryan O'Keefe run for 7 yds to the Memph 28

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the Memph 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Mikey Keene pass complete to Javon Baker for 24 yds for a TD, (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Seth Henigan pass complete to Asa Martin for 2 yds to the Memph 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Joseph Scates

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.02

Seth Henigan pass complete to Gabriel Rogers for 15 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Seth Henigan pass complete to Eddie Lewis for 14 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.27

Seth Henigan pass complete to Caden Prieskorn for 16 yds to the UCF 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Seth Henigan pass complete to Joseph Scates for 14 yds for a TD, (Chris Howard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the UCF 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the UCF 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Mikey Keene pass complete to Alec Holler for 10 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Mikey Keene run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 34

2nd & 12Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.89

Isaiah Bowser run for 19 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the Memph 45

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Memph 41

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 43

Situational Analysis

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
31 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
71%
7 plays
40%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th

Memphis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
56%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
33%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play