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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2022Week 9
CincinnatiCincinnati
21
-Final
25
UCFUCF
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cincinnati by 6.1

Home Win Probability

UCF 35%

Market (consensus)

UCF -1.5

Edge: Cincinnati +1.5 (7.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 29, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CincinnatiCincinnati
067821
UCFUCF
10021325

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-010-310-612-612-1318-1325-21
UCFCincinnati

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFPUNT424ydPUNT37ydFG753ydPUNT31ydTD1084ydPUNT422ydPUNT629ydFG1065ydPUNT58ydPUNT426ydPUNT38ydFG933ydEND11ydPUNT35ydTO1169ydSAF3-2ydTO1151ydTD1084ydPUNT633ydPUNT623ydTD1377ydTD775ydTD775ydDOWNS4-11ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cincinnati and UCF
StatisticCincinnatiUCF
Passing25-4622-32
Pass Yards298247
Rush Yards35258
Total Yards333505
Turnovers02
3rd Down4-147-15
Penalties5-251-15
Possession22:5537:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cincinnati
passing
Ben Bryant
25/45, 298 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Ryan Montgomery
3 CAR, 40 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tre Tucker
10 REC, 110 YDS
defense
Ivan Pace Jr.
1.5 TFL, 1 PD
UCF
passing
Mikey Keene
15/21, 176 YDS
rushing
RJ Harvey
18 CAR, 84 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kobe Hudson
5 REC, 74 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

John Rhys Plumlee run for 19 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Ryan O'Keefe run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.48

Isaiah Bowser run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 49

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 7 yds to the Cincy 18

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Charles McClelland run for 1 yd to the Cincy 19

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Charles McClelland run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 18

4th & 3Punt+8 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 51 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for 8 yds to the UCF 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kemore Gamble for 12 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Ryan O'Keefe run for 17 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.30

Johnny Richardson run for 16 yds to the Cincy 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

John Rhys Plumlee run for 3 yds to the Cincy 13

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete to Javon Baker

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete to Javon Baker

4th & 7Penalty+5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Cincy 8

4th & 2Field Goal Good+26 yds

Colton Boomer 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Charles McClelland run for 1 yd to the Cincy 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+47 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 47 yds , Xavier Townsend returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 16

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

RJ Harvey run for 9 yds to the UCF 25

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

John Rhys Plumlee run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 24

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.86

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the UCF 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to RJ Harvey for 25 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.74

John Rhys Plumlee sacked by Justin Wodtly for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.71

Ryan O'Keefe run for 12 yds to the Cincy 38

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.67

Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

John Rhys Plumlee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for 5 yds to the Cincy 31

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Cincy 26

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.96

RJ Harvey run for 26 yds for a TD, (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Ben Bryant pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 30 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Ryan Montgomery run for 1 yd to the UCF 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.80

Ben Bryant sacked by Tre'mon Morris-Brash for a loss of 9 yards to the Cincy 47

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Xavier Townsend at the UCF 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.97

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 19 yds to the UCF 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the UCF 34

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.64

Ryan O'Keefe run for 5 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.04

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 38

3rd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.33

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Javon Baker for no gain to the UCF 38

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Charles McClelland run for 5 yds to the Cincy 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.95

Ben Bryant pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 32 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 12 yds to the UCF 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UCF 36

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.71

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 21 yds to the UCF 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Ryan Montgomery run for no gain to the UCF 15

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Jadon Thompson

4th & 10Field Goal Good+33 yds

Ryan Coe 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Isaiah Bowser run for 2 yds to the UCF 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.68

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 12 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

John Rhys Plumlee pass incomplete to Stephen Martin

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

John Rhys Plumlee run for no gain to the UCF 39

3rd & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.60

John Rhys Plumlee run for 9 yds to the UCF 48 UCF Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the UCF 33

3rd & 16Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 18 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 3 yds to the UCF 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Ben Bryant pass complete to Blue Smith for 3 yds to the UCF 45

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Charles McClelland run for 2 yds to the UCF 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 40 yds, downed at the UCF 3

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the UCF 8

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the UCF 10

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 11

4th & 2Punt+15 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 52 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 15 yds to the UCF 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Ben Bryant pass complete to Charles McClelland for 1 yd to the UCF 47

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Charles McClelland run for 4 yds to the UCF 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.71

Ben Bryant pass complete to Nick Mardner for 8 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 8 yds to the UCF 27

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.20

Charles McClelland run for 8 yds to the UCF 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 4 yds to the UCF 15

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Tyler Scott

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+33 yds

Ryan Coe 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Johnny Richardson run for 1 yd to the UCF 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ben Bryant pass complete to Josh Whyle for 5 yds to the Cincy 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Xavier Townsend at the UCF 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Johnny Richardson run for 5 yds to the UCF 34

2nd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.20

Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 21 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Mikey Keene pass complete to Javon Baker for 7 yds to the Cincy 38

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the Cincy 37

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the Cincy 36

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Cincy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Ryan O'Keefe run for 8 yds to the Cincy 23

2nd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 1 yd to the Cincy 22

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Cincy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.40

Mikey Keene pass complete to Javon Baker for 9 yds to the Cincy 9

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -4.46

Isaiah Bowser run for 7 yds to the Cincy 2 Isaiah Bowser fumbled, recovered by Cincy Deshawn Pace

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Charles McClelland run for 4 yds to the Cincy 6

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Charles McClelland run for 2 yds to the Cincy 8

3rd & 4Safety0 ydsPPA -1.85

Josh Celiscar Safety

3rd & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Ryan Coe kickoff for 62 yds , Ryan O'Keefe return for 15 yds to the UCF 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the UCF 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Mikey Keene pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 6 yds to the UCF 41

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.72

Isaiah Bowser run for 7 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.84

Mikey Keene pass complete to Javon Baker for 10 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Mikey Keene run for 9 yds to the Cincy 33

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the Cincy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Mikey Keene pass complete to Alec Holler for 12 yds to the Cincy 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the Cincy 14

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -4.47

RJ Harvey run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 16 RJ Harvey fumbled, recovered by Cincy Dontay Corleone

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.35

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tyler Scott for 14 yds to the Cincy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 12 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.51

Ben Bryant pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 21 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 6 yds to the UCF 31

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.88

Charles McClelland run for 7 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Ben Bryant pass complete to Josh Whyle for 10 yds to the UCF 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Ben Bryant pass complete to Josh Whyle for 14 yds for a TD, (Ryan Coe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ryan O'Keefe run for 3 yds to the UCF 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.45

Mikey Keene pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 21 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Mikey Keene pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 10 yds to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Johnny Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 42

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.82

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 17 yds to the Cincy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Charles McClelland run for 3 yds to the Cincy 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.17

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 7 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Ben Bryant sacked by Anthony Montalvo and Jason Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 32

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Xavier Townsend at the UCF 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UCF 26

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.04

Mikey Keene pass complete to Javon Baker for 12 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Isaiah Bowser run for 11 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Johnny Richardson run for 11 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

RJ Harvey run for no gain to the Cincy 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.22

Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 10 yds to the Cincy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Cincy 26

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the Cincy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Cincy 15

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Isaiah Bowser run for no gain to the Cincy 15

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.49

RJ Harvey run for 9 yds to the Cincy 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Cincy 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 12 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 16 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Ben Bryant pass complete to Nick Mardner for 8 yds to the UCF 39

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.88

Ryan Montgomery run for 39 yds for a TD, (Ben Bryant pass to Tyler Scott for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 1 yd to the UCF 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.30

Mikey Keene pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 18 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.56

Mikey Keene pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 26 yds to the Cincy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

RJ Harvey run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 32

2nd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Mikey Keene pass complete to Javon Baker for 12 yds to the Cincy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Cincy 17

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.74

RJ Harvey run for 17 yds for a TD, (Colton Boomer KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-20 ydsPPA -1.31

Ben Bryant sacked by K.D. McDaniel for a loss of 20 yards to the Cincy 5 Ben Bryant fumbled, recovered by Cincy Ben Bryant , return for 0 yards

2nd & 30Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.01

TEAM pass incomplete

3rd & 30Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.00

Ben Bryant pass incomplete

4th & 30Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Ben Bryant pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 9 yds to the Cincy 14

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 16

Situational Analysis

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
28 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
12 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
51%
39 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
58%
12 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
63%
8 plays
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th