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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2022Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cincinnati by 37.4

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 98%

Market (consensus)

Cincinnati -27

Edge: Cincinnati -27 (10.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South FloridaSouth Florida
1070724
CincinnatiCincinnati
777728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-107-1014-1721-1721-2428-24
CincinnatiSouth Florida

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SFCINSFCINSFCINSFCINSFCINCINSFCINSFCINSFCINSFCINSFCINTD1175ydTO10ydFG1265ydTD675ydPUNT35ydTD645ydTD1075ydPUNT522ydPUNT516ydTO315ydTD1075ydPUNT416ydPUNT625ydPUNT35ydDOWNS530ydTD588ydPUNT727ydPUNT3-2ydTD250ydDOWNS935ydEND945yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Florida and Cincinnati
StatisticSouth FloridaCincinnati
Passing11-2116-23
Pass Yards139193
Rush Yards224221
Total Yards363414
Turnovers02
3rd Down8-152-7
Penalties2-154-35
Possession32:2927:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Florida
passing
Gerry Bohannon
11/21, 139 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Gerry Bohannon
14 CAR, 117 YDS
receiving
Xavier Weaver
7 REC, 112 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Dwayne Boyles
1.5 TFL, 1 PD
Cincinnati
passing
Ben Bryant
15/21, 178 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Charles McClelland
21 CAR, 179 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Tre Tucker
7 REC, 64 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brian Battie run for 4 yds to the SFla 21

2nd & 14Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.95

Gerry Bohanon run for 15 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Brian Battie run for 2 yds to the SFla 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Yusuf Terry

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.05

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Khafre Brown for 16 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jimmy Horn Jr. run for 5 yds to the Cincy 41

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Xavier Weaver

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.52

Brian Battie run for 6 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brian Battie run for 5 yds to the Cincy 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 8 yds to the Cincy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Brian Battie run for 22 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Ben Bryant pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Brian Battie for 1 yd to the SFla 32

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.79

Brian Battie run for 10 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Brian Battie

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

K'Wan Powell run for 4 yds to the SFla 46

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Gerry Bohanon run for 8 yds to the Cincy 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the Cincy 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Xavier Weaver

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the Cincy 4

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Brian Battie run for 7 yds to the Cincy 14

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

K'Wan Powell run for 2 yds to the Cincy 12

3rd & 6Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.22

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 18 yds to the CINCINNATI 36 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Jacob Dingle) to the Cincy 21 for a 1ST down

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Spencer Shrader 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Charles McClelland run for 3 yds to the Cincy 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.38

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 19 yds to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Charles McClelland run for 5 yds to the Cincy 46

2nd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.50

Charles McClelland run for 17 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 9 yds to the SFla 28

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.27

Ben Bryant pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 28 yds for a TD, (Ryan Coe KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Ryan Coe kickoff for 64 yds , Brian Battie return for 8 yds to the SFla 9

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

K'Wan Powell run for 7 yds to the SFla 16

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Gerry Bohanon run for 1 yd to the SFla 15

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Gerry Bohanon run for 1 yd to the SFla 14

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Colin McCreary punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the SFla 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Charles McClelland run for 2 yds to the SFla 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.15

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 11 yds to the SFla 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 1 yd to the SFla 33

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Charles McClelland run for 7 yds to the SFla 26

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CIN False Start (Scott,Tyler) 5 yards from USF26 to USF31. NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Ben Bryant pass complete to Josh Whyle for 17 yds to the SFla 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Ben Bryant pass complete to Nick Mardner for 14 yds for a TD, (Ryan Coe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Gerry Bohanon run for 7 yds to the SFla 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.50

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 33 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Gerry Bohanon run for 6 yds to the Cincy 29

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Jimmy Horn Jr.

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.77

Gerry Bohanon run for 6 yds to the Cincy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Brian Battie run for 6 yds to the Cincy 17

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.05

Gerry Bohanon run for 8 yds to the Cincy 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Gerry Bohanon run for 1 yd to the Cincy 10

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the Cincy 9

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 9 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Ryan Montgomery run for 8 yds to the Cincy 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 5 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ryan Montgomery run for 5 yds to the Cincy 43

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Ryan Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Cincy 46

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Ryan Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Cincy 47

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Sean Atkins at the SFla 12

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jimmy Horn Jr. run for 5 yds to the SFla 17

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 9 yds to the SFla 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Gerry Bohanon run for no gain to the SFla 26

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Brian Battie run for 3 yds to the SFla 29

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the SFla 28

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Colin McCreary punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Chris Scott

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Charles McClelland run for 15 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.24

Ben Bryant pass intercepted, touchback.

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 18 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Ben Bryant pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 6 yds to the Cincy 49

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Charles McClelland run for 8 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Ben Bryant pass complete to Blue Smith for 9 yds to the SFla 34

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.20

Charles McClelland run for 12 yds to the SFla 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Ben Bryant sacked by Jason Vaughn for a loss of 6 yards to the SFla 28

2nd & 16Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Bryant,Ben pass complete deep left to Tucker,Tre for 28 yards to the USF00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 12:03 PENALTY CIN Holding (Tunstall,James) 10 yards from USF28 to USF38. NO PLAY.

2nd & 26Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.17

Ben Bryant pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 26 yds to the SFla 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Evan Prater run for 9 yds to the SFla 3

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Ryan Montgomery run for 2 yds to the SFla 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

No Huddle Montgomery,Ryan rush left for 0 yards to the USF01 (LaPointe,Mekhi; Sease,De'Juan) PENALTY USF Illegal Substitution. NO PLAY.

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Charles McClelland run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Coe KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Ryan Coe kickoff for 63 yds , Brian Battie return for 16 yds to the SFla 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 11 yds to the SFla 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Gerry Bohanon run for 1 yd to the SFla 28

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Gerry Bohanon run for 6 yds to the SFla 34

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Xavier Weaver

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Colin McCreary punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Josh Whyle

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Charles McClelland run for 8 yds to the Cincy 39

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.96

Charles McClelland run for 10 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Tre Tucker

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Tre Tucker

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Ben Bryant run for 7 yds to the SFla 44 Ben Bryant fumbled, recovered by Cincy Ben Bryant

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Matthew Hill) declined

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Xavier Weaver

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Brian Battie run for 5 yds to the SFla 6

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Colin McCreary punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the SFla 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Ben Bryant pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 6 yds to the SFla 36

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Bryant,Ben pass incomplete short right to Thompson,Jadon PENALTY USF Pass Interference (Williams,Christian) 15 yards from USF36 to USF21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Charles McClelland run for 2 yds to the SFla 19

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Charles McClelland run for 4 yds to the SFla 15

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Ben Bryant pass complete to Tre Tucker for 3 yds to the SFla 12

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.97

Ryan Montgomery run for no gain to the SFla 12

1st & 10Rush+59 ydsPPA +3.94

Gerry Bohanon run for 59 yds to the Cincy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Brian Battie run for 4 yds to the Cincy 25

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Brian Battie run for 3 yds to the Cincy 22

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.44

Gerry Bohanon run for 6 yds to the Cincy 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 16 yds for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Ben Bryant pass complete to Nick Mardner for 8 yds to the Cincy 33

2nd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Charles McClelland run for 16 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ben Bryant run for 7 yds to the SFla 44

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.18

Charles McClelland run for 5 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Charles McClelland run for 5 yds to the SFla 34

2nd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.76

Evan Prater sacked by Jatorian Hansford for a loss of 9 yards to the SFla 43

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Evan Prater pass incomplete to Josh Whyle

4th & 14Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CIN False Start (Pace,Deshawn) 5 yards from USF43 to USF48. NO PLAY.

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Sean Atkins at the SFla 13

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brian Battie run for 4 yds to the SFla 9 Brian Battie fumbled, recovered by SFla K'Wan Powell

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Brian Battie run for 2 yds to the SFla 11

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to K'Wan Powell

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Colin McCreary punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.87

Evan Prater pass complete to Josh Whyle for 15 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Charles McClelland run for 35 yds for a TD, (Ryan Coe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brian Battie run for 5 yds to the SFla 40

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+16 ydsPPA +1.72

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 16 yds Xavier Weaver fumbled, recovered by SFla Xavier Weaver for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Brian Battie run for 7 yds to the Cincy 37

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the Cincy 36

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.71

K'Wan Powell run for 2 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Brian Battie run for 7 yds to the Cincy 27

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Xavier Weaver

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 2 yds to the Cincy 25

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.03

Brian Battie run for 5 yds to the Cincy 30

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Charles McClelland run for 16 yds to the Cincy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Charles McClelland run for 3 yds to the Cincy 49

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.41

Evan Prater run for 11 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Ryan Montgomery run for 3 yds to the SFla 37

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Evan Prater run for 4 yds to the SFla 33

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Charles McClelland run for 2 yds to the SFla 31

4th & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.46

Charles McClelland run for 9 yds to the SFla 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.22

run for 2 yds to the SFla 24 fumbled, recovered by Cincy Chris Scott

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.79

Kneel down by Cincinnati at USF25 for loss of 1 yards.

Situational Analysis

South Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
63%
24 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
17%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
55%
29 plays
2nd
83%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays