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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2022Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

East Carolina by 16.2

Home Win Probability

East Carolina 80%

Market (consensus)

East Carolina -32.5

Edge: Campbell +32.5 (16.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 17, 2022

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Campbell
1000010
East CarolinaEast Carolina
71421749

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-37-1014-1021-1028-1035-1042-1049-10
East CarolinaCampbell

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CAMECCAMECCAMECCAMECCAMECCAMECECCAMECCAMECCAMECCAMECCAMECFG1165ydTD637ydTD471ydPUNT38ydPUNT724ydTD684ydPUNT33ydPUNT514ydMISS1063ydTD780ydPUNT38ydEND10ydTD770ydTO870ydTD678ydDOWNS753ydTD778ydDOWNS1118ydTD343ydPUNT38ydDOWNS837ydPUNT65ydEND653yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Campbell and East Carolina
StatisticCampbellEast Carolina
Passing23-3822-27
Pass Yards300302
Rush Yards103270
Total Yards403572
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-156-11
Penalties7-691-5
Possession30:5229:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Campbell
passing
Hajj-Malik Williams
23/38, 300 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
NaQuari Rogers
13 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Jalen Kelsey
3 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD
defense
East Carolina
passing
Holton Ahlers
17/20, 263 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Keaton Mitchell
13 CAR, 185 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Isaiah Winstead
6 REC, 112 YDS
defense
Teagan Wilk
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Hajj-Malik Williams run for 12 yds to the Camp 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.74

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Julian Hill for 19 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.87

Bryant Barr run for 18 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Bryant Barr run for 3 yds to the ECaro 27

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

NaQuari Rogers run for 1 yd to the ECaro 26

4th & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Julian Hill for 9 yds to the ECaro 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ezeriah Anderson for 7 yds to the ECaro 10

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Lamagea McDowell run for 2 yds to the ECaro 8

3rd & 1Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Julian Hill for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 9

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

CAMPBELL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 14

4th & 7Field Goal Good+31 yds

Caleb Dowden 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.24

Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 9 yds to the Camp 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.26

run for a loss of 5 yards to the Camp 33

2nd & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.17

Holton Ahlers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Camp 34

3rd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.08

Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 10 yds to the Camp 24

4th & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.52

Keaton Mitchell run for 6 yds to the Camp 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

K. Mitchell run for 18 yds for a TD, (O. Daffer KICK)

2nd & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.17

Holton Ahlers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Camp 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.85

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Austin Hite for 11 yds to the Camp 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CAMPBELL Penalty, False Start (Julian Hill) to the Camp 35

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Bryant Barr for 4 yds to the Camp 39

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +6.08

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jalen Kelsey for 61 yds for a TD, (Caleb Dowden KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ECaro 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 8 yds to the ECaro 43

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 8 yds to the ECaro 43

4th & 2Punt-60 yds

Luke Larsen punt for a loss of 23 yards , Josh McNeely returns for a loss of 60 yards to the Camp 20

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Bryant Barr run for 7 yds to the Camp 27

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.09

Hajj-Malik Williams run for 4 yds to the Camp 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jai Williams for 10 yds to the Camp 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

NaQuari Rogers run for 1 yd to the Camp 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Bryant Barr for 2 yds to the Camp 44

3rd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.65

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Bryant Barr for no gain to the Camp 44

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Corey Petersen punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Malik Fleming at the ECaro 16

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Corey Petersen punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Malik Fleming at the ECaro 16

1st & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +3.28

Keaton Mitchell run for 42 yds to the Camp 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.51

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 13 yds to the Camp 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.20

Keaton Mitchell run for 11 yds to the Camp 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Keaton Mitchell run for 8 yds to the Camp 10

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Keaton Mitchell run for 9 yds to the Camp 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for 1 yd for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Chaney Fitzgerald for a loss of 1 yard to the Camp 9

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Hajj-Malik Williams run for 4 yds to the Camp 13

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Corey Petersen punt for 38 yds , Malik Fleming returns for no gain to the ECaro 49

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Corey Petersen punt for 38 yds , Malik Fleming returns for no gain to the ECaro 49

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the Camp 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.66

Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 16 yds to the Camp 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.15

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for a loss of 3 yards to the Camp 36

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Holton Ahlers run for 3 yds to the Camp 33

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.78

Holton Ahlers sacked by Gabe Holmes and Ethan Rennels for a loss of 4 yards to the Camp 37

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 37 yds for a touchback

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Luke Larsen punt for 37 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

NaQuari Rogers run for 2 yds to the Camp 22

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

CAMPBELL Penalty, False Start (Aaron Maddox) to the Camp 17

2nd & 13Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.28

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to NaQuari Rogers for 22 yds to the Camp 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jalen Kelsey for 7 yds to the Camp 46

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.22

NaQuari Rogers run for 3 yds to the Camp 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Hajj-Malik Williams run for 6 yds to the ECaro 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.97

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ezeriah Anderson for 26 yds to the ECaro 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Lamagea McDowell run for 2 yds to the ECaro 17

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+35 yds

Caleb Dowden 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Ryan Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the ECaro 16

2nd & 14Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.52

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Shane Calhoun for 25 yds to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.18

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 14 yds to the Camp 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.76

Keaton Mitchell run for 19 yds to the Camp 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Camp 23

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the Camp 23

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.39

C.J. Johnson 21 Yd pass from Holton Ahlers (Owen Daffer Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

NaQuari Rogers run for 3 yds to the Camp 24

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Hajj-Malik Williams run for 6 yds to the Camp 30

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

NaQuari Rogers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Camp 29

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

NaQuari Rogers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Camp 29

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Corey Petersen punt for 35 yds

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Corey Petersen punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ECaro 30

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Rahjai Harris run for 6 yds to the ECaro 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.53

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 34 yds to the Camp 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the Camp 26

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the Camp 23

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the Camp 23

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Camp 28

4th & 8Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +4.69

H. Ahlers pass,to J. Johnson for 28 yds for a TD, (O. Daffer KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Owen Daffer kickoff for 60 yds , Josh McNeely return for 11 yds to the Camp 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.11

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ezeriah Anderson for 27 yds to the Camp 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +3.06

Hajj-Malik Williams run for 13 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.62

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Austin Hite for 15 yds to the ECaro 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

NaQuari Rogers run for 4 yds to the ECaro 25

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Jalen Kelsey for 11 yds to the ECaro 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.45

Hajj-Malik Williams pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CAMPBELL Penalty, Personal Foul (Aaron Maddox) to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.42

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 34 yds to the Camp 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.13

Keaton Mitchell run for 15 yds to the Camp 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.13

Keaton Mitchell run for 15 yds to the Camp 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Keaton Mitchell run for 1 yd to the Camp 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

H. Ahlers run for 2 yds for a TD, (O. Daffer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

NaQuari Rogers run for 13 yds to the Camp 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

NaQuari Rogers run for 3 yds to the Camp 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.56

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Julian Hill for 29 yds to the ECaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Chris McKay Jr. run for 3 yds to the ECaro 27

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -2.52

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to NaQuari Rogers for 5 yds to the ECaro 22

4th & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -2.52

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to NaQuari Rogers for 5 yds to the ECaro 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the ECaro 25

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Rahjai Harris run for no gain to the ECaro 25

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.45

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 17 yds to the ECaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Isaiah Winstead for 5 yds to the ECaro 47

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Rahjai Harris run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.32

Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 33 yds to the Camp 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Rahjai Harris run for 17 yds for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

NaQuari Rogers run for 7 yds to the Camp 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

DeAnte Jackson run for 3 yds to the Camp 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.70

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Austin Hite for 19 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

DeAnte Jackson run for 1 yd to the ECaro 45

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

DeAnte Jackson run for 1 yd to the ECaro 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Ezeriah Anderson for 7 yds to the ECaro 38

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.86

NaQuari Rogers run for 4 yds to the ECaro 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

NaQuari Rogers run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 36

4th & 12Sack-21 ydsPPA -1.10

Hajj-Malik Williams sacked by Elijah Morris and Myles Berry for a loss of 21 yards to the Camp 43

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.70

Keaton Mitchell run for 21 yds to the Camp 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.71

Keaton Mitchell run for 21 yds to the Camp 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Owen Daffer KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

NaQuari Rogers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Camp 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.74

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to Julian Hill for 11 yds to the Camp 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.60

Hajj-Malik Williams pass complete to NaQuari Rogers for no gain to the Camp 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Corey Petersen punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Malik Fleming at the ECaro 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Corey Petersen punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Malik Fleming at the ECaro 33

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Mason Garcia run for 11 yds to the ECaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Mason Garcia pass complete to Aaron Jarman for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.57

Marlon Gunn run for 6 yds to the Camp 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Mason Garcia pass complete to Kerry King for 12 yds to the Camp 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Marlon Gunn run for no gain to the Camp 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Mason Garcia pass complete to Marlon Gunn for 2 yds to the Camp 30

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Mason Garcia pass incomplete

4th & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -2.11

Mason Garcia run for no gain to the Camp 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Lamagea McDowell run for 6 yds to the Camp 36

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Chris McKay Jr. run for 3 yds to the Camp 39

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.98

Chris McKay Jr. run for 1 yd to the Camp 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

DeAnte Jackson run for 3 yds to the Camp 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Hajj-Malik Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.06

Hajj-Malik Williams sacked by Elijah Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the Camp 35

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Corey Petersen punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Malik Fleming at the ECaro 35

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Corey Petersen punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Malik Fleming at the ECaro 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Mason Garcia pass complete to Jarett Garner for 9 yds to the ECaro 44

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Marlon Gunn run for 11 yds to the Camp 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Mason Garcia pass complete to Jarett Garner for 10 yds to the Camp 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Marlon Gunn run for 2 yds to the Camp 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Mason Garcia pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.63

Marlon Gunn run for 21 yds to the Camp 12 for a 1ST down

3rd & 8Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.63

Marlon Gunn run for 21 yds to the Camp 12 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Campbell

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
36%
11 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
50%
8 plays
13%
8 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
61%
31 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
75%
8 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays