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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 18.3

Home Win Probability

New Mexico 12%

Market (consensus)

New Mexico +14.5

Edge: San Diego State -14.5 (3.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego StateSan Diego State
71410334
New MexicoNew Mexico
730010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-77-1410-2810-3110-34
New MexicoSan Diego State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NMSDSNMSDSNMSDSNMSDSNMSDSNMSDSNMSDSNMSDSNMSDSNMSDSNMSDSPUNT39ydTD687ydTD774ydPUNT38ydPUNT633ydTD991ydTO524ydDOWNS836ydDOWNS4-5ydTD326ydFG953ydTD572ydPUNT35ydFG1374ydPUNT3-4ydTO522ydPUNT39ydFG836ydPUNT412ydPUNT36ydPUNT34ydEND3-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego State and New Mexico
StatisticSan Diego StateNew Mexico
Passing16-2615-23
Pass Yards282112
Rush Yards17797
Total Yards459209
Turnovers11
3rd Down7-150-11
Penalties3-405-30
Possession34:3825:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego State
passing
Jalen Mayden
15/25, 280 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kenan Christon
10 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Mekhi Shaw
6 REC, 120 YDS, 2 TD
defense
New Mexico
passing
CJ Montes
15/23, 112 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Nathaniel Jones
8 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Trae Hall
4 REC, 57 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nathaniel Jones run for 5 yds to the NMex 30

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Nathaniel Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 28

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

CJ Montes run for 6 yds to the NMex 34

4th & 1Punt-2 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 51 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 13

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Jordan Byrd run for 3 yds to the SDSt 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 6 yds to the SDSt 22

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.35

Jalen Mayden run for 12 yds to the SDSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offsides (Bryce Santana) to the SDSt 39

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kenan Christon run for 4 yds to the SDSt 43

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Kenan Christon run for 6 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +3.92

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 51 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Jack Browning kickoff for 64 yds , Christian Washington return for 25 yds to the NMex 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

CJ Montes run for 4 yds to the NMex 30

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.86

Nathaniel Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 28

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Roughing the Passer on MCDONALD, Cooper enforced (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Christian Washington run for 6 yds to the NEWMEXICO 44 NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive Holding (Isaak Gutierrez) to the NMex 44

1st & 16Rush+51 ydsPPA +3.37

Nathaniel Jones run for 51 yds to the SDSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Christian Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

CJ Montes run for 6 yds for a TD, (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

George Steinkamp kickoff for 46 yds , J.P. Murphy return for 14 yds to the SDSt 33

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.59

Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSt 27

2nd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 4 yds to the SDSt 31

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 10 yds to the SDSt 41

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the NMex 17

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Nathaniel Jones run for 10 yds to the NMex 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Christian Washington run for 2 yds to the NMex 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.15

CJ Montes pass complete to Elijah Queen for 16 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Christian Washington run for 1 yd to the NMex 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

CJ Montes pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

CJ Montes pass complete to Luke Wysong for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 41 yds, downed at the SDSt 9

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Cam Davis run for 3 yds to the SDSt 12

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 8 yds to the SDSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.43

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 12 yds to the SDSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Cam Davis run for 2 yds to the SDSt 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+63 ydsPPA +5.32

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 63 yds to the NMex 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the NMex 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jaylon Armstead run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Christian Washington run for 9 yds to the NMex 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.06

CJ Montes pass complete to Trae Hall for 17 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Sherod White run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 49

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

CJ Montes pass incomplete

3rd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -0.75

CJ Montes pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Kenan Christon run for 1 yd to the SDSt 34

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.08

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 17 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.62

Jalen Mayden run for 10 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Kenan Christon run for 2 yds to the NMex 37

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jalen Mayden run for 6 yds to the NMex 31

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Jaylon Armstead run for 1 yd to the NMex 30

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.97

Jaylon Armstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 31

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Nathaniel Jones run for 1 yd to the NMex 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

CJ Montes pass complete to Geordon Porter for 1 yd to the NMex 33

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

CJ Montes pass incomplete

4th & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-7 ydsPPA +0.14

run for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 26 fumbled, recovered by NMex J.C. Davis

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 27

2nd & 11Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.27

Jalen Mayden sacked by Reco Hannah for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 30

3rd & 14Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +4.58

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 30 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

CJ Montes pass complete to Trae Hall for 14 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.90

CJ Montes pass complete to Christian Washington for 1 yd to the NMex 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.61

CJ Montes pass complete to Trae Hall for 21 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

CJ Montes pass complete to Luke Wysong for 7 yds to the SDSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.04

CJ Montes pass complete to Connor Witthoft for 5 yds to the SDSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

CJ Montes pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

CJ Montes pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

CJ Montes pass complete to Trae Hall for 5 yds to the SDSt 22

4th & 5Field Goal Good+39 yds

Luke Drzewiecki 39 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

George Steinkamp kickoff for 64 yds , Jordan Byrd return for 27 yds to the SDSt 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 14 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Byrd run for 5 yds to the SDSt 47

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 6 yds to the NMex 49

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +5.79

Kenan Christon run for 49 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+38 yds

Jack Browning kickoff for 61 yds , Christian Washington return for 38 yds to the NMex 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Nathaniel Jones run for 3 yds to the NMex 45

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 47

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

CJ Montes pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 13

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.00

Kenan Christon run for 17 yds to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Cam Davis run for no gain to the SDSt 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.26

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 28 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cam Davis run for 5 yds to the NMex 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 4 yds to the NMex 33

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.46

Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 9 yds to the NMex 22

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jordan Byrd run for 6 yds to the NMex 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Byrd run for 3 yds to the NMex 13

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+30 yds

Jack Browning 30 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Jack Browning kickoff for 64 yds , Christian Washington return for 21 yds to the NMex 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

CJ Montes pass complete to Geordon Porter for 5 yds to the NMex 27

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

(03:07) MONTES, C.J. pass to the left incomplete intended for PORTER, Geordon thrown to the SDS43, clock 03:02. PENALTY UNM Holding on MATAUTIA, Shannco enforced 10 yards from the UNM27 to the UNM17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.19

CJ Montes sacked by Cooper McDonald for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 10

3rd & 22Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.02

CJ Montes run for 8 yds to the NMex 18

4th & 14Punt+8 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 35 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 8 yds to the NMex 45

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jordan Byrd run for 1 yd to the NMex 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.53

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Josh Nicholson for 18 yds to the NMex 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jordan Byrd run for 3 yds to the NMex 23

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -3.61

Jalen Mayden pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Christian Washington run for 3 yds to the NMex 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

CJ Montes pass complete to Luke Wysong for 4 yds to the NMex 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

CJ Montes pass complete to Luke Wysong for 2 yds to the NMex 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 35

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.77

Kenan Christon run for 20 yds to the NMex 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kenan Christon run for 2 yds to the NMex 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.28

Jalen Mayden run for 13 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Kenan Christon run for 2 yds to the NMex 28

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Kenan Christon run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 29

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+46 yds

Jack Browning 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Noah Avinger) to the NMex 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the NMex 38

1st & 15Penalty-11 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, Intentional Grounding (CJ Montes) to the NMex 0

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

CJ Montes pass incomplete

4th & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA +0.22

CJ Montes run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 37

1st & 10Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 31

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Sheldon Canley II run for 3 yds to the SDSt 34

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Sheldon Canley II run for 1 yd to the SDSt 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Liu Aumavae pass complete to Sheldon Canley II for 2 yds to the SDSt 37

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 63 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Sherod White run for 4 yds to the NMex 24

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Christian Washington run for 5 yds to the NMex 29

3rd & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.83

Christian Washington run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Lucky Sutton run for 4 yds to the SDSt 39

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

(00:59) SUTTON, Lucky rush to the right for a gain of 10 yards to the SDS49 (HUNTER, Dion), out of bounds, clock 00:53. PENALTY SDS Holding on SIMMONS, Josh enforced 10 yards from the SDS39 to the SDS29 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Lucky Sutton run for 4 yds to the SDSt 33

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.22

(00:11) [SG] Kneel down by SDS at SDS31 (team loss of 2), clock 00:01.

Situational Analysis

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
29%
24 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
14 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
57%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

New Mexico

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
35%
17 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play