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← Back to GamesNov 5, 2022Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 8.1

Home Win Probability

San Diego State 67%

Market (consensus)

San Diego State -5

Edge: San Diego State -5 (3.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 5, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UNLVUNLV
007310
San Diego StateSan Diego State
077014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-014-014-714-10
San Diego StateUNLV

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UNLSDSUNLSDSUNLSDSUNLSDSUNLSDSUNLSDSUNLSDSUNLSDSSDSUNLSDSUNLSDSUNLSDSUNLSDSUNLSDSPUNT833ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT518ydPUNT33ydTO30ydPUNT32ydTD1065ydTO410ydMISS43ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT30ydTO539ydPUNT623ydPUNT33ydEND214ydTD775ydTO960ydPUNT3-1ydTD280ydMISS834ydTO957ydDOWNS4-6ydFG43ydPUNT517ydPUNT640ydEND1179yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UNLV and San Diego State
StatisticUNLVSan Diego State
Passing17-2719-31
Pass Yards207216
Rush Yards11899
Total Yards325315
Turnovers41
3rd Down5-144-14
Penalties4-362-15
Possession25:5634:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UNLV
passing
Doug Brumfield
17/27, 207 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Aidan Robbins
21 CAR, 115 YDS
receiving
Nick Williams
4 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TD
defense
San Diego State
passing
Jalen Mayden
19/31, 216 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jaylon Armstead
14 CAR, 72 YDS
receiving
Jesse Matthews
5 REC, 84 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Jarrett Reeser kickoff for 60 yds , Sammy Green return for 24 yds to the UNLV 29 Sammy Green fumbled, recovered by UNLV

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Doug Brumfield run for 1 yd to the UNLV 30

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.10

Aidan Robbins run for 14 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Aidan Robbins run for 7 yds to the SDSt 49

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.00

Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the SDSt 48

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.46

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Ricky White for 7 yds to the SDSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the SDSt 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Doug Brumfield pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Doug Brumfield pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Marshall Nichols punt for 36 yds, downed at the SDSt 2

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jordan Byrd run for 3 yds to the SDSt 5

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 6 yds to the SDSt 11

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordan Byrd run for no gain to the SDSt 11

4th & 1Punt+4 yds

Jack Browning punt for 58 yds , Nohl Williams returns for 4 yds to the UNLV 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the UNLV 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Doug Brumfield pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.77

Doug Brumfield sacked by Caden McDonald for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 31

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Marshall Nichols punt for 39 yds, downed at the SDSt 30

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Jalen Mayden sacked by Adam Plant Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 28

2nd & 12Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.11

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 24 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jordan Byrd run for 4 yds to the UNLV 44

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Chance Bell run for 2 yds to the UNLV 42

3rd & 4Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.52

Jalen Mayden sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the SDSt 48

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 51 yds, downed at the UNLV 1

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Doug Brumfield run for no gain to the UNLV 1

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Doug Brumfield run for 1 yd to the UNLV 2

3rd & 9Penalty0 yds

UNLV Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the UNLV 1

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Doug Brumfield run for 3 yds to the UNLV 4

4th & 7Punt+9 yds

Marshall Nichols punt for 35 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 9 yds to the UNLV 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 5 yds to the UNLV 25

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UNLV 30

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.63

Jalen Mayden pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.91

Doug Brumfield sacked by Dallas Branch for a loss of 8 yards to the UNLV 12

2nd & 18Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Kyle Williams for 10 yds to the UNLV 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Doug Brumfield pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Marshall Nichols punt for 43 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for no gain to the SDSt 35

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Kenan Christon run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 33

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 6 yds to the SDSt 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.18

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 7 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Chance Bell for 7 yds to the UNLV 47

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.19

Jalen Mayden run for 4 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Kenan Christon run for 7 yds to the UNLV 36

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Kenan Christon run for 1 yd to the UNLV 35

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.76

Jaylon Armstead run for 5 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the UNLV 28

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.11

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 28 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Jarrett Reeser kickoff for 55 yds , Courtney Reese return for 17 yds to the UNLV 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Ricky White for 3 yds to the UNLV 30

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.79

Aidan Robbins run for 13 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Courtney Reese run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 41

2nd & 12Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -0.97

Doug Brumfield run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 37 Doug Brumfield fumbled, recovered by SDSt Garret Fountain

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Cam Davis run for 1 yd to the UNLV 36

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Jalen Mayden run for 7 yds to the UNLV 29

3rd & 2Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.94

Jaylon Armstead run for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 34

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Jack Browning 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Doug Brumfield pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

UNLV Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 29

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Aidan Robbins run for no gain to the UNLV 29

3rd & 15Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.15

Doug Brumfield sacked by Keshawn Banks and Jonah Tavai for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 27

4th & 17Punt-3 yds

Marshall Nichols punt for 49 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kenan Christon run for no gain to the SDSt 21

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Nohl Williams at the UNLV 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Nick Williams for 7 yds to the UNLV 40

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.27

Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Aidan Robbins for 3 yds to the UNLV 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.35

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Kyle Williams for 8 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+18 ydsPPA -3.46

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Ricky White for 18 yds Ricky White fumbled, recovered by SDSt Dallas Branch

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 12 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.04

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 5 yds to the UNLV 45

3rd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.68

Jalen Mayden sacked by Eliel Ehimare for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 49

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Nohl Williams at the UNLV 8

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.43

Aidan Robbins run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 5

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Aidan Robbins run for 5 yds to the UNLV 10

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the UNLV 11

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Marshall Nichols punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.47

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 19 yds to the UNLV 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.93

Braxton Burmeister sacked by Adam Plant Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 45

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+1 yds

Daniel Gutierrez kickoff for 41 yds , Max Garrison return for 1 yd to the SDSt 25

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jaylon Armstead run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.87

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 24 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaylon Armstead run for 4 yds to the UNLV 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 8 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Jalen Mayden run for 9 yds to the UNLV 32

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Josh Simmons) to the UNLV 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.65

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 13 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 24 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jarrett Reeser kickoff for 61 yds , Courtney Reese return for 16 yds to the UNLV 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Aidan Robbins run for 5 yds to the UNLV 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Ricky White for 4 yds to the UNLV 29

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.34

Doug Brumfield run for 8 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Nick Williams for 2 yds to the UNLV 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Shelton Zeon III for 6 yds to the UNLV 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.19

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Nick Williams for 15 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Doug Brumfield pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.42

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Ricky White for 20 yds to the SDSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.38

Doug Brumfield pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the SDSt 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jalen Mayden sacked by Austin Ajiake for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 19

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 61 yds , Nohl Williams returns for no gain to the UNLV 20

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Doug Brumfield run for 10 yds to the UNLV 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.69

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Nick Williams for 70 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Daniel Gutierrez kickoff for 41 yds , Aaron Greene return for 11 yds to the SDSt 35

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MAYDEN, Jalen pass to the left incomplete intended for SHAVERS, Tyrell thrown to the NLV46. PENALTY NLV Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Nohl enforced 15 yards to the SDS50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jalen Mayden run for 5 yds to the UNLV 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 4 yds to the UNLV 41

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.11

Jaylon Armstead run for 7 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jaylon Armstead run for 3 yds to the UNLV 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Jack Browning 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Doug Brumfield pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Doug Brumfield run for 6 yds to the UNLV 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.10

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Kyle Williams for 23 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Ricky White for 7 yds to the SDSt 33

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the SDSt 32

3rd & 2Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.06

Aidan Robbins run for 24 yds to the SDSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Aidan Robbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 9

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Doug Brumfield run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 12

3rd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -3.77

Doug Brumfield pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Kenan Christon run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 16

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Kenan Christon for 5 yds to the SDSt 21

4th & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-14 ydsPPA +0.30

Jack Browning run for a loss of 14 yards to the SDSt 14 Jack Browning fumbled, recovered by SDSt Jack Browning

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Aidan Robbins run for no gain to the SDSt 14

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Aidan Robbins run for no gain to the SDSt 14

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Ricky White for 3 yds to the SDSt 11

4th & 7Field Goal Good+29 yds

Daniel Gutierrez 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.60

Jalen Mayden run for 6 yds to the SDSt 31 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Personal Foul (Tavis Malakius) to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for no gain to the SDSt 46

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.84

Jalen Mayden sacked by Jalen Dixon for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 42

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Nohl Williams at the UNLV 14

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.51

Aidan Robbins run for 22 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Aidan Robbins run for 4 yds to the UNLV 40

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.39

Aidan Robbins run for 9 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Aidan Robbins run for 4 yds to the SDSt 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Doug Brumfield pass complete to Shelton Zeon III for 1 yd to the SDSt 46

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Doug Brumfield pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Marshall Nichols punt for 40 yds, downed at the SDSt 6

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.36

Jordan Byrd run for 11 yds to the SDSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 9 yds to the SDSt 26

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jordan Byrd run for no gain to the SDSt 26

3rd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.07

Jaylon Armstead run for 17 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Jaylon Armstead run for 11 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Jaylon Armstead run for 8 yds to the UNLV 38

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kenan Christon run for 4 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jaylon Armstead run for 6 yds to the UNLV 28

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jaylon Armstead run for no gain to the UNLV 28

3rd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.83

Jaylon Armstead run for 14 yds to the UNLV 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Kneel down by MAYDEN, Jalen at NLV15 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

UNLV

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
27%
26 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
55%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
31 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
55%
11 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play