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← Back to GamesOct 23, 2022Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 3.2

Home Win Probability

Nevada 40%

Market (consensus)

Nevada +7.5

Edge: Nevada +7.5 (4.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 23, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego StateSan Diego State
10310023
NevadaNevada
07007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-100-1314-167-23
NevadaSan Diego State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEVNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVSDSNEVSDSTD25ydPUNT33ydFG832ydPUNT35ydPUNT920ydPUNT831ydFG1479ydTD1485ydPUNT49ydEND1-1ydPUNT3-5ydTO20ydFG719ydPUNT3-7ydTD451ydPUNT650ydPUNT932ydPUNT31ydTO321ydPUNT511ydPUNT39ydDOWNS1269ydEND39yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego State and Nevada
StatisticSan Diego StateNevada
Passing12-2523-41
Pass Yards156192
Rush Yards16135
Total Yards317227
Turnovers12
3rd Down6-163-14
Penalties11-917-53
Possession34:1725:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego State
passing
Jalen Mayden
12/25, 156 YDS
rushing
Chance Bell
12 CAR, 55 YDS
receiving
Tyrell Shavers
3 REC, 36 YDS
defense
Nevada
passing
Shane Illingworth
21/33, 181 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Toa Taua
12 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Spencer Curtis
5 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 27

2nd & 8Fumble Return Touchdown+30 ydsPPA -7.47

Patrick McMorris 30 Yd Fumble Return (Jack Browning Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ Casteel

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Harry Webster punt for 17 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jordan Byrd run for 3 yds to the Nevad 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 13 yds to the Nevad 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jordan Byrd run for 6 yds to the Nevad 23

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jordan Byrd run for 4 yds to the Nevad 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jalen Mayden run for 7 yds to the Nevad 12

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jordan Byrd run for 1 yd to the Nevad 11

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.23

Jordan Byrd run for 2 yds to the Nevad 13

4th & 4Field Goal Good+30 yds

Jack Browning 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 5 yds to the Nevad 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Toa Taua run for no gain to the Nevad 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Toa Taua

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Harry Webster punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 40

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jordan Byrd run for no gain to the SDSt 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Tyrell Shavers

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.50

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 21 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jordan Byrd run for no gain to the Nevad 39

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Brionne Penny

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.24

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Mark Redman for 13 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Kenan Christon run for 1 yd to the Nevad 32

2nd & 21Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chance Bell run for 4 yds to the Nevad 33

3rd & 17Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.75

Jalen Mayden sacked by Eli'jah Winston for a loss of 7 yards to the Nevad 40

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 18

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Spencer Curtis

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nate Cox run for 5 yds to the Nevad 49

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Nevada False Start (Taua,Toa) 5 yards from Nevada49 to Nevada44. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Nate Cox pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ Casteel

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.62

Nate Cox sacked by Michael Shawcroft for a loss of 9 yards to the SDSt 49

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ Casteel

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Harry Webster punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalen Mayden run for 3 yds to the SDSt 15

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Tyrell Shavers

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.18

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 11 yds to the SDSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Chance Bell run for 3 yds to the SDSt 29

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Chance Bell run for no gain to the SDSt 29

3rd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.89

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Braxton Burmeister for 19 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.24

Chance Bell run for 24 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.23

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 15 yds to the Nevad 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jalen Mayden run for 7 yds to the Nevad 6

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.77

Chance Bell run for 3 yds to the Nevad 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Chance Bell run for 1 yd to the Nevad 4

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mark Redman

4th & 9Field Goal Good+27 yds

Jack Browning 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+38 yds

Jack Browning kickoff for 62 yds , Bentlee Sanders return for 38 yds to the NEVADA 27 NEVADA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Nevad 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 17

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Toa Taua run for 7 yds to the Nevad 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.61

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 1 yd to the Nevad 25

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Nevada False Start (Campbell,Dalevon) 5 yards from Nevada25 to Nevada20. NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell

3rd & 16Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.16

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 16 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 39

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Shane Illingworth run for 1 yd to the Nevad 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.59

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 26 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Toa Taua for 6 yds to the SDSt 30

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Toa Taua for 2 yds to the SDSt 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Wesley Kommer run for 1 yd to the SDSt 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Shane Illingworth pass complete to BJ Casteel for 6 yds to the SDSt 20

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +5.24

Spencer Curtis 20 Yd pass from Shane Illingworth (Matthew Killam Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+33 yds

Matthew Killam kickoff for 65 yds , Jordan Byrd return for 33 yds to the SDSt 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 10 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Chance Bell

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Jalen Mayden sacked by Dwight Togiola for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 42

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Tyrell Shavers

4th & 11Punt+10 yds

Jack Browning punt for 38 yds , Bentlee Sanders returns for 10 yds to the Nevad 30

4th & 11Punt+10 yds

Jack Browning punt for 38 yds , Bentlee Sanders returns for 10 yds to the Nevad 10

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Kneel down by Nevada at Nevada09 for loss of 1 yards.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Matthew Killam kickoff for 65 yds , Jordan Byrd return for 23 yds to the SDSt 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Tyrell Shavers

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews

3rd & 21Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Jordan Byrd run for 6 yds to the SDSt 18

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 59 yds , Bentlee Sanders returns for no gain to the Nevad 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.15

Shane Illingworth pass intercepted

1st & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Chance Bell run for 1 yd to the Nevad 26

2nd & 12Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for no gain to the Nevad 26

3rd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.47

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 12 yds to the Nevad 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Chance Bell run for 7 yds to the Nevad 12

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Chance Bell run for 1 yd to the Nevad 11

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chance Bell run for 5 yds to the Nevad 6

4th & 2Field Goal Good+23 yds

Jack Browning 23 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Jack Browning kickoff for 62 yds , Bentlee Sanders return for 17 yds to the Nevad 20

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Carlton Brown III for no gain to the Nevad 20

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.41

Shane Illingworth sacked by Jonah Tavai for a loss of 7 yards to the Nevad 13

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Jeremiah Gradowitz

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Harry Webster punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Jalen Mayden run for 9 yds to the Nevad 42

2nd & 6Penalty+10 yds

Shotgun Mayden,Jalen pass incomplete short middle to Shaw,Mekhi broken up by Sanders,Bentlee, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Nevada Pass Interference (Sanders,Bentlee) 10 yards from Nevada47 to Nevada37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chance Bell run for 5 yds to the Nevad 32

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Chris Johnson

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.74

Jalen Mayden 32 Yd Run (Jack Browning Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jack Browning kickoff for 65 yds , Bentlee Sanders return for 16 yds to the NEVADA 49 NEVADA Penalty, Offensive Holding (8 Yards) to the Nevad 8

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 10

2nd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.72

Shane Illingworth pass complete to BJ Casteel for 24 yds to the Nevad 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.20

Toa Taua run for 27 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Shane Illingworth pass complete to BJ Casteel for 4 yds to the SDSt 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Carlos Sandy for 1 yd to the SDSt 34

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.55

Shane Illingworth sacked by Jonah Tavai for a loss of 8 yards to the SDSt 42

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Harry Webster punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 11

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Jordan Byrd run for 9 yds to the SDSt 20

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Byrd run for 3 yds to the SDSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chance Bell run for 5 yds to the SDSt 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.69

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Aaron Greene for 5 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Brionne Penny

2nd & 15Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.11

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Brionne Penny for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Mekhi Shaw

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jalen Mayden pass incomplete to Jordan Byrd

3rd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Kenan Christon run for 3 yds to the SDSt 43

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 57 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 6 yds to the Nevad 26

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.49

Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the Nevad 21

3rd & 9Penalty0 yds

NEVADA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Harry Webster punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cam Davis run for 4 yds to the SDSt 38

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Cam Davis run for 2 yds to the SDSt 40

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+15 ydsPPA +2.61

Jalen Mayden pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 15 yds Jesse Matthews fumbled, recovered by SDSt Naki Mateialona

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.42

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Toa Taua for 9 yds to the SDSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Shane Illingworth pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Toa Taua

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to BJ Casteel

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Harry Webster punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 27

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Cam Davis run for 6 yds to the SDSt 33

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Martin Blake run for 2 yds to the SDSt 35

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Cam Davis run for 1 yd to the SDSt 36

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jack Browning punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Bentlee Sanders at the Nevad 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.28

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Toa Taua for 16 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Toa Taua for 12 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 4 yds to the SDSt 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 1 yd to the SDSt 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Jamaal Bell

4th & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.65

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 23 yds to the SDSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Nevada False Start (Campbell,Dalevon) 5 yards from SDSU25 to SDSU30. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Spencer Curtis

2nd & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.24

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 15 yds to the SDSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Wesley Kommer for 2 yds to the SDSt 13

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Shane Illingworth pass complete to Carlos Sandy for 3 yds to the SDSt 10

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.79

Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Cam Davis run for 1 yd to the SDSt 11

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Cam Davis run for 2 yds to the SDSt 13

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Cam Davis run for 6 yds to the SDSt 19

Situational Analysis

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
21 plays
25%
4 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
10%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
86%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
4th

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
33%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play