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← Back to GamesOct 16, 2022Week 7
Air ForceAir Force
42
-Final
7
UNLVUNLV
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 5.2

Home Win Probability

UNLV 33%

Market (consensus)

UNLV +10

Edge: UNLV +10 (4.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 16, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Air ForceAir Force
141414042
UNLVUNLV
07007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-217-287-42
UNLVAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UNLAFAFUNLAFUNLAFUNLAFUNLAFAFUNLAFUNLAFUNLAFTO957ydTD481ydTD418ydPUNT31ydTD1164ydUncategorized2-1ydTD316ydPUNT32ydPUNT1231ydTD689ydEND512ydTD1175ydTO216ydTD1038ydPUNT35ydDOWNS1442ydDOWNS719ydUncategorized535yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and UNLV
StatisticAir ForceUNLV
Passing1-310-15
Pass Yards14118
Rush Yards40661
Total Yards420179
Turnovers04
3rd Down4-92-6
Penalties1-100-0
Possession43:1616:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
Haaziq Daniels
1/2, 14 YDS
rushing
Brad Roberts
29 CAR, 144 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Amari Terry
1 REC, 14 YDS
defense
UNLV
passing
Cameron Friel
8/10, 108 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Courtney Reese
5 CAR, 37 YDS
receiving
Ricky White
4 REC, 58 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -4.25

Cameron Friel run for 3 yds to the AFA 19 Cameron Friel fumbled, recovered by AFA Jayden Goodwin

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Matthew Dapore kickoff for 58 yds , Courtney Reese return for 11 yds to the UNLV 18 Courtney Reese fumbled, recovered by AFA Emmanuel Michel , return for no gain to the UNLV 18

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Aidan Robbins run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65
3rd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.08

Cameron Friel pass complete to Aidan Robbins for 22 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Aidan Robbins run for 8 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.07

Aidan Robbins run for 9 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Aidan Robbins run for 4 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Cameron Friel pass complete to Ricky White for 7 yds to the AFA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the AFA 18

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Matthew Dapore kickoff for 60 yds , Nohl Williams return for 24 yds to the UNLV 29

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Matthew Dapore kickoff for 56 yds , Nohl Williams return for 20 yds to the UNLV 29

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Luke Wieland kickoff for 60 yds , Sammy Green return for 23 yds to the UNLV 28

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +5.47

John Lee Eldridge III 60 Yd Run (Matthew Dapore Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 23

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.47

John Lee Eldridge III run for 14 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Brad Roberts 5 Yd Run (Matthew Dapore Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the UNLV 12

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.09

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the UNLV 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

DeAndre Hughes run for 3 yds to the UNLV 5

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Marshall Nichols punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Nick Williams, broken up by TD Blackmon

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28

3rd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.33

Cameron Friel sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 26

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.94

Zac Larrier run for 6 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.74

John Lee Eldridge III run for 10 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Emmanuel Michel run for 7 yds to the UNLV 36

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Emmanuel Michel run for 4 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Emmanuel Michel run for 6 yds to the UNLV 26

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the UNLV 19

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.02

John Lee Eldridge III run for 14 yds to the UNLV 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55
2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Brad Roberts 5 Yd Run (Matthew Dapore Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Aidan Robbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 28

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Brad Roberts 3 Yd Run (Matthew Dapore Kick)

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Marshall Nichols punt for 42 yds

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Cameron Friel pass complete to Jordan Younge-Humphrey for 8 yds to the UNLV 48

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Cameron Friel pass complete to Senika McKie for 8 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.57

Cameron Friel pass complete to Shelton Zeon III for 13 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Ricky White 31 Yd pass from Cameron Friel (Daniel Gutierrez Kick)

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to John Lee Eldridge III, broken up by Nohl Williams

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Haaziq Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 35

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Brad Roberts 3 Yd Run (Matthew Dapore Kick)

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.26

Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the UNLV 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Brad Roberts run for 8 yds to the UNLV 7

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.34

Cameron Friel pass intercepted

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Emmanuel Michel 1 Yd Run (Matthew Dapore Kick)

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Marshall Nichols punt for 55 yds

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Omar Fattah run for 3 yds to the AFA 20

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.76

Omar Fattah run for 5 yds to the AFA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Owen Burk run for 5 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Owen Burk run for 3 yds to the AFA 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Owen Burk run for 2 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Owen Burk run for 4 yds to the AFA 39

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Owen Burk run for 3 yds to the AFA 42

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Owen Burk run for 2 yds to the AFA 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.13

Owen Burk run for 2 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jensen Jones run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Owen Burk run for 2 yds to the UNLV 48

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Owen Burk run for 2 yds to the UNLV 46

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.34

pass incomplete to Aiden Calvert

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.26

pass incomplete to Senika McKie

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Courtney Reese run for 5 yds to the AFA 49

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.94

Jordan Younge-Humphrey run for 3 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Courtney Reese run for 3 yds to the AFA 35

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Aiden Calvert run for 9 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.24

Owen Burk run for 9 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Owen Burk run for 2 yds to the UNLV 45

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
50%
16 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
55%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays

UNLV

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
11 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play