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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Sacramento State by 20.9

Home Win Probability

Colorado State 10%

Market (consensus)

Colorado State +4.5

Edge: Sacramento State -4.5 (16.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Sacramento StateSacramento State
71771041
Colorado StateColorado State
0100010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-73-73-1410-2110-2410-3110-3410-41
Colorado StateSacramento State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CSSSCSSSCSSSCSSSCSSSCSSSSSCSSSCSSSCSSSCSSSPUNT611ydTD874ydPUNT526ydPUNT519ydFG871ydTD1175ydPUNT3-7ydTD216ydPUNT32ydTO335ydTD889ydFG849ydPUNT720ydDOWNS720ydTD832ydPUNT525ydFG828ydPUNT34ydTD1668ydDOWNS47ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Sacramento State and Colorado State
StatisticSacramento StateColorado State
Passing22-3313-22
Pass Yards235178
Rush Yards16075
Total Yards395253
Turnovers11
3rd Down8-123-13
Penalties1-53-29
Possession33:5826:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Sacramento State
passing
Jake Dunniway
12/23, 164 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Cameron Skattebo
17 CAR, 67 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Cameron Skattebo
3 REC, 56 YDS
defense
Colorado State
passing
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi
6/15, 116 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
A'Jon Vivens
10 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
Tory Horton
3 REC, 127 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Gabe Panikowski kickoff for 65 yds , Justus Ross-Simmons return for 23 yds to the ColSt 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

David Bailey run for 6 yds to the ColSt 29

2nd & 4Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Clay Millen pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 27

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.48

Clay Millen pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 6 yds to the ColSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Clay Millen run for 1 yd to the ColSt 34

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the ColSt 36

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Clay Millen pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 3 yds to the ColSt 39

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the ColSt 34

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Jake Dunniway pass complete to Jared Gipson for 10 yds to the SacSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jake Dunniway pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Jake Dunniway pass complete to Jared Gipson for 8 yds to the SacSt 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Jake Dunniway pass complete to Jared Gipson for 7 yds to the ColSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.18

Jake Dunniway pass complete to Parker Clayton for 32 yds to the ColSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Marcus Fulcher run for 6 yds to the ColSt 11

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.34

Cameron Skattebo run for 5 yds to the ColSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Asher O'Hara run for 6 yds for a TD, (Kyle Sentkowski KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Clay Millen pass complete to Tanner Arkin for 5 yds to the ColSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.71

David Bailey run for 15 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.11

Clay Millen pass complete to David Bailey for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 40

2nd & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.52

Clay Millen run for 12 yds to the SacSt 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Clay Millen pass complete to Louis Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the SacSt 49

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Marcus Fulcher at the SacSt 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Jake Dunniway pass complete to Marshel Martin for 9 yds to the SacSt 22

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.07

Marcus Fulcher run for 6 yds to the SacSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jake Dunniway pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jake Dunniway pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

SACRAMENTO ST Penalty, False Start (Cameron Skattebo) to the SacSt 23

3rd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.16

Jake Dunniway pass complete to Cameron Skattebo for 9 yds to the SacSt 32

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 46 yds , Thomas Pannunzio returns for no gain to the ColSt 22

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

A'Jon Vivens run for 6 yds to the ColSt 28

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

A'Jon Vivens run for 3 yds to the ColSt 31

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.23

A'Jon Vivens run for 6 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+56 ydsPPA +2.85

Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 56 yds to the SacSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the SacSt 7

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

David Bailey run for no gain to the SacSt 7

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

David Bailey run for no gain to the SacSt 7

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

Michael Boyle 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cameron Skattebo run for 2 yds to the SacSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds to the SacSt 31

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

O'HARA, Asher pass to the left incomplete intended for WILLIAMS, Pierre thrown to the SAC50. PENALTY CSU Pass Interference on ANUSIEM, Chigozie enforced 15 yards to the SAC46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jake Dunniway run for no gain to the SacSt 46 Jake Dunniway fumbled, recovered by SacSt

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jake Dunniway pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.23

Jake Dunniway pass complete to Pierre Williams for 17 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.39

Marcus Fulcher run for 14 yds to the ColSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Marcus Fulcher run for 6 yds to the ColSt 17

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Cameron Skattebo run for no gain to the ColSt 17

3rd & 4Penalty0 yds

DUNNIWAY, Jake pass to the left incomplete intended for GIPSON, Jared thrown to the CSU2. PENALTY CSU Holding on GUZMAN, Brandon enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the CSU17 to the CSU8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Marcus Fulcher for 3 yds to the ColSt 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jake Dunniway pass incomplete

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Jake Dunniway pass complete to Pierre Williams for 5 yds for a TD, (Kyle Sentkowski KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tanner Arkin run for 1 yd to the ColSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

A'Jon Vivens run for 6 yds to the ColSt 32

3rd & 3Sack-14 ydsPPA -0.91

Clay Millen sacked by Marte Mapu for a loss of 14 yards to the ColSt 18

4th & 17Punt+44 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 42 yds , Marcus Fulcher returns for 44 yds to the ColSt 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the ColSt 14

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.75

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Marcus Fulcher for 14 yds for a TD, (Kyle Sentkowski KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the ColSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.06

Jake Dunniway pass complete to Cameron Skattebo for 35 yds to the ColSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jake Dunniway pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.85

Jake Dunniway pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.43

Avery Morrow run for 10 yds to the ColSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the ColSt 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.67

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 14 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.06

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi sacked by Brandon Knott for a loss of 11 yards to the ColSt 25

2nd & 21Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.74

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 19 yds to the ColSt 44

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Avery Morrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 43

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.55

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 5 yds to the ColSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.01

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 52 yds for a TD, (Michael Boyle KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Marcus Fulcher run for 6 yds to the SacSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.82

Jake Dunniway pass complete to Jared Gipson for 18 yds to the SacSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Jake Dunniway run for 9 yds to the ColSt 42

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jake Dunniway pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.87

Cameron Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ColSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.37

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Cameron Skattebo for 12 yds to the ColSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jake Dunniway pass incomplete

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+45 yds

Kyle Sentkowski 45 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Jared Gipson for 7 yds to the SacSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Marcus Fulcher run for 7 yds to the SacSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Cameron Skattebo run for 3 yds to the SacSt 42

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.44

Cameron Skattebo run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Asher O'Hara run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Parker Clayton for 3 yds to the ColSt 47

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.73

Jake Dunniway sacked by Drew Kulick for a loss of 8 yards to the SacSt 45

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Cal McGough punt for 43 yds , Thomas Pannunzio returns for no gain to the ColSt 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the ColSt 14

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.37

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for 14 yds to the ColSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

A'Jon Vivens run for 7 yds to the ColSt 35

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

A'Jon Vivens run for 2 yds to the ColSt 37

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -0.32

A'Jon Vivens run for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 32 A'Jon Vivens fumbled, recovered by SacSt Jeremy Harris

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jake Dunniway pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Asher O'Hara run for 5 yds to the ColSt 27

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 11 yds to the ColSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Elijah Tau-Tolliver for 9 yds to the ColSt 7

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.26

Cameron Skattebo run for 3 yds to the ColSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Asher O'Hara run for no gain to the ColSt 4

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Elijah Gable for 3 yds Elijah Gable fumbled, recovered by SacSt

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Asher O'Hara run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Sentkowski KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Gabe Panikowski kickoff for 65 yds , A'Jon Vivens return for 15 yds to the ColSt 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

David Bailey run for 4 yds to the ColSt 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.73

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 19 yds to the ColSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

David Bailey run for 2 yds to the ColSt 40

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 17 yds

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 3 yards to the SacSt 40

2nd & 13Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.73

Asher O'Hara run for 15 yds to the ColSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Cameron Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ColSt 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Jake Dunniway pass complete to Elijah Tau-Tolliver for 10 yds to the ColSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jake Dunniway sacked by Grady Kelly and Cam'Ron Carter for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 34

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Cameron Skattebo run for 5 yds to the ColSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jake Dunniway pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+47 yds

Kyle Sentkowski 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for 1 yd to the ColSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Avery Morrow run for 3 yds to the ColSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 43 yds , Cameron Skattebo returns for 4 yds to the SacSt 32

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Cameron Skattebo run for 6 yds to the SacSt 38

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Cameron Skattebo run for 8 yds to the SacSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Cameron Skattebo run for 7 yds to the ColSt 47

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.19

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 4 yds to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the ColSt 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jake Dunniway pass complete to Pierre Williams for 4 yds to the ColSt 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.10

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Marshel Martin for 4 yds to the ColSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Cameron Skattebo run for 1 yd to the ColSt 32

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Cameron Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ColSt 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.82

Asher O'Hara pass complete to Marshel Martin for 5 yds to the ColSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 7 yds to the ColSt 16

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.02

Cameron Skattebo run for 8 yds to the ColSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Cameron Skattebo run for no gain to the ColSt 8

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Asher O'Hara run for 7 yds to the ColSt 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jake Dunniway run for no gain to the ColSt 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Cameron Skattebo run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Sentkowski KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the ColSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 7 yds to the ColSt 32

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

No play data available

Situational Analysis

Sacramento State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
47%
32 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
46%
13 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
19 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
30%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
33%
3 plays