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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4
NevadaNevada
20
-Final
48
Air ForceAir Force
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 18.3

Home Win Probability

Air Force 89%

Market (consensus)

Air Force -24

Edge: Nevada +24 (5.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NevadaNevada
0701320
Air ForceAir Force
101417748

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-010-717-724-731-734-741-748-1448-20
Air ForceNevada

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AFNEVAFNEVNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFFG1748ydPUNT619ydTD180ydTD1075ydPUNT2-2ydTD775ydPUNT412ydTD1477ydPUNT36ydEND1-1ydTD670ydPUNT3-4ydFG925ydPUNT32ydTD665ydTD575ydTD1575ydTD264ydEND412yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nevada and Air Force
StatisticNevadaAir Force
Passing12-201-3
Pass Yards13080
Rush Yards112461
Total Yards242541
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-910-15
Penalties4-305-50
Possession16:1943:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nevada
passing
Nate Cox
12/20, 130 YDS
rushing
Toa Taua
7 CAR, 73 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jamaal Bell
3 REC, 65 YDS
defense
Air Force
passing
Ben Brittain
1/1, 80 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Brad Roberts
20 CAR, 123 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
David Cormier
1 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Alec Mock
0.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 33

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Ben Jefferson run for 3 yds to the AFA 30

3rd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.74

Haaziq Daniels run for 16 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the Nevad 47

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the Nevad 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.88

Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Omar Fattah run for 6 yds to the Nevad 37

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ben Jefferson run for 3 yds to the Nevad 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.58

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the Nevad 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the Nevad 26

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Cade Harris run for 2 yds to the Nevad 24

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the Nevad 20

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.76

Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the Nevad 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Haaziq Daniels run for 6 yds to the Nevad 12

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Haaziq Daniels run for 3 yds to the Nevad 9

3rd & 1Penalty-15 yds

Daniels,Haaziq rush middle for 3 yards gain to the NEV06 (Peterson,Dom) PENALTY AF Personal Foul (Smalley,Everett) 15 yards from NEV09 to NEV24. NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to Cade Harris

4th & 16Field Goal Good+41 yds

Matthew Dapore 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 6 yds to the Nevad 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Nevad 33

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.74

Nate Cox run for 9 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Nevad 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jamaal Bell

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ Casteel

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Matt Freem punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Amari Terry at the AFA 20

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Ben Brittain pass complete to David Cormier for 80 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devonte Lee run for 5 yds to the Nevad 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 9 yds to the Nevad 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.22

Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 16 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nate Cox pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 5 yds to the Nevad 42

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.33

Toa Taua run for 11 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Nate Cox pass complete to Spencer Curtis for 15 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Nate Cox run for no gain to the AFA 32

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Cox,Nate pass incomplete short right to Casteel,BJ PENALTY AF Pass Interference (Goff,Camby) 15 yards from AF 32 to AF 17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the AFA 15

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 5 yds to the AFA 10

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.72

Nate Cox run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matthew Killam KICK)

3rd & 12Punt0 yds

Matt Freem punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Amari Terry at the AFA 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 37

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Nate Cox run for 1 yd to the Nevad 38

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Cox,Nate pass incomplete short left to Bell,Jamaal QB hurried by Blackmon,TD PENALTY NEV False Start (Taua,Toa) 5 yards from NEV38 to NEV33. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

John Lee Eldridge III run for 12 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

John Lee Eldridge III run for 12 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Brad Roberts run for 9 yds to the Nevad 42

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

John Lee Eldridge III run for 8 yds to the Nevad 31

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.22

Emmanuel Michel run for 4 yds to the Nevad 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Brad Roberts run for 27 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Dapore,Matthew kickoff 65 yards to the NEV00, Touchback PENALTY AF Offside (Breier,Cameron) 5 yards from AF 35 to AF 30. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Matthew Dapore kickoff for 57 yds , Jamaal Bell return for 9 yds to the Nevad 22

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Toa Taua run for 11 yds to the Nevad 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 34

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ Casteel

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Spencer Curtis

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Harry Webster punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Amari Terry at the AFA 23

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Haaziq Daniels run for 1 yd to the AFA 29

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.27

John Lee Eldridge III run for 4 yds to the AFA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Daniels,Haaziq pass incomplete short middle to Harris,Cade PENALTY NEV Pass Interference (Robbins,Zeke) 15 yards from AF 33 to AF 48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.65

Haaziq Daniels run for 14 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the Nevad 32

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.21

Brad Roberts run for 26 yds AIR FORCE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ben Jefferson) to the Nevad 25

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Omar Fattah run for 4 yds to the Nevad 21

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.11

Omar Fattah run for 9 yds to the Nevad 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the Nevad 7

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the Nevad 4

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.63

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the Nevad 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Matthew Dapore kickoff for 59 yds , Jamaal Bell return for 11 yds to the Nevad 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Nate Cox pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 6 yds to the Nevad 23

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Nate Cox pass incomplete to BJ Casteel

3rd & 4Penalty0 yds

NEVADA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declined

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Harry Webster punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 27

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

John Lee Eldridge III run for 7 yds to the AFA 37

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.01

Haaziq Daniels sacked by Jaden Dedman for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 37

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

John Lee Eldridge III run for 6 yds to the AFA 43

3rd & 9Rush+48 ydsPPA +3.97

John Lee Eldridge III run for 48 yds to the Nevad 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Brad Roberts run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nate Cox run for 3 yds to the Nevad 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Jacob Munro

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NEV False Start (Starck,Grant) 5 yards from NEV28 to NEV23. NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Nate Cox pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 2 yds to the Nevad 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Matt Freem punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Amari Terry at the AFA 41

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.79

John Lee Eldridge III run for 5 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Emmanuel Michel run for 2 yds to the Nevad 47

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jensen Jones run for 6 yds to the Nevad 41

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Emmanuel Michel run for 4 yds to the Nevad 42

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to David Cormier

3rd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Jensen Jones run for 8 yds to the Nevad 34

4th & 6Field Goal Good+51 yds

Matthew Dapore 51 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Matthew Dapore kickoff for 60 yds , Jamaal Bell return for 20 yds to the Nevad 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nate Cox pass incomplete to Dalevon Campbell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Nate Cox pass complete to Toa Taua for 6 yds to the Nevad 31

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Nate Cox run for 4 yds to the Nevad 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Harry Webster punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Amari Terry at the AFA 35

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Omar Fattah run for 11 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY AF False Start (Holcomb,Kaleb) 5 yards from AF 46 to AF 41. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Omar Fattah run for 5 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Omar Fattah run for 9 yds to the Nevad 45

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.05

Emmanuel Michel run for 5 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.47

Amari Terry run for 14 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Emmanuel Michel run for 26 yds for a TD, (Anthony Rodriguez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Nate Cox pass complete to Dazure Paggett for 9 yds to the Nevad 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Nevad 34

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.82

Devonte Lee run for 11 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Nate Cox pass complete to BJ Casteel for 15 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Toa Taua run for 40 yds for a TD, (Matthew Killam KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jet Harris run for 4 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jet Harris run for 2 yds to the AFA 31

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Ben Brittain run for 4 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jet Harris run for 3 yds to the AFA 38

2nd & 7Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.30

Ben Brittain run for 19 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jet Harris run for 5 yds to the Nevad 38

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Jet Harris run for 9 yds to the Nevad 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jet Harris run for 2 yds to the Nevad 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jet Harris run for 5 yds to the Nevad 22

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.43

Jet Harris run for 5 yds to the Nevad 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Jet Harris run for 9 yds to the Nevad 8

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Jet Harris run for no gain to the Nevad 8

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jet Harris run for no gain to the Nevad 8

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.87

Ben Brittain run for 2 yds to the Nevad 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Aiden Calvert run for 6 yds for a TD, (Anthony Rodriguez KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

John Olson kickoff for 49 yds , Devonte Lee return for 20 yds to the Nevad 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+58 ydsPPA +3.09

Nate Cox pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 58 yds to the AFA 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Toa Taua run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matthew Killam PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Owen Burk run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Cannon Turner run for 3 yds to the AFA 30

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Owen Burk run for 4 yds to the AFA 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Owen Burk run for 3 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
59%
17 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
64%
33 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
17%
6 plays
44%
9 plays
71%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays