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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2022Week 3
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 11.1

Home Win Probability

Wyoming 19%

Market (consensus)

Wyoming +16.5

Edge: Wyoming +16.5 (5.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 17, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Air ForceAir Force
007714
WyomingWyoming
370717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-010-010-710-1417-14
WyomingAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOFG1573ydMISS1239ydTO328ydPUNT415ydPUNT420ydPUNT33ydTD342ydPUNT724ydPUNT520ydEND16ydTD1375ydPUNT41ydPUNT38ydPUNT633ydTD880ydTD875ydPUNT422ydEND1130yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and Wyoming
StatisticAir ForceWyoming
Passing7-1418-23
Pass Yards101162
Rush Yards171180
Total Yards272342
Turnovers01
3rd Down6-136-11
Penalties0-03-20
Possession29:2630:34

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
Haaziq Daniels
7/14, 101 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
John Lee Eldridge III
13 CAR, 104 YDS
receiving
Cade Harris
2 REC, 45 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Wyoming
passing
Andrew Peasley
18/23, 162 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Titus Swen
19 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Joshua Cobbs
6 REC, 45 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 6 yds to the Wyom 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 9 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Titus Swen run for 5 yds to the Wyom 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Titus Swen for 6 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the AFA 48

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ryan Marquez run for 6 yds to the AFA 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.24

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Alex Brown for 5 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Andrew Peasley run for 7 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.03

Titus Swen run for 7 yds to the AFA 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.15

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 13 yds to the AFA 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Titus Swen run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 11

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.30

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 9 yds to the AFA 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 yds

John Hoyland 20 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

John Lee Eldridge III run for 5 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.55

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Kyle Patterson for 10 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Haaziq Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 46

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.34

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Amari Terry for 15 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Haaziq Daniels run for no gain to the Wyom 39

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Haaziq Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 40

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Cade Harris for 4 yds to the Wyom 36

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Matthew Dapore 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.79

Dawaiian McNeely run for 21 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Titus Swen run for 7 yds to the AFA 36

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Titus Swen run for 7 yds to the AFA 36

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Titus Swen run for 7 yds to the AFA 36

2nd & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -4.13

Andrew Peasley pass intercepted

2nd & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -4.13

Andrew Peasley pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

John Lee Eldridge III run for 10 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the Wyom 48

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

John Lee Eldridge III run for 4 yds to the Wyom 44

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.77

John Lee Eldridge III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 47

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 36 yds

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 36 yds

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.55

Titus Swen run for 12 yds to the Wyom 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 2 yds to the Wyom 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Ryan Marquez for 6 yds to the Wyom 31

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Titus Swen run for no gain to the Wyom 31

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 66 yds

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 66 yds

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 66 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 4

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

John Lee Eldridge III run for 2 yds to the AFA 6

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 36 yds

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Titus Swen run for 5 yds to the AFA 37

2nd & 5Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.66

Titus Swen run for 23 yds to the AFA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Treyton Welch for 14 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

John Lee Eldridge III run for 6 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.09

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Kyle Patterson for 11 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the AFA 49

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the Wyom 49

3rd & 6Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.20

Haaziq Daniels sacked by DeVonne Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 49

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 41 yds

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 41 yds

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Titus Swen for 2 yds to the Wyom 12

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Dawaiian McNeely run for 13 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dawaiian McNeely run for 3 yds to the Wyom 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Will Pelissier run for 1 yd to the Wyom 29

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 30

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 43 yds, downed at the AFA 27

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the AFA 33

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the AFA 33

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Haaziq Daniels run for 3 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

John Lee Eldridge III run for 2 yds to the AFA 39

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the AFA 46

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.26

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Omar Fattah run for 4 yds to the Wyom 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

John Lee Eldridge III run for 3 yds to the Wyom 43

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the Wyom 41

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the Wyom 41

4th & 1Rush+35 ydsPPA +3.00

John Lee Eldridge III run for 35 yds to the Wyom 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Haaziq Daniels run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 9

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Illegal Shift (Amari Terry) declined

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to David Cormier for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Titus Swen run for no gain to the Wyom 25

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

WYOMING Penalty, Offensive Holding (Joshua Cobbs) to the Wyom 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Will Pelissier for 8 yds to the Wyom 30

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

WYOMING Penalty, False Start (Nofoafia Tulafono) to the Wyom 25

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Andrew Peasley run for 1 yd to the Wyom 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Amari Terry at the AFA 28

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Amari Terry at the AFA 28

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Amari Terry at the AFA 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Ben Jefferson run for 3 yds to the AFA 31

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 33

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 36

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 48 yds , Caleb Cooley returns for no gain to the Wyom 16

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 48 yds , Caleb Cooley returns for no gain to the Wyom 16

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.97

Andrew Peasley run for 15 yds to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 7 yds to the Wyom 38

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 8 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.14

Dawaiian McNeely run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 41

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Will Pelissier for 5 yds to the Wyom 46

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Will Pelissier for 5 yds to the Wyom 46

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Andrew Peasley run for 8 yds to the AFA 46

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

WYOMING Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 49

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 51 yds for a touchback

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 51 yds for a touchback

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Clayton Stewart punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

John Lee Eldridge III run for 9 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Haaziq Daniels run for 6 yds to the AFA 38

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

John Lee Eldridge III run for 9 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.79

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Kyle Patterson for 11 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Cade Harris for 41 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Parker Christensen for 1 yd to the Wyom 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.23

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Wyatt Wieland for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Andrew Peasley run for 5 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Dawaiian McNeely run for 10 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the AFA 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.61

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Parker Christensen for 29 yds to the AFA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Titus Swen run for 5 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

John Lee Eldridge III run for 19 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

John Lee Eldridge III run for 3 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 53 yds for a touchback

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 53 yds for a touchback

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Titus Swen run for 1 yd to the Wyom 21

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Will Pelissier for 8 yds to the Wyom 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.29

Dawaiian McNeely run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 29

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.29

Dawaiian McNeely run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 29

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.95

Titus Swen run for 17 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Titus Swen run for 9 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.53

Titus Swen run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 46

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.53

Titus Swen run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 46

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Dawaiian McNeely run for 3 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
22 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
22%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Wyoming

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
52%
27 plays
2nd
17%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th