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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2022Week 6

House Prediction

Model Margin

Brown by 1.5

Home Win Probability

Central Connecticut 47%

Market (consensus)

Central Connecticut +7

Edge: Central Connecticut +7 (5.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Brown
7143327
Central Connecticut
670720

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-76-76-2113-2113-2413-2720-27
Central ConnecticutBrown

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BROCCBROCCBROCCBROCCBROCCBROCCBROCCBROCCCCBROCCBROCCBROCCBROCCBROCCBROCCBROPUNT3-8ydPUNT32ydTD784ydTD775ydPUNT515ydPUNT3-2ydTD775ydTO218ydTD358ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-2ydTD394ydPUNT415ydPUNT66ydTO610ydMISS618ydPUNT614ydTO30ydDOWNS617ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-5ydFG926ydDOWNS6-3ydFG4-8ydDOWNS929ydUncategorized33ydTD448ydPUNT34ydDOWNS1170ydEND2-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Brown and Central Connecticut
StatisticBrownCentral Connecticut
Passing18-3222-46
Pass Yards262241
Rush Yards39160
Total Yards301401
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-147-18
Penalties8-586-50
Possession28:2731:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Brown
passing
Jake Willcox
17/31, 249 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Allen Smith
7 CAR, 28 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Hayes Sutton
4 REC, 103 YDS, 1 TD
Central Connecticut
passing
Shon Mitchell
22/45, 241 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Nasir Smith
16 CAR, 145 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Naj Johnson
3 REC, 73 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Aidan Clark kickoff for 31 yds , Allen Smith return for no gain to the CConn 28

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jake Willcox run for 4 yds to the CConn 32

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jake Willcox pass incomplete to Wes Rockett

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jake Willcox pass complete to Allan Houston III for 4 yds to the CConn 36

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Michael Walsh punt for 10 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Kyren Petteway for 3 yds to the CConn 23

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Nasir Smith run for 5 yds to the CConn 28

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aidan Clark punt for 56 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Stockton Owen run for 4 yds to the Brown 20

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.80

Stockton Owen run for 4 yds to the Brown 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jake Willcox pass complete to Allan Houston III for 3 yds to the Brown 26

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Stockton Owen run for 9 yds to the Brown 35

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.65

Allen Smith run for 5 yds to the Brown 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +4.76

Jake Willcox pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 60 yds for a TD, (Christopher Maron KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BROWN Delay Of Game 5 yards from CCSU03 to CCSU03. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Naj Johnson for 34 yds to the Brown 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Nasir Smith run for 4 yds to the Brown 37

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nasir Smith run for 3 yds to the Brown 34

3rd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.99

Shon Mitchell run for 12 yds to the Brown 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Nasir Smith run for 4 yds to the Brown 18

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Shon Mitchell pass complete to JaQuan DuFour for 2 yds to the Brown 16

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.91

Erik Surratt 16 Yd pass from Shon Mitchell (Aidan Clark PAT failed)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Aidan Clark kickoff for 51 yds , Wes Rockett return for 11 yds to the Brown 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Stockton Owen run for 2 yds to the Brown 27

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jake Willcox run for 9 yds to the Brown 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Stockton Owen run for 2 yds to the Brown 34

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jake Willcox pass complete to Jordan DeLucia for 4 yds to the Brown 38

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jake Willcox run for 2 yds to the Brown 40

4th & 6Punt+7 yds

Michael Walsh punt for 33 yds , Kyren Petteway returns for 7 yds to the CConn 34

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Nasir Smith run for 5 yds to the CConn 29

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Nasir Smith run for 3 yds to the CConn 32

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Isiah Williams

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Aidan Clark punt for 43 yds , Wes Rockett returns for no gain to the Brown 25

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Stockton Owen run for no gain to the Brown 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Jake Willcox pass complete to Jordan McIntyre for 8 yds to the Brown 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Jake Willcox pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 2 yds to the Brown 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Allen Smith run for 14 yds to the Brown 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jake Willcox pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.59

Jake Willcox pass complete to Nate Lussier for 48 yds to the CConn 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Allen Smith 3 Yd Run (Christopher Maron Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Christopher Maron kickoff for 55 yds , Kyren Petteway return for 30 yds to the CConn 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Malik Thomas run for 2 yds to the CConn 42

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+16 ydsPPA +2.14

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Kyren Petteway for 16 yds Kyren Petteway fumbled, recovered by Brown Sean Kelly

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jake Willcox pass incomplete to Wes Rockett

2nd & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.92

Jake Willcox pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 29 yds to the CConn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Jake Willcox pass complete to Samuel Baddoo for 29 yds for a TD, (Christopher Maron KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Shon Mitchell run for no gain to the CConn 6

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.32

Nasir Smith run for 9 yds to the CConn 15

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Kyren Petteway

4th & 1Punt+5 yds

Aidan Clark punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Wes Rockett returns for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BROWN False Start (Silva,Xavier) 5 yards from BROWN50 to BROWN45. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Stockton Owen run for 1 yd to the Brown 46

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jordan DeLucia run for 2 yds to the Brown 48

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jake Willcox pass incomplete to Christopher Boyle

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Michael Walsh punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Nasir Smith run for 2 yds to the CConn 8

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Nasir Smith run for 7 yds to the CConn 15

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+85 ydsPPA +6.87

Nasir Smith run for 85 yds for a TD, (Aidan Clark KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Jake Willcox pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 12 yds to the Brown 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jake Willcox pass complete to Allen Smith for 6 yds to the Brown 43

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

Jordan DeLucia run for 2 yds to the Brown 45

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jake Willcox pass incomplete to Wes Rockett

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BROWN False Start (Houston III,Allan) 5 yards from BROWN45 to BROWN40. NO PLAY.

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Michael Walsh punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kyren Petteway at the CConn 25

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Michael Walsh punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kyren Petteway at the CConn 25

2nd & 20Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.69

Shon Mitchell pass complete to JaQuan DuFour for 16 yds to the CConn 31

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Nasir Smith run for 4 yds to the CConn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.55

Shon Mitchell sacked by Terrence Lane II for a loss of 4 yards to the CConn 31

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Isiah Williams

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Aidan Clark punt for 69 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Stockton Owen run for 10 yds to the Brown 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jake Willcox pass complete to Christopher Boyle for no gain to the Brown 30

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jake Willcox pass incomplete to Wes Rockett

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.17

Jake Willcox pass complete to Zachary Targoff for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jake Willcox pass incomplete to Allen Smith

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+20 ydsPPA -2.04

Jake Willcox run for 20 yds to the Brown 30 Jake Willcox fumbled, recovered by Brown Artest Banks

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Isiah Williams

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Nasir Smith for 18 yds to the Brown 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Naj Johnson

3rd & 10Field Goal Missed+10 yds

Aidan Clark 10 Yard Field Goal Missed

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Nasir Smith run for 3 yds to the CConn 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Erik Surratt for 5 yds to the CConn 38

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.40

Shon Mitchell run for 4 yds to the CConn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Naj Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Kyren Petteway for 2 yds to the CConn 44

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Kyren Petteway

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aidan Clark punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Wes Rockett at the Brown 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jake Willcox pass incomplete to Samuel Baddoo

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jake Willcox pass incomplete to Hayes Sutton

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA +0.21

Jake Willcox pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Nasir Smith run for 6 yds to the Brown 27

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.02

Nasir Smith run for 4 yds to the Brown 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Malik Thomas run for 2 yds to the Brown 21

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Malik Thomas run for 2 yds to the Brown 19

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Malik Thomas run for 3 yds to the Brown 16

4th & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -3.67

Malik Thomas run for no gain to the Brown 16

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Allen Smith run for no gain to the Brown 16

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jake Willcox pass incomplete to Hayes Sutton

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

Jordan DeLucia run for no gain to the Brown 21

4th & 5Punt+4 yds

Michael Walsh punt for 43 yds , Kyren Petteway returns for 4 yds to the CConn 30

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.34

Shon Mitchell sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the CConn 25

2nd & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.21

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Nasir Smith for no gain to the CConn 25

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to JaQuan DuFour

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Aidan Clark punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CConn 46

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Samuel Baddoo run for 9 yds to the Brown 45

2nd & 19Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.60

Jake Willcox pass complete to Jordan McIntyre for 26 yds to the CConn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jordan DeLucia run for 6 yds to the CConn 23

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan DeLucia run for 2 yds to the CConn 21

3rd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +0.28

Jake Willcox pass complete to Samuel Baddoo for 2 yds to the CConn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Allen Smith run for 1 yd to the CConn 18

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jake Willcox run for no gain to the CConn 18

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jordan DeLucia run for 2 yds to the CConn 20

4th & 11Field Goal Good+37 yds

Christopher Maron 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Malik Thomas run for 4 yds to the CConn 29

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Malik Thomas run for 8 yds to the CConn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Kyren Petteway

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Malik Thomas run for no gain to the CConn 37

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Malik Thomas

4th & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.44

Aidan Clark run for 15 yds to the CConn 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jake Willcox pass incomplete to Hayes Sutton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jake Willcox pass complete to Christopher Boyle for 3 yds to the CConn 25

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BROWN False Start (Boyle,Chris) 5 yards from CCSU25 to CCSU30. NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jake Willcox pass incomplete to Allan Houston III

4th & 18Field Goal Good+48 yds

Christopher Maron 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Christopher Maron kickoff for 61 yds , Kyren Petteway return for 22 yds to the CConn 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Kyren Petteway for 10 yds to the CConn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Erik Surratt

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Kyren Petteway for 5 yds to the CConn 41

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Malik Thomas run for 2 yds to the CConn 43

4th & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.08

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Naj Johnson for 12 yds to the Brown 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Erik Surratt

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to JaQuan DuFour

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Isiah Williams

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Erik Surratt

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Allen Smith run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Allen Smith run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+12 ydsPPA +2.27

Aidan Gilman pass complete to Allan Houston III for 12 yds Allan Houston III fumbled, recovered by Brown for a 1ST down

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+12 ydsPPA +2.27

Aidan Gilman pass complete to Allan Houston III for 12 yds Allan Houston III fumbled, recovered by Brown for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Kyren Petteway

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.13

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Naj Johnson for 27 yds to the Brown 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Kyren Petteway

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

Shotgun Mitchell,Shon pass incomplete short middle to Petteway,Kyren PENALTY CCSU Holding offsetting BROWN Pass Interference offsetting. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.02

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Nasir Smith for 21 yds for a TD, (Aidan Clark KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan DeLucia run for 4 yds to the Brown 29

2nd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.08

Jake Willcox sacked by Shayne Manson for a loss of 8 yards to the Brown 21

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BROWN False Start (Allen,Donovan) 5 yards from BROWN21 to BROWN16. NO PLAY.

3rd & 19Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.20

Jake Willcox pass complete to Jordan DeLucia for 13 yds to the Brown 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Michael Walsh punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kyren Petteway at the CConn 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Isiah Williams for 5 yds to the CConn 31

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Nasir Smith run for 3 yds to the CConn 34

3rd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Erik Surratt for 2 yds to the CConn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.17

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Isiah Williams for 29 yds to the Brown 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Nasir Smith for 11 yds to the Brown 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Jiovany Pierre

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Nasir Smith run for 2 yds to the Brown 26

3rd & 12Penalty+13 yds

Shotgun Mitchell,Shon pass incomplete short right to Surratt,Erik PENALTY BROWN Pass Interference (Fisher,Jalen) 13 yards from BROWN26 to BROWN13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete to Erik Surratt

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Kyren Petteway for 7 yds to the Brown 6

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Shon Mitchell pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -4.02

Shon Mitchell pass complete to Kyren Petteway for 2 yds to the Brown 4

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.31

Kneel down by Brown at BROWN03 for loss of 1 yards.

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

Kneel down by Brown at BROWN03 for loss of 0 yards.

Situational Analysis

Brown

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
36%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th

Central Connecticut

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
22%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
53%
15 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays