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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2022Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Rhode Island by 11.2

Home Win Probability

Rhode Island 71%

Market (consensus)

Rhode Island -16.5

Edge: Brown +16.5 (5.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 1, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Brown
300710
Rhode Island
17210038

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-017-324-338-338-10
Rhode IslandBrown

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BRORIBRORIBRORIBRORIBRORIBRORIBRORIRIBRORIBRORIBRORIBRORIBROBRORIDOWNS526ydTD451ydPUNT36ydTD458ydFG648ydFG864ydDOWNS49ydTO233ydPUNT523ydMISS945ydTO613ydTD340ydTO1039ydTD665ydTD226ydEND19ydPUNT38ydTO418ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-5ydDOWNS747ydDOWNS1361ydTO856ydTO629ydTD623ydEND742yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Brown and Rhode Island
StatisticBrownRhode Island
Passing20-2915-27
Pass Yards158257
Rush Yards103289
Total Yards261546
Turnovers53
3rd Down6-142-7
Penalties6-558-88
Possession30:2429:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Brown
passing
Jake Willcox
20/29, 158 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Allen Smith
20 CAR, 41 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Wes Rockett
4 REC, 41 YDS
Rhode Island
passing
Kasim Hill
15/27, 257 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Marques DeShields
11 CAR, 109 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kahtero Summers
6 REC, 112 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Jake Willcox pass complete to Allen Smith for 17 yds to the Brown 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Allen Smith run for 4 yds to the Brown 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Allen Smith run for 3 yds to the Brown 49

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Allen Smith run for 2 yds to the RIsld 49

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.21

Allen Smith run for no gain to the RIsld 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Kasim Hill pass complete to Ed Lee for 13 yds to the Brown 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.33

Kasim Hill pass complete to Ed Lee for 10 yds to the Brown 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Marques DeShields run for 7 yds to the Brown 21

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.42

Marques DeShields run for 21 yds for a TD, (Harrison Leonard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Stockton Owen run for 2 yds to the Brown 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Jake Willcox pass complete to Stockton Owen for 1 yd to the Brown 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jake Willcox pass complete to Allen Smith for 3 yds to the Brown 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Michael Walsh punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Ed Lee at the RIsld 42

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Marques DeShields run for 5 yds to the RIsld 47

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Marques DeShields run for 9 yds to the Brown 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +1.36

Kasim Hill run for 38 yds to the Brown 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Jaylen Smith run for 6 yds for a TD, (Harrison Leonard KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WILLCOX, Jake pass to the left incomplete intended for ROCKETT, Wes thrown to the BRO39. PENALTY URI Pass Interference on CARTER II, Antonio enforced 15 yards to the BRO40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Jake Willcox pass complete to Jordan McIntyre for 8 yds to the Brown 48

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

BROWN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Brown 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.51

Jake Willcox pass complete to Wes Rockett for 33 yds to the RIsld 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jake Willcox pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.09

Allen Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the RIsld 27

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Jake Willcox pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Good+45 yds

Christopher Maron 45 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+2 yds

Christopher Maron kickoff for 50 yds , Randy Jordan return for 2 yds to the RIsld 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jaylen Smith run for 2 yds to the RIsld 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.80

Kasim Hill pass complete to Kahtero Summers for 44 yds to the Brown 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Kasim Hill run for 2 yds to the Brown 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.83

Kasim Hill pass complete to John Erby for 15 yds to the Brown 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaylen Smith run for 1 yd to the Brown 19

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+36 yds

Harrison Leonard 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jake Willcox pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jake Willcox pass complete to Samuel Baddoo for 5 yds to the Brown 30

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jake Willcox run for 3 yds to the Brown 33

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Jake Willcox run for 1 yd to the Brown 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+33 ydsPPA -3.40

Marques DeShields run for 33 yds to the Brown 1 Marques DeShields fumbled, recovered by Brown Junior Gafa

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Stockton Owen run for 4 yds to the Brown 5

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.63

Jake Willcox pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 15 yds to the Brown 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Allen Smith run for no gain to the Brown 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jake Willcox pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jake Willcox pass complete to Wes Rockett for 4 yds to the Brown 24

4th & 6Punt+6 yds

Michael Walsh punt for 43 yds , Ed Lee returns for 6 yds to the RIsld 39

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SMITH, Jaylen rush to the right for a gain of 37 yards to the BRO24, out of bounds. PENALTY URI Holding on ROARK, Brady enforced 10 yards from the URI39 to the URI29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.82

Kasim Hill pass complete to Kahtero Summers for 20 yds to the RIsld 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Gabe Sloat run for 7 yds to the Brown 44

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Gabe Sloat run for 2 yds to the Brown 42

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

SLOAT, Gabe rush up the middle for a gain of 4 yards to the BRO38 (JORDAN, Winston). PENALTY BRO Offsides on GAGNON, Camden enforced 5 yards from the BRO42 to the BRO37 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Jaylen Smith run for 9 yds to the Brown 28

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.32

Kasim Hill run for 10 yds to the Brown 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jaylen Smith run for 2 yds to the Brown 16

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Harrison Leonard 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jake Willcox pass complete to Jordan McIntyre for 6 yds to the Brown 26

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Stockton Owen run for 3 yds to the Brown 29

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.70

Allen Smith run for 1 yd to the Brown 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Allen Smith run for 3 yds to the Brown 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Jake Willcox pass incomplete

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -0.24

Jake Willcox pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Kasim Hill pass complete to Kahtero Summers for 6 yds to the Brown 34

2nd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.39

Kasim Hill pass complete to Kahtero Summers for 22 yds to the Brown 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Marques DeShields run for 12 yds for a TD, (Harrison Leonard KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Harrison Leonard kickoff for 60 yds , Wes Rockett return for 25 yds to the URI 40 BROWN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Allen Smith) to the Brown 3

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jake Willcox pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 2 yds to the Brown 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Jake Willcox pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 9 yds to the Brown 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Stockton Owen run for 3 yds to the Brown 34

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

Stockton Owen run for no gain to the Brown 34

3rd & 7Penalty0 yds

RHODE ISLAND Penalty, Defensive Holding (Antonio Carter II) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Jake Willcox pass complete to Hayes Sutton for a loss of 2 yards to the Brown 44

2nd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.28

Jake Willcox run for 10 yds to the RIsld 46

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Stockton Owen run for 2 yds to the RIsld 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Allen Smith run for 3 yds to the RIsld 41

2nd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -3.27

Jake Willcox pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

HILL, Kasim pass to the left incomplete intended for LEE, Ed thrown to the URI40. PENALTY URI Holding on THOMPSON, Lorenzo enforced 10 yards from the URI35 to the URI25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.37

Kasim Hill pass complete to Kahtero Summers for 17 yds to the RIsld 42

2nd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.26

Kasim Hill pass complete to Kahtero Summers for 3 yds to the RIsld 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.14

Kasim Hill run for 13 yds to the Brown 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.53

Gabe Sloat run for 14 yds to the Brown 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Kasim Hill pass complete to Caleb Warren for 28 yds for a TD, (Harrison Leonard KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Harrison Leonard kickoff for 39 yds , Allen Smith return for no gain to the Brown 26 Allen Smith fumbled, recovered by RIsld Declan Williams

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.19

Kasim Hill pass complete to Caleb Warren for 26 yds for a TD, (Harrison Leonard KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Harrison Leonard kickoff for 39 yds , Allen Smith return for no gain to the Brown 26

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Stockton Owen run for 9 yds to the Brown 35

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Austin Alley kickoff for 64 yds , Randy Jordan return for 30 yds to the RIsld 31

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Marques DeShields run for 3 yds to the RIsld 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kasim Hill pass complete to Gabe Sloat for 5 yds to the RIsld 39

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Davey Schaum-Bartocci punt for 27 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Allen Smith run for 3 yds to the Brown 37

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.89

Jake Willcox run for a loss of 2 yards to the Brown 35 for a 1ST down RHODE ISLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (Jake Fire) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Allen Smith run for 2 yds to the RIsld 48

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -2.53

Jake Willcox pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Kasim Hill pass complete to Brady Roark for 9 yds to the Brown 43

3rd & 1Penalty-10 yds

HILL, Kasim pass to the right complete for 8 yards to WOODS, Paul caught at the BRO38 and advanced to the BRO35 (SHELL, Joseph). PENALTY URI Holding on CORNELIUS, Ajani enforced 10 yards from the BRO43 to the URI47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Kasim Hill run for 7 yds to the Brown 46

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Davey Schaum-Bartocci punt for 12 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Allen Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Brown 32

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Allen Smith run for 7 yds to the Brown 39

3rd & 5Penalty-15 yds

WILLCOX, Jake pass to the right incomplete intended for ROCKETT, Wes thrown to the BRO40; QB hurried by PENA, A.J.. PENALTY BRO Chop Block enforced 15 yards from the BRO39 to the BRO24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Jake Willcox run for 5 yds to the Brown 29

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Michael Walsh punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Jaylen Smith run for 10 yds to the RIsld 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Jaylen Smith run for 7 yds to the RIsld 34

2nd & 3Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.25

Kasim Hill pass complete to Caleb Warren for 29 yds to the Brown 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Jaylen Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Brown 38

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Kasim Hill run for 2 yds to the Brown 36

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

Kasim Hill pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Stockton Owen run for 4 yds to the Brown 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.12

Jake Willcox pass complete to Samuel Baddoo for 6 yds to the Brown 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Allen Smith run for 7 yds to the RIsld 47

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.40

Aidan Gilman run for 8 yds to the RIsld 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Jake Willcox sacked by Matt Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the RIsld 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.56

Jake Willcox pass complete to Ben Moseley for 22 yds to the RIsld 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Stockton Owen run for 4 yds to the RIsld 14

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Allen Smith run for 2 yds to the RIsld 12

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Jake Willcox pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 4 yds to the RIsld 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Stockton Owen run for no gain to the RIsld 8

2nd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.87

Jake Willcox sacked by Henry Yianakopolos for a loss of 7 yards to the RIsld 15

3rd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.63

Jake Willcox pass complete to Wes Rockett for 12 yds to the RIsld 3

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.08

Jake Willcox pass incomplete BROWN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Treyvon Hobbs) declined

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Marques DeShields run for 5 yds to the RIsld 8

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Marques DeShields run for 2 yds to the RIsld 10

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.43

Marques DeShields run for 4 yds to the RIsld 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.51

Kasim Hill pass complete to Ed Lee for 10 yds to the RIsld 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Marques DeShields run for 8 yds to the RIsld 32

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Kasim Hill run for 6 yds to the RIsld 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jaylen Smith run for 6 yds to the RIsld 44

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

HILL, Kasim pass up the middle incomplete intended for LEE, Ed thrown to the BRO22. PENALTY BRO Personal Foul on MALONEY, Tommy enforced 15 yards from the URI44 to the BRO41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.76

Kasim Hill pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.19

Stockton Owen run for a loss of 6 yards to the RIsld 47

2nd & 16Penalty+15 yds

RHODE ISLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (Jake Fire) to the RIsld 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Jake Willcox pass complete to Stockton Owen for 7 yds to the RIsld 25

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.09

Samuel Baddoo run for 7 yds to the RIsld 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Stockton Owen run for 1 yd to the RIsld 17

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Allen Smith run for no gain to the RIsld 8

1st & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-8 ydsPPA -5.31

Jake Willcox pass complete to Wes Rockett for a loss of 8 yards Wes Rockett fumbled, recovered by RIsld Antonio Carter II fumbled, recovered by Brown

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Allen Smith run for 1 yd to the RIsld 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jake Willcox pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 2 yds to the RIsld 20

3rd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.93

Jake Willcox run for 12 yds to the RIsld 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Allen Smith run for 6 yds to the RIsld 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Allen Smith run for 1 yd to the RIsld 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Allen Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Christopher Maron KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BROWN Penalty, Offsides (Treyvon Hobbs) to the RIsld 23

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Christopher Maron kickoff for 47 yds , Randy Jordan return for no gain to the RIsld 18

1st & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaden Griffin run for 7 yds to the RIsld 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jaden Griffin run for 6 yds to the RIsld 36

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Jaden Griffin run for 6 yds to the RIsld 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaden Griffin run for 3 yds to the RIsld 45

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Rocco Cillino run for 3 yds to the RIsld 48

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.00

Jaden Griffin run for 8 yds to the Brown 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaden Griffin run for 4 yds to the Brown 40

Situational Analysis

Brown

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
24%
29 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
31%
13 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
3 plays

Rhode Island

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
58%
31 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
45%
11 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play