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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4
Harvard
35
-Final
28
Brown
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Harvard by 13

Home Win Probability

Brown 23%

Market (consensus)

Brown +16.5

Edge: Brown +16.5 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Harvard
71414035
Brown
0072128

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-2814-3526-35
BrownHarvard

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BROHARBROHARBROHARBROHARBROHARBROHARBROHARBROHARBROHARBROHARBROHARBROHARBROHARBROPUNT614ydTD867ydPUNT35ydPUNT34ydPUNT534ydPUNT43ydMISS1244ydTD873ydPUNT31ydTD868ydPUNT36ydPUNT517ydTO723ydTD181ydTD1075ydTD375ydPUNT36ydPUNT619ydPUNT64ydPUNT38ydTD1135ydPUNT34ydTD969ydPUNT48ydTD755ydPUNT723ydDOWNS1050yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Harvard and Brown
StatisticHarvardBrown
Passing20-2931-56
Pass Yards282284
Rush Yards186109
Total Yards468393
Turnovers01
3rd Down6-1513-26
Penalties8-862-20
Possession29:1630:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Harvard
passing
Charlie Dean
20/29, 282 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Aidan Borguet
16 CAR, 131 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kym Wimberly
8 REC, 115 YDS, 2 TD
Brown
passing
Jake Willcox
31/55, 284 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Stockton Owen
9 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Wes Rockett
5 REC, 63 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Michael Walsh punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Allen Smith run for 6 yds to the Brown 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

pass incomplete to Wes Rockett

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Jake Willcox pass complete to Allen Smith for 6 yds to the Brown 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07
2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jake Willcox pass complete to Jordan McIntyre for 2 yds to the Brown 39

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

pass incomplete to Graham Walker

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Jake Willcox pass complete to Allen Smith for 6 yds to the Brown 37 for a 1ST down

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

pass incomplete to Graham Walker

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Allen Smith run for 6 yds to the Brown 31

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Jonah Lipel kickoff for 56 yds , Wes Rockett return for 15 yds to the Brown 19

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Christopher Maron kickoff for 60 yds , Jack Bill return for 19 yds to the Harv 19

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Christopher Maron kickoff for 52 yds , Jack Bill return for 17 yds to the BROWN 43 HARVARD Penalty, Offensive holding (AJ Lopez) to the Harv 15

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Christopher Maron kickoff for 58 yds , Jack Bill return for 9 yds to the Harv 11

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Christopher Maron kickoff for 58 yds , Jack Bill return for 20 yds to the Harv 27

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.74

Charlie Dean pass complete to Kym Wimberly for 26 yds for a TD, (Jonah Lipel KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Aidan Borguet run for a loss of 1 yard to the Harv 32

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.06

Charlie Dean pass complete to Kym Wimberly for 10 yds to the Harv 42

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Aidan Borguet run for 2 yds to the Harv 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Charlie Dean pass complete to Scott Giuliano for 8 yds to the Brown 48

2nd & 2Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.67

Charlie Dean pass complete to Kym Wimberly for 21 yds to the Brown 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

pass incomplete to Kym Wimberly

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Aidan Borguet run for 1 yd to the Brown 26

4th & 5Punt+1 yds

Michael Walsh punt for 26 yds , Scott Woods II returns for 1 yd to the Harv 45

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Allen Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Brown 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Jake Willcox pass complete to Graham Walker for 2 yds to the Brown 23

3rd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Jake Willcox run for 7 yds to the Brown 30

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 46 yds , Wes Rockett returns for no gain to the Brown 5 Wes Rockett fumbled, recovered by Brown Wes Rockett , return for no gain to the Brown 5

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Kym Wimberly

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Charlie Dean run for 2 yds to the Harv 47

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Charlie Dean run for 2 yds to the Harv 49

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Michael Walsh punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jake Willcox pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 6 yds to the Brown 11

2nd & 4Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.68

Stockton Owen run for 26 yds to the Brown 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jake Willcox run for 8 yds to the Brown 45

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Jordan DeLucia run for 1 yd to the Brown 46

3rd & 1Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.90

Jake Willcox sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Brown 39 BROWN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) to the Brown 39

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush-15 ydsPPA -1.81

HARVARD Penalty, illegal block (Jack McGowan) to the Harv 17

1st & 25Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.53

Charlie Dean pass complete to Jack Bill for 13 yds to the Harv 30

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Sone Ntoh run for 5 yds to the Harv 35

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Charlie Dean pass incomplete to Joe Young, broken up by Cooper DeVeau

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Allen Smith run for 1 yd to the Brown 30

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jake Willcox pass incomplete to Graham Walker, broken up by Gavin Shipman

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Jake Willcox pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 8 yds to the Brown 38

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.08

Stockton Owen run for 4 yds to the Brown 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jake Willcox pass complete to Allan Houston III for 5 yds to the Brown 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jake Willcox pass complete to Jordan McIntyre for 4 yds to the Harv 49

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.07

Stockton Owen run for 3 yds to the Harv 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

HARVARD Penalty, personal foul (Truman Jones) to the Harv 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jake Willcox run for 5 yds to the Harv 26

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Jordan DeLucia run for a loss of 1 yard to the Harv 27

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

pass incomplete to Zachary Targoff

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Christopher Maron 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Aidan Borguet run for 2 yds to the Brown 26

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.04

C. Dean pass,to K. Wimberly for 26 yds for a TD, (J. Lipel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Charlie Dean pass complete to Kym Wimberly for 14 yds to the Harv 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.52

Aidan Borguet run for 20 yds to the Brown 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Charlie Dean pass complete to Tyler Neville for 4 yds to the Brown 35

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Aidan Borguet run for 2 yds to the Brown 33

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.44

Aidan Borguet run for a loss of 2 yards to the Brown 35

4th & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.37

Charlie Dean pass complete to Ledger Hatch for 7 yds to the Brown 28 for a 1ST down

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Michael Walsh punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Allen Smith run for 3 yds to the Brown 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.52

Jake Willcox pass complete to Allen Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the Brown 20

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

pass incomplete to Graham Walker

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.47

C. Dean pass,to H. Montefalco for 17 yds for a TD, (J. Lipel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Sone Ntoh run for 7 yds to the Harv 39

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Sone Ntoh run for a loss of 2 yards to the Harv 37

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.30

Charlie Dean run for 10 yds to the Harv 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Charlie Dean run for 1 yd to the Harv 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Charlie Dean pass complete to Ledger Hatch for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.97

Charlie Dean pass complete to Tim Dowd for 12 yds to the Brown 38 BROWN Penalty, roughing passer (Malcolm Brunson) to the Brown 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Sone Ntoh run for 6 yds to the Brown 17

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Michael Walsh punt for 44 yds , Scott Woods II returns for no gain to the Harv 31 HARVARD Penalty, illegal block (Miles Wiley) to the Harv 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Stockton Owen run for 1 yd to the Brown 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jake Willcox pass incomplete to Wes Rockett, broken up by Khalil Dawsey

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jake Willcox run for 5 yds to the Brown 31

4th & 5Punt+4 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 39 yds , Wes Rockett returns for 4 yds to the Brown 33

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Aidan Borguet run for 8 yds to the Harv 23

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.00

Aidan Borguet run for 4 yds to the Harv 27 for a 1ST down

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

pass incomplete to Ledger Hatch

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Charlie Dean pass incomplete to Tyler Neville, broken up by Isaiah Reed

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

pass incomplete to Zachary Targoff

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.59

Jake Willcox pass complete to Jordan DeLucia for 9 yds to the Harv 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

pass incomplete to Mark Mahoney

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54
3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.65

Jake Willcox pass complete to Graham Walker for 12 yds to the Brown 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jake Willcox run for 2 yds to the Brown 47

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+81 ydsPPA +6.44

C. Dean pass,to L. Hatch for 81 yds for a TD, (J. Lipel KICK)

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +5.41

J. Willcox pass,to S. Owen for 49 yds for a TD, (C. Maron KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jake Willcox pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 4 yds to the Brown 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Allen Smith run for 4 yds to the Brown 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Allen Smith run for 2 yds to the Brown 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jake Willcox pass complete to Graham Walker for 8 yds to the Brown 43

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

pass incomplete to Graham Walker

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jake Willcox pass incomplete to Wes Rockett, broken up by Dominic Young-Smith

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +6.30

A. Borguet run for 67 yds for a TD, (J. Lipel KICK),BROWN penalty, off-side (T. Hobbs)

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Michael Walsh punt for 37 yds , Scott Woods II returns for no gain to the Harv 31

4th & 5Punt+1 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 35 yds , Wes Rockett returns for 1 yd to the Brown 16 Wes Rockett fumbled, recovered by Brown Wes Rockett , return for no gain to the Brown 16

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Michael Walsh punt for 35 yds

4th & 2Punt+53 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 35 yds , Wes Rockett returns for 53 yds to the Harv 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Charlie Dean pass complete to Aidan Borguet for 4 yds to the Harv 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Ledger Hatch

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

pass incomplete to Hayes Sutton

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

A. Smith run for 7 yds for a TD, (C. Maron KICK)

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.44

Charlie Dean pass complete to Kym Wimberly

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Aidan Borguet run for 4 yds to the Harv 19

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

pass incomplete to Kym Wimberly HARVARD Penalty, illegal formation. (Alex Washington) to the Harv 19

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.09

J. Willcox pass,to W. Rockett for 16 yds for a TD, (C. Maron KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

pass incomplete to Stockton Owen

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Stockton Owen run for 5 yds to the Brown 36

3rd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.31

Jake Willcox pass complete to Graham Walker for 25 yds to the Harv 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jake Willcox pass complete to Christopher Boyle for 4 yds to the Harv 35

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Allen Smith run for 2 yds to the Harv 33

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Jake Willcox run for 8 yds to the Harv 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.17

Jake Willcox run for 1 yd to the Harv 24 for a 1ST down HARVARD Penalty, personal foul (Kobe Joseph) to the Harv 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.56

Allen Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Harv 16

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 36 yds , Wes Rockett returns for no gain to the Brown 45

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sone Ntoh run for 5 yds to the Harv 16

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Sone Ntoh run for 1 yd to the Harv 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -0.34

Charlie Dean pass complete to Sone Ntoh HARVARD Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Kym Wimberly) to the Harv 9

3rd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Aidan Borguet run for 10 yds to the Harv 19

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.23

J. Willcox pass,to A. Houston III for 25 yds for a TD, (C. Maron KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16
2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jake Willcox pass complete to Christopher Boyle for 6 yds to the Harv 49

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.65

Allen Smith run for 4 yds to the Harv 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Jake Willcox pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 14 yds to the Harv 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jake Willcox pass incomplete to Graham Walker, broken up by Diassa Diakite

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jake Willcox pass complete to Stockton Owen for 6 yds to the Harv 25

3rd & 6Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.09

HARVARD Penalty, Offensive holding (Scott Elliott) to the Harv 45

3rd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Aidan Borguet run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Charlie Dean pass complete to Kym Wimberly for 13 yds to the Harv 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Aidan Borguet run for 5 yds to the Harv 45

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.88

Charlie Dean run for 6 yds to the Brown 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Aidan Borguet run for 3 yds to the Brown 46

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Aidan Borguet run for 1 yd to the Brown 45

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.46

pass incomplete to Graham Walker

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

pass incomplete to Allen Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jake Willcox pass complete to Allen Smith for 5 yds to the Brown 17

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

pass incomplete to Wes Rockett

4th & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.00

Jake Willcox pass complete to Wes Rockett for 5 yds to the Brown 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.71

Jake Willcox pass complete to for 20 yds to the Brown 42 for a 1ST down HARVARD Penalty, substitution infraction. (Alex Washington) to the Brown 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.32

Jake Willcox pass complete to Wes Rockett for 17 yds to the Harv 41 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jake Willcox pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 3 yds to the Harv 38

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jake Willcox pass incomplete to Wes Rockett, broken up by Khalil Dawsey

Situational Analysis

Harvard

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
20 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
17%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Brown

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
25 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
33%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
78%
9 plays
56%
9 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play