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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2022Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Lamar by 3.7

Home Win Probability

Lamar 55%

Market (consensus)

Lamar +3

Edge: Lamar +3 (6.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 17, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Colorado
777021
Lamar
070714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-147-2114-21
LamarNorthern Colorado

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LAMNCLAMLAMNCLAMNCLAMNCLAMNCLAMNCLAMNCLAMNCLAMNCLAMNCPUNT518ydPUNT518ydTD717ydPUNT31ydPUNT511ydTO957ydTO57ydTD831ydTD1271ydPUNT3-11ydMISS943ydEND1-4ydTO869ydPUNT34ydTD357ydTO631ydDOWNS730ydTD1468ydTO1136ydTO1247ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Colorado and Lamar
StatisticNorthern ColoradoLamar
Passing17-2915-24
Pass Yards21882
Rush Yards52217
Total Yards270299
Turnovers34
3rd Down6-146-13
Penalties5-2014-130
Possession27:3932:21

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Colorado
passing
Jacob Sirmon
16/28, 218 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
David Afari
7 CAR, 41 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
T.J. Graham
5 REC, 97 YDS, 1 TD
Lamar
passing
Nick Yockey
10/11, 71 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Khalan Griffin
10 CAR, 66 YDS
receiving
Sevonne Rhea
3 REC, 36 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mike Chandler pass incomplete to Khalan Griffin

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Hunter Batten run for 11 yds to the Lamar 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Mike Chandler pass complete to Jalen Dummett for 1 yd to the Lamar 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Mike Chandler pass incomplete to Sevonne Rhea

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Mike Chandler run for 6 yds to the Lamar 43

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Alfonso Deleon punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Elijah Dotson run for 2 yds to the NoCol 12

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

LAMAR Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the NoCol 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Elijah Dotson run for 3 yds to the NoCol 24

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Elijah Dotson run for 4 yds to the NoCol 28

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Elijah Dotson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Sevonne Rhea at the Lamar 29

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Damashja Harris run for 7 yds to the Lamar 36

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Damashja Harris run for 2 yds to the Lamar 38

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Hunter Batten run for 3 yds to the Lamar 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Mike Chandler run for 10 yds to the NoCol 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Hunter Batten run for 5 yds to the NoCol 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Mike Chandler pass incomplete to Jeremy Davis

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY LAM False Start (Fuselier,Kyndon) 5 yards from UNC44 to UNC49. NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+46 ydsPPA -8.10

RJ Potts 46 Yd Fumble Return (Hunter Green Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Khalan Griffin run for no gain to the Lamar 25

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY LAM False Start 5 yards from LAM25 to LAM20. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Mike Chandler pass incomplete to Jalen Dummett

3rd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Damashja Harris run for 6 yds to the Lamar 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Alfonso Deleon punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Uryan Hudson at the NoCol 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 6 yds to the NoCol 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.53

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Trevis Graham for 5 yds to the Lamar 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Elijah Dotson run for no gain to the Lamar 46

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Trevis Graham

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Kassidy Woods

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Sevonne Rhea at the Lamar 19

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Khalan Griffin run for 10 yds to the Lamar 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Khalan Griffin run for 9 yds to the Lamar 38

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Khalan Griffin run for 7 yds to the Lamar 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Khalan Griffin run for 9 yds to the NoCol 46

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Damashja Harris run for 3 yds to the NoCol 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Damashja Harris run for 4 yds to the NoCol 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Mike Chandler pass complete to Jalen Dummett for 7 yds to the NoCol 32 for a 1ST down

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Mike Chandler pass complete to Jalen Dummett for 7 yds to the NoCol 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Mike Chandler pass complete to Daelyn Williams for 2 yds to the NoCol 34

2nd & 12Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -3.20

Khalan Griffin run for 10 yds to the NoCol 24 Khalan Griffin fumbled, recovered by NoCol Jordan Knapke

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Elijah Dotson run for 1 yd to the NoCol 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.47

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Ty Arrington for 10 yds to the NoCol 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jacob Sirmon run for 6 yds to the NoCol 29

2nd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 9 yds to the NoCol 38

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -0.77

Jacob Sirmon sacked by Jalen Freeman for a loss of 7 yards to the NoCol 31 Jacob Sirmon fumbled, recovered by Lamar Breylon Charles , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Mike Chandler pass incomplete to Sevonne Rhea

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Mike Chandler pass incomplete to Jalen Dummett

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Major Bowden run for 12 yds to the NoCol 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Major Bowden run for 5 yds to the NoCol 14

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Major Bowden run for 4 yds to the NoCol 10

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.09

Damashja Harris run for 7 yds to the NoCol 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Damashja Harris run for 2 yds to the NoCol 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Hunter Batten run for 1 yd for a TD NORTHERN COLO Penalty, Defensive Offside (RJ Potts) declined, (Chris Esqueda KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Trevis Graham

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.85

David Afari run for 11 yds to the NoCol 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.27

Jacob Sirmon sacked by Blake Gotcher for a loss of 9 yards to the NoCol 31

2nd & 19Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Sirmon,Jacob pass incomplete short right to Graham,Trevis broken up by Goffney,Austin PENALTY LAM Personal Foul (Goffney,Austin) 15 yards from UNC31 to UNC46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field stands.

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Alec Lewis pass complete to Trevis Graham for no gain to the NoCol 46

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jacob Sirmon run for 1 yd to the NoCol 47

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

LAMAR Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Lamar 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

David Afari run for 4 yds to the Lamar 26

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

David Afari run for 3 yds to the Lamar 23

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.45

David Afari run for 4 yds to the Lamar 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

David Afari run for 3 yds to the Lamar 16

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

David Afari run for 6 yds to the Lamar 10

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.55

David Afari run for 10 yds for a TD, (Hunter Green KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Damashja Harris run for 2 yds to the Lamar 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Mike Chandler pass incomplete to Jalen Dummett

3rd & 8Penalty0 yds

LAMAR Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Lamar 22

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Alfonso Deleon punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Elijah Dotson run for 1 yd to the NoCol 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Ty Arrington for 9 yds to the NoCol 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 6 yds to the Lamar 45

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Elijah Dotson

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.54

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 5 yds to the Lamar 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+20 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Sirmon,Jacob rush middle for 2 yards gain to the LAM38 (Jackson,Tyler) PENALTY LAM Offside (Freeman,Jalen) LAM Personal Foul (Jackson,Tyler) 20 yards from LAM40 to LAM20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Ty Arrington

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Elijah Dotson

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Elijah Dotson run for 2 yds to the Lamar 18

4th & 8Blocked Field Goal+35 yds

Hunter Green 35 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jack McCarthy

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

run for 4 yds to the Lamar 16

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Alec Pell for 12 yds to the NoCol 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Elijah Dotson run for 2 yds to the NoCol 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 8 yds to the NoCol 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Elijah Dotson run for 4 yds to the Lamar 49

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jacob Sirmon run for 3 yds to the Lamar 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.21

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Trevis Graham for 43 yds to the Lamar 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -5.54

Jacob Sirmon run for 3 yds to the Lamar 6 Jacob Sirmon fumbled, recovered by Lamar Brayden Faulkner

1st & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -5.54

Jacob Sirmon run for 3 yds to the Lamar 6 Jacob Sirmon fumbled, recovered by Lamar Brayden Faulkner

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Hunter Batten run for 4 yds to the Lamar 10

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Hunter Batten run for no gain to the Lamar 10

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Mike Chandler pass incomplete to Sevonne Rhea

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Alfonso Deleon punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Uryan Hudson at the NoCol 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Alec Pell for 2 yds to the NoCol 45

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Sirmon,Jacob pass incomplete short left to Dotson,Elijah QB hurried by Owens,Adrian PENALTY LAM Pass Interference (Gotcher,Blake) 15 yards from UNC45 to LAM40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Kyle Helbig

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.03

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Trevis Graham for 40 yds for a TD, (Hunter Green KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Damashja Harris run for 14 yds to the Lamar 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Damashja Harris run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.95

Hunter Batten run for 1 yd to the NoCol 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.71

Mike Chandler pass complete to Nathan Gaskamp for 5 yds to the NoCol 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Hunter Batten run for 6 yds to the NoCol 38

2nd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -3.88

Mike Chandler pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Elijah Dotson run for no gain to the NoCol 38

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Kassidy Woods

3rd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.72

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Ty Arrington for 26 yds to the Lamar 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Sirmon,Jacob pass complete short left to Woods,Kassidy for 5 yards to the LAM31 (Freeman,Jalen), out of bounds PENALTY LAM Illegal Substitution (McCarthy,Jack) 5 yards from LAM36 to LAM31. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Elijah Dotson run for 2 yds to the Lamar 29

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Elijah Dotson run for 2 yds to the Lamar 27

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Elijah Dotson run for no gain to the Lamar 27

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle Sirmon,Jacob rush middle for 1 yard gain to the LAM26 (Williams,Caleb; Bell,Ayden) PENALTY UNC False Start 5 yards from LAM27 to LAM32. NO PLAY.

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.16

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Kassidy Woods

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Hunter Batten run for 3 yds to the Lamar 35

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jalen Dummett run for 3 yds to the Lamar 38

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.76

Jalen Dummett run for 5 yds to the Lamar 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY UNC Offside (Talkington,Brooks) 5 yards from LAM43 to LAM48. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.22

Khalan Griffin run for 31 yds to the LAMAR 21 LAMAR Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Lamar 42

1st & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Damashja Harris run for 3 yds to the Lamar 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Nick Yockey pass complete to Hunter Batten for no gain to the Lamar 45

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Damashja Harris run for 6 yds to the NoCol 49 Damashja Harris fumbled, recovered by Lamar Damashja Harris

4th & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.73

Nick Yockey pass complete to Sevonne Rhea for 9 yds to the NoCol 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Khalan Griffin run for 6 yds to the NoCol 34

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Khalan Griffin run for 6 yds to the NoCol 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.65

Major Bowden run for 17 yds to the NoCol 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

NORTHERN COLO Penalty, Offside. (Tava Finau) to the NoCol 1

2nd & 1Penalty0 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Griffin,Khalan rush left for 0 yards to the UNC01 (King,Vincent) PENALTY UNC Offside (Anderson-Taylor,Elijah). NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY LAM False Start (Gaskamp,Nathan) 5 yards from UNC28 to UNC33. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.73

Nick Yockey pass complete to Major Bowden for 15 yds to the NoCol 18 for a 1ST down

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jalen Dummett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Esqueda KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Trevis Graham for 9 yds to the NoCol 40

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

NORTHERN COLO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NoCol 30

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Elijah Dotson run for 4 yds to the NoCol 34

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Alec Pell for 6 yds to the NoCol 40

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.88

Jacob Sirmon run for 1 yd to the NoCol 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Noah Ford

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Elijah Dotson run for 2 yds to the NoCol 39

3rd & 12Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.67

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Ty Arrington for 22 yds to the Lamar 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jacob Sirmon run for 3 yds to the Lamar 36

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Elijah Dotson run for 3 yds to the Lamar 33

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -3.31

run for no gain to the Lamar 33 fumbled, recovered by Lamar Ayden Bell

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Nick Yockey pass complete to Jalen Dummett for 4 yds to the Lamar 37

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Khalan Griffin run for 5 yds to the Lamar 42

3rd & 1Rush-14 ydsPPA -1.84

Nick Yockey run for 1 yd to the Lamar 43 for a 1ST down LAMAR Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Lamar 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nick Yockey pass complete to Major Bowden for 5 yds to the Lamar 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.39

Nick Yockey pass complete to Sevonne Rhea for 11 yds to the Lamar 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Major Bowden run for 4 yds to the Lamar 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.52

Nick Yockey pass complete to Sevonne Rhea for 16 yds to the NoCol 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Nick Yockey run for 10 yds to the NoCol 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.17

Nick Yockey pass complete to Devyn Gibbs for 12 yds to the NoCol 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY LAM False Start 5 yards from UNC14 to UNC19. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Nick Yockey pass complete to Major Bowden for 2 yds to the NoCol 21

2nd & 17Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Nick Yockey pass complete to Major Bowden for 1 yd to the NoCol 20

3rd & 16Interception0 ydsPPA -3.06

Nick Yockey pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.38

run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoCol 5

Situational Analysis

Northern Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
17%
24 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
54%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Lamar

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
56%
27 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
55%
11 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play