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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

James Madison by 4.5

Home Win Probability

App State 36%

Market (consensus)

App State -6.5

Edge: James Madison +6.5 (11.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
James MadisonJames Madison
3771532
App StateApp State
0280028

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-314-328-1028-1728-32
App StateJames Madison

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20JMASJMASJMASJMASJMASJMASJMASASJMASJMASJMASJMASJMASJMASJMFG1365ydPUNT635ydPUNT3-7ydTD958ydTO10ydTD422ydDOWNS743ydTD368ydTO4-3ydTD316ydTD875ydTO3-5ydMISS40ydEND12ydDOWNS847ydPUNT36ydPUNT34ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-2ydTD641ydPUNT624ydTD592ydTO10ydTD29ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS1363ydDOWNS932ydEND3-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing James Madison and App State
StatisticJames MadisonApp State
Passing16-2817-28
Pass Yards204235
Rush Yards17263
Total Yards376298
Turnovers22
3rd Down2-144-12
Penalties7-506-40
Possession33:2826:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

James Madison
passing
Todd Centeio
16/28, 204 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kaelon Black
18 CAR, 85 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Reggie Brown
4 REC, 81 YDS
defense
App State
passing
Chase Brice
17/28, 235 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ahmani Marshall
8 CAR, 40 YDS
receiving
Dashaun Davis
3 REC, 57 YDS
defense
Trey Cobb
2 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Todd Centeio pass complete to Zach Horton for 11 yds to the JMads 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Latrele Palmer run for 9 yds to the JMads 45

2nd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.58

Todd Centeio run for 15 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Todd Centeio pass complete to Drew Painter for 6 yds to the AppSt 34

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Latrele Palmer run for 2 yds to the AppSt 32

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

JMU Penalty, False Start (Latrele Palmer) to the AppSt 37

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Todd Centeio run for 5 yds to the AppSt 32

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

JMU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 37

4th & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.68

Todd Centeio pass complete to Drew Painter for 9 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kaelon Black run for 4 yds to the AppSt 24

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Kaelon Black run for 8 yds to the AppSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Todd Centeio pass complete to Zach Horton for 1 yd to the AppSt 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Todd Centeio pass complete to Latrele Palmer for 5 yds to the AppSt 10

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+27 yds

Camden Wise 27 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Connor Madden kickoff for 63 yds , Milan Tucker return for 23 yds to the AppSt 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Daetrich Harrington run for 1 yd to the AppSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.42

Daetrich Harrington run for 9 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.40

Chase Brice pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 34 yds to the JMads 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Anderson Castle run for no gain to the JMads 31

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 32

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the JMads 37

3rd & 16Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.24

Chase Brice pass complete to Dashaun Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the JMads 40

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 19

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

3rd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.15

Todd Centeio sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 6 yards to the JMads 13

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Sam Clark punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.69

Chase Brice pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 26 yds to the JMads 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the JMads 27

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Chase Brice pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 3 yds to the JMads 24

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.36

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the JMads 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the JMads 21

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the JMads 16

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.29

Chase Brice pass complete to Henry Pearson for 12 yds to the JMads 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the JMads 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.92

Latrele Palmer run for no gain to the JMads 22 Latrele Palmer fumbled, recovered by AppSt Trey Cobb

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Chase Brice pass complete to Michael Hetzel for 9 yds to the JMads 13

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.30

Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the JMads 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMads 10

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Chase Brice pass complete to Miller Gibbs for 10 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Todd Centeio pass complete to Reggie Brown for 8 yds to the JMads 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.48

Todd Centeio pass complete to Reggie Brown for 19 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Kaelon Black run for 10 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Latrele Palmer run for 1 yd to the AppSt 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

CENTEIO, Todd pass to the right incomplete intended for BROWN, Reggie thrown to the APP16. PENALTY APP Offsides on MCLEOD, Jalen enforced 5 yards from the APP37 to the APP32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.41

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the AppSt 34

2nd & 8Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.81

Ahmani Marshall run for 24 yds to the JMads 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BRICE, Chase pass to the left incomplete intended for STROMAN, Dalton thrown to the JMU10. PENALTY JMU Pass Interference on JAMES, Maxwell enforced 15 yards to the JMU27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Chase Brice pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 27 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 65 yds , Kaelon Black return for 23 yds to the JMads 23

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Todd Centeio run for 8 yds to the JMads 31 JMU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tanner Morris) to the JMads 17

1st & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kaelon Black run for 4 yds to the JMads 21

2nd & 12Penalty+5 yds

CENTEIO, Todd pass to the right complete for 7 yards to BROWN, Reggie to the JMU28 (LAWSON JR., Dexter), out of bounds. PENALTY APP Offsides on PAILLANT, Hansky enforced 5 yards from the JMU21 to the JMU26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.36

Todd Centeio sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the JMads 16 fumbled, recovered by AppSt Tyler Bird , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Chase Brice pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 11 yds to the JMads 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Nate Noel run for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Kaelon Black run for 18 yds to the JMads 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the JMads 44

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Todd Centeio run for 4 yds to the JMads 48

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kaelon Black run for 4 yds to the AppSt 48

4th & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.56

Kaelon Black run for 9 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.48

Todd Centeio run for 16 yds to the AppSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Todd Centeio run for no gain to the AppSt 23

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.08

Todd Centeio pass complete to Kaelon Black for 23 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nate Noel run for no gain to the AppSt 25

3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.23

Chase Brice sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Kaelon Black run for no gain to the AppSt 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+27 yds

Camden Wise 27 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the AppSt 22

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Daetrich Harrington run for 1 yd to the AppSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.39

Chase Brice pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 19 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the AppSt 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.98

Chase Brice pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 18 yds to the JMads 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ahmani Marshall run for 5 yds to the JMads 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Chase Brice pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the JMads 27

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.09

Ahmani Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Todd Centeio run for 5 yds to the JMads 33

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the JMads 34

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Sam Clark punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the AppSt 27

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.69

Chase Brice sacked by Jamare Edwards for a loss of 7 yards to the AppSt 20

3rd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.17

Chase Brice pass complete to Tyler Page for 10 yds to the AppSt 30

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 47 yds , Josh Sarratt returns for 4 yds to the JMads 27

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Kaelon Black run for 6 yds to the JMads 33

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Todd Centeio run for 3 yds to the JMads 36

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.96

Kaelon Black run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMads 34

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Sam Clark punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tyler Page at the AppSt 21

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Anderson Castle run for 6 yds to the AppSt 27

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Anderson Castle run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 26

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.47

Chase Brice sacked by Jamare Edwards and Abi Nwabuoku-Okonji for a loss of 7 yards to the AppSt 19

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Josh Sarratt at the AppSt 41

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.61

Latrele Palmer run for 20 yds to the AppSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

JMU Penalty, False Start (Latrele Palmer) to the AppSt 26

2nd & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.97

Todd Centeio run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 27

3rd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Todd Centeio pass complete to Devin Ravenel for 11 yds to the AppSt 16

4th & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.27

Todd Centeio run for 14 yds to the AppSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Todd Centeio run for 2 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Chase Brice run for 2 yds to the AppSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Chase Brice pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.91

Chase Brice pass complete to Christan Horn for 20 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the JMads 49

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the JMads 46

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ahmani Marshall run for no gain to the JMads 46

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the AppSt 49

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Josh Sarratt at the JMads 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.33

Todd Centeio pass complete to Reggie Brown for 42 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Todd Centeio run for 6 yds to the AppSt 44

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Kaelon Black run for 8 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Todd Centeio pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 36 yds for a TD, (Todd Centeio pass to Kris Thornton for Two-Point Conversion)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Connor Madden kickoff for 65 yds , Milan Tucker return for 26 yds to the AppSt 26

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Chase Brice pass intercepted

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kaelon Black run for 5 yds to the AppSt 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Kaelon Black run for 4 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Chase Brice pass complete to Daetrich Harrington for 3 yds to the AppSt 28

2nd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.87

Chase Brice sacked by Josh Sarratt for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Chase Brice pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Clayton Howell punt for 51 yds, downed at the JMads 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Todd Centeio pass complete to Reggie Brown for 12 yds to the JMads 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Todd Centeio run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 38

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Todd Centeio pass complete to Devin Ravenel for 7 yds to the JMads 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.84

Todd Centeio pass complete to Drew Painter for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Latrele Palmer run for 3 yds to the AppSt 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.18

Todd Centeio pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 10 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Kaelon Black run for 1 yd to the AppSt 36

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

JMU Penalty, False Start (Drew Painter) to the AppSt 41

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kaelon Black run for 5 yds to the AppSt 36

3rd & 9Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.96

Todd Centeio run for 18 yds to the AppSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Latrele Palmer run for 4 yds to the AppSt 14

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

JMU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 19

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.54

Todd Centeio run for 10 yds to the AppSt 9

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.06

Kaelon Black run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Illegal Snap on EVERETT, Troy enforced (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 5

2nd & 15Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.45

Chase Brice pass complete to Christan Horn for 23 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Chase Brice pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 6 yds to the AppSt 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.80

Chase Brice pass complete to Henry Pearson for 7 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Chase Brice pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Chase Brice run for 1 yd to the AppSt 42

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Chase Brice pass incomplete

No play data available

Situational Analysis

James Madison

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
28%
25 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
57%
14 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play