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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas State by 14.7

Home Win Probability

Arkansas State 78%

Market (consensus)

Arkansas State -17.5

Edge: Massachusetts +17.5 (2.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MassachusettsMassachusetts
33131433
Arkansas StateArkansas State
14021035

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-314-321-1321-1928-1935-2735-33
Arkansas StateMassachusetts

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MASASMASASMASMASASMASASMASASMASASMASASASMASASMASASMASASMASASMASASMASASPUNT33ydTD466ydFG756ydPUNT33ydTD3-3ydTO1467ydPUNT32ydDOWNS519ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT31ydPUNT34ydPUNT512ydPUNT33ydFG931ydEND20ydTD471ydTD875ydTO10ydTD762ydTD175ydPUNT34ydTD866ydTD975ydPUNT37ydDOWNS829ydPUNT36ydTD1181ydEND1-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Massachusetts and Arkansas State
StatisticMassachusettsArkansas State
Passing24-4310-18
Pass Yards307142
Rush Yards168133
Total Yards475275
Turnovers21
3rd Down10-230-8
Penalties4-255-62
Possession41:3033:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Massachusetts
passing
Brady Olson
14/28, 178 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Ellis Merriweather
29 CAR, 122 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Cam Sullivan-Brown
3 REC, 72 YDS
defense
Jalen Stewart
1.5 TFL, 1 PD
Arkansas State
passing
James Blackman
10/18, 142 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Marcel Murray
8 CAR, 123 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Champ Flemings
2 REC, 44 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Tristan Mattson kickoff for 63 yds , Greg Desrosiers Jr. return for 10 yds to the UMass 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Brady Olson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 8 yds to the UMass 20

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

UMASS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 15

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13

Brady Olson run for no gain to the UMass 15

4th & 7Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 51 yds, downed at the ArkSt 34

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.98

Johnnie Lang run for 23 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.80

James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 29 yds to the UMass 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.52

Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 17

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.07

James Blackman pass complete to Seydou Traore for 17 yds for a TD, (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 15 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Mahoney run for 5 yds to the UMass 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.93

Brady Olson pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 29 yds to the ArkSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Brady Olson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Brady Olson pass complete to Zamar Wise for 4 yds to the ArkSt 22

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 19

4th & 3Field Goal Good+37 yds

Cameron Carson 37 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 54 yds , Johnnie Lang return for 21 yds to the ArkSt 6

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Johnnie Lang run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 25

2nd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.80

James Blackman sacked by Nahji Logan for a loss of 9 yards to the ArkSt 16

3rd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.09

James Blackman pass complete to Johnnie Lang for 9 yds to the ArkSt 25

4th & 7Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Isaiah Holiness run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 18

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 18

3rd & 13Interception Return Touchdown+27 ydsPPA -6.72

Trevian Thomas 27 Yd Interception Return (Dominic Zvada Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brady Olson run for 5 yds to the UMass 30

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 5 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brady Olson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 5 yds to the UMass 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.10

Brady Olson pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 7 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Brady Olson pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 2 yds to the UMass 49

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 46

3rd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.70

Brady Olson run for 11 yds to the ArkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.34

Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 14 yds to the ArkSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Onuma Dieke run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 16

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Brady Olson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty+14 yds

OLSON, Brady pass to the left incomplete intended for SULLIVAN-BROWN, Cam broken up by JOHNSON, Samy at the ASU0. PENALTY ASU Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Samy enforced 14 yards to the ASU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

George Johnson III pass incomplete

2nd & 2Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.88

Brady Olson run for a loss of 6 yards to the ArkSt 8

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -4.05

Brady Olson pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Brian Snead run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 11

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.21

James Blackman pass complete to Jeff Foreman for no gain to the ArkSt 11 ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

James Blackman pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Ellis Merriweather run for 14 yds to the ArkSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Brady Olson pass complete to Isaac Ross for 4 yds to the ArkSt 25

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.94

Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 26

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.83

Brady Olson pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

LANG, Johnnie rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the ASU31, End of Play. PENALTY UMA Offsides on BOYKIN, Noah enforced 5 yards from the ASU26 to the ASU31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.18

James Blackman sacked by Jalen Stewart for a loss of 5 yards to the ArkSt 26

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Marcel Murray run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 29

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.45

James Blackman sacked by Marcus Cushnie for a loss of 8 yards to the ArkSt 21

4th & 15Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 19 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 39

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for no gain to the ArkSt 39

3rd & 9Penalty0 yds

UMASS Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 9Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Johnnie Lang at the ArkSt 8

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Marcel Murray run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 10

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

James Blackman pass complete to Marcel Murray for 5 yds to the ArkSt 15

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.30

AJ Mayer run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 12

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 45

2nd & 9Penalty-4 yds

UMASS Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Brady Olson) to the UMass 31

3rd & 23Penalty+15 yds

ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Justin Parks) to the ArkSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brady Olson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brady Olson pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 35 yds, downed at the ArkSt 9

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 7

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.12

Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 5

3rd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.03

Marcel Murray run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 12

4th & 7Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the ArkSt 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Brady Olson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.72

Ellis Merriweather run for 10 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Brady Olson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 7 yds to the ArkSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.80

Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 7 yds to the ArkSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Brady Olson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brady Olson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 7 yds to the ArkSt 18

4th & 3Field Goal Good+36 yds

Cameron Carson 36 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+32 yds

CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 61 yds , Johnnie Lang return for 32 yds to the ArkSt 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

James Blackman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Johnnie Lang run for no gain to the ArkSt 36

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 60 yds , Johnnie Lang return for 24 yds to the ArkSt 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.41

James Blackman pass complete to Champ Flemings for 15 yds to the ArkSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BLACKMAN, James pass to the right incomplete intended for TRAORE, Seydou broken up by DAVIS, Tanner at the UMA30 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY UMA Targeting on POWELL, Te'Rai enforced 15 yards from the ASU44 to the UMA41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Johnnie Lang run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 42

2nd & 11Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.74

James Blackman pass complete to Seydou Traore for 24 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

James Blackman pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 18 yds for a TD, (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 29

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.34

Ellis Merriweather run for 10 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 41

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.36

Brady Olson pass complete to Cameron Sullivan-Brown for 43 yds to the ArkSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Brady Olson run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 10

2nd & 7Penalty+8 yds

OLSON, Brady pass to the left incomplete intended for SULLIVAN-BROWN, Cam thrown to the ASU0. PENALTY ASU Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Samy enforced 8 yards to the ASU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cameron Carson KICK)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

James Blackman pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 39

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 38

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.97

Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 13 yds to the ArkSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.04

Ellis Merriweather run for 23 yds to the ArkSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 24

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 19

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.91

George Johnson III 19 Yd pass from Brady Olson (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 65 yds , Johnnie Lang return for 25 yds to the ArkSt 25

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Marcel Murray run for 75 yds for a TD, (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Garrett Dzuro run for 1 yd to the UMass 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Zamar Wise run for 3 yds to the UMass 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Johnnie Lang at the ArkSt 34

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Marcel Murray run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 40

2nd & 4Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.07

Marcel Murray run for 28 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Marcel Murray run for 2 yds to the UMass 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

James Blackman pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

James Blackman pass incomplete

4th & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.36

James Blackman pass complete to Johnnie Lang for 18 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

James Blackman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.83

Johnnie Lang run for 12 yds for a TD, (Dominic Zvada KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Garrett Dzuro run for 1 yd to the UMass 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 7 yds to the UMass 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Ellis Merriweather run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 34

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the UMass 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +4.24

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to George Johnson III for 53 yds to the ArkSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Garrett Dzuro run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 4

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.36

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Josiah Johnson for no gain to the ArkSt 4

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds for a TD, (Garrett Dzuro pass to Ellis Merriweather for Two-Point Conversion)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 44 yds , Johnnie Lang return for no gain to the ArkSt 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Marcel Murray run for no gain to the ArkSt 21

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

James Blackman pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.12

James Blackman pass complete to Marcel Murray for 7 yds to the ArkSt 28

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 43 yds, downed at the UMass 29

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Ellis Merriweather run for 6 yds to the UMass 35

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Ellis Merriweather run for 9 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UMass 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Isaac Ross for 6 yds to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.90

Garrett Dzuro run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArkSt 49

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Ellis Merriweather run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 43

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 42

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Johnnie Lang run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 48

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.24

Johnnie Lang run for no gain to the ArkSt 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

James Blackman pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

William Przystup punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the UMass 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 4 yds to the UMass 23

2nd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.75

Garrett Dzuro sacked by Kivon Bennett for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 17

3rd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Isaac Ross for 6 yds to the UMass 23

4th & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.99

Garrett Dzuro run for 12 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the UMass 37

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Garrett Dzuro run for 2 yds to the UMass 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.89

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 1 yd to the ArkSt 40 for a 1ST down ARKANSAS ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Kenneth Harris) to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.74

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 18 yds to the ArkSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.90

Isaac Ross 27 Yd pass from Garrett Dzuro (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

[NH] Kneel down by ASU at UMA47 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
31%
35 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
56%
9 plays
44%
16 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
37%
19 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play