Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 8, 2022Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Montana State by 37.3

Home Win Probability

Montana State 97%

Market (consensus)

Montana State -25.5

Edge: Montana State -25.5 (11.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Idaho State
60006
Montana State
14200337

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-614-617-631-634-637-6
Montana StateIdaho State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISMSISMSISMSISMSISMSISMSMSISMSISMSISMSISTD476ydTD1171ydTO32ydTD523ydPUNT623ydFG1269ydTO420ydTD445ydPUNT37ydTD1464ydTO318ydFG221ydPUNT629ydDOWNS965ydDOWNS1248ydTO724ydFG719ydPUNT521ydMISS1376ydTO38yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Idaho State and Montana State
StatisticIdaho StateMontana State
Passing16-2324-30
Pass Yards173210
Rush Yards81255
Total Yards254465
Turnovers60
3rd Down3-107-14
Penalties2-203-25
Possession19:5940:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Idaho State
passing
Sagan Gronauer
16/23, 173 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Raiden Hunter
8 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
Xavier Guillory
8 REC, 80 YDS
Montana State
passing
Sean Chambers
16/22, 150 YDS
rushing
Lane Sumner
15 CAR, 100 YDS
receiving
Treyton Pickering
3 REC, 40 YDS

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Blake Glessner kickoff for 58 yds , Benjamin Omayebu return for 17 yds to the IdaSt 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.96

Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 22 yds to the IdaSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Benjamin Omayebu run for 5 yds to the MntSt 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.07

Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 13 yds to the MntSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Chedon James for 36 yds for a TD, (Ian Hershey PAT MISSED)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Ian Hershey kickoff for 58 yds , Marqui Johnson return for 22 yds to the MntSt 29

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Elijah Elliott run for 3 yds to the MntSt 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Sean Chambers pass complete to Derryk Snell for 4 yds to the MntSt 36

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.86

Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 8 yds to the MntSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

IDAHO ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jack Genova) to the IdaSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.07

Sean Chambers pass complete to Ravi Alston for 13 yds to the IdaSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Sean Chambers pass complete to Derryk Snell for 3 yds to the IdaSt 20

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Elijah Elliott run for 7 yds to the IdaSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Elijah Elliott run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 8

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.25

Sean Chambers run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

R.J. Fitzgerald run for 2 yds for a TD, (Blake Glessner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sagan Gronauer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Benjamin Omayebu run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 27

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA +0.01

Sagan Gronauer pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.87

Sean Chambers run for a loss of 4 yards to the IdaSt 27

2nd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Sean Chambers pass complete to Clevan Thomas for 11 yds to the IdaSt 16

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Lane Sumner run for 7 yds to the IdaSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Sean Chambers run for 7 yds to the IdaSt 4 Sean Chambers fumbled, recovered by MntSt Treyton Pickering

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Sean Chambers run for 4 yds for a TD, (Blake Glessner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Raiden Hunter run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Chedon James for 7 yds to the IdaSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Raiden Hunter run for 13 yds to the IdaSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Raiden Hunter run for no gain to the IdaSt 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Xavier Guillory for no gain to the IdaSt 48

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

IDAHO ST Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the IdaSt 43

3rd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 5 yds to the IdaSt 48

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ian Hershey punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.99

Sean Chambers pass complete to Marqui Johnson for 13 yds to the MntSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -1.78

Sean Chambers pass complete to Taco Dowler for 2 yds to the MntSt 36 MONTANA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (TEAM) to the MntSt 26

2nd & 18Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Sean Chambers pass complete to Willie Patterson for 1 yd to the MntSt 27

3rd & 17Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.48

Elijah Elliott run for 13 yds to the MntSt 40

4th & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.85

Sean Chambers pass complete to Ravi Alston for 9 yds to the MntSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.14

Lane Sumner run for 22 yds to the IdaSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.14

Sean Chambers sacked by Terrance Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the IdaSt 33

2nd & 14Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.38

Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 19 yds to the IdaSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Derryk Snell run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 10

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Elijah Elliott run for no gain to the IdaSt 10

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Lane Sumner run for no gain to the IdaSt 10

4th & 6Field Goal Good+27 yds

Blake Glessner 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Raiden Hunter run for no gain to the IdaSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Chedon James for 17 yds to the IdaSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Sagan Gronauer run for 10 yds to the MntSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.53

Sagan Gronauer sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the IdaSt 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Sean Chambers pass complete to Willie Patterson for 9 yds to the IdaSt 36

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.96

Lane Sumner run for 23 yds to the IdaSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Sean Chambers run for 13 yds for a TD, (Blake Glessner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 5 yds to the IdaSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Raiden Hunter run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Sagan Gronauer pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ian Hershey punt for 32 yds, downed at the MntSt 36

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Sean Chambers run for 5 yds to the MntSt 41

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Elijah Elliott run for no gain to the MntSt 41

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

MONTANA ST Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the MntSt 36

3rd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.63

Lane Sumner run for 10 yds to the MntSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Lane Sumner run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Elijah Elliott run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 45

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.14

Derryk Snell run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Elijah Elliott run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Sean Chambers pass complete to Elijah Elliott for 11 yds to the IdaSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Sean Chambers pass complete to Elijah Elliott for 9 yds to the IdaSt 20

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.03

Lane Sumner run for a loss of 3 yards to the IdaSt 23

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.63

Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 13 yds to the IdaSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Sean Chambers pass complete to Lane Sumner for 4 yds to the IdaSt 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Sean Chambers run for 6 yds for a TD, (Blake Glessner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Raiden Hunter for 9 yds to the IdaSt 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Sagan Gronauer pass incomplete

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -0.90

Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 9 yds fumbled, forced by Callahan O'Reilly, recovered by MntSt Ty Okada

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.70

Sean Chambers pass complete to Clevan Thomas for 21 yds to the IdaSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+40 yds

Blake Glessner 40 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+37 yds

Ian Hershey kickoff for 37 yds , Marqui Johnson return for 37 yds to the MntSt 18

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Lane Sumner run for 6 yds to the MntSt 24

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Lane Sumner run for 10 yds to the MntSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Elijah Elliott run for 11 yds to the MntSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Elijah Elliott run for a loss of 1 yard to the MntSt 44

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Elijah Elliott run for 3 yds to the MntSt 47

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Bryce Leighton punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.73

Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 21 yds to the IdaSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Benjamin Omayebu run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 47

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

Benjamin Omayebu run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 49

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.31

Benjamin Omayebu run for 3 yds to the MntSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.68

Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Chedon James for 12 yds to the MntSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Benjamin Omayebu run for 1 yd to the MntSt 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 2 yds to the MntSt 33

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Raiden Hunter for 3 yds to the MntSt 30

4th & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -2.60

Sagan Gronauer pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Lane Sumner run for no gain to the MntSt 15

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Lane Sumner run for 6 yds to the MntSt 21

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.87

Lane Sumner run for 4 yds to the MntSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Elijah Elliott run for 9 yds to the MntSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Elijah Elliott run for 4 yds to the MntSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Garrett Coon run for 5 yds to the MntSt 43

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Garrett Coon run for 4 yds to the MntSt 47

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.66

Garrett Coon run for 10 yds to the IdaSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Lane Sumner run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 41

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Lane Sumner run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 37

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.93

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Raiden Hunter run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 42

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Raiden Hunter run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.62

Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Raiden Hunter for 4 yds to the IdaSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Raiden Hunter run for 6 yds to the MntSt 46

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.43

Sagan Gronauer run for a loss of 1 yard to the MntSt 47 Sagan Gronauer fumbled, recovered by IdaSt Sagan Gronauer

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.94

Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 8 yds to the MntSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.86

Sagan Gronauer pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Sean Austin pass complete to Derryk Snell for 9 yds to the IdaSt 41

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.19

Elijah Elliott run for 7 yds to the IdaSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Sean Austin pass complete to Garrett Coon for 10 yds to the IdaSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.65

Elijah Elliott run for a loss of 2 yards to the IdaSt 26

2nd & 12Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.31

Sean Austin sacked by Jude Joseph for a loss of 8 yards to the IdaSt 34

3rd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Sean Austin run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 31

4th & 17Field Goal Good+48 yds

Blake Glessner 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Keoua Kauhi run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.53

Keoua Kauhi run for 12 yds to the IdaSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Keoua Kauhi run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 44

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Keoua Kauhi run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 46

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Sagan Gronauer pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ian Hershey punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Taco Dowler at the MntSt 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Sean Austin pass complete to Garrett Coon for 1 yd to the MntSt 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Sean Austin pass complete to Ryan Lonergan for 9 yds to the MntSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Sean Austin run for 11 yds to the MntSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Garrett Coon run for 2 yds to the MntSt 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Sean Austin pass complete to Ryan Lonergan for 8 yds to the MntSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Garrett Coon run for 13 yds to the IdaSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Sean Austin pass complete to Garrett Coon for 11 yds to the IdaSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Sean Austin pass complete to Ryan Lonergan for no gain to the IdaSt 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Sean Austin pass complete to Garrett Coon for 12 yds to the IdaSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Sean Austin run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 17

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Sean Austin run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 11

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Elijah Elliott run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 9

4th & 1Blocked Field Goal+26 yds

Blake Glessner 26 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Keoua Kauhi run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 26

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Jake Sanders run for a loss of 3 yards to the IdaSt 23

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jake Sanders run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 28 Jake Sanders fumbled, recovered by MntSt Level Price Jr.

Situational Analysis

Idaho State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
59%
22 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
29%
7 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Montana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
36 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
80%
10 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays