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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Colorado by 8.8

Home Win Probability

Northern Colorado 70%

Market (consensus)

Northern Colorado -3.5

Edge: Northern Colorado -3.5 (5.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Idaho State
0140014
Northern Colorado
01402135

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-1421-1428-1435-14
Northern ColoradoIdaho State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCISNCISNCISNCISNCISISNCISNCISISISNCTO1473ydPUNT39ydMISS1652ydDOWNS523ydTD343ydTD875ydTD875ydTD775ydPUNT3-2ydEND412ydTO737ydPUNT35ydDOWNS1166ydTD1577ydTD517ydTD522ydDOWNS1467ydEND841yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Idaho State and Northern Colorado
StatisticIdaho StateNorthern Colorado
Passing27-4023-28
Pass Yards282234
Rush Yards141150
Total Yards423384
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-117-14
Penalties5-454-35
Possession29:3430:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Idaho State
passing
Hunter Hays
25/34, 264 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Raiden Hunter
17 CAR, 111 YDS
receiving
Xavier Guillory
7 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD
Northern Colorado
passing
Dylan McCaffrey
23/28, 234 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Elijah Dotson
24 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Alec Pell
6 REC, 86 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 6 yds to the NoCol 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Alec Pell for 7 yds to the NoCol 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Trevis Graham for 7 yds to the NoCol 45

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.40

Elijah Dotson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Alec Pell for 8 yds to the IdaSt 42

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Elijah Dotson run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 41

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Jacquez Robertson run for 8 yds to the IdaSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Jacquez Robertson for 11 yds to the IdaSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jacquez Robertson run for no gain to the IdaSt 22

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jacquez Robertson run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 21

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Darius Stewart for 9 yds to the IdaSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Elijah Dotson run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 11

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Trevis Graham for 8 yds to the IdaSt 3

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -4.53

Elijah Dotson run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 2 Elijah Dotson fumbled, recovered by IdaSt Sam Benjamin

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Raiden Hunter run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 7

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Raiden Hunter run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 9

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Raiden Hunter run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 11

4th & 1Punt+5 yds

Ian Hershey punt for 49 yds , Uryan Hudson returns for 5 yds to the NoCol 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Elijah Dotson

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Elijah Dotson run for 9 yds to the IdaSt 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.92

Dylan McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Alec Pell for 8 yds to the IdaSt 36

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.14

Elijah Dotson run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Elijah Dotson run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Alec Pell for 8 yds to the IdaSt 22

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

David Afari run for no gain to the IdaSt 22

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.85

Dylan McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Elijah Dotson run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 6 yds to the IdaSt 12

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 3 yds to the IdaSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Elijah Dotson run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 10

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Jacquez Robertson run for 7 yds to the IdaSt 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Kassidy Woods

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+20 yds

Hunter Green 20 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Raiden Hunter run for 14 yds to the IdaSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Hunter Hays pass incomplete to Jalen Johnson

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Hays,Hunter pass complete deep to Johnson,Brandon for 15 yards to the ISU49 (Johnson,Dustin) PENALTY ISU Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from ISU34 to ISU29. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.04

Hunter Hays pass complete to Shane Dailey Jr. for 12 yds to the IdaSt 41

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Soujah Gasu run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 43

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Hunter Hays pass incomplete to Xavier Guillory

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +0.84

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Trevis Graham for 33 yds to the IdaSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Elijah Dotson run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Ty Arrington for 8 yds for a TD, (Hunter Green KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Hunter Hays pass complete to Raiden Hunter for 5 yds to the IdaSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Hunter Hays pass incomplete to Shane Dailey Jr.

3rd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.05

Hunter Hays pass complete to Cyrus Wallace for 7 yds to the NoCol 37 for a 1ST down NORTHERN COLO Penalty, Personal Foul (Uryan Hudson) to the NoCol 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Raiden Hunter run for 6 yds to the NoCol 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Hunter Hays pass complete to Chedon James for 6 yds to the NoCol 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Hunter Hays pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 5 yds to the NoCol 31

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Hunter Hays run for 2 yds to the NoCol 29

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.33

Hunter Hays pass complete to Shane Dailey Jr. for 29 yds for a TD, (Ian Hershey KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Elijah Dotson run for 7 yds to the NoCol 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Ty Arrington for 14 yds to the NoCol 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.28

Dylan McCaffrey run for 21 yds to the IdaSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Elijah Dotson run for no gain to the IdaSt 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.32

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Alec Pell for 31 yds to the IdaSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Dylan McCaffrey run for no gain to the IdaSt 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

David Afari run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

David Afari 1 Yd Run (Hunter Green Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Hunter Hays pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 7 yds to the IdaSt 32

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Benjamin Omayebu run for no gain to the IdaSt 32

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Benjamin Omayebu run for no gain to the IdaSt 32

4th & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.80

Benjamin Omayebu run for 14 yds to the IdaSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Hunter Hays pass incomplete to Jalen Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Hunter Hays pass complete to Maika Heck for 3 yds to the IdaSt 49

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +5.72

Hunter Hays pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 51 yds for a TD, (Ian Hershey KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Trevis Graham

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.55

Dylan McCaffrey sacked by Charles Ike for a loss of 7 yards to the NoCol 18

3rd & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 5 yds to the NoCol 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 32 yds , Christian Fredrickson returns for no gain to the IdaSt 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Hunter Hays pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 5 yds to the IdaSt 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.80

Hunter Hays pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 5 yds to the IdaSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Hunter Hays pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Hays,Hunter pass complete deep middle to Hussey,Oakley for 14 yards to the UNC36 (Polson,Payton; Harris,Tywonne) PENALTY ISU Holding (Perko,John) 10 yards from ISU50 to ISU40. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Hunter Hays pass incomplete to Jalen Johnson

0th & 20End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Raiden Hunter run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.28

Hunter Hays pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 12 yds to the IdaSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Hunter Hays pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 9 yds to the NoCol 48

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.00

Raiden Hunter run for 8 yds to the NoCol 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Hunter Hays pass incomplete to Maika Heck

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

DJ Hagler run for 2 yds to the NoCol 38

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -2.39

Hunter Hays pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Elijah Dotson run for no gain to the NoCol 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 7 yds to the NoCol 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Trevis Graham for 2 yds to the NoCol 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Hunter Hays pass complete to Cyrus Wallace for 5 yds to the IdaSt 16

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Hunter Hays pass complete to Shane Dailey Jr. for 7 yds to the IdaSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Raiden Hunter run for 8 yds to the IdaSt 31

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.07

Raiden Hunter run for 14 yds to the IdaSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Hunter Hays pass complete to Shane Dailey Jr. for 8 yds to the NoCol 47

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Raiden Hunter run for 3 yds to the NoCol 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Hunter Hays pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 12 yds to the NoCol 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Hunter Hays pass incomplete to Jalen Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Benjamin Omayebu run for 4 yds to the NoCol 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Hunter Hays pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 3 yds to the NoCol 25

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -3.13

Hunter Hays run for 2 yds to the NoCol 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Trevis Graham for 9 yds to the NoCol 32

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Elijah Dotson run for 6 yds to the NoCol 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Elijah Dotson run for 11 yds to the NoCol 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Elijah Dotson run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Alec Pell for 27 yds to the IdaSt 21 for a 1ST down NORTHERN COLO Penalty, Illegal Block (Kassidy Woods) to the IdaSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun McCaffrey,Dylan pass incomplete short to Pell,Alec PENALTY UNC Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Oliver,Karson) 5 yards from ISU31 to ISU36. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Trevis Graham

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Elijah Dotson run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 32

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.79

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Ty Arrington for 11 yds to the IdaSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Alec Pell

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Elijah Dotson run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 17

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 4 yds to the IdaSt 13

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.61

Dylan McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 6 yds to the IdaSt 5

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Elijah Dotson run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 2

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.46

Elijah Dotson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Hunter Green KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Hunter Hays pass complete to Chedon James for 5 yds to the IdaSt 30

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ISU False Start (Clemons,Tyler) 5 yards from ISU30 to ISU25. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.49

Hunter Hays pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 33 yds to the NoCol 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Raiden Hunter run for 2 yds to the NoCol 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Hunter Hays pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 7 yds to the NoCol 47

3rd & 15Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Hays,Hunter pass complete deep left to Wallace,Cyrus for 16 yards to the UNC31 (Hudson,Uryan) PENALTY ISU Pass Interference (Benjamin,Sam) 15 yards from UNC47 to ISU38. NO PLAY.

3rd & 30Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Hunter Hays pass complete to Benjamin Omayebu for 4 yds to the IdaSt 42

4th & 26Punt+82 yds

Ian Hershey punt for 40 yds , Elijah Dotson returns for 82 yds for a TD, (Hunter Green KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Hunter Hays pass incomplete to Xavier Guillory

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Hunter Hays pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 15 yds to the IdaSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Raiden Hunter run for no gain to the IdaSt 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Hunter Hays pass complete to Chedon James for 11 yds to the NoCol 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+47 ydsPPA -10.24

Elijah Anderson-Taylor 47 Yd Fumble Return (Hunter Green Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Raiden Hunter run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.01

Raiden Hunter run for 17 yds to the IdaSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Raiden Hunter run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.67

Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 12 yds to the NoCol 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Sagan Gronauer pass incomplete to Soujah Gasu

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.39

Raiden Hunter run for 18 yds to the NoCol 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Raiden Hunter run for no gain to the NoCol 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Sagan Gronauer pass complete to Cyrus Wallace for 6 yds to the NoCol 16

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Sagan Gronauer run for 3 yds to the NoCol 13

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.55

Benjamin Omayebu run for 3 yds to the NoCol 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Benjamin Omayebu run for 2 yds to the NoCol 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Sagan Gronauer pass incomplete to Xavier Guillory

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Sagan Gronauer pass incomplete to Jalen Johnson

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.70

Sagan Gronauer pass incomplete to Xavier Guillory

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.52

Elijah Dotson run for 13 yds to the NoCol 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Elijah Dotson run for 2 yds to the NoCol 23

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.56

Elijah Dotson run for 13 yds to the NoCol 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Elijah Dotson run for 8 yds to the NoCol 44

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.19

Jacquez Robertson run for 5 yds to the NoCol 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jacquez Robertson run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 46

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jacquez Robertson run for no gain to the IdaSt 46

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UNC Delay Of Game 5 yards from ISU46 to UNC49. NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

run for no gain to the NoCol 49

Situational Analysis

Idaho State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
54%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
64%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play

Northern Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
57%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
77%
13 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
56%
9 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays