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← Back to GamesOct 2, 2022Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Idaho by 13.3

Home Win Probability

Idaho 78%

Market (consensus)

Idaho -15.5

Edge: Northern Colorado +15.5 (2.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 2, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Colorado
6148735
Idaho
1014211055

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-610-617-1324-2031-2845-2852-2855-35
IdahoNorthern Colorado

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20IDANCIDANCIDANCIDANCIDANCNCIDANCIDANCIDANCIDANCIDANCIDATD475ydTD875ydFG1567ydPUNT823ydPUNT22ydTD371ydTD775ydTD775ydTD575ydEND13ydPUNT2-6ydTD659ydTD1175ydTD475ydTO36ydTD734ydPUNT00ydTD1288ydTO312ydFG45ydTD971ydEND217yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Colorado and Idaho
StatisticNorthern ColoradoIdaho
Passing19-2922-27
Pass Yards301298
Rush Yards97262
Total Yards398560
Turnovers20
3rd Down5-98-10
Penalties6-324-47
Possession25:0534:55

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Colorado
passing
Dylan McCaffrey
17/26, 264 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Elijah Dotson
17 CAR, 77 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ty Arrington
4 REC, 56 YDS, 2 TD
Idaho
passing
Gevani McCoy
22/27, 298 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Anthony Woods
17 CAR, 96 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Hayden Hatten
8 REC, 131 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.34

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 48 yds to the NoCol 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Anthony Woods run for 1 yd to the NoCol 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Hayden Hatten

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.74

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Jackson for 26 yds for a TD, (Ricardo Chavez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Elijah Dotson run for 5 yds to the NoCol 30

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

David Afari run for 8 yds to the NoCol 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Alec Pell for 5 yds to the NoCol 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.14

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 32 yds to the Idaho 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

David Afari run for 1 yd to the Idaho 26

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

NORTHERN COLO Penalty, False Start (RJ Potts) to the Idaho 31

2nd & 16Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 2 yds to the Idaho 29

3rd & 14Penalty+15 yds

IDAHO Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Paul Moala) to the Idaho 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

David Afari run for 14 yds for a TD, (Devin Bale PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Devin Bale kickoff for 57 yds , Michael Graves return for 20 yds to the Idaho 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Anthony Woods run for 2 yds to the Idaho 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Terez Traynor for 4 yds to the Idaho 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.61

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Terez Traynor for 5 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Anthony Woods run for 6 yds to the Idaho 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.40

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Jackson for 18 yds to the NoCol 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY UNC Offside (Norris,Nick) 5 yards from UNC37 to UNC32. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Anthony Woods run for 4 yds to the NoCol 28

2nd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Elisha Cummings for 3 yds to the NoCol 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 5 yds to the NoCol 20

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Hayden Hatten

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY UNC Offside (Wilson,Tofa) 5 yards from UNC20 to UNC15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Anthony Woods run for 1 yd to the NoCol 14

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Gevani McCoy run for 1 yd to the NoCol 13

3rd & 8Penalty+7 yds

PENALTY UNC Targeting (Tuitele,Tama) 7 yards from UNC13 to UNC06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Anthony Woods run for no gain to the NoCol 6

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Anthony Woods run for 1 yd to the NoCol 5

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Elisha Cummings run for no gain to the NoCol 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+21 yds

Ricardo Chavez 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Trevis Graham run for no gain to the NoCol 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 12 yds to the NoCol 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Elijah Dotson run for 3 yds to the NoCol 40

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Elijah Dotson run for 2 yds to the NoCol 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.96

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Ty Arrington for 5 yds to the NoCol 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Dylan McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the NoCol 49

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Elijah Dotson run for 1 yd to the NoCol 48

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Alec Pell

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jermaine Jackson at the Idaho 16

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Anthony Woods run for 1 yd to the Idaho 17

2nd & 9Penalty-15 yds

IDAHO Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Elijah Sanchez) to the Idaho 21

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.45

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Jackson for 16 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Punt0 yds

Ricardo Chavez punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoCol 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Kassidy Woods

2nd & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.76

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to David Afari for 40 yds to the Idaho 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Ty Arrington for 31 yds for a TD, (Devin Bale KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Connor Whitney for 16 yds to the Idaho 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Elisha Cummings run for 4 yds to the Idaho 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.77

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Jackson for 18 yds to the NoCol 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Gevani McCoy run for 7 yds to the NoCol 30

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.06

Elisha Cummings run for 5 yds to the NoCol 35

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.60

Gevani McCoy run for 8 yds to the NoCol 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Elisha Cummings run for 27 yds for a TD, (Ricardo Chavez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Ty Arrington for 9 yds to the NoCol 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Elijah Dotson run for no gain to the NoCol 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Dylan McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the NoCol 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.51

Elijah Dotson run for 17 yds to the Idaho 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to David Afari for 12 yds to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.72

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 30 yds to the Idaho 4 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Malakai Williams) to the Idaho 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Elijah Dotson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Devin Bale KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 9 yds to the Idaho 34

2nd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.90

Elisha Cummings run for 15 yds to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Shotgun Cummings,Elisha rush middle for 0 yards to the UID49 (Norris,Nick; Brown,Joe) PENALTY UNC Illegal Substitution 5 yards from UID49 to UNC46. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.23

Elisha Cummings run for 12 yds to the NoCol 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 9 yds to the NoCol 25

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.20

Elisha Cummings run for 25 yds for a TD, (Ricardo Chavez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Elijah Dotson run for 3 yds to the NoCol 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.22

Dylan McCaffrey sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the NoCol 15

1st & 25Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Elijah Dotson run for 4 yds to the NoCol 19

2nd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Elijah Dotson run for 4 yds to the NoCol 19

2nd & 21Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jermaine Jackson at the Idaho 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Anthony Woods for 3 yds to the Idaho 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.30

Roshaun Johnson run for 6 yds to the NoCol 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Connor Whitney

2nd & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.82

Anthony Woods run for 29 yds to the NoCol 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Anthony Woods run for 15 yds for a TD, (Ricardo Chavez KICK)

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Dylan McCaffrey sacked by Ben Bertram for a loss of 7 yards to the NoCol 18

2nd & 17Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.66

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Noah Ford for 24 yds to the NoCol 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Elijah Dotson run for 13 yds to the Idaho 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Trevis Graham for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jeremiah Salaam) to the Idaho 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Alec Pell for 7 yds to the Idaho 23

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.13

Elijah Dotson run for 5 yds to the Idaho 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Noah Ford

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Elijah Dotson run for 3 yds to the Idaho 15

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Elijah Dotson for 7 yds to the Idaho 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Kassidy Woods

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Elijah Dotson 8 Yd pass from Dylan McCaffrey (Dylan McCaffrey Pass to Ty Arrington for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Jackson for 23 yds to the Idaho 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.91

Anthony Woods run for 14 yds to the NoCol 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Anthony Woods run for 3 yds to the NoCol 35

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.34

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 35 yds for a TD, (Ricardo Chavez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Elijah Dotson run for 5 yds to the NoCol 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Elijah Dotson run for 1 yd to the NoCol 31

3rd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -0.39

Dylan McCaffrey pass intercepted

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Anthony Woods run for no gain to the NoCol 34

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.82

Anthony Woods run for 10 yds to the NoCol 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Connor Whitney for 9 yds to the NoCol 15

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Anthony Woods run for 2 yds to the NoCol 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Gevani McCoy pass incomplete to Hayden Hatten

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Anthony Woods run for 4 yds to the NoCol 9 Anthony Woods fumbled, recovered by Idaho Gevani McCoy

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.87

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 9 yds for a TD, (Ricardo Chavez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.53

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Noah Ford for 29 yds to the Idaho 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Noah Ford

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Elijah Dotson run for 3 yds to the Idaho 43

3rd & 4Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.57

Dylan McCaffrey sacked by Kemari Bailey for a loss of 12 yards to the NoCol 45

1st & 10Punt0 yds

Devin Bale punt for 63 yds, fair catch by Jermaine Jackson at the Idaho 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.72

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Connor Whitney for 14 yds to the Idaho 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Roshaun Johnson run for 3 yds to the Idaho 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.46

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Hayden Hatten for 10 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

NORTHERN COLO Penalty, Defensive Offside (RJ Potts) to the Idaho 44

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Roshaun Johnson run for no gain to the Idaho 44

3rd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.71

Roshaun Johnson run for 16 yds to the NoCol 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Roshaun Johnson run for 6 yds to the NoCol 34

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Gevani McCoy run for 2 yds to the NoCol 32

3rd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.80

Roshaun Johnson run for 15 yds to the NoCol 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Roshaun Johnson run for 3 yds to the NoCol 14

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Roshaun Johnson run for 2 yds to the NoCol 12

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.88

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Elisha Cummings for 12 yds for a TD, (Ricardo Chavez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete to Kyle Helbig

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Elijah Dotson run for 12 yds to the NoCol 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.95

Dylan McCaffrey pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Woods run for 3 yds to the NoCol 24

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Roshaun Johnson run for 2 yds to the NoCol 22

3rd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.67

Gevani McCoy pass complete to Jermaine Jackson for no gain to the NoCol 22

4th & 5Field Goal Good+39 yds

Ricardo Chavez 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Logan Prescott kickoff for 63 yds , Elijah Dotson return for 27 yds to the NoCol 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Trevis Graham for 11 yds to the NoCol 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.12

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Trevis Graham for no gain to the NoCol 40

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.04

David Afari run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jacob Sirmon pass incomplete to Noah Ford

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

David Afari run for 5 yds to the Idaho 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.28

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Trevis Graham for 26 yds to the Idaho 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

David Afari run for 7 yds to the Idaho 12

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

David Afari run for 1 yd to the Idaho 11

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.66

Jacob Sirmon pass complete to Ty Arrington for 11 yds for a TD, (Devin Bale KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Nick Romano run for 9 yds to the NoCol 33

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.29

CJ Jordan run for 8 yds to the NoCol 25 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Northern Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
60%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Idaho

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
54%
28 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
45%
11 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th