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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2022Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota by 14.6

Home Win Probability

South Dakota 80%

Market (consensus)

South Dakota -18

Edge: Cal Poly +18 (3.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 17, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Cal Poly
7001421
South Dakota
21001738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-021-728-735-1438-21
South DakotaCal Poly

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDCPSDCPSDCPSDCPSDCPSDCPSDCPSDCPSDCPSDCPSDCPSDCPTD376ydTO555ydTD580ydTD875ydTD367ydPUNT725ydPUNT3-12ydDOWNS1472ydPUNT938ydPUNT527ydMISS1046ydTO33ydPUNT4-6ydPUNT36ydPUNT529ydPUNT661ydPUNT39ydMISS866ydTD380ydTD680ydTD1082ydTD375ydFG541ydEND619yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cal Poly and South Dakota
StatisticCal PolySouth Dakota
Passing27-4718-21
Pass Yards421355
Rush Yards138205
Total Yards559560
Turnovers20
3rd Down8-177-14
Penalties2-103-45
Possession27:5932:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cal Poly
passing
Spencer Brasch
24/42, 362 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Shakobe Harper
11 CAR, 106 YDS
receiving
Chris Coleman
7 REC, 107 YDS, 1 TD
South Dakota
passing
Carson Camp
18/21, 355 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Travis Theis
24 CAR, 90 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
JJ Galbreath
6 REC, 87 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Jaden Ohlsen kickoff for 62 yds , Wesley Eliodor return for 21 yds to the SDako 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Travis Theis run for 4 yds to the SDako 28

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the SDako 25

3rd & 9Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +7.09

Carson Camp run for 75 yds for a TD, (Eddie Ogamba KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Shakobe Harper run for 1 yd to the CPoly 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.48

Jaden Jones pass complete to Chris Coleman for 20 yds to the CPoly 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaden Jones run for 4 yds to the CPoly 45

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jaden Jones pass incomplete to Chris Coleman

3rd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)+35 ydsPPA +3.81

Jaden Jones pass complete to Zedakiah Centers for 35 yds Zedakiah Centers fumbled, recovered by SDako Josh Manchigiah

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the SDako 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.71

Carson Camp pass complete to Travis Theis for 40 yds to the CPoly 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the CPoly 37

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the CPoly 40

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +5.18

Carson Camp pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 40 yds for a TD, (Eddie Ogamba KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaden Jones pass incomplete to Shakobe Harper

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jaden Jones pass complete to Shakobe Harper for 4 yds to the CPoly 29

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Jaden Jones run for 7 yds to the CPoly 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Shakobe Harper run for 4 yds to the CPoly 32

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Chris Coleman

3rd & 14Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.49

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Chris Coleman for 21 yds to the SDako 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Chris Coleman for 12 yds to the SDako 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Logan Booher for 35 yds for a TD, (Jaden Ohlsen KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Jaden Ohlsen kickoff for 57 yds , Jack Martens return for 25 yds to the SDako 33

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Shomari Lawrence run for 21 yds to the CPoly 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Shomari Lawrence run for no gain to the CPoly 46

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +4.57

C. Camp pass,to S. Lawrence for 46 yds for a TD, (E. Ogamba KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Eddie Ogamba kickoff for 65 yds , Zion Hall return for 10 yds to the CPoly 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Josh Cuevas

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Shakobe Harper run for no gain to the CPoly 10

3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.78

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 22 yds to the CPoly 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Shakobe Harper for 11 yds to the CPoly 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Chris Coleman for 1 yd to the CPoly 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Bryson Allen

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.97

Spencer Brasch sacked by Stephen Hillis for a loss of 9 yards to the CPoly 35

4th & 18Punt+45 yds

Michael Roth punt for 40 yds , Carter Bell returns for 45 yds to the CPoly 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the CPoly 27

2nd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.19

Carson Camp sacked by David Meyer for a loss of 8 yards to the CPoly 35

3rd & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.77

Carson Camp sacked by Dustin Grein for a loss of 7 yards to the CPoly 42 Carson Camp fumbled, recovered by SDako Colton Harberts , return for 0 yards

4th & 22Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Giancarlo Woods at the CPoly 12

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Spencer Brasch run for 9 yds to the CPoly 21

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.16

Shakobe Harper run for 5 yds to the CPoly 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Shakobe Harper for 3 yds to the CPoly 29

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Bryson Allen

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.15

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Zedakiah Centers for 11 yds to the CPoly 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Adam Garwood run for 5 yds to the CPoly 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Zedakiah Centers for 8 yds to the SDako 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.35

Spencer Brasch sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the CPoly 47

2nd & 16Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.09

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Chris Coleman for 14 yds to the SDako 39

3rd & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.21

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 16 yds to the SDako 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Spencer Brasch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Spencer Brasch run for 7 yds to the SDako 16

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Shakobe Harper

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.67

Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Zedakiah Centers

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Travis Theis run for 5 yds to the SDako 21

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the SDako 22

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.59

Carson Camp pass complete to Javion Phelps for 12 yds to the SDako 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the SDako 36

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the SDako 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.59

Carson Camp pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the CPoly 49

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the SDako 48

3rd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Carson Camp pass complete to Travis Theis for 6 yds to the CPoly 46

4th & 6Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Giancarlo Woods at the CPoly 8

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Shakobe Harper run for 11 yds to the CPoly 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.01

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Ryan Rivera for 14 yds to the CPoly 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Zion Hall run for 4 yds to the CPoly 29

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 6 yds to the CPoly 35

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Chris Coleman

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jesse Ehrlich punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Carter Bell at the SDako 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the SDako 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Carson Camp pass complete to Jack Martens for 9 yds to the SDako 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Carson Camp pass complete to Shomari Lawrence for 12 yds to the SDako 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Carson Camp pass complete to Parker Rickert for 8 yds to the CPoly 43

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.05

Shomari Lawrence run for 7 yds to the CPoly 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.49

Carson Camp pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 25 yds to the CPoly 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Shomari Lawrence run for 6 yds to the CPoly 5

2nd & 4Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Camp,Carson pass complete short right to Rickert,Parker for 5 yards to the CP00, End Of Play PENALTY USD Pass Interference (Rickert,Parker) 15 yards from CP05 to CP20. NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Carson Camp pass incomplete to Parker Rickert

3rd & 19Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.48

Carson Camp sacked by Dustin Grein for a loss of 9 yards to the CPoly 29

4th & 28Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Eddie Ogamba 46 yd FG MISSED

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Eddie Ogamba kickoff for 60 yds , Zion Hall return for 12 yds to the CPoly 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Josh Cuevas

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Shakobe Harper for 3 yds to the CPoly 20

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA +0.12

Spencer Brasch pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Shomari Lawrence run for 2 yds to the SDako 49

2nd & 22Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Carson Camp pass complete to Shomari Lawrence for 2 yds to the SDako 33

3rd & 24Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.09

Shomari Lawrence run for 8 yds to the SDako 41

2nd & 8Penalty-15 yds

SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, Block Below Waist (-15 Yards) to the SDako 35

4th & 16Punt+2 yds

John Bickle punt for 37 yds , Giancarlo Woods returns for 2 yds to the CPoly 24 Giancarlo Woods fumbled, recovered by CPoly Giancarlo Woods

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Chris Coleman

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Logan Booher for 6 yds to the CPoly 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Shakobe Harper

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jesse Ehrlich punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDako 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Carson Camp pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 11 yds to the SDako 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.23

Carson Camp pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 18 yds to the CPoly 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the CPoly 34

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the CPoly 33

3rd & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.85

Carson Camp sacked by Ethan Rodriguez for a loss of 4 yards to the CPoly 37

4th & 10Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +2.41

Shakobe Harper run for 40 yds to the CPoly 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.47

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Josh Cuevas for 20 yds to the SDako 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.37

Shakobe Harper run for 12 yds to the SDako 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Chris Coleman

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Zedakiah Centers

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.14

Spencer Brasch sacked by Michael Scott for a loss of 6 yards to the SDako 32

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Jesse Ehrlich punt for 37 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the SDako 23

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the SDako 26

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the SDako 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Shakobe Harper run for 13 yds to the CPoly 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Shakobe Harper run for 8 yds to the CPoly 39

2nd & 2Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.76

Zion Hall run for 15 yds to the SODAKOTA 46 for a 1ST down SOUTH DAKOTA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Michael Scott) to the SDako 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.22

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 11 yds to the SDako 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Zedakiah Centers

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Shakobe Harper run for 4 yds to the SDako 16

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Jaden Ohlsen 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the SDako 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the SDako 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Carson Camp pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 7 yds to the SDako 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.69

Carson Camp pass complete to Jack Martens for 70 yds for a TD, (Eddie Ogamba KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Eddie Ogamba kickoff for 65 yds , Zion Hall return for 20 yds to the CPoly 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Bryson Allen

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Logan Booher for 7 yds to the CPoly 27

3rd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.23

Shakobe Harper run for 16 yds to the CPoly 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Spencer Brasch pass incomplete to Giancarlo Woods

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Adam Garwood run for 4 yds to the CPoly 47

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +5.77

S. Brasch pass,to Z. Centers for 53 yds for a TD, (J. Ohlsen KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Jaden Ohlsen kickoff for 62 yds , Wesley Eliodor return for 15 yds to the SDako 18

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Travis Theis run for 4 yds to the SDako 22 Travis Theis fumbled, recovered by SDako Caden Ellingson

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Travis Theis run for no gain to the SDako 22

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.89

Carson Camp pass complete to JJ Galbreath for 14 yds to the SDako 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Carson Camp pass incomplete to Jamahd Monroe

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Carson Camp pass incomplete to Carter Bell

3rd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.72

Carson Camp pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 26 yds to the CPoly 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the CPoly 36

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Travis Theis run for 5 yds to the CPoly 31

3rd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.84

Carson Camp run for 12 yds to the CPoly 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

T. Theis run for 19 yds for a TD, (E. Ogamba KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Chris Coleman for 13 yds to the CPoly 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.23

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Bryson Allen for 36 yds to the SDako 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

S. Brasch pass,to C. Coleman for 26 yds for a TD, (J. Ohlsen KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+3 yds

kickoff for 13 yds , JJ Galbreath return for 3 yds to the CPoly 45

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +1.16

Travis Theis run for 37 yds to the CPoly 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Travis Theis run for 3 yds to the CPoly 5

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Travis Theis run for 1 yd to the CPoly 4

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Travis Theis run for no gain to the CPoly 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Eddie Ogamba 21 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Bryson Allen for 7 yds to the CPoly 32

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Adam Garwood run for no gain to the CPoly 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Spencer Brasch pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 6 yds to the CPoly 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Spencer Brasch run for no gain to the CPoly 38

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Adam Garwood run for 2 yds to the CPoly 40

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Adam Garwood run for 4 yds to the CPoly 44

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Adam Garwood run for 4 yds to the CPoly 44

Situational Analysis

Cal Poly

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
33 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
31%
13 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

South Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
28 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
42%
12 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
4th