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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Jacksonville State by 10.3

Home Win Probability

Nicholls 27%

Market (consensus)

Nicholls +9

Edge: Jacksonville State -9 (1.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Jacksonville StateJacksonville State
142117052
Nicholls
770721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-2114-3514-52
NichollsJacksonville State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NICJSNICJSNICJSNICJSNICJSNICJSJSNICJSNICJSNICJSNICJSNICJSNICJSTO725ydTD635ydTD1675ydTD375ydTO943ydTD176ydPUNT3-1ydTD1058ydTD1075ydTD775ydDOWNS47ydEND410ydTD275ydPUNT35ydTD879ydPUNT3-3ydFG830ydDOWNS1055ydPUNT4-9ydDOWNS540ydPUNT36ydTD249ydPUNT30ydDOWNS1033ydUncategorized317yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Jacksonville State and Nicholls
StatisticJacksonville StateNicholls
Passing10-1319-36
Pass Yards255179
Rush Yards292239
Total Yards547418
Turnovers02
3rd Down4-88-17
Penalties3-306-50
Possession26:4233:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Jacksonville State
passing
Zion Webb
9/11, 252 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Zion Webb
7 CAR, 79 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Sean Brown
3 REC, 105 YDS, 1 TD
Nicholls
passing
Kohen Granier
18/33, 172 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Collin Guggenheim
13 CAR, 119 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Al'Dontre Davis
7 REC, 80 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.04

Kohen Granier pass intercepted

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Kohen Granier pass complete to Lee Negrotto for 3 yds to the NicSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+45 yds

Alen Karajic kickoff for 65 yds , Jaylon Spears return for 45 yds to the NicSt 45

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Pat Jackson 3 Yd Run (Alen Karajic Kick)

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Al'Dontre Davis 6 Yd pass from Kohen Granier (Gavin Lasseigne Kick)

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.98

Matt LaRoche 46 Yd Run (Alen Karajic Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Collin Guggenheim run for 4 yds to the NicSt 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.17

Kohen Granier pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 18 yds to the JaxSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Marquese Albert run for 2 yds to the JaxSt 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Kohen Granier pass complete to Collin Guggenheim for 2 yds to the JaxSt 32

3rd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -3.14

Kohen Granier pass intercepted

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+76 ydsPPA +6.15

Sean Brown 76 Yd pass from Zion Webb (Alen Karajic Kick)

4th & 11Punt+5 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 39 yds , Perry Carter returns for 5 yds to the JaxSt 42

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Julien Gums run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

pass incomplete to K.J. Franklin

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Anwar Lewis 3 Yd Run (Alen Karajic Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ron Wiggins run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 46

2nd & 6Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Zion Webb sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the JaxSt 44

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.82

Zion Webb pass complete to Perry Carter for 12 yds to the NicSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ron Wiggins run for 4 yds to the NicSt 40

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ron Wiggins run for 5 yds to the NicSt 35

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.56

Zion Webb run for 3 yds to the NicSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.29

Zion Webb pass incomplete to Michael Pettway, broken up by Jordan Jackson for a 1ST down NICHOLLS ST Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the NicSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Anwar Lewis run for 2 yds to the NicSt 15

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.30

Anwar Lewis run for 12 yds to the NicSt 3 for a 1ST down

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Al'Dontre Davis 8 Yd pass from Kohen Granier (Gavin Lasseigne Kick)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Julien Gums run for 8 yds to the NicSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Julien Gums run for 4 yds to the NicSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kohen Granier pass complete to Lee Negrotto for 2 yds to the NicSt 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.99

Kohen Granier pass complete to Al'Dontre Davis for 35 yds to the JaxSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Julien Gums run for 3 yds to the JaxSt 23

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Julien Gums run for 6 yds to the JaxSt 17

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Collin Guggenheim run for 10 yds to the JaxSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

pass incomplete to K.J. Franklin

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Julien Gums run for a loss of 1 yard to the JaxSt 8

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.20

Anwar Lewis run for 14 yds to the NicSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Zion Webb 13 Yd Run (Alen Karajic Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ron Wiggins run for 1 yd to the JaxSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.01

for a 1ST down NICHOLLS ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the JaxSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Anwar Lewis run for 5 yds to the JaxSt 46

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Anwar Lewis run for 2 yds to the JaxSt 48

3rd & 3Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.51

Zion Webb run for 25 yds to the NicSt 27 for a 1ST down

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kohen Granier pass incomplete to Neno Lemay, broken up by Kolbi Fuqua

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NICHOLLS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NicSt 40

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

pass incomplete to Al'Dontre Davis

2nd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Kohen Granier pass complete to Terry Matthews for 9 yds to the NicSt 49

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Marquese Albert run for 3 yds to the JaxSt 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Zion Webb pass incomplete to La'Derrick Bell, broken up by James Tobin IV

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.66

Zion Webb pass complete to Michael Pettway for 28 yds to the NicSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Zion Webb pass complete to Sean Brown for 9 yds to the NicSt 43

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Matt LaRoche run for 1 yd to the NicSt 42 for a 1ST down

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.98

Sterling Galban 70 Yd pass from Zion Webb (Alen Karajic Kick)

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 48 yds , Perry Carter returns for no gain to the JaxSt 21

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Zion Webb 28 Yd Run (Alen Karajic Kick)

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Kylan Dupre punt for 36 yds , Perry Carter returns for no gain to the JaxSt 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Al'Dontre Davis

4th & 8Field Goal Good+46 yds

Alen Karajic 46 Yd Field Goal

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.55

pass incomplete to Neno Lemay

2nd & 11Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.33

Anwar Lewis run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 23 JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Jamari Jemison) to the JaxSt 13

2nd & 17Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Aaron McLaughlin pass complete to Marquez Ezzard for 3 yds to the JaxSt 16

3rd & 14Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.08

Ron Wiggins run for a loss of 5 yards to the JaxSt 11

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Jack Dawson punt for 45 yds , Marquese Albert returns for no gain to the JaxSt 11 JACKSONVILLE ST Penalty, kick catching interference (Jamari Jemison) to the JaxSt 41

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21
1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +0.73

Collin Guggenheim run for 31 yds to the JaxSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Collin Guggenheim run for 3 yds to the JaxSt 7

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Collin Guggenheim run for 3 yds to the JaxSt 4

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Collin Guggenheim run for 3 yds to the JaxSt 1

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Dawson punt for 42 yds , Marquese Albert returns for no gain to the JaxSt 49

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ron Wiggins run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 5

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Ron Wiggins run for 3 yds to the JaxSt 8

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.20

Aaron McLaughlin run for a loss of 1 yard to the JaxSt 7

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Collin Guggenheim 2 Yd Run (Gavin Lasseigne Kick)

1st & 10Rush+47 ydsPPA +2.55

Collin Guggenheim run for 47 yds to the JaxSt 2 for a 1ST down

4th & 10Punt+24 yds

Jack Dawson punt for 42 yds , Marquese Albert returns for 24 yds to the JaxSt 43

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Pat Jackson run for 1 yd to the JaxSt 26

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Pat Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the JaxSt 25

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16
4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -3.94

Jaylon Spears run for 1 yd to the JaxSt 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Neno Lemay run for 4 yds to the JaxSt 39

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

John Carrington III run for 1 yd to the JaxSt 38

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to David Robinson Jr.

4th & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.45

Leonard Kelly pass complete to Neno Lemay for 7 yds to the JaxSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jaylon Spears run for 2 yds to the JaxSt 29

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.55

Jaylon Spears run for 10 yds to the JaxSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

pass incomplete to David Robinson Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.31

John Carrington III run for 8 yds to the JaxSt 11

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41
1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Ron Wiggins run for 9 yds to the JaxSt 19

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.03

Pat Jackson run for 8 yds to the JaxSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Pat Jackson run for 12 yds to the JaxSt 27 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Jacksonville State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
56%
16 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Nicholls

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
29%
14 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
44%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
0%
4 plays
100%
1 play