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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina by 26.1

Home Win Probability

North Carolina 93%

Market (consensus)

North Carolina -21

Edge: North Carolina -21 (5.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia TechGeorgia Tech
077721
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
7100017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-017-717-1417-21
North CarolinaGeorgia Tech

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GTNCGTNCGTNCGTNCGTNCGTNCGTNCGTNCGTNCGTNCGTNCGTPUNT630ydTD180ydMISS932ydPUNT429ydPUNT33ydFG1645ydTO31ydDOWNS634ydPUNT523ydTD455ydTD984ydPUNT4-1ydEND1-2ydPUNT5-2ydTD968ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT519ydTO643ydTD981ydPUNT31ydPUNT31ydDOWNS1258ydEND1128yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia Tech and North Carolina
StatisticGeorgia TechNorth Carolina
Passing15-2316-30
Pass Yards187202
Rush Yards186163
Total Yards373365
Turnovers11
3rd Down8-154-14
Penalties2-202-25
Possession34:2725:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia Tech
passing
Zach Gibson
13/18, 174 YDS
rushing
Hassan Hall
14 CAR, 47 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Malik Rutherford
6 REC, 68 YDS
defense
North Carolina
passing
Drake Maye
16/30, 202 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Elijah Green
10 CAR, 92 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Bryson Nesbit
4 REC, 85 YDS
defense
Cedric Gray
1.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the GTech 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the GTech 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.97

Zach Gibson pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 21 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Dontae Smith run for 6 yds to the NCaro 43

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the NCaro 45

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dontae Smith run for no gain to the NCaro 45

4th & 6Punt0 yds

David Shanahan punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Elijah Green run for 80 yds for a TD, (Noah Burnette KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Noah Burnette kickoff for 59 yds , Hassan Hall return for 34 yds to the GTech 40

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Taisun Phommachanh run for 1 yd to the GTech 39

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Jamie Felix run for 7 yds to the GTech 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.35

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 13 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jamie Felix run for 5 yds to the NCaro 36

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Taisun Phommachanh run for 8 yds to the NCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Jamie Felix

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Malik Rutherford for no gain to the NCaro 28

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Malachi Carter

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Gavin Stewart 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.72

Drake Maye pass complete to Gavin Blackwell for 33 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Drake Maye run for 1 yd to the GTech 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Kamari Morales

3rd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.83

Drake Maye sacked by Makius Scott for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 43

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jamal Haynes at the GTech 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the GTech 11

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the GTech 13

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Malik Rutherford

4th & 7Punt0 yds

David Shanahan punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Josh Downs at the NCaro 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 1 yd to the NCaro 42

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Elijah Green run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.24

Drake Maye run for 5 yds to the GTech 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Elijah Green run for 1 yd to the GTech 46

2nd & 11Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.89

Drake Maye run for 16 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Kobe Paysour

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Drake Maye pass complete to Elijah Green for 1 yd to the GTech 31

3rd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Drake Maye run for 12 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Drake Maye run for 1 yd to the GTech 20

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

D.J. Jones run for 5 yds to the GTech 15

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 5 yds to the GTech 10

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.65

Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the GTech 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Bryson Nesbit

2nd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Drake Maye sacked by Keion White for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 10

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Drake Maye pass complete to Elijah Green for 4 yds to the GTech 14

4th & 14Field Goal Good+31 yds

Noah Burnette 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dontae Smith run for no gain to the GTech 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Dontae Smith run for 1 yd to the GTech 26

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA +0.07

Taisun Phommachanh pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the GTech 35

2nd & 6Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.68

Omarion Hampton run for 21 yds to the GTech 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the GTech 10

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the GTech 6

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Drake Maye pass incomplete to J.J. Jones

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -4.07

Drake Maye run for 1 yd to the GTech 5

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jamie Felix run for 2 yds to the GTech 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.01

Zach Gibson pass complete to Jamie Felix for 17 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jamie Felix run for 2 yds to the GTech 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Dylan Leonard

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jamie Felix run for 2 yds to the GTech 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

David Shanahan punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Gavin Blackwell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.83

Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 36 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 18 yds to the GTech 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Elijah Green run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noah Burnette KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Noah Burnette kickoff for 65 yds , Hassan Hall return for 16 yds to the GTech 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the GTech 20

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the GTech 23

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Zach Gibson pass complete to Hassan Hall for 3 yds to the GTech 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the GTech 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.76

Zach Gibson pass complete to Hassan Hall for 12 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.61

Zach Gibson pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 20 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.36

Zach Gibson pass complete to Hassan Hall for 36 yds to the NCaro 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the NCaro 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Dontae Smith run for 2 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Gavin Stewart kickoff for 64 yds , George Pettaway return for 19 yds to the UNC 46 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Sirad Bryant) to the NCaro 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Drake Maye pass complete to George Pettaway for 11 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.37

Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 9 yds to the UNC 45 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the NCaro 40

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Drake Maye pass incomplete

3rd & 16Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.38

Drake Maye sacked by Keion White for a loss of 6 yards to the NCaro 34

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Z. Gibson takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Gavin Stewart kickoff for 65 yds , George Pettaway return for 31 yds to the NCaro 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 6 yds to the NCaro 37

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Elijah Green run for 6 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+13 ydsPPA +1.05

Elijah Green run for 13 yds to the NCaro 30 Elijah Green fumbled, recovered by NCaro Elijah Green

2nd & 23Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Drake Maye pass complete to D.J. Jones for 1 yd to the NCaro 29

3rd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Bryson Nesbit

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 39 yds , Jamal Haynes returns for no gain to the GTech 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Zach Gibson pass complete to Dontae Smith for 8 yds to the GTech 40

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.31

Dontae Smith run for no gain to the GTech 40

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.34

Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Zach Gibson run for 6 yds to the GTech 49

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Jamie Felix run for 13 yds to the NCaro 38 Jamie Felix fumbled, recovered by GTech Malachi Carter for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.55

Zach Gibson pass complete to Dontae Smith for 24 yds to the NCaro 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the NCaro 10

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.88

Taisun Phommachanh run for 6 yds to the NCaro 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Elijah Green run for 7 yds to the NCaro 32

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Green,Elijah rush middle for 68 yards gain to the GT 00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 06:47 PENALTY UNC Holding (Nesbit,Bryson) 10 yards from UNC32 to UNC22. NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.32

Drake Maye sacked by Jason Moore for a loss of 6 yards to the NCaro 16

3rd & 19Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.03

Drake Maye run for 7 yds to the NCaro 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GTech 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Zach Gibson pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 6 yds to the GTech 23

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Zach Gibson pass complete to Malik Rutherford for 8 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Jamie Felix

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jamie Felix run for 5 yds to the GTech 36

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Dylan Leonard

4th & 5Punt+3 yds

David Shanahan punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 34 , Josh Downs returns for 3 yds to the NCaro 34

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.57

D.J. Jones run for 17 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

D.J. Jones run for 5 yds to the GTech 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Kamari Morales

3rd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.18

Drake Maye pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 25 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

D.J. Jones run for 4 yds to the GTech 23

2nd & 14Interception0 ydsPPA -3.67

Drake Maye pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Hassan Hall run for 8 yds to the GTech 27

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Zach Gibson pass complete to Malachi Carter for 6 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Hassan Hall run for 7 yds to the GTech 40

2nd & 3Rush+40 ydsPPA +2.11

Malachi Carter run for 40 yds to the NCaro 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Zach Gibson pass complete to Malachi Carter for 7 yds to the NCaro 13

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.01

Taisun Phommachanh run for 5 yds to the NCaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the NCaro 9

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Zach Gibson run for 3 yds to the NCaro 6

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Hassan Hall run for 6 yds for a TD, (Gavin Stewart KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Elijah Green run for 1 yd to the NCaro 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Elijah Green

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Josh Downs

4th & 9Punt+5 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 39 yds , Rodney Shelley returns for 5 yds to the GTech 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Dontae Smith run for 2 yds to the GTech 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Luke Benson

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Dontae Smith run for 1 yd to the GTech 41

4th & 9Punt+5 yds

David Shanahan punt for 41 yds , Josh Downs returns for 5 yds to the NCaro 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.84

Drake Maye pass complete to Gavin Blackwell for 21 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Elijah Green run for 3 yds to the NCaro 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 6 yds to the GTech 47

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Elijah Green run for no gain to the GTech 47

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.20

Drake Maye run for 3 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -3.12

Drake Maye sacked by Keion White for a loss of 11 yards to the NCaro 45

2nd & 21Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.31

Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 12 yds to the GTech 43

3rd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.64

Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 25 yds to the GTech 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Drake Maye sacked by D'Quan Douse for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 19

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Kamari Morales

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Drake Maye pass incomplete to D.J. Jones

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.79

Drake Maye pass incomplete to Josh Downs

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the GTech 21

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Hassan Hall run for 4 yds to the GTech 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.23

Zach Gibson pass complete to Hassan Hall for 6 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Taisun Phommachanh run for 2 yds to the GTech 33

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the GTech 37

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY GT False Start 5 yards from GT 37 to GT 32. NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.25

Hassan Hall run for 9 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the GTech 42

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Taisun Phommachanh run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA +0.95

Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the NCaro 49 Hassan Hall fumbled, recovered by GTech Hassan Hall for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Z. Gibson takes a knee

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Z. Gibson takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Georgia Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
38%
29 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
31%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
4th

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
44%
25 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
38%
8 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play