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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Duke by 20.4

Home Win Probability

Duke 88%

Market (consensus)

Duke -10

Edge: Duke -10 (10.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Virginia TechVirginia Tech
70007
DukeDuke
377724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-73-710-717-724-7
DukeVirginia Tech

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DUKVTDUKVTDUKVTDUKVTDUKVTDUKVTDUKVTDUKVTDUKVTDUKVTDUKVTPUNT35ydTD255ydPUNT617ydPUNT639ydFG1072ydPUNT39ydTO964ydPUNT35ydTD540ydPUNT3-1ydMISS829ydMISS840ydEND1-1ydPUNT613ydTD1162ydDOWNS952ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT3-3ydTD860ydTO633ydDOWNS1050ydEND639yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Virginia Tech and Duke
StatisticVirginia TechDuke
Passing16-2819-31
Pass Yards177262
Rush Yards104165
Total Yards281427
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-128-16
Penalties0-04-30
Possession21:0138:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Virginia Tech
passing
Grant Wells
16/28, 177 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jalen Holston
7 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Da'Wain Lofton
3 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Duke
passing
Riley Leonard
19/31, 262 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jordan Waters
15 CAR, 61 YDS
receiving
Jalon Calhoun
5 REC, 94 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Kyle Lowe kickoff for 62 yds , Jontavis Robertson return for 9 yds to the Duke 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jalon Calhoun

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the Duke 17

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Sahmir Hagans

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Porter Wilson punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Grant Wells pass complete to Keshawn King for 2 yds to the VTech 47

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.96

Grant Wells pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 53 yds for a TD, (John Love KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 6 yds to the Duke 31

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Leonard,Riley pass complete deep right to Moore,Jordan for 17 yards to the DUKE48 (Delane,Mansoor; Hollifield,Dax) PENALTY DUKE Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Burns,Jack) 5 yards from DUKE31 to DUKE26. NO PLAY.

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jalon Calhoun

3rd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.22

Riley Leonard run for 13 yds to the Duke 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Riley Leonard run for 1 yd to the Duke 40

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Jaquez Moore run for 2 yds to the Duke 42

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Sahmir Hagans

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Porter Wilson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tucker Holloway at the VTech 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.73

Grant Wells pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 22 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Nick Gallo

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.20

Grant Wells pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 12 yds to the Duke 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Keshawn King run for 1 yd to the Duke 47

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Da'Wain Lofton

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Grant Wells pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 4 yds to the Duke 43

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaylen Coleman run for 2 yds to the Duke 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.51

Riley Leonard pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 13 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jaylen Coleman run for 3 yds to the Duke 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.87

Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for no gain to the Duke 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.10

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 18 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +0.87

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 31 yds to the VTech 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Waters run for no gain to the VTech 13

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jordan Waters run for no gain to the VTech 13

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Riley Leonard run for 5 yds to the VTech 8

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 yds

Todd Pelino 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chance Black run for 4 yds to the VTech 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Chance Black

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Grant Wells pass complete to Jalen Holston for 5 yds to the VTech 44

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaquez Moore run for 5 yds to the Duke 25

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.06

Jordan Waters run for 10 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+55 ydsPPA +2.73

Jordan Waters run for 65 yds DUKE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sahmir Hagans) to the Duke 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 4 yds to the Duke 39

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jaquez Moore run for no gain to the Duke 39

3rd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.09

Riley Leonard run for 6 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.66

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 35 yds to the VTech 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jaylen Coleman run for 4 yds to the VTech 16

2nd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -4.36

Riley Leonard pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Jalen Holston run for no gain to the VTech 2

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Grant Wells run for 1 yd to the VTech 3

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jalen Holston run for 4 yds to the VTech 7

4th & 5Punt+22 yds

Peter Moore punt for 55 yds , Jalon Calhoun returns for 22 yds to the VTech 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Riley Leonard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jaylen Coleman run for 4 yds to the VTech 36

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jaylen Coleman run for 1 yd to the VTech 37

4th & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.76

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 13 yds to the VTech 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 24 yds for a TD, (Todd Pelino KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Grant Wells run for 1 yd to the VTech 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Grant Wells pass complete to Jadan Blue for 6 yds to the VTech 32

3rd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.84

Grant Wells sacked by Brandon Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the VTech 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.17

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 15 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jaquez Moore for 3 yds to the VTech 39

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jordan Waters run for 6 yds to the VTech 33

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.56

Jordan Waters run for 6 yds to the VTech 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the VTech 28

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jalon Calhoun

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jalon Calhoun

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Todd Pelino 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Jalen Holston run for 10 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jalen Holston run for 4 yds to the VTech 42

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Nick Gallo

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.24

Grant Wells pass complete to Jalen Holston for 7 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Jalen Holston

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Grant Wells run for 9 yds to the Duke 42

3rd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Grant Wells pass complete to Nick Gallo for 10 yds to the Duke 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+50 yds

John Love 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Kneel down by Duke at DUKE31 for loss of 1 yards.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jalen Holston run for 6 yds to the VTech 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Da'Wain Lofton

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Grant Wells pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 4 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Grant Wells pass complete to Tucker Holloway for 3 yds to the VTech 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Da'Wain Lofton

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Kaleb Smith

4th & 7Punt+7 yds

Peter Moore punt for 31 yds , Sahmir Hagans returns for 7 yds to the Duke 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 4 yds to the Duke 42

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jalon Calhoun

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.81

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 15 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Riley Leonard pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 3 yds to the VTech 40

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.94

Jordan Waters run for 14 yds to the VTech 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Riley Leonard pass complete to Sahmir Hagans for 7 yds to the VTech 19

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the VTech 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Waters,Jordan rush left for 6 yards gain to the VT10 (Hollifield,Dax; Peoples,Nasir) PENALTY DUKE Holding (Foley,Brian) 10 yards from VT16 to VT26. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Sahmir Hagans

2nd & 20Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.45

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 19 yds to the VTech 7

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.63

Jaylen Coleman run for 2 yds to the VTech 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Riley Leonard run for 5 yds for a TD, (Todd Pelino KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Todd Pelino kickoff for 64 yds , Cole Beck return for 26 yds to the VTech 27

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Keshawn King run for 9 yds to the VTech 36

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Keshawn King run for 10 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Keshawn King run for 2 yds to the VTech 48

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.81

Grant Wells run for 15 yds to the Duke 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Grant Wells pass complete to Da'Wain Lofton for 10 yds to the Duke 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Grant Wells run for 2 yds to the Duke 29

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jalen Holston run for 5 yds to the Duke 24

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Grant Wells run for 3 yds to the Duke 21

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.31

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Kaleb Smith

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Jordan Waters

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the Duke 20

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Riley Leonard pass incomplete to Sahmir Hagans

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Porter Wilson punt for 58 yds, fair catch by Tucker Holloway at the VTech 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Keshawn King run for 4 yds to the VTech 26

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Keshawn King run for 1 yd to the VTech 27

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.51

Grant Wells sacked by Brandon Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the VTech 19

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 40

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Jaylen Coleman run for 11 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Riley Leonard run for 9 yds to the VTech 40

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.09

Jaylen Coleman run for 11 yds to the VTech 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaylen Coleman run for 2 yds to the VTech 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the VTech 24

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jordan Waters run for no gain to the VTech 24

4th & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.95

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jordan Moore for 18 yds to the VTech 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 6 yds for a TD, (Todd Pelino KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Todd Pelino kickoff for 57 yds , Cole Beck return for 17 yds to the VTech 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Grant Wells pass complete to Tucker Holloway for 7 yds to the VTech 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.79

Grant Wells pass complete to Jalen Holston for 20 yds to the Duke 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Grant Wells pass incomplete to Jalen Holston

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Grant Wells pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jalen Holston run for 6 yds to the Duke 42

4th & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -1.45

Grant Wells pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jaylen Coleman run for 2 yds to the Duke 34

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jaylen Coleman run for 6 yds to the Duke 40

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.53

Jordan Waters run for 5 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jordan Waters run for 2 yds to the Duke 47

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jordan Waters run for 4 yds to the VTech 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.49

Riley Leonard pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 28 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jalen Holston) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Riley Leonard run for 1 yd to the VTech 20

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY DUKE False Start (Calhoun,Jalon) 5 yards from VT20 to VT25. NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Jaylen Coleman run for 1 yd to the VTech 24

3rd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaylen Coleman run for 3 yds to the VTech 21

4th & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -2.72

Riley Leonard run for 3 yds to the VTech 18

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Bryce Duke run for 6 yds to the VTech 24

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Bryce Duke run for 12 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Grant Wells pass complete to Dae'Quan Wright for 4 yds to the VTech 40

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Chance Black run for 2 yds to the VTech 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.09

Grant Wells pass complete to Tucker Holloway for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Chance Black run for 7 yds to the Duke 43

Situational Analysis

Virginia Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
22 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

Duke

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
36%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
38%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays