House Prediction
Model Margin
North Carolina by 10.2
Home Win Probability
Virginia 28%
Market (consensus)
Virginia +7.5
fitted_v1 · Nov 5, 2022
Line Movement
No line movement to chart
Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 North Carolina | 3 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 31 |
 Virginia | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | North Carolina | Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 26-37 | 17-35 |
| Pass Yards | 293 | 232 |
| Rush Yards | 162 | 186 |
| Total Yards | 455 | 418 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| 3rd Down | 7-14 | 7-13 |
| Penalties | 5-45 | 8-47 |
| Possession | 33:38 | 26:22 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
Noah Burnette kickoff for 64 yds , Demick Starling return for 34 yds to the Virg 35
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Sackett Wood Jr. for 5 yds to the Virg 40
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Sean Wilson for 5 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST down
Brennan Armstrong run for 4 yds to the Virg 49
Brennan Armstrong run for 8 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST down
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Demick Starling
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Sackett Wood Jr. for 20 yds to the NCaro 23 for a 1ST down
Xavier Brown run for 4 yds to the NCaro 19
Mike Hollins run for 15 yds to the NCaro 4 for a 1ST down
Brennan Armstrong run for 4 yds for a TD, (Will Bettridge KICK)
Elijah Green run for 9 yds to the NCaro 34
Elijah Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 33
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 7 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Kamari Morales
Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 15 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST down
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 12 yds to the Virg 33 for a 1ST down
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Antoine Green
Drake Maye run for 26 yds to the Virg 7 for a 1ST down
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 1 yd to the Virg 6
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 11
Drake Maye sacked by Nick Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 17
Noah Burnette 35 yd FG GOOD
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Demick Starling
Mike Hollins run for 6 yds to the Virg 31
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Sean Wilson for 15 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST down
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Sean Wilson for 13 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST down
VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Logan Taylor) to the NCaro 46
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Xavier Brown for 7 yds to the NCaro 39
Brennan Armstrong pass intercepted Storm Duck return for no gain to the NCaro 22
Drake Maye pass complete to Antoine Green for 7 yds to the NCaro 29
Elijah Green run for 3 yds to the NCaro 32 for a 1ST down
Elijah Green run for 17 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST down
Elijah Green run for no gain to the NCaro 49
Drake Maye run for 2 yds to the Virg 49
Drake Maye pass incomplete to J.J. Jones
Ben Kiernan punt for 49 yds for a touchback
Mike Hollins run for 8 yds to the Virg 28
Mike Hollins run for 1 yd to the Virg 29
Brennan Armstrong run for 5 yds to the Virg 34 for a 1ST down
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 8 yds to the Virg 42
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 7 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST down
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Demick Starling
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Sackett Wood Jr. for 14 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down
Xavier Brown run for 4 yds to the NCaro 33
Mike Hollins run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 34
Mike Hollins run for 2 yds to the NCaro 32
Brennan Armstrong punt for 32 yds for a touchback
Drake Maye run for 7 yds to the NCaro 27
Elijah Green run for 14 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST down
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 1 yd to the NCaro 42
Drake Maye pass incomplete to J.J. Jones
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 11 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST down
Drake Maye pass complete to Kamari Morales for 8 yds to the Virg 39
Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 7 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST down
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Block (Kamari Morales) to the Virg 47
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 1 yd to the Virg 46
VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jonas Sanker) to the Virg 31 for a 1ST down
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Antoine Green
Drake Maye run for 11 yds to the Virg 20 for a 1ST down
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 14 yds to the Virg 6 for a 1ST down
Drake Maye run for 1 yd to the Virg 5
Drake Maye run for 5 yds for a TD, (Noah Burnette KICK)
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV
Mike Hollins run for 2 yds to the Virg 27
Brennan Armstrong run for 11 yds to the Virg 38 for a 1ST down
Mike Hollins run for 5 yds to the Virg 43
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Grant Misch for 6 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST down
Brennan Armstrong run for 11 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Ethan Davies for 7 yds to the NCaro 33
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 5 yds to the NCaro 28 for a 1ST down
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the NCaro 23
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 7 yds to the NCaro 16 for a 1ST down
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Demick Starling
Xavier Brown run for 2 yds to the NCaro 14
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Sackett Wood Jr. for 11 yds to the NCaro 3 for a 1ST down
Xavier Brown run for 3 yds for a TD, (Will Bettridge KICK)
Drake Maye pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 5 yds to the NCaro 30
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Antoine Green
Drake Maye sacked by Paul Akere for a loss of 5 yards to the NCaro 25
Ben Kiernan punt for 64 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 11
Mike Hollins run for 7 yds to the Virg 18
Mike Hollins run for 2 yds to the Virg 20
Mike Hollins run for 5 yds to the Virg 25 for a 1ST down
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Demick Starling
Brennan Armstrong run for 5 yds to the Virg 30
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Sackett Wood Jr.
Daniel Sparks punt for 50 yds , Josh Downs returns for 19 yds to the NCaro 39
Drake Maye run for 3 yds to the NCaro 42
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 20 yds to the Virg 38 for a 1ST down
End of 2nd Quarter
Elijah Green run for no gain to the NCaro 25
Drake Maye run for 5 yds to the NCaro 30
Drake Maye pass complete to J.J. Jones for 14 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST down
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Antoine Green
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 32 yds to the Virg 24 for a 1ST down
Drake Maye pass complete to Gavin Blackwell for 9 yds to the Virg 15
Drake Maye run for 11 yds to the Virg 4 for a 1ST down
Elijah Green run for 4 yds for a TD, (Noah Burnette KICK)
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 5 yds to the Virg 30 for a 1ST down NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Don Chapman) to the Virg 45 for a 1ST down
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Sean Wilson
Mike Hollins run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line
Brennan Armstrong run for 4 yds to the NCaro 46
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 2 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST down
Brennan Armstrong sacked by Cedric Gray for a loss of 7 yards to the Virg 49
Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the NCaro 49
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Sean Wilson for 15 yds to the NCaro 34 for a 1ST down
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Sackett Wood Jr. for 33 yds to the NCaro 1 for a 1ST down
Ronnie Walker Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Bettridge KICK)
Brendan Farrell kickoff for 65 yds , George Pettaway return for 29 yds to the NCaro 29
Drake Maye run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
Drake Maye run for 3 yds to the Virg 47
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Josh Downs
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 15 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST down
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 11 yds to the Virg 21 for a 1ST down
Elijah Green run for 6 yds to the Virg 15
Drake Maye sacked by Olasunkonmi Agunloye for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 19
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 19 yds for a TD, (Noah Burnette KICK)
Mike Hollins run for 8 yds to the Virg 43
Mike Hollins run for 5 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST down
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Sean Wilson
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV
Daniel Sparks punt for 52 yds for a touchback
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 9 yds to the NCaro 29
Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the NCaro 33 for a 1ST down
Drake Maye pass complete to Antoine Green for 15 yds to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST down
Elijah Green run for 3 yds to the Virg 49
Elijah Green run for 2 yds to the Virg 47
Drake Maye pass complete to D.J. Jones for 14 yds to the Virg 33 for a 1ST down
Drake Maye pass incomplete to J.J. Jones
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 9 yds to the Virg 24
Drake Maye run for no gain to the Virg 24
Elijah Green run for 2 yds to the Virg 22 for a 1ST down
Drake Maye pass complete to Elijah Green for 22 yds for a TD, (Noah Burnette KICK)
Noah Burnette kickoff for 65 yds , Demick Starling return for 14 yds to the Virg 14
VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Derek Devine) to the Virg 8
Mike Hollins run for 5 yds to the Virg 13
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV
Brennan Armstrong run for 9 yds to the Virg 22
Daniel Sparks punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Josh Downs at the NCaro 36
Elijah Green run for 7 yds to the NCaro 43
Elijah Green run for 2 yds to the NCaro 45
Elijah Green run for no gain to the NCaro 45
Elijah Green run for 3 yds to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST down
Drake Maye pass incomplete to Elijah Green
Drake Maye sacked by James Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the NCaro 42
Drake Maye pass complete to Antoine Green for 11 yds to the Virg 47
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 48
Ben Kiernan punt for 52 yds for a touchback
Xavier Brown run for 4 yds to the Virg 24
VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 19
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Sean Wilson for 13 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST down
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Xavier Brown
Mike Hollins run for no gain to the Virg 32
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Sean Wilson
Daniel Sparks punt for 43 yds , Josh Downs returns for 38 yds to the Virg 37
Drake Maye pass incomplete to J.J. Jones
Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the Virg 33
Elijah Green run for 3 yds to the Virg 30
Elijah Green run for 1 yd to the Virg 29
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Sackett Wood Jr. for 11 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST down
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IV
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Demick Starling for 40 yds to the NCaro 20 for a 1ST down
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Sackett Wood Jr.
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Ethan Davies
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 12 yds to the NCaro 8 for a 1ST down
Brennan Armstrong run for 8 yds for a TD, (Will Bettridge KICK)
Brendan Farrell on-side kick recovered by NORTH CAROLINA at the Virg 23 , Antoine Green return for 20 yds to the VIRGINIA 45 VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the Virg 23
Elijah Green run for 3 yds to the Virg 20
Elijah Green run for 5 yds to the Virg 15
Drake Maye pass complete to Josh Downs for 4 yds to the Virg 11 for a 1ST down
VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Aaron Faumui) to the Virg 6
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 8 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (4 Yards) to the Virg 4 for a 1ST down
VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Olasunkonmi Agunloye) to the Virg 2 for a 1ST down
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 3