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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2022Week 9
MiamiMiami
14
-Final
12
VirginiaVirginia
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Virginia by 2.8

Home Win Probability

Virginia 54%

Market (consensus)

Virginia +3

Edge: Virginia +3 (5.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 29, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
MiamiMiami
0303814
VirginiaVirginia
0033612

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401412-143-36-36-612-9
VirginiaMiami

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MIAMIAVIRMIAVIRMIAVIRMIAVIRMIAVIRMIAVIRMIAVIRMIAVIRMIAVIRMIAMIAVIRVIRMIAUncategorized00ydPUNT512ydPUNT622ydPUNT613ydPUNT39ydPUNT938ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT38ydPUNT843ydPUNT835ydPUNT39ydFG635ydFG866ydPUNT622ydDOWNS982ydPUNT423ydFG1059ydPUNT727ydPUNT514ydFG1353ydFG30ydFG41ydFG41ydFG46yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Miami and Virginia
StatisticMiamiVirginia
Passing15-3215-26
Pass Yards125208
Rush Yards147119
Total Yards272327
Turnovers00
3rd Down5-175-16
Penalties5-226-50
Possession32:4227:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Miami
passing
Jake Garcia
15/29, 125 YDS
rushing
Henry Parrish Jr.
24 CAR, 113 YDS
receiving
Colbie Young
5 REC, 46 YDS
defense
Virginia
passing
Brennan Armstrong
15/25, 208 YDS
rushing
Brennan Armstrong
20 CAR, 67 YDS
receiving
Mike Hollins
1 REC, 64 YDS
defense
Nick Jackson
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Two Point Rush0 yds

Jake Garcia Two-Point Rush

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Brendan Farrell kickoff for 64 yds , Brashard Smith return for 34 yds to the MiaFl 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 40

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIA False Start (Cooper,Anez) 5 yards from MIA40 to MIA35. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Jake Garcia pass complete to Frank Ladson Jr. for 10 yds to the MiaFl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 47

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jake Garcia pass incomplete to Frank Ladson Jr.

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jake Garcia pass incomplete to Henry Parrish Jr.

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Ethan Davies at the Virg 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Dontayvion Wicks

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Perris Jones run for 3 yds to the Virg 15

3rd & 13Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.06

Brennan Armstrong run for 20 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Sean Wilson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Xavier Brown for 5 yds to the Virg 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon Thompson

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Jake Garcia pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 7 yds to the MiaFl 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Jake Garcia pass complete to Colbie Young for 11 yds to the MiaFl 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIA False Start (Scaife, Jr.,DJ) 5 yards from MIA41 to MIA36. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jacurri Brown run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 40

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete to Key'Shawn Smith

3rd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.61

Jake Garcia sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaFl 33

4th & 18Punt+2 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 48 yds , Ethan Davies returns for 2 yds to the Virg 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brennan Armstrong run for 5 yds to the Virg 26

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Perris Jones run for 2 yds to the Virg 28

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Mike Hollins run for 2 yds to the Virg 30

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jacolby George at the MiaFl 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Jake Garcia pass complete to Will Mallory for 8 yds to the MiaFl 34

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.92

Jacurri Brown run for 12 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jake Garcia pass incomplete to Key'Shawn Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Jake Garcia pass complete to Colbie Young for 9 yds to the Virg 45

3rd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.99

Jake Garcia pass complete to Brashard Smith for 4 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Romello Brinson sacked by Antonio Clary for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 44

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jake Garcia pass incomplete to Xavier Restrepo

3rd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 7 yds to the Virg 37

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 37 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Grant Misch

2nd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.26

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Jahfari Harvey for 0 yards to the Virg 20

3rd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.14

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Nyjalik Kelly for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 18

4th & 12Punt+18 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 49 , Jacolby George returns for 18 yds to the MiaFl 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Jake Garcia pass complete to Will Mallory for 8 yds to the Virg 43

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jake Garcia pass incomplete to Key'Shawn Smith

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jake Garcia pass incomplete to Brashard Smith

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.64

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 15 yds to the Virg 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.10

Brennan Armstrong sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the Virg 13

2nd & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 6 yds to the Virg 19

3rd & 14Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.05

Brennan Armstrong run for 16 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Mike Hollins run for 14 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Brennan Armstrong run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Perris Jones run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 43

3rd & 2Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Armstrong,Brennan pass complete short right to Jones,Perris for 2 yards to the MIA41, End Of Play PENALTY UVA Pass Interference (Wilson,Sean) 15 yards from MIA43 to UVA42. NO PLAY.

3rd & 17Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Brennan Armstrong run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 49

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jacolby George at the MiaFl 14

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.14

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 18 yds to the MiaFl 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 37

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 41

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Lucious Stanley run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Jake Garcia pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 11 yds to the Virg 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jake Garcia run for 4 yds to the Virg 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Jake Garcia pass complete to Colbie Young for 1 yd to the Virg 42

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -2.14

Jake Garcia sacked by Chico Bennett Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the MiaFl 49 Jake Garcia fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Jake Garcia , return for 0 yards

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Xavier Brown run for 2 yds to the Virg 19

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Brennan Armstrong run for 7 yds to the Virg 26

3rd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for no gain to the Virg 26

4th & 1Punt+14 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 43 yds , Jacolby George returns for 14 yds to the MiaFl 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.91

Jake Garcia pass complete to Colbie Young for 23 yds to the Virg 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 9 yds to the Virg 20

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 2 yds to the Virg 22

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Jake Garcia run for 2 yds to the Virg 20

4th & 1Field Goal Good+38 yds

Andres Borregales 38 yd FG GOOD

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 4 yds to the Virg 21

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Brennan Armstrong run for 1 yd to the Virg 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.45

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.38

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 47 yds to the MiaFl 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Reception+7 yds

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 7 yds to the MiaFl 10

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Brennan Armstrong run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 9

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Brennan Armstrong run for no gain to the MiaFl 9

4th & 9Field Goal Good+27 yds

Will Bettridge 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jake Garcia pass complete to Will Mallory for 6 yds to the MiaFl 34

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.54

Jacurri Brown run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 47

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete to Colbie Young

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete to Key'Shawn Smith

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 17

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Xavier Brown run for 6 yds to the Virg 23

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UVA False Start 5 yards from UVA23 to UVA18. NO PLAY.

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.42

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Dontayvion Wicks for 14 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brennan Armstrong run for no gain to the Virg 32

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Xavier Brown run for 1 yd to the Virg 33

3rd & 9Pass Reception+66 ydsPPA +5.94

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Mike Hollins for 64 yds to the VIRGINIA 3 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, Personal Foul (Romello Brinson) to the MiaFl 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush+1 yds

Xavier Brown run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 2

2nd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 1 yd to the MiaFl 1

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Keytaon Thompson pass incomplete to Grant Misch

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.21

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Grant Misch

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Parrish Jr.,Henry rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MIA06 (Bennett, Jr.,Chico; Butler,Kameron) PENALTY UVA Offside (Bennett, Jr.,Chico) 5 yards from MIA01 to MIA06. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Penalty+15 yds

VIRGINIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Coen King) to the MiaFl 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jake Garcia pass incomplete to Brashard Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jake Garcia pass complete to Colbie Young for 4 yds to the MiaFl 29

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIA False Start (Clark,Jakai) 5 yards from MIA29 to MIA24. NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Jake Garcia pass incomplete to Brashard Smith

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 9 yds to the Virg 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Perris Jones run for 2 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.17

Brennan Armstrong run for 18 yds to the VIRGINIA 36 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Romello Brinson) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.31

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 11 yds to the MiaFl 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.17

Perris Jones run for 13 yds to the MiaFl 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Brennan Armstrong run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 4

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.35

Perris Jones run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 6

4th & 4Field Goal Good+24 yds

Will Bettridge 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Brendan Farrell kickoff for 65 yds , Brashard Smith return for 20 yds to the MiaFl 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jacurri Brown run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Jake Garcia pass complete to Jacolby George for 9 yds to the MiaFl 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 36

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.11

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jake Garcia pass incomplete to Will Mallory

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jake Garcia pass complete to Henry Parrish Jr. for 4 yds to the MiaFl 46

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jake Garcia run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 47

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Sackett Wood Jr. for 9 yds to the Virg 20

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.13

Perris Jones run for 9 yds to the Virg 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.39

Brennan Armstrong sacked by Jared Harrison-Hunte for a loss of 7 yards to the Virg 22

2nd & 17Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UVA False Start (Furnish,Ty) 5 yards from UVA22 to UVA17. NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.08

Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Keytaon Thompson for 8 yds to the Virg 25

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Keytaon Thompson

4th & 14Punt+17 yds

Daniel Sparks punt for 47 yds , Jacolby George returns for 17 yds to the MiaFl 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jake Garcia pass incomplete to Colbie Young

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.09

Jake Garcia pass complete to Brashard Smith for 12 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 7 yds to the Virg 36

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jake Garcia pass incomplete to Brashard Smith

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.97

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 6 yds to the Virg 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 5 yds to the Virg 25

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.20

Lucious Stanley run for 12 yds to the Virg 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Lucious Stanley run for 3 yds to the Virg 10

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.17

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 7 yds to the Virg 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jacurri Brown run for 1 yd to the Virg 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Henry Parrish Jr. run for no gain to the Virg 2

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIA Illegal Substitution 5 yards from UVA02 to UVA07. NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 5 yds to the Virg 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 yds

Andres Borregales 20 yd FG GOOD

0th & 2End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

0th & 0Field Goal Good+42 yds

Andres Borregales 42 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0Field Goal Good+41 yds

Will Bettridge 41 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0Field Goal Good+41 yds

Will Bettridge 41 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0Field Goal Good+37 yds

Andres Borregales 37 Yd Field Goal

Situational Analysis

Miami

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
42%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
75%
12 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th

Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
20 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
60%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play