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← Back to GamesSep 10, 2022Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami by 21.3

Home Win Probability

Miami 91%

Market (consensus)

Miami -27.5

Edge: Southern Miss +27.5 (6.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 10, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern MissSouthern Miss
07007
MiamiMiami
3714630

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-710-717-724-727-730-7
MiamiSouthern Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MIASMMIASMMIASMMIASMMIASMSMMIASMMIASMMIASMMIASMMIASMMIAMIAPUNT34ydPUNT1235ydFG1668ydTD675ydTO942ydPUNT529ydPUNT412ydPUNT36ydTD1086ydEND1-1ydPUNT39ydTD1377ydPUNT3-1ydTD135ydTO769ydPUNT526ydPUNT31ydFG1244ydTO515ydFG714ydPUNT3-6ydTO37ydEND16yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Miss and Miami
StatisticSouthern MissMiami
Passing16-2723-32
Pass Yards207278
Rush Yards33174
Total Yards240452
Turnovers31
3rd Down5-139-17
Penalties7-517-70
Possession23:0037:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Miss
passing
Zach Wilcke
16/27, 207 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Zach Wilcke
12 CAR, 29 YDS
receiving
Jason Brownlee
5 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Miami
passing
Tyler Van Dyke
21/30, 263 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Henry Parrish Jr.
23 CAR, 109 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Xavier Restrepo
6 REC, 72 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Henry Parrish Jr. for 4 yds to the MiaFl 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 34

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Will Mallory

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Natrone Brooks at the SoMis 18

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Antavious Willis run for no gain to the SoMis 18

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Zach Wilcke run for 9 yds to the SoMis 27

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.63

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoMis 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete to Jakarius Caston

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.05

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 9 yds to the SoMis 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Antavious Willis for 6 yds to the SoMis 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.94

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jakarius Caston for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.65

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Cole Cavallo for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete to Chandler Pittman

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete to Jason Brownlee

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Zach Wilcke run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 47

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Will Mallory

3rd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.36

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 8 yds to the SoMis 42

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoMis 41

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.74

Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the SoMis 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Tyler Van Dyke run for 1 yd to the SoMis 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 8 yds to the SoMis 30

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.46

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoMis 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the SoMis 20

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the SoMis 15

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.10

Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the SoMis 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 3 yds to the SoMis 10

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 12

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+30 yds

Andres Borregales 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Zach Wilcke run for 2 yds to the SoMis 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 7 yds to the SoMis 34

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (Cole Cavallo) to the SoMis 29

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Te'Cory Couch) to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.35

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 18 yds to the MiaFl 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 32 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.82

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 5 yds to the SoMis 45

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.99

Jaylan Knighton run for 4 yds to the SoMis 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 6 yds to the SoMis 33

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jaylan Knighton run for no gain to the SoMis 33

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Jaylan Knighton

4th & 4Pass Interception Return+16 ydsPPA -2.32

Tyler Van Dyke pass intercepted Malik Shorts return for 16 yds to the SoMis 32

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Janari Dean run for no gain to the SoMis 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.57

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 36 yds to the MiaFl 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 37

1st & 15Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.47

Zach Wilcke sacked by Jacob Lichtenstein for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaFl 45

2nd & 23Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 41

3rd & 19Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Zach Wilcke run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 39

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 16 yds, downed at the MiaFl 23

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.65

Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 27 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Armondous Cooley) to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.01

Tyler Van Dyke sacked by Josh Ratcliff for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaFl 37

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 40

3rd & 12Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.52

Tyler Van Dyke sacked by Quentin Bivens for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaFl 35

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 42 yds, downed at the SoMis 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Zach Wilcke run for 3 yds to the SoMis 26

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Frank Gore Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoMis 29

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete to Jason Brownlee

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 57 yds, downed at the MiaFl 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Xavier Restrepo

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 11 yds to the MiaFl 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jaylan Knighton run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.65

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Michael Redding III for 16 yds to the MiaFl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Tyler Van Dyke sacked by Averie Habas for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 45

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Defensive Offside (TQ Newsome) to the SoMis 45

3rd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.60

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 15 yds to the SoMis 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 11 yds to the SoMis 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Romello Brinson for 18 yds to the SoMis 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andres Borregales KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Andres Borregales kickoff for 65 yds , Camron Harrell return for 12 yds to the SoMis 47 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Illegal Block (6 Yards) to the SoMis 6

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 5

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Zach Wilcke run for 4 yds to the SoMis 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.98

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the SoMis 24

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Zach Wilcke run for 10 yds to the SoMis 34

4th & 1Punt+8 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 51 yds , Tyrique Stevenson returns for 8 yds to the MiaFl 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 29

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 40

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.12

Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Thaddius Franklin Jr. for 7 yds to the SoMis 47

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoMis 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 12 yds to the SoMis 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 8 yds to the SoMis 19

2nd & 2Penalty-15 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the SoMis 34

2nd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Henry Parrish Jr. for 12 yds to the SoMis 22

3rd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.67

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 12 yds to the SoMis 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoMis 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD, (Andres Borregales KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 22

2nd & 13Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.34

Zach Wilcke sacked by Leonard Taylor for a loss of 9 yards to the SoMis 13

3rd & 22Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.07

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Janari Dean for 11 yds to the SoMis 24

4th & 11Punt+30 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 41 yds , Tyrique Stevenson returns for 30 yds to the SoMis 35

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 35 yds for a TD, (Andres Borregales KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete to Chandler Pittman

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Chandler Pittman run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.22

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 14 yds to the SoMis 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jakarius Caston for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.26

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 33 yds to the MiaFl 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.53

Zach Wilcke run for 11 yds to the MiaFl 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.95

Zach Wilcke pass intercepted, touchback. Tyrique Stevenson return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.63

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Michael Redding III for 20 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -1.88

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Henry Parrish Jr. for 2 yds to the MiaFl 45 MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MiaFl 35

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Thaddius Franklin Jr. for 11 yds to the MiaFl 46

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Natrone Brooks at the SoMis 12

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 7

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Cole Cavallo for 6 yds to the SoMis 13

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete to Jakarius Caston

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Xavier Restrepo at the MiaFl 41

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Brashard Smith run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 48

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 7 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyler Van Dyke run for 3 yds to the SoMis 42

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 8 yds to the SoMis 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoMis 31

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 36

2nd & 12Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.00

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 10 yds to the SoMis 26 MIAMI FL Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the SoMis 41

2nd & 17Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.74

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 14 yds to the SoMis 27

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 8 yds to the SoMis 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoMis 18

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoMis 15

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Michael Redding III

4th & 6Field Goal Good+33 yds

Andres Borregales 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 16 yds to the SoMis 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.96

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the SoMis 36

2nd & 15Penalty+5 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SoMis 41

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Frank Gore Jr. run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jason Brownlee) to the SoMis 40

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete to Latreal Jones

3rd & 11Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -0.29

Zach Wilcke run for 4 yds to the SoMis 44 Zach Wilcke fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Chantz Williams

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 45

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Michael Redding III for 9 yds to the SoMis 36

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.77

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the SoMis 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Key'Shawn Smith run for 6 yds to the SoMis 26

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Henry Parrish Jr. run for no gain to the SoMis 26

3rd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.61

Henry Parrish Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 30

4th & 8Field Goal Good+48 yds

Andres Borregales 48 yd FG GOOD

4th & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Andres Borregales kickoff for 55 yds , Camron Harrell return for 15 yds to the SoMis 25

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.02

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yards to the SoMis 21 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SoMis Frank Gore Jr.

2nd & 11Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.30

Zach Wilcke sacked by Nyjalik Kelly for a loss of 5 yards to the SoMis 19

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete to Jason Brownlee

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Xavier Restrepo at the MiaFl 30

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.49

Tyler Van Dyke sacked by Swayze Bozeman for a loss of 8 yards to the MiaFl 22

2nd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Jake Garcia pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 11 yds to the MiaFl 33

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jake Garcia pass complete to Brashard Smith for 4 yds to the MiaFl 37

4th & 3Punt+2 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 41 yds , Natrone Brooks returns for 2 yds to the SoMis 24 Natrone Brooks fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Kamren Kinchens

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 7 yds to the SoMis 17

Situational Analysis

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
37%
19 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
4th

Miami

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
45%
33 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
60%
10 plays
63%
8 plays
3rd
100%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play