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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2022Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 2.3

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 54%

Market (consensus)

Wisconsin -3

Edge: Minnesota +3 (0.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 26, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
7331023
WisconsinWisconsin
3310016

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-76-76-106-139-1316-1316-1616-23
WisconsinMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISMINWISFG1153ydTD1081ydPUNT36ydDOWNS763ydFG1265ydPUNT31ydPUNT621ydEND1375ydFG849ydFG957ydPUNT33ydTD654ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT35ydPUNT411ydPUNT36ydFG969ydPUNT34ydTD671ydTO35ydMISS45ydDOWNS1045yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Wisconsin
StatisticMinnesotaWisconsin
Passing19-2918-33
Pass Yards319191
Rush Yards97143
Total Yards416334
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-145-16
Penalties3-326-55
Possession30:1729:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Athan Kaliakmanis
19/29, 319 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Mohamed Ibrahim
27 CAR, 70 YDS
receiving
Brevyn Spann-Ford
7 REC, 95 YDS
defense
Wisconsin
passing
Graham Mertz
16/27, 170 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Chez Mellusi
19 CAR, 75 YDS
receiving
Chimere Dike
5 REC, 52 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the Wisc 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.78

Graham Mertz pass complete to Dean Engram for 8 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 11 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Chez Mellusi run for 13 yds to the Minn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Minn 36

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Graham Mertz run for 2 yds to the Minn 34

3rd & 6Penalty+12 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Beanie Bishop) to the Minn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Chez Mellusi run for no gain to the Minn 22

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Isaac Guerendo

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

4th & 10Field Goal Good+40 yds

Nate Van Zelst 40 yd FG GOOD

4th & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Gavin Lahm kickoff for 56 yds , Clay Geary return for 10 yds to the Minn 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.01

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 14 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Trey Potts run for 1 yd to the Minn 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 4 yds to the Minn 38

3rd & 5Rush+23 ydsPPA +3.19

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 23 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Trey Potts run for 1 yd to the Wisc 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.13

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 17 yds to the Wisc 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.12

Bryce Williams run for 11 yds to the Wisc 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Wisc 5

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 6 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jackson Acker for 6 yds to the Wisc 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Isaac Guerendo run for no gain to the Wisc 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Quentin Redding at the Minn 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.14

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dylan Wright for 42 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Michael Brown-Stephens

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.86

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 12 yds to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Wisc 19

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Wisc 18

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 7 yds to the Wisc 11

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.00

Athan Kaliakmanis run for no gain to the Wisc 11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Wisc 14

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Chez Mellusi run for no gain to the Wisc 14

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.19

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 12 yds to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Graham Mertz pass complete to Dean Engram for 9 yds to the Wisc 35

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Wisc 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Skyler Bell

3rd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.46

Graham Mertz pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 25 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaac Guerendo run for 5 yds to the Minn 28

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Minn 25

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the Minn 24

4th & 1Field Goal Good+43 yds

Nate Van Zelst 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Michael Brown-Stephens

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 22

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the Wisc 31

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Chez Mellusi run for no gain to the Wisc 31

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Graham Mertz run for 3 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Graham Mertz pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 1 yd to the Wisc 35

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Isaac Guerendo run for 4 yds to the Wisc 39

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Graham Mertz run for 4 yds to the Wisc 43

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 39 yds, downed at the Minn 18

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.82

Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Keeanu Benton and Maema Njongmeta for a loss of 8 yards to the Minn 10

2nd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 16

3rd & 12Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.59

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 14 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 7 yds to the Minn 37

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

3rd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.16

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 11 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.29

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 26 yds to the Wisc 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-Ford

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Wisc 9

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Wisc 8

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Wisc 7

4th & 2Field Goal Good+25 yds

Matthew Trickett 25 yd FG GOOD

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Gavin Lahm kickoff for 61 yds , Quentin Redding return for 15 yds to the Minn 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 11 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 30

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Roughing Passer (C.J. Goetz) to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.30

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 20 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Wisc 33

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Wisc 33

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Wisc 27

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, False Start (Chuck Filiaga) to the Wisc 32

4th & 7Field Goal Good+50 yds

Matthew Trickett 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the Wisc 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.47

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 14 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.43

Graham Mertz pass complete to Dean Engram for 24 yds to the Minn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Hayden Rucci

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Isaac Guerendo run for 11 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Isaac Guerendo run for 2 yds to the Minn 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack Eschenbach

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

4th & 8Field Goal Good+36 yds

Nate Van Zelst 36 yd FG GOOD

4th & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Gavin Lahm kickoff for 61 yds , Clay Geary return for 8 yds to the Minn 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Dylan Wright

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.17

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dylan Wright for no gain to the Minn 12

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 15

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 46

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Illegal Block (Jack Nelson) to the Wisc 31

1st & 25Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.35

Chez Mellusi run for 14 yds to the Wisc 45

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 8 yds to the Minn 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.53

Graham Mertz pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 6 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.70

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jackson Acker for 28 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the Minn 9

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.56

Chimere Dike run for 9 yds for a TD, (Nate Van Zelst KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 26

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.55

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Le'Meke Brockington

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Skyler Bell run for 1 yd to the Wisc 36

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Isaac Guerendo run for 4 yds to the Wisc 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Keontez Lewis

4th & 5Punt+3 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 50 yds , Quentin Redding returns for 3 yds to the Minn 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.55

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dylan Wright for 23 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.86

Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by James Thompson Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 29

2nd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 5 yds to the Minn 34

3rd & 12Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.39

Athan Kaliakmanis sacked by Darryl Peterson for a loss of 10 yards to the Minn 24

4th & 22Punt+44 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 44 yds , Dean Engram returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the Wisc 35

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Wisc 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.60

Graham Mertz pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for no gain to the Wisc 37

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 41 yds, downed at the Minn 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dylan Wright for 14 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Daniel Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.71

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 19 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 46

2nd & 11Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.17

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 34 yds to the Wisc 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 7 yds to the Wisc 5

2nd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.69

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 9

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete to Dylan Wright

4th & 7Field Goal Good+27 yds

Matthew Trickett 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Wisc 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 2 yds to the Wisc 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 42 yds, downed at the Minn 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dylan Wright for 7 yds to the Minn 38

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.06

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.34

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 16 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 45

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +4.61

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Le'Meke Brockington for 45 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Graham Mertz pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 5 yds to the Wisc 30

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return+28 ydsPPA -0.26

Graham Mertz pass intercepted Justin Walley return for 28 yds to the Wisc 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Wisc 33

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Wisc 31

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Wisc 30

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Matthew Trickett 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Graham Mertz pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 11 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Graham Mertz run for 2 yds to the Wisc 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Chase Wolf pass incomplete to Keontez Lewis

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Chase Wolf run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.86

Isaac Guerendo run for 14 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.39

Chase Wolf pass complete to Chimere Dike for 16 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Justin Walley) to the Minn 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-10 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Riley Mahlman) to the Minn 15

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Tanor Bortolini) to the Minn 20

1st & 0Pass Incompletion0 yds

Chase Wolf pass incomplete

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Tyler Beach) to the Minn 25

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Riley Mahlman) to the Minn 30

2nd & 0Pass Incompletion0 yds

Chase Wolf pass incomplete

3rd & 0Pass Reception+5 yds

Chase Wolf pass complete to Skyler Bell for 5 yds to the Minn 25

4th & 0Pass Incompletion0 yds

Chase Wolf pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
30 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
38%
13 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
18%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play