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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2022Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Illinois by 21.1

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 9%

Market (consensus)

Northwestern +14.5

Edge: Illinois -14.5 (6.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 26, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IllinoisIllinois
71017741
NorthwesternNorthwestern
00033

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-100-170-200-343-343-41
NorthwesternIllinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORNORILLNORNORNORILLNORILLNORILLPUNT522ydPUNT617ydTD1070ydPUNT36ydPUNT720ydTO1259ydFG423ydTO842ydPUNT417ydPUNT36ydTD556ydTO730ydDOWNS722ydFG622ydTD428ydTD612ydPUNT31ydTO38ydFG960ydTD1175ydTO1355ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois and Northwestern
StatisticIllinoisNorthwestern
Passing12-1817-31
Pass Yards136167
Rush Yards156154
Total Yards292321
Turnovers16
3rd Down4-96-16
Penalties5-425-44
Possession26:3933:21

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois
passing
Tommy DeVito
12/18, 136 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Reggie Love III
11 CAR, 85 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chase Brown
1 REC, 43 YDS
defense
Northwestern
passing
Cole Freeman
12/22, 93 YDS, 4 INT
rushing
Evan Hull
20 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
Malik Washington
7 REC, 56 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Casey Washington for 5 yds to the Illin 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 11 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Casey Washington for 3 yds to the Illin 44

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 46

3rd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.23

Tommy DeVito sacked by Devin O'Rourke and Adetomiwa Adebawore for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 42

4th & 9Penalty+5 yds

ROBERTSON, Hugh punt 42 yards to the NU16 downed by MARCHESE, Michael. PENALTY NU Offsides enforced 5 yards from the ILL42 to the ILL47. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 42 yds

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Cole Freeman pass complete to Evan Hull for 8 yds to the Nwest 19

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Evan Hull run for no gain to the Nwest 19

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.65

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Cole Freeman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Nwest 28

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Cole Freeman pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 42 yds

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 32

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.78

Chase Brown run for 11 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Reggie Love III run for 6 yds to the Illin 49

2nd & 4Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.23

Reggie Love III run for 20 yds to the Nwest 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the Nwest 29

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Reggie Love III run for 1 yd to the Nwest 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.13

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Casey Washington for 14 yds to the Nwest 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.65

Reggie Love III run for 12 yds to the Nwest 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Reggie Love III run for 2 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Cole Freeman sacked by Tarique Barnes and Keith Randolph Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 23

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Andrew Clair run for 1 yd to the Nwest 24

3rd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Cole Freeman run for 7 yds to the Nwest 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the Illin 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Chase Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 25

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete

4th & 12Rush+23 ydsPPA +3.30

Hugh Robertson run for 23 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Illin 48

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Nwest 48

3rd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.56

Tommy DeVito sacked by Rod Heard II and Adetomiwa Adebawore for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 47

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Nwest 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Cole Freeman pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.57

Cole Freeman pass complete to Malik Washington for 9 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Malik Washington pass complete to Cam Porter for 6 yds to the Nwest 40

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.67

run for 5 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

run for 1 yd to the Nwest 46

2nd & 9Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.30

Cole Freeman run for 21 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Joseph Himon II run for 1 yd to the Illin 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Cole Freeman pass complete to Genson Hooper Price for 10 yds to the Illin 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Cole Freeman pass complete to Genson Hooper Price for 1 yd to the Illin 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Cole Freeman pass incomplete

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -3.56

Cole Freeman pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

DEVITO, Tommy pass to the right incomplete intended for HIGHTOWER, Brian broken up by HAMPTON, JR., A.J. at the NU0. PENALTY NU Pass Interference on HAMPTON, JR., A.J. enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the NU13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty+6 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Face mask (6 yards) (Rod Heard II) to the Nwest 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Reggie Love III run for 1 yd to the Nwest 2

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Chase Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 5

3rd & 5Penalty0 yds

DEVITO, Tommy pass to the left incomplete intended for BRYANT, Pat broken up by TURNER, Devin at the NU0. PENALTY ILL Illegal Touch-Pass on BRYANT, Pat enforced 0 yards from the NU5 to the NU5, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Caleb Griffin 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 28

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Evan Hull run for 10 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 39

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (Tarique Barnes) to the Illin 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Malik Washington run for 5 yds to the Illin 41

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the Illin 37

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.72

Anthony Tyus III run for 6 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Anthony Tyus III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 33

2nd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -3.27

Cole Freeman pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.65

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 12 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Reggie Love III run for 5 yds to the Illin 31

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the Nwest 16

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Evan Hull run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 14

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cole Freeman run for 4 yds to the Nwest 18

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cole Freeman pass complete to Malik Washington for 4 yds to the Nwest 22

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 34 yds, downed at the Illin 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 12 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 9 yds to the Nwest 35

2nd & 1Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.02

Reggie Love III run for 32 yds to the Nwest 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the Nwest 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Tommy DeVito run for 1 yd for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Cole Freeman pass complete to Malik Washington for 6 yds to the Nwest 31

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Cole Freeman run for 8 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -2.30

run for a loss of 11 yards to the Nwest 28 fumbled, recovered by Nwest Cole Freeman

2nd & 21Penalty+15 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (Isaac Darkangelo) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.87

Cole Freeman pass complete to Malik Washington for 15 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Cole Freeman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

FREEMAN, Cole pass up the middle incomplete intended for LANG, Marshall thrown to the ILL20. PENALTY NU Holding on WRATHER, Ben enforced 10 yards from the ILL35 to the ILL45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Interception0 ydsPPA -1.31

Cole Freeman pass intercepted, touchback.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

run for 3 yds to the Nwest 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.00

Cole Freeman pass complete to Malik Washington for 11 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Evan Hull run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 41

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 43

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Cole Freeman pass complete to Malik Washington for 4 yds to the Nwest 47

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Cole Freeman pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Nwest 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.43

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Luke Ford for 17 yds to the Nwest 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.93

Tommy DeVito sacked by Xander Mueller for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 31

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Nwest 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 25

4th & 7Field Goal Good+43 yds

Caleb Griffin 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Andrew Clair run for 22 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Cole Freeman run for 4 yds to the Illin 49

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.20

Andrew Clair run for 12 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+53 ydsPPA -10.95

Sydney Brown 53 Yd Fumble Return (Caleb Griffin Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 30

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

FREEMAN, Cole pass to the right complete for 5 yards to WASHINGTON, Malik caught at the NU35 and advanced to the NU35, out of bounds. PENALTY NU Holding on SCHMIDT, Charlie enforced 10 yards from the NU30 to the NU20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 15Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.54

Cole Freeman pass complete to Jacob Gill for 20 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Evan Hull run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.86

Cole Freeman pass complete to Evan Hull for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 37

3rd & 13Interception Return Touchdown+39 ydsPPA -7.07

Sydney Brown 39 Yd Interception Return (Caleb Griffin Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Evan Hull run for no gain to the Nwest 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Malik Washington run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29

3rd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jack Lausch run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 26 yds, downed at the Illin 48

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Chase Brown run for 13 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Nwest 39

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 44

2nd & 15Interception0 ydsPPA -1.98

Tommy DeVito pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.86

Jack Lausch pass complete to Evan Hull for 27 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.53

Evan Hull run for 17 yds to the Illin 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Malik Washington run for 10 yds to the Illin 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Gabe Jacas) to the Illin 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 9

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jack Lausch run for no gain to the Illin 9

3rd & 9Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Jack Lausch sacked by Seth Coleman for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 10

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 yds

Adam Stage 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 26

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Chase Brown run for 10 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 37

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Illin 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.54

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Hank Beatty for 5 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Nwest 45

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Nwest 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.52

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 43 yds to the Nwest 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Chase Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the Nwest 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Chase Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Evan Hull run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 24

2nd & 11Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Joseph Himon II run for 14 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jack Lausch run for no gain to the Nwest 38

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jack Lausch run for 4 yds to the Nwest 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.19

Jack Lausch pass complete to Calvin Johnson II for 23 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.25

Jack Lausch run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 38

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the Illin 38

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 13Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.54

Jack Lausch pass complete to Donnie Gray for 18 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jack Lausch pass complete to Calvin Johnson II for no gain to the Illin 20

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jack Lausch pass incomplete

4th & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.80

Jack Lausch pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 18

Situational Analysis

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
4 plays
40%
20 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
28%
32 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
13%
8 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play