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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan State by 22.6

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 92%

Market (consensus)

Michigan State -12

Edge: Michigan State -12 (10.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
IndianaIndiana
70177839
Michigan StateMichigan State
32170031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-717-724-724-1431-1431-2431-31
Michigan StateIndiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20INDMSINDMSINDINDMSINDMSINDMSMSINDMSINDMSMSINDMSINDMSINDMSMSINDMSTD450ydFG1073ydPUNT628ydDOWNS836ydPUNT3-11ydPUNT33ydTD869ydPUNT3-3ydTD934ydUncategorized314ydTD764ydPUNT34ydTD179ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-6ydTD669ydTD10ydFG46ydPUNT521ydTD970ydDOWNS839ydPUNT617ydMISS1470ydMISS414ydMISS616ydDOWNS715yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Indiana and Michigan State
StatisticIndianaMichigan State
Passing2-727-42
Pass Yards31298
Rush Yards257242
Total Yards288540
Turnovers01
3rd Down3-129-18
Penalties7-405-46
Possession23:2736:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Indiana
passing
rushing
Shaun Shivers
13 CAR, 115 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
A.J. Barner
1 REC, 24 YDS
defense
Michigan State
passing
Payton Thorne
27/42, 298 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jalen Berger
21 CAR, 119 YDS
receiving
Keon Coleman
8 REC, 107 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the MchSt 48

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.42

Shaun Shivers run for 11 yds to the MchSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the MchSt 34

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.29

Dexter Williams II run for 34 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.07

Payton Thorne pass complete to Keon Coleman for 39 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Jalen Berger run for 3 yds to the Ind 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.35

Payton Thorne pass complete to Keon Coleman for 8 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jalen Berger run for 4 yds to the Ind 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.54

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 14 yds to the Ind 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty+5 yds

THORNE, Payton pass to the right incomplete intended for REED, Jayden broken up by WILLIAMS, Jaylin at the IND0. PENALTY IND Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Jaylin enforced 5 yards to the IND2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jalen Berger run for no gain to the Ind 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jalen Berger run for no gain to the Ind 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

1st & 7Penalty+5 yds

THORNE, Payton pass to the right incomplete intended for REED, Jayden broken up by WILLIAMS, Jaylin at the IND0. PENALTY IND Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Jaylin enforced 5 yards to the IND2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jalen Berger run for no gain to the Ind 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jalen Berger run for no gain to the Ind 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Good+19 yds

Ben Patton 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Dexter Williams II run for 6 yds to the Ind 28

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Dexter Williams II run for no gain to the Ind 28

3rd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.27

Dexter Williams II run for 15 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Shaun Shivers run for 6 yds to the Ind 49

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.24

Shaun Shivers run for no gain to the Ind 49

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Dexter Williams II run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the MchSt 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the MchSt 11

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the MchSt 11

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Payton Thorne pass complete to Keon Coleman for 13 yds to the MchSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jayden Reed run for 3 yds to the MchSt 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.77

Payton Thorne pass complete to Keon Coleman for 14 yds to the MchSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the MchSt 44

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the MchSt 48

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.13

Jalen Berger run for a loss of 4 yards to the MchSt 46

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.71

Josh Henderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 49

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.71

Josh Henderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 49

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Dexter Williams II pass incomplete

3rd & 13Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.05

Dexter Williams II sacked by Jacob Slade and Dashaun Mallory for a loss of 8 yards to the Ind 43

4th & 21Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 21 yds

4th & 21Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 21 yds

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.17

run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 24

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Dexter Williams II pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Dexter Williams II pass complete to Josh Henderson for 7 yds to the Ind 31

4th & 7Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Payton Thorne pass complete to Daniel Barker for 12 yds to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.83

Jalen Berger run for 36 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the Ind 19

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Maliq Carr) to the Ind 23

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Elijah Collins run for 5 yds to the Ind 18

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.29

Payton Thorne pass complete to Tre Mosley for 13 yds to the Ind 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty+3 yds

THORNE, Payton pass up the middle incomplete intended for REED, Jayden thrown to the IND0. PENALTY IND Pass Interference on MULLEN, Tiawan enforced 3 yards to the IND2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the Ind 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Elijah Collins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Patton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the Ind 11

2nd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.40

Dexter Williams II sacked by Ben VanSumeren for a loss of 9 yards to the Ind 2

3rd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the Ind 5

4th & 13Punt+19 yds

James Evans punt for 48 yds , Jayden Reed returns for 19 yds to the Ind 34

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the Ind 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 8 yds to the Ind 25

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.25

Payton Thorne run for 2 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the Ind 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jalen Berger for 2 yds to the Ind 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Payton Thorne pass complete to Maliq Carr for 13 yds to the Ind 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty+4 yds

THORNE, Payton pass to the left incomplete intended for COLEMAN, Keon broken up by PIERRE, Noah at the IND0. PENALTY IND Pass Interference on PIERRE, Noah enforced 4 yards to the IND2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Payton Thorne run for no gain to the Ind 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Payton Thorne run for no gain to the Ind 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Payton Thorne pass complete to Keon Coleman for 2 yds for a TD, (Ben Patton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Dexter Williams II pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Dexter Williams II pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.79

Josh Henderson run for 14 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WILLIAMS II, Dexter pass to the left complete for 10 yards to COBY, Andison caught at the IND41 and advanced to the IND43 (BRANTLEY, Charles), clock 00:00. PENALTY Before the snap, IND Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the IND33 to the IND28. NO PLAY (replay the down).

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Payton Thorne pass complete to Maliq Carr for 5 yds for a TD, (Ben Patton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Jalen Berger run for 12 yds to the MchSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.34

Jalen Berger run for 29 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jalen Berger run for 4 yds to the Ind 19

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the Ind 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Payton Thorne pass complete to Elijah Collins for 10 yds to the Ind 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the Ind 5

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Chris Freeman kickoff for 52 yds , Tyrell Henry return for 21 yds to the MchSt 34 Tyrell Henry fumbled, recovered by MchSt

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jalen Berger run for 4 yds to the MchSt 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Bryce Baringer punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+79 ydsPPA +6.33

Shaun Shivers run for 79 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the MchSt 20

1st & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.35

Jalen Berger run for 12 yds to the MchSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the MchSt 34

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jalen Berger run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Bryce Baringer punt for 28 yds, downed at the Ind 39

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Shaun Shivers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 37

2nd & 12Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.99

Dexter Williams II sacked by Avery Dunn for a loss of 10 yards to the Ind 27

3rd & 22Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Shaun Shivers run for 6 yds to the Ind 33

4th & 16Punt+5 yds

James Evans punt for 41 yds , Jayden Reed returns for 5 yds to the MchSt 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the MchSt 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Payton Thorne pass complete to Maliq Carr for 4 yds to the MchSt 37

3rd & 4Penalty-15 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jayden Reed) to the MchSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.43

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 22 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Payton Thorne run for 3 yds to the Ind 31

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.14

Elijah Collins run for 31 yds for a TD, (Ben Patton KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+88 yds

Jaylin Lucas 88 Yd Kickoff Return (Charles Campbell Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Charles Campbell kickoff for 63 yds , Tyrell Henry return for 19 yds to the MchSt 21

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.67

Payton Thorne pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Dexter Williams II pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Josh Henderson run for 6 yds to the MchSt 23

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Josh Henderson run for no gain to the MchSt 23

4th & 4Field Goal Good+40 yds

Charles Campbell 40 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Elijah Collins run for 1 yd to the MchSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.01

Payton Thorne pass complete to Tre Mosley for 15 yds to the MchSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Payton Thorne pass complete to Keon Coleman for 5 yds to the MchSt 46

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Elijah Collins run for no gain to the MchSt 46

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Bryce Baringer punt for 24 yds, downed at the Ind 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Dexter Williams II run for 6 yds to the Ind 36

2nd & 4Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.78

Jaylin Lucas run for 18 yds to the MchSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Dexter Williams II run for 4 yds to the MchSt 42

2nd & 6Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.13

Dexter Williams II run for 30 yds to the MchSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dexter Williams II run for 5 yds to the MchSt 7

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Dexter Williams II run for 1 yd to the MchSt 6

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Dexter Williams II run for 3 yds to the MchSt 3

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.88

Josh Henderson run for 2 yds to the MchSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Josh Henderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.70

Elijah Collins run for 19 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the Ind 44

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Elijah Collins run for 2 yds to the Ind 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 8 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Payton Thorne pass complete to Elijah Collins for 8 yds to the Ind 26

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.17

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Ind 27

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Shaun Shivers run for 4 yds to the Ind 31

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.65

Dexter Williams II run for 6 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Ind 40

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Ind 41

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Dexter Williams II run for 2 yds to the Ind 43

4th & 4Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 32 yds, downed at the MchSt 25

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jalen Berger run for a loss of 1 yard to the MchSt 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.69

Payton Thorne pass complete to Keon Coleman for 22 yds to the MchSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

BERGER, Jalen rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the MSU48 (FITZGERALD, Bryant). PENALTY MSU Holding on BROWN, Spencer enforced 10 yards from the MSU46 to the MSU36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Penalty+10 yds

THORNE, Payton pass to the right complete for 5 yards to MOSLEY, Tre caught at the MSU41 and advanced to the MSU41 (MATTHEWS, Devon). PENALTY IND Holding on WILLIAMS, Jaylin enforced 10 yards from the MSU36 to the MSU46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.09

Payton Thorne pass complete to Daniel Barker for 16 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Payton Thorne pass complete to Daniel Barker for 2 yds to the Ind 36

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jalen Berger run for 4 yds to the Ind 32

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the Ind 30

4th & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.45

Payton Thorne pass complete to Maliq Carr for 5 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Elijah Collins run for 4 yds to the Ind 21

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.22

Elijah Collins run for 11 yds to the Ind 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Elijah Collins run for 4 yds to the Ind 6

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Elijah Collins run for 3 yds to the Ind 3

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Elijah Collins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 5

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+22 yds

Ben Patton 22 yd FG MISSED

0th & 5End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.28

Elijah Collins run for 16 yds to the Ind 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-6 yds

MICHIGAN ST Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the Ind 15

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Payton Thorne pass complete to Keon Coleman for 4 yds to the Ind 11

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 11Blocked Field Goal+28 yds

Ben Patton 28 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Josh Henderson run for 4 yds to the MchSt 21

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Josh Henderson run for 7 yds to the MchSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the MchSt 11

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Josh Henderson run for 4 yds to the MchSt 7

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Josh Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 9

4th & 5Blocked Field Goal+37 yds

Charles Campbell 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Payton Thorne pass complete to Tre Mosley for 9 yds to the Ind 16

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.12

Elijah Collins run for 3 yds to the Ind 13 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.67

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Indiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
26%
19 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
4 plays
29%
34 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
40%
15 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
38%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play