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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Purdue by 29.2

Home Win Probability

Purdue 95%

Market (consensus)

Purdue -17.5

Edge: Purdue -17.5 (11.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NorthwesternNorthwestern
03069
PurduePurdue
770317

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-07-314-317-9
PurdueNorthwestern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PURNORPURNORPURNORPURNORPURNORPURNORPURNORPURNORPURNORPURNORPURNORDOWNS1146ydPUNT33ydTD1070ydFG1365ydPUNT30ydPUNT30ydTD1385ydPUNT831ydEND1-2ydTO618ydMISS45ydTO528ydDOWNS627ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT3-15ydPUNT34ydTD850ydFG1265ydDOWNS1128ydPUNT31ydEND37yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northwestern and Purdue
StatisticNorthwesternPurdue
Passing9-2016-25
Pass Yards78159
Rush Yards162140
Total Yards240299
Turnovers30
3rd Down6-175-14
Penalties3-252-20
Possession29:2430:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northwestern
passing
Cole Freeman
9/20, 78 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Evan Hull
22 CAR, 105 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Malik Washington
3 REC, 22 YDS
defense
Purdue
passing
Aidan O'Connell
16/25, 159 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Dylan Downing
17 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Charlie Jones
6 REC, 46 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Adam Stage kickoff for 63 yds , Kobe Lewis return for 19 yds to the Prdue 21

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Devin Mockobee run for 8 yds to the Prdue 29

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Prdue 30

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.73

Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 7 yds to the Prdue 38

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Devin Mockobee run for 8 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Dylan Downing run for 8 yds to the Nwest 46

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.97

Aidan O'Connell sacked by Sean McLaughlin for a loss of 10 yards to the Prdue 48

2nd & 20Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.96

Tyrone Tracy run for 19 yds to the Nwest 33

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the Nwest 33

4th & 1Penalty0 yds

PURDUE Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Illegal Motion on SHEFFIELD, TJ ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.44

Evan Hull run for a loss of 4 yards to the Nwest 29

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 33

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Cole Freeman pass complete to Evan Hull for 3 yds to the Nwest 36

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Prdue 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the Prdue 33

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dylan Downing run for 5 yds to the Prdue 38

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 6 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 43

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.33

Dylan Downing run for 10 yds to the Nwest 47

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.88

Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Tyrone Tracy run for 8 yds to the Nwest 38

2nd & 2Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.19

Kobe Lewis run for 19 yds to the Nwest 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kobe Lewis run for 4 yds to the Nwest 15

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.63

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 15 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Chris Van Eekeren kickoff for 56 yds , Evan Hull return for 21 yds to the Nwest 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Cole Freeman pass complete to Malik Washington for 9 yds to the Nwest 39

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.39

Cole Freeman pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.46

Cam Porter run for 6 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the Nwest 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Cole Freeman pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Cole Freeman run for 6 yds to the Prdue 48

4th & 3Penalty+5 yds

PURDUE Penalty, Offsides (Kieren Douglas) to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.67

Evan Hull run for 19 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Cole Freeman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.92

Cole Freeman pass complete to Marshall Lang for 17 yds to the Prdue 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Cole Freeman run for 1 yd to the Prdue 6

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.30

Cole Freeman pass complete to Andrew Clair for no gain to the Prdue 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Cole Freeman pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Adam Stage 23 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Adam Stage kickoff for 56 yds , Kobe Lewis return for 10 yds to the Prdue 19

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Kobe Lewis run for no gain to the Prdue 19

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+3 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 39 yds , Donny Navarro III returns for 3 yds to the Nwest 45

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.25

Malik Washington run for a loss of 6 yards to the Nwest 39

2nd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Evan Hull run for 6 yds to the Nwest 45

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Cole Freeman pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 33 yds , returns for no gain to the Prdue 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Prdue 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Mershawn Rice for 13 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Dylan Downing run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 29

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

3rd & 11Penalty0 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Offsides (Aidan Hubbard) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.67

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 17 yds to the Nwest 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kobe Lewis run for 4 yds to the Nwest 23

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Austin Burton run for 5 yds to the Nwest 18

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.15

Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the Nwest 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the Nwest 12

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.78

Dylan Downing run for 7 yds to the Nwest 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Nwest 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Payne Durham for 3 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.82

Cole Freeman pass complete to Duke Olges for 15 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 46

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Cole Freeman run for 6 yds to the Prdue 48

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.35

Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

PORTER, Cam rush to the left for a loss of 1 yard to the PUR44 (TAYLOR, Reese). PENALTY NOR Holding on OLGES, Duke enforced 10 yards from the PUR43 to the NOR47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Nwest 48

2nd & 19Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Cole Freeman pass complete to Evan Hull for 1 yd to the Nwest 49

3rd & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Cole Freeman run for 7 yds to the Prdue 44

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Hunter Renner punt for 26 yds, downed at the Prdue 18

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

[NH] Kneel down by O'CONNELL, Aidan at PUR16 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Chris Van Eekeren kickoff for 57 yds , Evan Hull return for 17 yds to the Nwest 25

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Evan Hull run for 9 yds to the Nwest 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Evan Hull run for no gain to the Nwest 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Cole Freeman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the Nwest 43

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

PURDUE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jalen Graham) to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the Nwest 31

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

Dylan Downing run for no gain to the Nwest 31

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Aidan O'Connell run for 1 yd to the Nwest 30

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Mitchell Fineran 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Joseph Himon II run for 3 yds to the Nwest 41

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Cole Freeman pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.18

Cole Freeman pass complete to Malik Washington for 13 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Joseph Himon II run for 13 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, False Start (Duke Olges) to the Nwest 38

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -3.46

Cole Freeman run for 4 yds to the Prdue 42 Cole Freeman fumbled, recovered by Prdue Cam Allen

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 9 yds to the Nwest 49

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.07

Kobe Lewis run for 9 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 4 yds to the Nwest 36

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Aidan O'Connell run for 3 yds to the Nwest 33

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -2.45

Aidan O'Connell run for 2 yds to the Nwest 31

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

run for 7 yds to the Nwest 38

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

run for 1 yd to the Nwest 39

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.08

run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 36

4th & 5Punt+7 yds

Luke Akers punt for 48 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 7 yds to the Prdue 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.17

Dylan Downing run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 21

4th & 12Punt+4 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 44 yds , Donny Navarro III returns for 4 yds to the Nwest 39

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Cole Freeman run for 4 yds to the Nwest 43

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

HULL, Evan rush to the left for a gain of 13 yards to the PUR44 (BROWN, Jamari). PENALTY NOR Holding on LANG, Marshall enforced 10 yards from the NOR43 to the NOR33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Cole Freeman pass incomplete

3rd & 16Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.24

Cole Freeman sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 24

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Prdue 37

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kobe Lewis run for 4 yds to the Prdue 41

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Kobe Lewis run for no gain to the Prdue 41

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

4th & 6Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by blocked by

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

run for 3 yds to the Prdue 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.25

Cole Freeman pass complete to Genson Hooper Price for 12 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Evan Hull run for 6 yds to the Prdue 29

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Prdue 22

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Prdue 18

3rd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.75

Evan Hull run for 16 yds to the Prdue 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Evan Hull 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Adam Stage kickoff for 38 yds , Kobe Lewis return for no gain to the Prdue 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 8 yds to the Prdue 35

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Charlie Jones for 11 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.13

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Deion Burks for 17 yds to the Nwest 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.43

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Paul Piferi for 17 yds to the Nwest 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Aidan O'Connell pass complete to Dylan Downing for 6 yds to the Nwest 14

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the Nwest 11

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Dylan Downing run for no gain to the Nwest 11

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.57

Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Nwest 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the Nwest 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Aidan O'Connell pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Mitchell Fineran 26 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Chris Van Eekeren kickoff for 60 yds , Evan Hull return for 19 yds to the Nwest 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Nwest 29

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Nwest 33

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.41

Evan Hull run for 7 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the Nwest 42

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the Nwest 43

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the Nwest 47

4th & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.56

Cole Freeman run for 4 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the Prdue 48

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Evan Hull run for 5 yds to the Prdue 43

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Evan Hull run for no gain to the Prdue 43

4th & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.36

Cole Freeman sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 48

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.17

Kobe Lewis run for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 43

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the Prdue 44

3rd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tyrone Tracy run for 5 yds to the Prdue 49

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the Nwest 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Cole Freeman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Cole Freeman pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Cole Freeman pass complete to Evan Hull for 7 yds to the Nwest 19

Situational Analysis

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
22 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Purdue

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
26 plays
2nd
71%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays