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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 11.6

Home Win Probability

Nebraska 20%

Market (consensus)

Nebraska +10

Edge: Wisconsin -10 (1.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
0031215
NebraskaNebraska
077014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-07-314-314-914-15
NebraskaWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBWISNEBPUNT517ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT1024ydPUNT738ydTO827ydTD837ydMISS1454ydEND1-1ydPUNT36ydPUNT30ydFG1474ydTD979ydTD1075ydPUNT512ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT33ydTD750ydEND512yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and Nebraska
StatisticWisconsinNebraska
Passing8-1812-20
Pass Yards83106
Rush Yards23565
Total Yards318171
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-155-11
Penalties5-502-15
Possession36:5723:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Graham Mertz
8/18, 83 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Chez Mellusi
21 CAR, 98 YDS
receiving
Keontez Lewis
3 REC, 31 YDS
defense
C.J. Goetz
2.5 TFL, 1 PD
Nebraska
passing
Casey Thompson
12/20, 106 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Casey Thompson
11 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
Trey Palmer
4 REC, 47 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Gavin Lahm kickoff for 54 yds , Tommi Hill return for 18 yds to the Neb 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Casey Thompson run for 1 yd to the Neb 30

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.10

Casey Thompson run for 14 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Anthony Grant run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 43

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Casey Thompson pass complete to Oliver Martin for 8 yds to the Wisc 49

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 46

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 26 yds, downed at the Wisc 28

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the Wisc 34

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Skyler Bell

3rd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.51

Graham Mertz pass complete to Dean Engram for no gain to the Wisc 34

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Casey Thompson pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for 4 yds to the Neb 34

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Neb 37

3rd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.09

Casey Thompson sacked by Keeanu Benton for a loss of 8 yards to the Neb 29

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 28

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the Wisc 36

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Braelon Allen run for 6 yds to the Wisc 46

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.74

Braelon Allen run for 7 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Neb 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Graham Mertz pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 4 yds to the Neb 38

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.59

Chez Mellusi run for 1 yd to the Neb 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Braelon Allen run for 2 yds to the Neb 35

3rd & 8Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.75

Graham Mertz sacked by Ochaun Mathis for a loss of 13 yards to the Neb 48 WISCONSIN Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Neb 48

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 12

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.52

Anthony Grant run for 11 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 25

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Casey Thompson run for 6 yds to the Neb 31

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.85

Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 11 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 42

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.30

Casey Thompson sacked by Maema Njongmeta for a loss of 5 yards to the Neb 37

3rd & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Casey Thompson run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dean Engram at the Wisc 11

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the Wisc 20

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.24

Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the Wisc 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.82

Chez Mellusi run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.73

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Eschenbach for 8 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Isaac Guerendo run for no gain to the Wisc 36

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Wisc 38

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return+23 ydsPPA -0.40

Graham Mertz pass intercepted Malcolm Hartzog return for 23 yds to the Wisc 37

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Casey Thompson run for 8 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.24

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 4 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 10 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Wisc 12

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.30

Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 8 yds to the Wisc 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.17

Anthony Grant run for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 11

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.86

Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 11 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Braelon Allen run for 9 yds to the Wisc 34

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Chez Mellusi run for 7 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Wisc 46

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Braelon Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 48

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.00

Isaac Guerendo run for 9 yds to the Neb 39

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.12

Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Neb 28

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Braelon Allen run for no gain to the Neb 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Eschenbach for 7 yds to the Neb 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Keontez Lewis

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack Eschenbach

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Nate Van Zelst 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 20

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 26

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Wisc 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack Eschenbach

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Marcus Washington

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 26

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Oliver Martin

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 74 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Skyler Bell run for 10 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Chez Mellusi run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.03

Graham Mertz pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 20 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Riley Nowakowski

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Isaac Guerendo run for 9 yds to the Neb 21

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.19

Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Neb 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Chez Mellusi run for 6 yds to the Neb 12

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Neb 10

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.76

Isaac Guerendo run for 5 yds to the Neb 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Isaac Guerendo run for 2 yds to the Neb 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Neb 1

3rd & 0Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Jackson Acker) to the Neb 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

4th & 6Field Goal Good+25 yds

Nate Van Zelst 25 yd FG GOOD

4th & 11Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Gavin Lahm kickoff for 49 yds , Tommi Hill return for 5 yds to the Neb 21

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Anthony Grant run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 20

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Casey Thompson run for 4 yds to the Neb 24

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (Nick Herbig) to the Neb 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Travis Vokolek

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Casey Thompson pass complete to Chancellor Brewington for 7 yds to the Neb 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Casey Thompson pass complete to Travis Vokolek for 12 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.63

Casey Thompson pass complete to Omar Manning for 4 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Anthony Grant run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 24

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the Wisc 19

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.14

Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 19 yds for a TD, (Timmy Bleekrode KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Braelon Allen run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Braelon Allen run for 8 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the Wisc 45

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.08

Graham Mertz run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Braelon Allen run for 4 yds to the Neb 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.84

Graham Mertz pass complete to Keontez Lewis for 7 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.56

Braelon Allen run for 22 yds to the Neb 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the Neb 13

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Chez Mellusi run for 3 yds to the Neb 10

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.72

Graham Mertz pass complete to Skyler Bell for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

3rd & 3Penalty-15 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Nick Herbig) to the Wisc 20

3rd & 18Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Gavin Lahm kickoff for 61 yds , Zach Weinmaster return for 18 yds to the Neb 38 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Eteva Mauga-Clements) to the Neb 27

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Casey Thompson run for 7 yds to the Neb 34

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.64

Anthony Grant run for 7 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Anthony Grant run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 40

2nd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.19

Casey Thompson sacked by Darryl Peterson for a loss of 7 yards to the Neb 33

3rd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the Neb 39

4th & 12Punt+13 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 34 yds , Dean Engram returns for 13 yds to the Wisc 40

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Braelon Allen run for 1 yd to the Wisc 41

2nd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.26

Braelon Allen run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 37

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Keontez Lewis

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 11

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Anthony Grant run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 8

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Anthony Grant run for 6 yds to the Neb 14

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Trey Palmer

4th & 7Punt+9 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 45 yds , Dean Engram returns for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Isaac Guerendo run for 5 yds to the Neb 45

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Isaac Guerendo run for 8 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Isaac Guerendo run for 3 yds to the Neb 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.09

Graham Mertz pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 27 yds to the Neb 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Isaac Guerendo run for 1 yd to the Neb 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Neb 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Graham Mertz run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)

3rd & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Gavin Lahm kickoff for 60 yds , Tommi Hill return for 16 yds to the Neb 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Casey Thompson pass complete to Marcus Washington for 5 yds to the Neb 26

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Casey Thompson run for no gain to the Neb 26

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.45

Casey Thompson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 7 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Marcus Washington

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Trey Palmer

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
57%
28 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
45%
11 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
30%
20 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
4th