Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio State by 45.1

Home Win Probability

Ohio State 99%

Market (consensus)

Ohio State -40.5

Edge: Ohio State -40.5 (4.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IndianaIndiana
700714
Ohio StateOhio State
217141456

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-728-742-756-14
Ohio StateIndiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSINDOSINDOSINDOSINDOSINDOSINDOSINDOSINDINDOSINDOSINDOSINDOSINDOSINDINDOSINDOSPUNT39ydPUNT36ydTD665ydPUNT34ydTD878ydPUNT35ydTD158ydTD675ydPUNT524ydPUNT34ydTD357ydPUNT36ydPUNT420ydPUNT37ydDOWNS1166ydEND940ydDOWNS552ydPUNT39ydPUNT57ydTD22ydPUNT33ydTD352ydPUNT65ydPUNT832ydTO37ydTD171ydTO36ydTD218ydTD675ydPUNT424ydEND944yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Indiana and Ohio State
StatisticIndianaOhio State
Passing9-2419-30
Pass Yards119322
Rush Yards150340
Total Yards269662
Turnovers01
3rd Down3-177-14
Penalties2-203-15
Possession26:4133:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Indiana
passing
Dexter Williams II
6/19, 107 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Dexter Williams II
16 CAR, 46 YDS
receiving
Andison Coby
1 REC, 49 YDS
defense
Ohio State
passing
C.J. Stroud
17/28, 297 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Miyan Williams
15 CAR, 147 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Marvin Harrison Jr.
7 REC, 135 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Chris Freeman kickoff for 61 yds , Xavier Johnson return for 21 yds to the OhSt 25

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for no gain to the OhSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 8 yds to the OhSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

C.J. Stroud run for 1 yd to the OhSt 34

4th & 1Punt-2 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 47 yds , Connor Delp returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 17

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Ind 18

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to James Bomba

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Connor Bazelak pass complete to AJ Barner for 5 yds to the Ind 23

4th & 4Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 42 yds , Emeka Egbuka returns for no gain to the OhSt 35

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Miyan Williams run for 10 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.61

Miyan Williams run for 32 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.78

Marvin Harrison Jr. run for 18 yds to the Ind 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

C.J. Stroud run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 6 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

3rd & 11Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 64 yds , Jaylin Lucas return for 24 yds to the Ind 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to AJ Barner

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Shaun Shivers run for 4 yds to the Ind 29

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Connor Bazelak run for no gain to the Ind 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 49 yds, downed at the OhSt 22

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Miyan Williams run for 7 yds to the OhSt 29

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Miyan Williams run for 9 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.19

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 34 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Miyan Williams run for 5 yds to the Ind 23

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Miyan Williams run for 10 yds to the Ind 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Miyan Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 14

2nd & 11Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.91

Dallan Hayden run for 14 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

2nd & 11Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 63 yds , Jaylin Lucas return for 19 yds to the Ind 21

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.73

Connor Bazelak run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 19 Connor Bazelak fumbled, recovered by Ind

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 9 yds to the Ind 28

3rd & 3Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.52

Connor Bazelak pass complete to AJ Barner for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 26

4th & 5Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 42

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +4.56

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 58 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Dexter Williams II run for 16 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Josh Henderson run for no gain to the Ind 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.28

Dexter Williams II pass complete to Andison Coby for 49 yds to the OhSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the OhSt 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Dexter Williams II pass incomplete

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Dexter Williams II pass complete to AJ Barner for 7 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)

3rd & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Chris Freeman kickoff for 62 yds , Xavier Johnson return for 30 yds to the OhSt 33

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Miyan Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 30

2nd & 13Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.30

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 25 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Julian Fleming

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Miyan Williams run for 2 yds to the Ind 43

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Emeka Egbuka

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Connor Delp at the Ind 9

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Ind 11

2nd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.26

Dexter Williams II pass complete to AJ Barner for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 9

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Dexter Williams II run for 4 yds to the Ind 13

4th & 6Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Emeka Egbuka at the OhSt 43

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Miyan Williams run for 9 yds to the Ind 48

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.34

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Miyan Williams

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +4.52

Miyan Williams run for 48 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dexter Williams II run for 7 yds to the Ind 32

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Jaylin Lucas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to Emery Simmons

4th & 4Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 53 yds, downed at the OhSt 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.72

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 12 yds to the OhSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Dallan Hayden run for 6 yds to the OhSt 34

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Dallan Hayden run for 2 yds to the OhSt 36

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Cade Stover

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Connor Delp at the Ind 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to Donaven McCulley

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Dexter Williams II run for 7 yds to the Ind 36

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to Emery Simmons

4th & 3Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 48 yds, downed at the OhSt 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the OhSt 19

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

3rd & 7Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.37

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 32 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Miyan Williams run for 11 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Miyan Williams run for no gain to the Ind 38

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Julian Fleming

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.15

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 12 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Miyan Williams run for 4 yds to the Ind 22

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Miyan Williams run for 4 yds to the Ind 18

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the Ind 17

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.79

Mitch Rossi run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 18

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Dexter Williams II run for 4 yds to the Ind 22

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.05

Jaylin Lucas run for 10 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Dexter Williams II pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 6 yds to the Ind 38

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Dexter Williams II run for 3 yds to the Ind 41

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

Jaylin Lucas run for 2 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.68

Dexter Williams II pass complete to Malachi Holt-Bennett for 28 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to AJ Barner

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.38

Dexter Williams II sacked by Lathan Ransom and Steele Chambers for a loss of 8 yards to the OhSt 37

3rd & 18Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.29

Dexter Williams II sacked by Ty Hamilton and Jack Sawyer for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 42

0th & 18End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+44 ydsPPA +3.24

Emery Simmons run for 44 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to AJ Barner

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Shaun Shivers run for 6 yds to the OhSt 25

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the OhSt 23

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.37

Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to Aaron Steinfeldt

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Dallan Hayden run for 6 yds to the OhSt 29

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the OhSt 32

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

C.J. Stroud run for no gain to the OhSt 32

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Connor Delp at the Ind 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the Ind 26

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.43

Josh Henderson run for 11 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.92

Dexter Williams II sacked by Lathan Ransom for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 30

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to AJ Barner

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to Malachi Holt-Bennett

4th & 17Blocked Punt+5 yds

James Evans punt blocked by Lathan Ransom blocked by Lathan Ransom Xavier Johnson return for 5 yds to the Ind 2

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the Ind 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 1 yd for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the Ind 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to Javon Swinton

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to Donaven McCulley

4th & 7Punt+24 yds

James Evans punt for 39 yds, downed at the OHIOST 33 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

C.J. Stroud run for 8 yds to the Ind 44

2nd & 2Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +0.60

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Emeka Egbuka for 32 yds to the Ind 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Cade Stover for 12 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Ind 26

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Shaun Shivers run for 6 yds to the Ind 32

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Dexter Williams II run for 4 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dexter Williams II run for 5 yds to the Ind 41

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Shaun Shivers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 39

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.86

Dexter Williams II sacked by Jack Sawyer for a loss of 9 yards to the Ind 30

4th & 16Punt-2 yds

James Evans punt for 51 yds , Emeka Egbuka returns for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 17

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Dallan Hayden run for 7 yds to the OhSt 24

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.28

Dallan Hayden run for 5 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 4 yds to the OhSt 33

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.76

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Julian Fleming for 16 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Julian Fleming

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dallan Hayden run for no gain to the OhSt 49

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

C.J. Stroud pass incomplete to Marvin Harrison Jr.

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jesse Mirco punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Connor Delp at the Ind 10

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Dexter Williams II run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 9

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Dexter Williams II run for 8 yds to the Ind 17

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to Andison Coby

4th & 3Punt+53 yds

James Evans punt for 53 yds , Reis Stocksdale returns for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 29 Reis Stocksdale fumbled, recovered by OhSt

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +5.78

Xavier Johnson run for 71 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 55 yds , Jaylin Lucas return for 24 yds to the Ind 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Dexter Williams II run for 2 yds to the Ind 36

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jaylin Lucas run for 4 yds to the Ind 40

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Dexter Williams II pass incomplete to James Bomba

4th & 4Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 42 yds , Reis Stocksdale returns for no gain to the OhSt 18 Reis Stocksdale fumbled, recovered by Ind Bryson Bonds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaylin Lucas run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 19

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.02

Dexter Williams II pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 19 yds for a TD, (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 20

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Dallan Hayden run for 6 yds to the OhSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.82

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Marvin Harrison Jr. for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.79

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 13 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.47

Dallan Hayden run for 20 yds to the Ind 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Dallan Hayden run for 9 yds to the Ind 8

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +1.96

C.J. Stroud pass complete to Kamryn Babb for 8 yds for a TD, (Noah Ruggles KICK)

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Ind 8

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 13

2nd & 11Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Jayden Fielding kickoff for 63 yds , Jaylin Lucas return for 15 yds to the Ind 17

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.11

Dexter Williams II run for 16 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the Ind 36

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Josh Henderson run for 4 yds to the Ind 40

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the Ind 41

4th & 2Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jayden Ballard at the OhSt 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Dallan Hayden run for 4 yds to the OhSt 16

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

INDIANA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the OhSt 21

2nd & 1Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Kyle McCord pass complete to Joe Royer for 1 yd to the OhSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Dallan Hayden run for 4 yds to the OhSt 26

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dallan Hayden run for 5 yds to the OhSt 31

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.04

Kyle McCord pass complete to Jayden Ballard for 24 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the Ind 39

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.67

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 42

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.23

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 44

Situational Analysis

Indiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
25 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
38%
13 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
0%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Ohio State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
59%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
71%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play