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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan by 39.3

Home Win Probability

Michigan 98%

Market (consensus)

Michigan -30.5

Edge: Michigan -30.5 (8.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NebraskaNebraska
03003
MichiganMichigan
71071034

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-014-317-324-331-334-3
MichiganNebraska

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEBMICNEBMICNEBMICNEBMICNEBMICNEBMICNEBMICNEBMICNEBMICNEBPUNT634ydTD1280ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT39ydPUNT412ydPUNT37ydTD666ydFG1156ydFG1255ydEND1-1ydPUNT928ydPUNT614ydTD1065ydPUNT616ydTD676ydPUNT74ydFG943ydEND39yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nebraska and Michigan
StatisticNebraskaMichigan
Passing10-1910-20
Pass Yards71148
Rush Yards75264
Total Yards146412
Turnovers00
3rd Down5-154-10
Penalties4-301-15
Possession24:2835:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nebraska
passing
Chubba Purdy
6/11, 56 YDS
rushing
Chubba Purdy
5 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Marcus Washington
2 REC, 36 YDS
defense
Michigan
passing
J.J. McCarthy
8/17, 129 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Blake Corum
28 CAR, 162 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ronnie Bell
4 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Anthony Grant run for 4 yds to the Neb 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.65

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Trey Palmer for no gain to the Neb 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.60

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Marcus Washington for 30 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Trey Palmer for 3 yds to the Mich 38

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Mich 35

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Travis Vokolek) to the Mich 40

3rd & 9Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Chubba Purdy sacked by Junior Colson for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 41

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Blake Corum for 4 yds to the Mich 24

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.87

Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the Mich 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 36

2nd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.36

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 25 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Donovan Edwards run for 4 yds to the Neb 35

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Andrel Anthony

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Neb 31

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.50

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Neb 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Donovan Edwards run for 9 yds to the Neb 18

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.46

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Neb 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Neb 12

2nd & 9Penalty+10 yds

McCarthy, J.J. pass incomplete to Wilson, Roman, PENALTY NEBRASKA pass interference (Gifford, Isaac) 10 yards to the NEBRASKA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGAN.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Blake Corum run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Jake Moody kickoff for 58 yds , Tommi Hill return for 15 yds to the 50 yard line NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Neb 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 14

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 16

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Travis Vokolek

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 54 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 4 yds to the Mich 34

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 39

2nd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.87

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Garrett Nelson for a loss of 8 yards to the Mich 31

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 45 yds, downed at the Neb 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 27

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Trey Palmer

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Nate Boerkircher for 6 yds to the Neb 33

4th & 1Punt+39 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 39 yds , A.J. Henning returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 27

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Blake Corum run for 12 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Andrel Anthony

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Cornelius Johnson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Trey Palmer

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Trent Hixson) to the Neb 15

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.11

Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 15

3rd & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Chubba Purdy run for 12 yds to the Neb 27

4th & 3Punt+9 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 48 yds , A.J. Henning returns for 9 yds to the Mich 34

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Mich 39

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Neb 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.45

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Colston Loveland for 28 yds to the Neb 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.21

Blake Corum run for 12 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 9 yds for a TD, (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Chubba Purdy run for 13 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Tommi Hill

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Trey Palmer for 4 yds to the Neb 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.69

Chubba Purdy pass complete to Alante Brown for 13 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Purdy, Chubba pass incomplete to Vokolek, Travis, PENALTY MICHIGAN personal foul (Upshaw, Taylor) 15 yards to the MICHIGAN30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NEBRASKA.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Chubba Purdy run for 7 yds to the Mich 23

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Chubba Purdy pass incomplete to Trey Palmer

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Chubba Purdy run for 8 yds to the Mich 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Logan Smothers run for 3 yds to the Mich 12

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Logan Smothers pass incomplete

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.54

TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Mich 19 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Neb Logan Smothers

4th & 14Field Goal Good+37 yds

Timmy Bleekrode 37 yd FG GOOD

4th & 14Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Brendan Franke kickoff for 56 yds , A.J. Henning return for 24 yds to the Mich 33

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Blake Corum run for 11 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

C.J. Stokes run for 1 yd to the Mich 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.96

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Roman Wilson for 13 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Blake Corum run for 5 yds to the Neb 37

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Neb 34

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Blake Corum run for 1 yd to the Neb 33

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.47

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Blake Corum run for 6 yds to the Neb 24

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Roman Wilson

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.65

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Cornelius Johnson for 12 yds to the Neb 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+30 yds

Jake Moody 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Brendan Franke kickoff for 65 yds , A.J. Henning return for 31 yds to the Mich 31

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the Mich 39

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.50

Blake Corum run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 38

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.82

Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Blake Corum run for 8 yds to the Neb 47

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

C.J. Stokes run for 5 yds to the Neb 38

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

J.J. McCarthy pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

3rd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.70

J.J. McCarthy sacked by Ernest Hausmann for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 41

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brad Robbins punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Oliver Martin at the Neb 8

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Anthony Grant run for 5 yds to the Neb 13

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Grant run for 3 yds to the Neb 16

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.54

Logan Smothers pass complete to Anthony Grant for 4 yds to the Neb 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 20

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Anthony Grant run for 2 yds to the Neb 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Alante Brown

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 43 yds, fair catch by A.J. Henning at the Mich 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Blake Corum run for 4 yds to the Mich 39

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.64

Blake Corum run for 12 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Tavierre Dunlap run for 9 yds to the Neb 40

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.31

Isaiah Gash run for 4 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

J.J. McCarthy pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 9 yds to the Neb 27

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

C.J. Stokes run for 3 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

C.J. Stokes run for 4 yds to the Neb 20

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the Neb 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.07

Blake Corum run for 10 yds to the Neb 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

J.J. McCarthy 3 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Jake Moody kickoff for 57 yds , Tommi Hill return for 17 yds to the Neb 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Oliver Martin

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Rahmir Johnson run for 5 yds to the Neb 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Logan Smothers pass complete to Marcus Washington for 6 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.49

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 33 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Neb Rahmir Johnson

2nd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Rahmir Johnson run for 8 yds to the Neb 41

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Logan Smothers pass incomplete to Trey Palmer

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 35 yds, downed at the Mich 24

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.49

C.J. Stokes run for 17 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.69

Isaiah Gash run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mich 38

2nd & 13Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.73

C.J. Stokes run for 15 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.71

C.J. Stokes run for 14 yds to the Neb 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Isaiah Gash run for 4 yds to the Neb 29

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown0 ydsPPA +2.96

Ronnie Bell 29 Yd pass from J.J. McCarthy, fumbled, recovered by Andrel Anthony for a TD (Jake Moody Kick)

3rd & -23Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Jake Moody kickoff for 63 yds , Tommi Hill return for 19 yds to the Neb 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Logan Smothers pass complete to Trey Palmer for 8 yds to the Neb 29

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Anthony Grant run for 1 yd to the Neb 30

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Anthony Grant run for no gain to the Neb 30

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.32

Logan Smothers run for 1 yd to the Neb 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.33

Logan Smothers sacked by Mason Graham for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 27

2nd & 14Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.35

Logan Smothers pass complete to Trey Palmer for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 24

3rd & 17Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.06

Logan Smothers run for 1 yd to the Neb 25

4th & 16Punt+42 yds

Brian Buschini punt for 42 yds , A.J. Henning returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 32

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

C.J. Stokes run for 9 yds to the Mich 41

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.04

Isaiah Gash run for 5 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Davis Warren pass complete to Tyler Morris for 7 yds to the Neb 47

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.24

Tavierre Dunlap run for 5 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Davis Warren pass complete to Colston Loveland for 12 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Leon Franklin run for 3 yds to the Neb 27

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Isaiah Gash run for 2 yds to the Neb 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Davis Warren pass incomplete to Tyler Morris

4th & 5Field Goal Good+43 yds

Jake Moody 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Gabe Ervin Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Cooper Jewett run for 2 yds to the Neb 30

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Cooper Jewett run for 4 yds to the Neb 34

Situational Analysis

Nebraska

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
24%
17 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
13%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
66%
32 plays
2nd
17%
6 plays
58%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays