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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 30.4

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 96%

Market (consensus)

Minnesota -17

Edge: Minnesota -17 (13.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NorthwesternNorthwestern
03003
MinnesotaMinnesota
7731431

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-017-324-331-3
MinnesotaNorthwestern

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORMINNORPUNT30ydPUNT35ydPUNT30ydDOWNS642ydTD982ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT35ydPUNT37ydTD1160ydPUNT516ydPUNT637ydFG676ydEND217ydTO20ydFG42ydPUNT35ydTO440ydDOWNS737ydTD1259ydDOWNS836ydTD1261ydTO438ydPUNT37ydEND523yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northwestern and Minnesota
StatisticNorthwesternMinnesota
Passing15-327-13
Pass Yards20664
Rush Yards72302
Total Yards278366
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-126-13
Penalties3-344-43
Possession19:3840:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northwestern
passing
Brendan Sullivan
9/11, 94 YDS
rushing
Evan Hull
13 CAR, 54 YDS
receiving
Malik Washington
6 REC, 97 YDS
defense
Minnesota
passing
Athan Kaliakmanis
7/13, 64 YDS
rushing
Mohamed Ibrahim
36 CAR, 178 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Daniel Jackson
3 REC, 34 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 4 yds to the Minn 29

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.94

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Brendan Sullivan run for 2 yds to the Nwest 40

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 42

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Brendan Sullivan run for 1 yd to the Nwest 43

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 22

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 38 yds, downed at the Nwest 40

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Evan Hull run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 38

2nd & 12Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.55

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Marshall Lang for 37 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Minn 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Evan Hull for 6 yds to the Minn 17

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Minn 16

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -3.83

Evan Hull run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 18

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.97

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 14 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 5 yds to the Minn 37

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 8 yds to the Nwest 49

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.52

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 14 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Trey Potts run for 7 yds to the Nwest 28

2nd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.05

Trey Potts run for 16 yds to the Nwest 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Nwest 6

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.35

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Malik Washington for no gain to the Nwest 25

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the Nwest 28

3rd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.39

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Jah Joyner and Braelen Oliver for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 44 yds, downed at the Minn 33

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 38

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 38

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt-3 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 44 yds , Donny Navarro III returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 18

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Evan Hull for 4 yds to the Nwest 22

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 45

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.17

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 10 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Nwest 42

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty+9 yds

KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass to the left incomplete intended for SPANN-FORD, Brevyn thrown to the NWU31. PENALTY NWU Pass Interference on TURNER, Devin enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the NWU33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the Nwest 24

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Nwest 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Nwest 15

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Nwest 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Nwest 11

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Rod Heard II) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Defensive Holding ( Yards) declined, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brendan Sullivan run for 5 yds to the Nwest 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Malik Washington for 11 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Malik Washington for 4 yds to the Nwest 45

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Malik Washington run for 1 yd to the Nwest 46

3rd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.30

Brendan Sullivan sacked by Beanie Bishop for a loss of 5 yards to the Nwest 41

4th & 10Punt+6 yds

Luke Akers punt for 43 yds , Quentin Redding returns for 6 yds to the Minn 22

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, Targeting on UIHLEIN, Mac enforced (Mac Uihlein) to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 46

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 8 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Athan Kaliakmanis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Nwest 44

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass to the right complete for 6 yards to SPANN-FORD, Brevyn caught at the NWU41 and advanced to the NWU38 (MUELLER, Xander). PENALTY UMN Illegal Block in the Back on GEARY, Clay enforced 10 yards from the NWU44 to the UMN46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 18Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.25

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 13 yds to the Nwest 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Donny Navarro III at the Nwest 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.54

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Malik Washington for 27 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +2.76

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Malik Washington for 49 yds to the Minn 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+35 yds

Adam Stage 35 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Adam Stage kickoff for 55 yds , Quentin Redding return for 6 yds to the Minn 5

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Trey Potts run for 6 yds to the Minn 14

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Trey Potts run for 11 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST down

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.22

Ryan Hilinski pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Nwest 22

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Nwest 22

3rd & 7Penalty-10 yds

KALIAKMANIS, Athan pass up the middle complete for 9 yards to BROWN-STEPHENS, Michael caught at the NWU13 and advanced to the NWU13 (MITCHELL, Cameron). PENALTY UMN Holding on ERSERY, Aireontae enforced 10 yards from the NWU22 to the NWU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 17Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Trey Potts run for 9 yds to the Nwest 23

4th & 8Field Goal Good+41 yds

Matthew Trickett 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Donny Navarro III for 2 yds to the Nwest 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brendan Sullivan pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Brendan Sullivan pass complete to Evan Hull for 3 yds to the Nwest 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Akers punt for 33 yds, downed at the Minn 37

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.76

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 21 yds to the Nwest 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Nwest 38

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Nwest 37

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+14 ydsPPA -2.87

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Dylan Wright for 14 yds fumbled, forced by Devin Turner, recovered by Nwest A.J. Hampton Jr.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

run for 5 yds to the Nwest 28

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+23 ydsPPA +3.05

Evan Hull run for 23 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ryan Hilinski pass complete to Donny Navarro III for 5 yds to the Minn 44

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Minn 40

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.05

Ryan Hilinski pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Minn 48

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.80

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 19 yds to the Nwest 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Trey Potts run for 2 yds to the Nwest 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Brevyn Spann-Ford for 7 yds to the Nwest 18

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.13

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 1 yd to the Nwest 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Nwest 11

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Nwest 8

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.31

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Nwest 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Nwest 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Holding Roughing the Passer on NUBIN, Tyler enforced (Braelen Oliver) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Minn 42

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Minn 39

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.05

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

RICHARDSON, Carl pass up the middle incomplete intended for LANG, Marshall thrown to the UMN20. PENALTY NWU Holding on SKORONSKI, Peter enforced 10 yards from the UMN35 to the UMN45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Carl Richardson pass complete to Malik Washington for 6 yds to the Minn 39

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Carl Richardson pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Carl Richardson pass incomplete

4th & 14Penalty0 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Holding on SKORONSKI, Peter ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 42

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.44

Trey Potts run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Trey Potts run for 1 yd to the Nwest 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Athan Kaliakmanis pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 7 yds to the Nwest 42

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.94

Trey Potts run for 2 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Nwest 38

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Nwest 36

3rd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.51

Athan Kaliakmanis run for 13 yds to the Nwest 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Trey Potts run for 1 yd to the Nwest 22

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the Nwest 18

3rd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.98

Zach Evans run for 12 yds to the Nwest 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Zach Evans run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carl Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.37

Carl Richardson pass complete to Evan Hull for 31 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Evan Hull run for 7 yds to the Minn 37

2nd & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -4.09

Carl Richardson pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the Minn 27

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the Minn 31

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Zach Evans run for no gain to the Minn 31

4th & 3Punt+44 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 44 yds , Donny Navarro III returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Cole Freeman pass complete to Raymond Niro III for 7 yds to the Nwest 31

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Cole Freeman pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.66

Cole Freeman run for 8 yds to the Nwest 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Cole Freeman run for 8 yds to the Nwest 47

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Cole Freeman pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
19 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
54%
28 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
30%
10 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th